Dallas Cowboys v Baltimore Ravens tips: Ravens perfect run rolls on

The Baltimore Ravens arrive at AT&T Stadium on Monday, 28 Sept, 6:25 am AEST with a perfect 3-0 record and a point differential that looks more like a typo than a statistic. The Cowboys, meanwhile, are 2-1 but coming off a narrow home loss to New Orleans, and now they face an outfit that hasn't just won three straight — they've steamrolled the opposition by a combined 65 points.

This is the classic unstoppable-force-meets-resisting-object yarn, except the object in question is still nursing the bruises from a three-point home defeat. Dallas have been sharp on the road this season — two wins away from home — but their sole outing at AT&T Stadium ended in a 24–27 reverse against the Saints on 29 August. Baltimore, by contrast, have been flawless: wins at Minnesota (13–3) and a 41–3 demolition of Washington at home last start have them sitting atop the ladder with zero blemishes and the fifth playoff seed in the American Football Conference.

The Ravens' offensive output has been quietly devastating — 78 points in three games, while conceding just 13. Dallas have posted 75 points themselves, but the 47 they've leaked tells a different story. When you're giving up nearly 16 points per game and the opposition is allowing four, the arithmetic doesn't flatter the home side.

Who takes the points in Dallas?

Baltimore's last outing was a 38-point shellacking of Washington, the kind of performance that makes opposing coordinators reach for the aspirin. Dallas, on the other hand, are still digesting a three-point home defeat — their mostRecent result was that 24–27 loss to the Saints, a game they led late before the Saints snatched it. The Cowboys' other two outings were both on the road: a 34–13 win at Arizona and another away victory, but at home they're 0-1 and that lone defeat came against a Saints side that aren't exactly setting the world alight.

The Ravens' ladder numbers are stark: 3-0 overall, 2-0 at home, 1-0 on the road, and a conference record of 0-0 because all three wins have come outside their division. Dallas are 2-1, 0-1 at home, 2-0 on the road, and 2-1 in conference play. The Cowboys' road form is impressive, but this is a home fixture against a side that hasn't tasted defeat and boasts a point differential of plus-65 versus Dallas's plus-28.

The head-to-head market reflects the gulf: Baltimore are short favourites, and the pricing suggests punters aren't expecting Dallas to suddenly rediscover their home mojo against the league's most dominant outfit. The Ravens' last two performances — a combined 54–6 scoreline — suggest they're hitting their straps at exactly the right time. Dallas will need to be perfect, and even then it might not be enough. Our nfl predictions lean toward the visitors continuing their unbeaten run.

Can Dallas cover the line?

The line sits at Cowboys +3.5 points, which is a gentle nod to home-field advantage but not much more. Dallas are getting nearly a field goal to start, but the question is whether they can keep this within a possession given Baltimore's recent form.

The Cowboys' lone home outing ended in a three-point loss, so they've shown they can be competitive at AT&T Stadium, but that was against a Saints side that aren't posting 38-point margins. The Ravens' last win was by 38 points, and their previous road trip to Minnesota ended in a 10-point victory. Even in a tight contest, Baltimore have shown they can pull away.

Dallas's road wins have come by margins of 21 points and more, but at home they've yet to click. Baltimore have won their last two by 38 and 10 respectively, and even if this is tighter, the Cowboys will need to match the Ravens punch for punch. The line offers some insurance, but the form book suggests even +3.5 might not be enough to get Dallas over the hump. The Ravens' defensive numbers — 13 points conceded in three games — make it hard to see Dallas lighting up the scoreboard.

Same Game Multi angles

Same Game Multi options are on the board, and a couple of combos have caught the eye. Ravens win by 13+, Ravens to win the 1st half & D. Henry to score a touchdown is priced at 4.75, which ties together Baltimore's scoring punch and their ability to control games from the jump. The three-leg parlay feels ambitious but not outlandish given the Ravens' recent dominance.

Another combo — Ravens to win, Ravens -2.5 point spread in the 1st half & D. Henry to score a touchdown at 3.1 — offers a slightly safer route if you like the narrative but don't want to stretch to the 13+ margin. For the optimists backing Dallas, Cowboys to win, Cowboys +2.5 point spread in the 1st half & C. Lamb to score a touchdown is priced at 5, a longshot that requires everything to break Dallas's way early.