What a contest we had under the lights at the M.C.G. on Saturday, August 15, as Hawthorn and Collingwood went toe-to-toe in a Round 23 blockbuster that ultimately could not split them. When the final siren sounded, the scoreboard read Hawthorn 92 to Collingwood 92, resulting in a dramatic draw between the two sides.

Coming into the clash, punters had plenty of differing form lines to weigh up. Hawthorn entered the match sitting fourth on the ladder with 14 wins, two draws, and six losses, though they were last start coming off a 58–125 loss against the Brisbane Lions on Friday, August 7. Meanwhile, Collingwood arrived holding eighth spot with a 12-win, two-draw, and eight-loss record, having taken confidence from a 117–98 win against the West Coast Eagles on Sunday, August 9.

This shared result echoes the only prior head-to-head meeting between these two earlier in the season back in April 2026, which also finished in a draw with a scoreline of Collingwood 93–93 Hawthorn. It seems these two clubs simply cannot be separated when they meet on the turf.

Market movements and match stats

In the lead-up to the first bounce, the head-to-head market had Haw positioned as clear favourites at 1.34, while the Pies were marked at 3.15. The line was set at -20.5 points, and the total points line sat at 159.5. Market watchers saw significant movement on the totals front in the 24 hours prior to the match, with the over 159.5 points option firming from 1.9 to 1.33, while the under 159.5 drifted from 1.9 out to 3.1.

Ultimately, the final combined score of 184 points sailed past the 159.5 total points mark, rewarding those who jumped on the over as the price shortened. Both teams showed plenty of grit throughout the four quarters, living up to their respective season averages and fighting hard right down to the dying seconds to secure a share of the premiership points.

How the tips went

Let us take an honest look at how our published tips fared across the board at the final siren. Punters following the head-to-head market saw the Hawthorn selection result in a void due to the drawn match. Moving over to the line market, the Hawthorn -19.5 selection resulted in a loss as the Pies held their ground right to the final siren to secure the deadlock. Finally, the Under 174.5 total points selection also resulted in a loss, as an open, high-scoring affair pushed the combined score well past that threshold.