Ararat (VIC) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:03 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ararat (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 8 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsArarat (VIC)Change

Race 2 — Gorst Rural Mdn Plate 1300m · jumps Sun 8 Nov, 2:00 pm AEDT

Race notes

3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
SOFT5
Fine
10 runners

Shortest win price

Fire Type (5)

3.10

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

9Minty

Midfield

6Typhoon Bassett

Offpace

1Classical Power

Onpace

5Fire Type
3Daniel Boone
4Dimachaerus
8Incoherent

Firststart

7Poetic Passage
11Mystery Pearl

Leader

10Model Gigi

Classical Power · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.
Daniel Boone · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 57%
Dimachaerus · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 62% in Last 100 Rides
Fire Type · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 24% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Classical PowerJ: Jack Martin·T: Patrick Payne959.5kg10 9 12 5 24: 0-0-0$17.00$3.90

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Colac1200m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2L
5Queanbeyan2000m10 Jan 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD33.7L
12Newcastle2100m26 Dec 2025 · 3UP CL1 MDN-SW · GOOD417.1L
9Hawkesbury1600m7 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD49.3L
10Newcastle1400m20 Nov 2025 · MID MDN · SOFT56.1L
6Kembla Grange1150m5 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial4.2L
8Randwick742m20 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial3.9L
8Randwick1050m13 June 2025 · Barrier Trial7.6L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Jack Martin 44% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 302 day break (> 300 days)
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (43-weeks). Ex John Thompson in NSW. Has struggled to make an impression. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Back after a 43 week spell. Started $11.00 and tailed off to finish 5th last run at Queanbeyan and back to a shorter trip. First start for a new trainer. Will struggle to compete in this race.

Not disgraced when fifth of seven at Queanbeyan in January in a conditions race; first run for stable; layoff to overcome; others more appealing.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 43 weeks. Was 10/1 and didn't find the line when 5th last start at Queanbeyan and down in distance. Rising in weight.

2Community GazScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Comments

AAP

Shown little to date. Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Wodonga second-up. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Uncompetitive when 10th last start at Cranbourne.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Not competitive when 10th last run at Cranbourne.

3Daniel BooneJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Simon Zahra559.5kg5 6 11 7 211: 0-1-0$5.00$2.00

Career

11: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
2: 0-0-0
Track Terang
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1406m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Coleraine1300m19 July 2026 · MDN-HWGT · SOFT51L
7Terang1406m17 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT68.7L
11Seymour1300m20 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.1L
6Sale1200m1 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.1L
5Werribee1114m12 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD32.4L
5Seymour1000m28 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.2L
10Werribee1100m7 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.2L
7Swan Hill1600m8 June 2025 · 2&3Y MDN-SW · SOFT76.7L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 57%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 29% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (16-weeks). Last run was solid and gives some hope.

ILB

First up from a break. Rattled home nicely into 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Coleraine. Will need everything to go right.

Good effort when 1l runner-up at Coleraine four months ago; improved form the last twice but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 11.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Improved to place when 2nd last time at Coleraine.

4DimachaerusJ: Luke Cartwright·T: T Fitzsimmons659.5kg2 4 6 5 106: 0-1-0$20.00$4.00

Career

6: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Avoca
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Avoca1300m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD313.35L
5Bendigo1000m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.95L
6Echuca1200m11 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT53.4L
4Donald1200m14 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.5L
2Avoca1100m29 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD31.3L
8Echuca1200m8 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD45.2L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 62% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Timothy Fitzsimmons striking at just 7%
Key Rider
Positive
Luke Cartwright 54% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 35%
Key Jockey
Positive
Luke Cartwright winning at 42% POT in last 100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Well back and never sighted at Avoca when second-up when drifting in the betting. Untried in the wet. Only for exotics.

ILB

Started $15.00 and didn't attack the line when 10th last run at Avoca. Winkers go off for the first time. Rather have another day.

Winless in six starts but has shown promise with second his top showing; finished last of ten 22 days ago at Avoca upped to this distance; others appeal more.

RSIS

Started at 14/1 and looked outclassed when 10th last start at Avoca. Cheekpieces go off for the first time.

5Fire TypeJ: Jack Hill·T: Symon Wilde459.5kg3 2 3 6 48: 0-1-3$3.10$1.55

Career

8: 0-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1606m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1850m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

4Colac1000m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.2L
6Warrnambool1700m6 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY103.7L
3Terang1850m12 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY101.3L
2Ararat1606m30 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.3L
3Colac1600m1 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT71.8L
5Pakenham1600m12 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.8L
3Geelong1440m26 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.3L
4Warrnambool1200m11 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD31.7L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 24% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jack Hill 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 53%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 34% POT in L100 Runners
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (26-weeks). Not beaten far Maiden company at Warrnambool first-up last preparation. Capable of making an impact fresh in this affair.

ILB

Fresh after spell of 26 weeks. Started $4.40 and came in 6th last time at Warrnambool and will be down in distance. Has a good chance.

Finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (just under 4l) over 1m½f at Warrnambool (maiden) in May; has shown some recent improvement but yet to open his account after eight starts; returns from a layoff; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Racing fresh today after a 26 week break. Started at 10/3 and came in 6th last start at Warrnambool and will be down in distance. In the mix against these.

6Typhoon BassettJ: Jett Stanley·T: Sara Ryan159.5kg9 4 2 6 82: 0-0-0$14.00$3.70

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Newcastle1600m14 Feb 2026 · Maiden · GOOD48.7L
6Scone1400m29 Jan 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.7L
2Tamworth950m8 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial0.6L
4Gosford800m9 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial4.6L
9Warwick Farm786m4 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial79.7L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 76%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 52%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (38-weeks). Ex Annabel & Rob Archibald in NSW. Hard to warm to.

ILB

First run back from a 38 week break. Was $41.00 and below standard effort when 8th last start at Newcastle but drawn well. Blinkers go off for the first time. Others are more appealing.

Out of the frame when eighth over 1m at Newcastle (handicap) in February; first start for new trainer; returning from a layoff here; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Fresh after break of 38 weeks. Started at 40/1 and moderate showing when 8th last time at Newcastle but gets the perfect stall. Blinkers go off for the first time.

7Poetic PassageJ: Linda Meech·T: T Busuttin & N Young258kg–$5.00$2.00

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

$150k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare who won three races. Xtravagant gelding heading to the races off solid jumpout form. Good draw.

ILB

Debutant 3yo by Xtravagant for Trent Busuttin And Natalie Young and has a good draw. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Market as guide.

Gelded already; trainer more than capable of getting one ready first time out; first public outing; should figure as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

Career debut 3yo by Xtravagant for Trent Busuttin And Natalie Young and has a positive stall. Blinkers go on for the first time. Watch for a sign in the market.

8IncoherentJ: Eoin Walsh·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes1057.5kg2 72: 0-1-0$5.00$2.00

Career

2: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1203m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

7Sale1200m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY105.6L
2Kyneton1203m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · SOFT54.75L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $12 when unable to threaten on a soft deck at Sale at her second race start. All the better, outside place prospect at best.

ILB

At $12.00 ran 7th last start at Sale. Has the ability to turn things around. Winkers go on for the first time. Very capable of taking this out.

Was seventh of 12, beaten 6l, over 6f at Sale (maiden) last month.

RSIS

Started at 11/1 and finished 7th last time at Sale. Happy to forgive that run. Interesting to see the cheekpieces go on for the first time. Must be considered here.

9MintyJ: Neil Farley·T: Patrick Payne856kg3 8 71: 0-0-0$41.00$6.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Manangatang
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Colac800m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.2L
8Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD310.3L
3Tatura1100m30 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.1L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Neil Farley 23% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 29 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

A very soft debut performance at Manangatang 10 Oct. Since trialled at Colac 22 Oct. Will need to find plenty.

ILB

Odds of $6.00 and was ordinary when 8th last run at Manangatang but having second race start. Ran 7th in a trial at Bet365 Colac on Oct 22nd. Do not dismiss entirely.

Held on her debut over 6f at Manangatang at 5-1 last month; must now step up.

RSIS

Started at 5/1 and below standard effort when 8th last run at Manangatang but having second career run. Ran 7th in a trial at Bet365 Colac on Oct 22nd.

10Model GigiJ: Zac Spain·T: John Mcardle756kg6 2 5 54: 0-1-0$3.30$1.60

Career

4: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Mornington1200m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35L
5Pakenham Synthetic1000m2 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC3.1L
2Pakenham1100m15 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT50.4L
6Pakenham1000m23 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN SW · GOOD43.3L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Zac Spain current POT is 25% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 34% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Set tempo, offered little resistance when challenged at Mornington second-up. Has early speed. Should relish the rise in distance.

ILB

Odds of $14.00 and came in 5th last time at Mornington. Has the talent to rebound quickly. Has plenty of early speed. Has claims.

Not beaten too far when fifth of nine over 6f at Mornington (maiden) two weeks ago; has shown some ability on occasion and needs to be respected.

RSIS

Started 13/1 and finished 5th last run at Mornington. Giving another chance here. Should jump out and bowl along. Good prospects.

11Mystery PearlJ: Dean Yendall·T: Mitchell Freedman356kg–$4.20$1.80

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance

Comments

AAP

$90k purchase. Unraced 3yo by Bivouac and out of the Testa Rossa mare Pindan Pearl. Drawn well and has plenty of jumpout experience.

ILB

3yo runner on debut by Bivouac for Mitchell Freedman. Watch early betting.

From the same family as Concentric, a winner over 1m; stable can ready a newcomer; she's worth a go.

RSIS

3yo debutant sired by Bivouac for trainer Mitchell Freedman. Watch the market.

Odds correct as at Sun 8 Nov, 1:00 am AEDT. Odds can change.