Armidale (NSW) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:03 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Armidale (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 8 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsArmidale (NSW)Change

Race 1 — Can Assist Christmas Cup 6Th December Country Boosted Mdn Hcp 1400m · jumps Sun 8 Nov, 1:55 pm AEDT

Race notes

CTRY MDN,CTRY MDN HCP,Maiden
SOFT5
Fine
5 runners

Shortest win price

Hey Kalumba (1)

1.85

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

5Irish Accolade

Offpace

4Honest Doll

Onpace

6No Sound

Leader

7Totally Underrated
1Hey Kalumba

Hey Kalumba · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Honest Doll · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Irish Accolade · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
No Sound · Negative
Gave ground LS
Faded towards the finish last time out

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Hey KalumbaJ: Zac Wadick·T: D B Campbell159kg1 5 7 3 24: 0-1-1$1.85$1.24

Career

4: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-1
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1015m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Lismore1420m18 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT70.54L
3Ballina1300m4 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD32.82L
7Grafton1015m21 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD44.34L
5Lismore1110m10 Sept 2026 · CGE MDN-SW · SOFT57.2L
1Grafton940m19 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)-0.4
5Grafton945m7 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Racing with consistency. Issued decent challenge in choppy conditions Mdn Plate at Lismore. Drawn favourably. Warrants attention.

ILB

Ran home into 2nd beaten by 1/2L last start at Lismore and will appreciate a good gate. Getting better in recent performances. Genuine claims.

Outran 18-1 odds when a close second last month at Lismore in a maiden.

RSIS

Did well to run into 2nd beaten by 1/2L last time at Lismore and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Getting better in recent performances. Expecting a solid performance.

2Insain ChaosScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Comments

AAP

Rarely far away. Settled midfield, ran on fairly without threatening at Beaumont. This looks very achievable.

ILB

On a quick back up. Started at $1.65 and just average when 7th last time at Kempsey.

RSIS

On a short back up. Was 4/6 and performed below standard when 7th last time at Kempsey.

3Must DiamondScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure at second start in the Country Boosted Mdn Plate at Beaumont. Building experience. Can improve.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Jumped at $18.00 and ran 5th last time at Kempsey.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Odds of 17/1 and ran 5th last time at Kempsey.

4Honest DollJ: Juliet Partridge·T: K T Dixon356kg4 8 11 52: 0-0-0$26.00$5.50

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Moree950m30 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.5L
11Toowoomba1200m6 Oct 2025 · MDN · GOOD411.81L
8Lismore1210m26 Sept 2025 · Maiden · GOOD411.6L
4Beaudesert900m25 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial3.2L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 398 day break (> 300 days)
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (56-weeks). Ex Darren Evans in QLD. Not knocked around in recent tickover trial at Moree. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Fresh after a 56 week spell. Jumped at $101.00 and lost ground in the run home when 11th last time at Toowoomba. First race for a new trainer. Hard to recommend.

Finished last of 11 over 6f at Toowoomba (handicap) last October; first run for trainer; running in a handicap for just the second time; competitive shout.

RSIS

Back from a 56 week break. At 100/1 lost ground in the run home when 11th last run at Toowoomba. Racing for a new trainer.

5Irish AccoladeJ: Luke Rolls·T: J A Sylvester256kg10 2 8 4 351: 0-5-4$3.70$1.90

Career

51: 0-5-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Scone
6: 0-1-1
Track Newcastle
6: 0-2-0
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1512m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
22: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
8: 0-1-0
Going Soft
21: 0-2-3

Last starts

3Scone1400m23 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT55.8L
4Muswellbrook1500m19 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD45.94L
8Port Macquarie1500m10 Oct 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD45.93L
2Scone1400m25 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD42.7L
10Taree1615m22 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT69.75L
8Coffs Harbour1618m13 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45L
6Taree1600m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT65L
2Port Macquarie1512m22 Aug 2026 · MDN · HEAVY81.6L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Jeremy Sylvester striking at just 2%
Key Rider
Positive
Luke Rolls 38% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 63%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 64% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
Luke Rolls winning at 13% POT in last 100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

Comments

AAP

Solid change of gears running into the minors at Scone over today's trip. Usually gets back. Among the dangers again.

ILB

Showed a good turn of foot when 3rd last run at Scone and gets a favourable gate. Quietly confident of a big run at decent odds.

6l third last month at Scone in a maiden; knocking at the door recently; still winless and defeats stacking up (50 on the bounce); also engaged in race 4 at Warren.

RSIS

Finished well when 3rd beaten by 5 3/4L last run at Scone and can find a nice position from the draw. Will be motoring home late.

6No SoundJ: Ben Looker·T: Paul Snowden556kg7 3 5 2 92: 0-0-0$4.00$2.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1181m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1215m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Grafton1181m29 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT615.21L
2Tuncurry1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.5L
5Coffs Harbour1215m13 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · HEAVY86.3L
3Kembla Grange780m5 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial3.9L
7Rosehill900m13 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial5.4L

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh. Well back and never sighted at Grafton at her second race start. Hope for exotics only.

ILB

Started at $6.50 and struggled with the pace when 9th last time at Grafton. Can show a better performance this time. Should be going forward early. Capable type.

Beaten 15l (Grafton) six weeks ago in a maiden; big player.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last time at Grafton. Likely to bounce back. Displays good tactical pace. Respected competitor.

7Totally UnderratedJ: Daniel Smith·T: Zach Hatch456kg5 10 2 5 215: 0-4-2$1.90$1.28

Career

15: 0-4-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-1-0
Track Casino
2: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1175m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-2-0

Last starts

2Moree1200m30 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT51.79L
5Tamworth1200m12 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT53.11L
2Armidale1100m20 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD30.35L
10Coffs Harbour1305m11 Jan 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD411.9L
5Murwillumbah1100m29 Dec 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD45.7L
4Casino1400m18 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · HEAVY89.7L
7Gold Coast1200m2 Aug 2025 · MDN HCP · SOFT56.7L
2Grafton1175m17 July 2025 · BIG MDN · GOOD42.4L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Daniel Smith current POT is 32% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 38% in L100 rides
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

Comments

AAP

Recent form solid. Pressed on early and stuck on well at Moree. Can lead or take a sit. Highly fancied to go one better.

ILB

Tidy effort when 2nd last start at Moree. Should jump out and bowl along. Running with confidence this campaign. Looks set to run a big race.

Stepped up on her last two starts; turned in a solid effort in defeat nine days ago, when runner-up over 6f (handicap) at Moree; recent display was promising so is respected.

RSIS

Nice run when 2nd last start at Moree. Should come to hand quickly. Been in the money reqularly lately. Clear on ratings and will take beating.

Odds correct as at Sun 8 Nov, 1:00 am AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 20 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races