Armidale (NSW) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:03 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Armidale (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 8 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsArmidale (NSW)Change

Race 2 — Guyra Fuels / Four Ways Service Centre (Bm58) 1900m · jumps Sun 8 Nov, 2:30 pm AEDT

Race notes

BM58,BM58 HCP,Benchmark 58
SOFT5
Fine
9 runners

Shortest win price

Smart Jazz (9)

3.40

Most career wins

Nature Boy

16-12-23 from 154 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

3Dipierdomenico

Offmidfield

4More Cash
10Harriet
9Smart Jazz

Midfield

7Blazed Prince

Offpace

2Cenotes

Onpace

6The Comanche
5Fabs Cuz

Leader

8Nature Boy

Cenotes · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 101%
Dipierdomenico · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
More Cash · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fabs Cuz · Negative
Gave ground LS
Faded towards the finish last time out

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Zou Big BoyScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Comments

AAP

Latest form hard to fault. On pace but conceded late at Moree. Good wet track form. Highly rated despite the weight.

ILB

On a short back up. Jumped at $5.50 and below par performance when 5th last run at Kempsey but has been racing in stronger company. Has plenty of early speed.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Was 9/2 and lacklustre showing when 5th last run at Kempsey but goes down in class. Should race on the pace. Going up in weight.

2CenotesJ: Zac Wadick·T: Colt Prosser260kg12 13 7 7 542: 6-4-6$11.00$3.30

Career

42: 6-4-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
7: 0-1-0
Second-up
6: 0-0-2
Third-up
6: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
6: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Coffs Harbour
2: 0-1-0
Track Moree
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1900m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
15: 4-0-2
Going Heavy
9: 1-1-0
Going Soft
18: 1-3-4

Last starts

5Grafton2200m13 Oct 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY82.46L
7Grafton2230m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.57L
7Taree2000m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT67.6L
13Taree1400m14 Aug 2026 · HOPKNLIVER BM85 · GOOD47.15L
12Newcastle1400m1 Aug 2026 · BM64 · SOFT513L
10Port Macquarie1800m26 Apr 2026 · BM66 · SOFT79.7L
9Grafton2230m30 Mar 2026 · BM66 · GOOD410.1L
3Armidale1900m13 Mar 2026 · BM66 · SOFT50.7L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 101%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Last success was 19 Sep 2024. Ran on okay without troubling in rain affected going at Grafton. Coming back in distance. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Odds of $31.00 and ran 5th last time at Grafton but drawn nicely. Can't back with any confidence.

Posted respectable effort when beaten 2½l at Grafton over 1m3f (handicap) four weeks ago; can be a player at this level; he's worth a go as recent performance was encouraging.

RSIS

Odds of 30/1 and ran 5th last run at Grafton but can find a nice position from the draw.

3DipierdomenicoJ: Ben Looker·T: R J Knight460kg5 1 5 2 348: 5-2-9$5.50$2.15

Career

48: 5-2-9

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Armidale
7: 2-0-1
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1509m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2230m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
22: 2-1-4

Last starts

3Tamworth1600m3 Nov 2026 · BM50 · SOFT64.14L
2Tamworth2100m12 Oct 2026 · BM82 · SOFT53.19L
5Grafton2220m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT67.23L
1Bowraville2200m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.3
5Tamworth2100m14 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD44.9L
9Coffs Harbour1612m3 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD43.1L
5Quirindi2000m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.1L
3Tamworth2100m17 July 2026 · BM66 · GOOD40.6L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Ben Looker 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 60%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Secured third in a staggered finish at Tamworth. Fit from racing, not out of this.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Looked good when 3rd last run at Tamworth and strong form at the distance. Always seems to find the line well. Could feature here.

Not beaten that far over 1m at Tamworth (handicap) a week ago; likes this combination of C&D; not discounted if finding his best form.

RSIS

On a short back up. Tidy effort when 3rd last time at Tamworth and hard to fault at this trip. Has a great burst of pace late. Can't leave out of your calculations.

4More CashJ: Grady Spokes·T: Ridge Wilson759.5kg1 4 12 1 722: 5-0-1$5.00$2.00

Career

22: 5-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
2: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-1
Track Narrandera
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
9: 2-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Moree1400m30 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT54.76L
1Inverell1400m17 Oct 2026 · BM50 · HEAVY9-7.84
12Dubbo1400m27 Sept 2026 · 3UP SW · GOOD416.83L
4Tamworth1200m14 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD42.36L
1Wean1600m11 July 2026 · 3yo+-0.1
1Talmoi1400m20 June 2026 · 3yo+-0.4
5Moree1600m2 June 2026 · BM66 HCP · SOFT71.7L
1Moree1600m23 May 2026 · 3yo+-2.1

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Donkey-licked them at Inverell two back. Started $3.30 when safely held in Benchmark 58 company at Moree. Handles all conditions. A few runs under his belt this campaign, worth a look.

ILB

Odds of $3.30 and tailed off to finish 7th last start at Moree. Has the talent to rebound quickly and racing over extra ground. Finishes off strongly. Expecting a strong showing.

Has achieved five wins from 22 career runs; close up behind Blazed Prince when seventh over 7f at Moree (handicap) beaten just under 5l last week; easy to see him making an impression.

RSIS

Was 9/4 and didn't threaten when 7th last time at Moree. Has the ability to turn things around and racing over more ground. Has a nice turn of foot. Expecting a strong showing.

5Fabs CuzJ: Mikayla Weir·T: Stirling Osland859kg7 5 3 2 69: 1-1-3$4.20$1.80

Career

9: 1-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 1-0-0
Track Moree
1: 0-0-1
Track Tamworth
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-1-3

Last starts

6Tamworth2100m28 Sept 2026 · BM66 · GOOD412.87L
2Armidale1900m20 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD30.06L
3Moree1600m6 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD41.6L
5Tamworth1400m25 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT52.6L
7Ipswich1960m26 Mar 2026 · BM55 · GOOD48L
1Toowoomba1890m7 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-4.4
3Sunshine Coast1600m22 Feb 2026 · MDN · GOOD41.9L
3Ipswich1350m31 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.6L

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 41 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Great run at Armidale 20 Sep. Disappointing in small field at Tamworth. BM58 suits. Can bounce back.

ILB

At $9.00 didn't find the line when 6th last run at Tamworth. Shows good early pace. Hard to see finishing out of the placings.

Finished last of six over 1m2½f at Tamworth (handicap) 41 days ago; he meets the required standard ability wise; is a player if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.

RSIS

Was 8/1 and looked outclassed when 6th last start at Tamworth. Won't be far away during the run. Good chance of taking this out.

6The ComancheJ: Jordie Thompson·T: Jacob Perrett958.5kg4 2 4 1 719: 2-4-0$7.50$2.65

Career

19: 2-4-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Tuncurry
2: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1614m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1221m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1262m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
8: 0-2-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-0

Last starts

7Tamworth1600m3 Nov 2026 · BM50 · SOFT617.93L
1Bundarra1700m3 Oct 2026 · BM50-5.3
4Tuncurry1600m24 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT73.5L
2Taree1600m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.2L
4Taree1614m9 July 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY102.4L
2Coffs Harbour1405m28 June 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY108.3L
7Muswellbrook1450m12 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT78.6L
2Port Macquarie1509m18 May 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY101.5L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Unable to make an impression in soft going at Tamworth. Rise to 1900m a new challenge. Look for a better showing.

ILB

On a quick back up. Was $6.50 and fairly underwhelming when 7th last start at Tamworth. Jordie Thompson and Jacob Perrett are a proven combination. Should be going forward early. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

Last of seven at Tamworth over 1m (handicap, behind Dipierdomenico) on Tuesday; a lot on his plate here and looks an unlikely winner.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Was 11/2 and only fair when 7th last time at Tamworth. Interesting to see the tongue strap go on for the first time. Should go very close.

7Blazed PrinceJ: Luke Rolls·T: C R Clegg657.5kg4 1 8 3 622: 2-2-3$6.50$2.40

Career

22: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Gunnedah
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-1
Going Soft
12: 1-1-2

Last starts

6Moree1400m30 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT53.44L
3Tamworth1400m12 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT51.07L
8Tamworth1600m28 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD46.32L
1Tamworth1600m14 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD4-0.3
4Tamworth1600m25 Aug 2026 · CTRY CL2 · SOFT52.5L
13Gunnedah1400m14 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT68.5L
2Tamworth1000m5 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.5L
5Tamworth1400m15 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT53L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Luke Rolls 38% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 186%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Placed (Bm58) at Tamworth 12 Oct. Not disgraced at Moree at $8. Has his first look at 1900m here. Fit from racing, right in the mix.

ILB

Was $8.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last start at Moree but racing over a longer distance. Very capable of taking this out.

Not disgraced when sixth at Moree over 7f (handicap) last week; a few rivals look in good form so has questions to answer.

RSIS

Odds of 7/1 and gave away some ground when 6th last run at Moree but stepping up in distance. Great chance.

8Nature BoyJ: Daniel Smith·T: Ms L Selby557kg9 10 4 4 3154: 16-12-23$10.00$3.10

Career

154: 16-12-23

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Quirindi
2: 0-0-0
Track Taree
3: 0-0-0
Track Deepwater
3: 0-1-0
Distance 2235m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Firm
3: 1-1-0
Going Good
69: 5-3-9
Going Heavy
17: 3-1-3

Last starts

3Ballina2600m2 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT77.57L
4Mudgee2000m24 Oct 2026 · BM50 · GOOD44.61L
4Grafton2220m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT65.48L
10Coffs Harbour1618m13 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD48.7L
9Taree2000m30 June 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY916.6L
1Ballina1900m21 June 2026 · BM82 HCP · HEAVY10-3.7
4Tamworth2100m15 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT56.7L
5Grafton2245m6 June 2026 · BM74 (71) · SOFT67.9L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Daniel Smith current POT is 32% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 38% in L100 rides
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Fair way from the winner but battled home into third at Ballina over longer test. Well into preparation now, could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Despite being out sprinted still placed 3rd beaten by nearly 8L last time at Ballina but will be facing a significant drop in distance. Needs significant improvement.

Three-time course winner; has largely been consistent of late; beaten third of six over 1m5f at Ballina (handicap) on Monday; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Faded at the finish when 3rd beaten by close to 8L last run at Ballina but will be facing a significant drop in distance.

9Smart JazzJ: Braith Nock·T: J A Sylvester356.5kg7 9 6 5 263: 4-5-8$3.40$1.60

Career

63: 4-5-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Narromine
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
4: 0-2-2
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
22: 1-0-3
Going Heavy
10: 0-1-2
Going Soft
31: 3-4-3

Last starts

2Newcastle2100m26 Oct 2026 · BM66 · SOFT50.49L
5Muswellbrook1500m19 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD43.57L
6Muswellbrook1450m5 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD45.04L
9Taree1413m22 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT612.65L
7Muswellbrook1280m8 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD44.2L
4Taree1250m31 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT63.2L
5Tuncurry1400m24 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT74.8L
6Gunnedah1400m14 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT64.8L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 63%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 64% Profit on Turnover
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Long winless run but recent form encouraging. Sound performance in small field at Beaumont. Switching to 1900m. Hard fit, capable of making an impact.

ILB

Just shy of the win last run at Newcastle and up against a less challenging field. Showing improvement in recent outings. Not at all out of this race.

Not beaten far over 1m2½f at Beaumont (handicap) 13 days ago.

RSIS

Close to a win last time at Newcastle and competing in a less challenging grade. Getting better in recent performances. Watch the betting.

10HarrietJ: Jenny Duggan·T: Lyle Chandler155kg6 7 10 4 124: 3-3-0$3.90$1.75

Career

24: 3-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Narromine
2: 1-0-0
Track Riccarton Park
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-1-0

Last starts

1Narromine1600m17 Oct 2026 · BM50 · SOFT5-1.65
4Narromine1600m21 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD32.27L
10Muswellbrook1280m8 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD414L
7Muswellbrook1000m19 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.9L
6Tamworth1000m5 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)10.8L
5Grafton2208m25 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.9L
5Ballina1920m9 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD34.4L
5Murwillumbah1550m29 Dec 2025 · BM58 HCP · GOOD411.8L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 53% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jenny Duggan 65% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Jenny Duggan winning at 41% POT in last 100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start

Comments

AAP

Produced best late from the back half to win in Benchmark 50 company at Narromine. More ground a plus. Harder now but sure to have supporters.

ILB

Ran home strongly to win last start at Narromine and gets the perfect alley. Likely to settle back in the field. Prefer in an easier race.

Successful by 1½l over 1m at Narromine (handicap) 22 days ago; despite that Narromine success, not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Picked up late to win last run at Narromine and drawn the rails. Likely to get back.

Odds correct as at Sun 8 Nov, 1:00 am AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 20 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races