Armidale (NSW) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:03 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Armidale (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 8 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsArmidale (NSW)Change

Race 4 — Bishops Hardware / Guyra Bowling Club (Bm66) 1100m · jumps Sun 8 Nov, 3:40 pm AEDT

Race notes

BM66,BM66 HCP,Benchmark 66
SOFT5
Fine
8 runners

Shortest win price

Breukelen (5)

2.45

Most career wins

Soobooco and To Be Frank

5 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

8Northern Boogie

Offmidfield

9Desert Cougar

Midfield

2Enniroc

Offpace

1Denial
6The Lupercal

Onpace

3Soobooco
7To Be Frank

Leader

5Breukelen

Denial · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.
Enniroc · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Soobooco · Negative
Jockey Booking
Jasmine Urquhart-Warren current POT is 6% below Career Avg.
Breukelen · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 9%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1DenialJ: Ben Looker·T: Paul Snowden761kg6 5 6 5 515: 2-2-1$3.20$1.40

Career

15: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 1-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1004m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1020m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-2-1

Last starts

5Taree1300m16 Oct 2026 · BM86 HCP · SOFT63.5L
5Port Macquarie1004m27 Sept 2026 · BM74 · GOOD42.04L
6Kembla Grange1200m15 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD42.5L
5Illawarra Grange1200m30 July 2026 · BM68 HCP · GOOD43.5L
6Moruya1020m10 July 2026 · BM66 · SOFT53L
5Hawkesbury1100m7 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT51.8L
5Goulburn1300m12 Feb 2026 · BM66 · GOOD44.5L
9Randwick Kensington1250m21 Jan 2026 · 3&4Y BM64 · SOFT76.2L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Ben Looker 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 6kg now

Comments

AAP

Made some headway without troubling at Taree. Drops to shorter trip. Capable of making an impact with even luck.

ILB

Was $9.00 and improved when 5th last start at Taree and going down in grade. Ben Looker and Paul Snowden have a good working relationship. Betting is the best guide.

Finished fifth but wasn't beaten too far (3½l, Taree) last month upped to 6½f; not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Gundagai in January; others more likely.

RSIS

At 8/1 ran past a few when 5th last time at Taree and challenged by weaker competitors. Ben Looker and Paul Snowden are usually competitive when they team up. Could be in the mix.

2EnnirocJ: Grady Spokes·T: D J Hatch161kg1 4 7 5 122: 4-3-4$3.50$1.55

Career

22: 4-3-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 2-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-2-0
Track Grafton
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1030m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1115m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-2-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 3-1-2

Last starts

1Tamworth1000m25 Aug 2026 · CL3 BM66 · SOFT5-0.1
5Dubbo1120m10 Aug 2026 · HCP · HEAVY93.2L
7Quirindi1200m4 Aug 2026 · BM66 · GOOD32.2L
4Grafton1115m5 July 2026 · CL3 HCP · SOFT50.7L
1Grafton1030m6 June 2026 · CL3 · SOFT6-0.4
3Inverell1050m22 May 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.7L
11Gosford1000m9 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.9L
3Tamworth1000m24 Apr 2026 · BM58 HCP · GOOD40.9L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Let-up (75-days). On a tight rein and mowed them down late in Hcp (C3) at Tamworth. Solid efforts here. Tougher ask here but stays on the radar.

ILB

Resumes from a spell. Finished hard to win last run at Tamworth and has drawn to do little work. Form has been improving over recent runs. Good chance of taking this out.

Scored by a slim margin in a handicap at Tamworth in August; hard to ignore.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Picked up late to win last time at Tamworth and will appreciate a good stall. Form has been improving over recent runs. Commands respect.

3SooboocoJ: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren·T: T G Payne261kg2 6 1 8 548: 5-10-1$6.50$2.35

Career

48: 5-10-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
8: 1-3-1
Second-up
7: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
6: 0-0-0
Track Armidale
4: 1-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1125m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
5: 1-2-0
Going Good
24: 2-5-1
Going Heavy
5: 2-0-0
Going Soft
18: 1-5-0

Last starts

5Moree950m30 Oct 2026 · BM66 · SOFT55.18L
8Port Macquarie1000m9 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD44.55L
1Armidale1100m20 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD3-0.43
6Mendooran1200m5 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 663.7L
2Gunnedah1000m14 Aug 2026 · BM58 · SOFT60.4L
10Grafton1000m16 July 2026 · BM66 · GOOD36.5L
1Inverell1050m19 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD4-2.9
6Coffs Harbour1014m3 June 2026 · BM58 HCP · HEAVY107.8L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Jasmine Urquhart-Warren current POT is 6% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Sent out $13 when unable to threaten at Moree. Well into preparation now, has some claims.

ILB

Was $13.00 and ran on into 5th last start at Moree and gets a favourable gate. The large claim from Jasmine Urquhart Warren helps. Respect the betting.

A winner over C&D; beaten just over 5l in fifth over 4½f at Moree (handicap) last Friday; others are preferred.

RSIS

Started at 12/1 and made some ground when 5th last run at Moree and drawn nicely. Jasmine Urquhart Warren provides some weight relief. Not at all out of this race.

4PolymerScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced on a soft deck at Port Macquarie off spell. Strips in better shape. Can show more here.

ILB

At $1.85 pushed past some when 5th last time at Port Macquarie.

RSIS

Started at 5/6 and picked up some ground to run 5th last run at Port Macquarie.

5BreukelenJ: Mikayla Weir·T: Melanie O'Gorman858.5kg1 3 1 1 24: 2-0-1$2.45$1.32

Career

4: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Coonabarabran
1: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-1
Track Armidale
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 2-0-1

Last starts

2Tamworth1000m12 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.4L
1Armidale1300m29 Mar 2026 · BM58 · GOOD4-0.4
1Moree1200m17 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD4-1.2
3Tamworth1000m2 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD43.7L
1Scone900m30 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial-0.1

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (32-weeks). Will have matured further and shown encouraging trial form. Showed promise throughout first preparation and finished with a confidence-boosting win at this track.

ILB

Resuming after a 32 week break. Finished well when winning last run at this track and promising career start. Expecting to settle positively. Major chance.

On a hat-trick after last win and has made a pleasing start to his career with two wins from three starts; landed a narrow success in a handicap in March; returns from a break here; in with a big shout.

RSIS

Resuming after a 32 week break. Reeled them in to win last start at the track and showing consistent performance in races. Should muster plenty of early pace. Winning chance.

6The LupercalJ: Zac Wadick·T: D B Campbell357.5kg1 3 2 4 440: 4-7-8$3.90$1.70

Career

40: 4-7-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Armidale
4: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-1-1
Track Grafton
7: 0-1-2
Distance 1030m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
21: 4-5-3
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-1
Going Soft
12: 0-1-4

Last starts

4Port Macquarie1100m25 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT62.5L
4Grafton1175m13 Oct 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY83.83L
2Grafton1106m29 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT60.67L
3Grafton1190m21 Sept 2026 · BM66 · GOOD43.2L
1Coffs Harbour1010m3 Sept 2026 · CL3 · GOOD4-1
6Ballina1250m11 Aug 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY105.9L
3Port Macquarie1206m31 July 2026 · BM58 CL2+ · SOFT63L
9Grafton1100m19 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT54.2L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Latest attempt this journey when reasonable effort without seriously threatening in soft going at Port Macquarie. Fit from racing, can make his presence felt.

ILB

Started $14.00 and picked up some ground to run 4th last time at Port Macquarie. Not hopeless.

Respectable effort in defeat (beaten 2½l, Port Macquarie) last month; knocking at the door recently; he can be competitive at this level.

RSIS

Odds of 13/1 and pushed past some when 4th last time at Port Macquarie.

7To Be FrankJ: Jenny Duggan·T: Ms S Grills657kg4 1 8 7 537: 5-1-2$8.50$2.75

Career

37: 5-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Wellington
1: 0-0-0
Track Coonamble
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
14: 3-0-1
Distance 1440m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
19: 2-1-1

Last starts

5Coonabarabran1400m25 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD45.2L
7Coonamble1400m11 Oct 2026 · BM66 HCP · GOOD32.66L
8Scone1400m25 Sept 2026 · BM74 · GOOD49.93L
1Tamworth1400m14 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD4-0.2
4Scone1600m1 Sept 2026 · BM66 · SOFT52.5L
4Moree1600m6 Aug 2026 · BM58 · GOOD32.1L
3Quirindi1600m13 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT72.5L
8Tamworth1400m15 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT53.7L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 53% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jenny Duggan 65% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 55%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jenny Duggan in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 65%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On pace but found little at the business end at Coonabarabran over longer test. Coming back in distance. A few runs under his belt this campaign, has some claims.

ILB

Jumped at $6.00 and finished 5th last start at Coonabarabran and will be dropping in distance. Possible place chance.

Finished fifth, beaten just over 5l, over 7f at Coonabarabran (handicap) last month; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Started 5/1 and came in 5th last run at Coonabarabran and dropping in distance.

8Northern BoogieJ: Adam Farragher·T: Philip Duffy455kg8 7 5 9 445: 3-4-8$19.00$3.80

Career

45: 3-4-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Armidale
7: 1-0-2
Track CurrentTrack
7: 1-0-2
Track Ballina
2: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1205m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1208m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 1-1-4
Going Heavy
6: 1-2-0
Going Soft
21: 1-0-4

Last starts

4Tamworth1000m3 Nov 2026 · BM50 · SOFT62.08L
9Tamworth1200m12 Oct 2026 · CTRY CL3 · SOFT53.65L
5Tamworth1000m28 Sept 2026 · CL3 · GOOD41.85L
7Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · CL3 · GOOD46.5L
8Scone1000m17 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT54.6L
3Quirindi1000m4 Aug 2026 · CL3 · GOOD30.4L
3Coonabarabran900m25 July 2026 · CL3 · SOFT51.5L
11Tamworth1200m3 July 2026 · BM58 CL2+ · SOFT76.5L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Philip Duffy striking at just 3%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 51%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 54% Profit on Turnover
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 2%
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Not disgraced on a soft deck at Tamworth. Not fancied.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Started at $3.10 and ran 4th last start at Tamworth and taking on stronger opponents. Expected to settle towards the rear. Gets some weight relief. Won't find this easy.

Suited by this C&D; not a frequent winner; finished fourth but only beaten 2l over 5f at Tamworth (handicap) on Tuesday.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Started at 11/5 and ran 4th last start at Tamworth and facing a stronger class. Might have to make up considerable ground. Dropping weight.

9Desert CougarJ: Braith Nock·T: T G Payne555kg12 6 9 4 626: 4-2-1$21.00$3.90

Career

26: 4-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Armidale
4: 2-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 2-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
9: 2-0-0
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
8: 1-0-0

Last starts

6Moree950m30 Oct 2026 · BM66 · SOFT58.02L
4Bundarra1000m3 Oct 2026 · BM505.27L
9Armidale1100m20 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD36.43L
6Moree950m6 Aug 2026 · BM58 · GOOD34L
12Grafton1100m19 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT56L
10Tamworth1000m15 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT54.1L
7Inverell1200m26 Dec 2025 · BM589.2L
6Gunnedah1000m6 Dec 2025 · BM58 · GOOD42.4L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 89%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 2%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Track And Dist
Positive
Excels at this track and trip
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Out Of Form
Negative
Needs to try and find some form

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Moree at wide odds. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Started $41.00 and mediocre display when 6th last start at Moree. Might have to make up considerable ground. Struggling this preparation with no placings from 6 attempts. Hard to see this being good enough.

Close up behind Soobooco when sixth at Moree over 4½f (handicap) last week; a C&D winner; she meets the required standard ability wise; capable of making an impact.

RSIS

Started 40/1 and moderate showing when 6th last time at Moree. Struggling in recent runs with no placings from 6 attempts. Prefers to settle towards the tail.

Odds correct as at Sun 8 Nov, 1:00 am AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 20 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races