Shortest win price
Oracle Of Omaha (1)
2.35
Welcome to Cloncurry where the track is good and the weather is fine for The Central Hotel Mdn Plate over 1000m. Looking at how the win market has shaped up, punters have pointed Oracle Of Omaha to the top of the betting boards, closely followed by Euphoric Miss, It's A Power, and Whiskey Dry holding down the next lines of the market. Since this 2UP MDN-SW contest has already jumped off the barriers at 1:57 pm AEDT, we can look back at how the race was set up on track with our onpace runners like Oracle Of Omaha and Whiskey Dry pushing forward early alongside the leaders Euphoric Miss and It's A Power, while Hope To Heaven settled midfield and Snappen took up the rear as a backmarker.
Delving into the form behind those shorter prices gives us a fascinating yarn to unpack. Oracle Of Omaha leads the market for trainer Tanya Parry and jockey Chris Whiteley from barrier 5, coming in fresh following a 13-week break and a pleasing trial performance at Narrandera after previous outings down in New South Wales at Canberra. Stablemate Euphoric Miss jumps from barrier 4 with William Galloway in the saddle, stepping out for the new stable after showing a modest effort at Gulargambone five weeks ago. Another stablemate, It's A Power, drew barrier 6 for Brooke Stower and Tanya Parry, arriving here fitter after finding enough to place second in a small field at Winton over 1000m, which suggests this mare could take catching if she brings that same early toe.
Whiskey Dry rounds out the main quartet of the win market from barrier 7 with Mitch Goring steering for Tanya Parry, having previously secured a third in a staggered finish over 1200m at Prairie. Down the market a touch, Lachie Manzelmann saddles up a couple of runners including Hope To Heaven from barrier 2 with Paul Hamblin, carrying a hot jockey and trainer combination that tends to outperform market expectations, alongside Snappen from barrier 1 under Samantha Pointon who maps as the backmarker looking to run on late. While the race has already been run and won, sorting through these form lines gives us a great look at how the speed maps and stable runners matched up over the 1000m dash.
Shortest win price
Oracle Of Omaha (1)
2.35
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Oracle Of Omaha · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Whiskey Dry · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Euphoric Miss · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Hope To Heaven · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Narrandera
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1080m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 11%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Chris Whiteley in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 20%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (13-weeks). Ex Darrell Burnet in NSW. Form to date modest at best. Tuned up by a pleasing trial performance.
ILB
First up after a break. Jumped at $7.00 and didn't find the line when 7th last time at Canberra. Happy to forgive that run but rises in weight. Great chance.
RP
Not had much racing; was seventh of eight, beaten 8l, in July at Canberra Acton in a handicap; first start for yard.
RSIS
Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Started 6/1 and weakened under pressure when 7th last start at Canberra. Can make a comeback but rises in weight. Major player who should go very close.
Career
12: 0-2-4
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Pentland
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 0-2-2
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-2
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
10: 0-2-4
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 38%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fresh. Secured third in a staggered finish at Prairie. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Finished 3rd last time at Prairie. In fine form this campaign. Should go close.
RP
Has found improvement of late and normally pretty consistent; not beaten too far when third at Prairie over 6f (maiden) last month; strong claims.
RSIS
Came in 3rd last start at Prairie. Running with confidence since returning from a break. Definite contender.
Career
11: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 41 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 5.5kg now
AAP
5 weeks since last run. Ex Holly Williams in NSW. Modest performance at Gulargambone at skinny odds. Keeping safe at first run for new stable.
ILB
Started at $2.20 and below par when 4th last run at Gulargambone. Should bounce back. Won't be far away during the run. First appearance for a new trainer. Good chance today.
RP
Fair effort (beaten 2½l) over 5½f at Gulargambone (handicap) six weeks ago; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 11; representing new stable today.
RSIS
At 6/5 looked flat when 4th last run at Gulargambone. Should improve from the last run. Racing for a new trainer. Should muster plenty of early toe. Will go very close.
Career
11: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
2: 0-0-0
Track Orange
1: 0-1-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -55% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 15%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Kept fresh following return. Ex D P Bracks in NSW. Failed to threaten at Hawkesbury for new stable as an outsider. Big watch under new trainer.
ILB
Was well beaten when 10th last run at Hawkesbury and up in weight. Change in trainer.
RP
Finished last of ten at Hawkesbury last month; yet to open her account after 11 starts; runs for a new trainer here; passed over.
RSIS
Didn't find the line when 10th last time at Hawkesbury and carrying more weight than last time. Change in trainer.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mackay
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 106%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
A long way off them at Mackay on debut as a market drifter. Reverts to slightly shorter trip. Looking elsewhere at this stage.
ILB
At $12.00 below par performance when 7th last start at Mackay but having second race start. Has a positive alley. Looking at others.
RP
Comfortably beaten into last on her debut (Mackay, 5½f) at 11-1 last month; prospects.
RSIS
Was 11/1 and sub-standard effort when 7th last time at Mackay but having second race start. Has a positive draw.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
AAP
Fair way from the winner but battled home into third at Twin Hills. Fit from racing, more a minor money chance here.
ILB
In the money when 3rd last start at Twin Hills.
RSIS
Ran well when 3rd last run at Twin Hills.
Career
8: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Jandowae
1: 0-0-1
Track Longreach
1: 0-0-0
Track Winton
1: 0-1-0
Distance 860m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-1-1
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 0-1-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 38%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Found enough to place in small field at Winton Aus first run back. Strips fitter. This looks a nice race for the mare.
ILB
Amongst the placegetters when 2nd last time at Winton. Likely to be well placed early. Should give this a shake.
RP
Has raised her game the last twice and consistent performer; not beaten far at Winton Aus last month; if she is able to build on her most recent effort then ought to be on the premises.
RSIS
Finished 2nd last time at Winton. Should jump out and bowl along. Suited against these.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Rockhampton
1: 0-0-0
Track Twin Hills
1: 0-0-0
Track Mackay
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 80%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Unable to make an impression at Twin Hills off long break. Need to see more from him now.
ILB
Started $9.50 and appeared lacklustre when 5th last start at Twin Hills but has the ideal alley. Might have to make up considerable ground. Can show up in this at odds.
RP
Lightly raced (this just his fourth race); tailed off at Twin Hills over 4f (maiden) when the blinkers went on last month; passed over.
RSIS
Started 17/2 and not in contention when 5th last time at Twin Hills but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Likely to get back.