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Scone (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Scone (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 9 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsScone (NSW)Change

Race 1 — Kia Ora Plate (C1) 2200m · jumps

Race notes

  • CL1-SW,Class 1
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Tasman Deel (3)

1.16

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 4Pepperina

Midfield

  • 2My Greek God
  • 5Quirky Princess
  • 7Mission Strike

Offpace

  • 3Tasman Deel
  • 6Aphelion

Onpace

  • 8Woollen

Leader

  • 1Firealarm
  • Firealarm · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Anna Weatherlake current POT is 12% below Career Avg.

  • My Greek God · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Tasman Deel · Positive

    Top Stable

    P & L Messara & Gavranich performing 11% above market expectation

  • Pepperina · Negative

    Tricky Map

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 2%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1FirealarmJ: Anna Weatherlake·T: Damien Smith459kg7 12 4 5 541: 1-6-5$91.00$6.00

Career

41: 1-6-5

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Quirindi

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Taree

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gosford

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1460m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2000m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    20: 0-4-2

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 5Tamworth1600m3 Nov 2026 · BM50 · SOFT68.09L
  2. 5Wauchope1800m17 Oct 2026 · BM45 · HEAVY911.31L
  3. 4Bowraville2200m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.8L
  4. 12Taree2000m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD412.7L
  5. 7Quirindi1600m4 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD37.2L
  6. 6Muswellbrook1500m26 July 2026 · BM66 · GOOD49.1L
  7. 7Tuncurry2105m18 Apr 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT610.8L
  8. 7Gosford2100m9 Apr 2026 · 3UP CL1-SW · GOOD411.6L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Anna Weatherlake current POT is 12% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 2%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 70%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 75% Profit on Turnover

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 28% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

Comments

AAP

Found it tough since shaking his maiden. Unable to make an impression on a soft deck at Tamworth. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Odds of $7.50 and was ordinary when 5th last time at Tamworth but back to a longer distance. Should race on the speed. Seems very unlikely.

RP

Finished fifth, beaten a fair way in a handicap (Tamworth) last week; others appeal more.

RSIS

On a short back up. Started 13/2 and fairly underwhelming when 5th last run at Tamworth but stepping back up in distance. Likely to be well placed early.

2My Greek GodJ: N.r·T: G D Lunn359kg4 5 3 5 522: 1-4-4$9.00$2.20

Career

22: 1-4-4

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Wyong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gosford

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Randwick Kensington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1850m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2145m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 0-1-3

  • Going Good

    9: 1-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 5Illawarra Grange2000m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.6L
  2. 5Newcastle2300m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.08L
  3. 3Mudgee2000m30 Aug 2026 · BM66 · SOFT75.7L
  4. 5Randwick Kensington2400m29 July 2026 · 3UP BM72 71 HCP · SOFT55.6L
  5. 4Kembla Grange2400m25 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.1L
  6. 7Newcastle2200m14 July 2026 · BM64 · SOFT53.9L
  7. 2Goulburn2145m22 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT60.1L
  8. 5Wyong2025m7 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.1L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 41%

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 4%

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 39 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Winless Prep

    Negative

    Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Ex Matthew Smith in NSW. Trailed, even finish at Illawarra Grange. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Started $6.50 and finished 5th last start at Illawarra Grange. Capable of a strong comeback but has to cope with a weight increase. Won't be far away during the run. Value play.

RP

Out of the frame (beaten 3½l in fifth) in a handicap dropped back in distance at Illawarra Grange five weeks ago; starts out for new trainer; should prove competitive as shown some signs of promise and had excuses last time (hampered).

RSIS

Was 11/2 and ran 5th last start at Illawarra Grange. Can make a comeback but goes up in weight. First race for a new trainer. Has plenty of early pace. Solid prospects.

3Tasman DeelJ: Aaron Bullock·T: P Messara & L Gavranich859kg3 4 2 3 15: 1-1-2$1.16$1.02

Career

5: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Tamworth

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Taree

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Scone

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 2200m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-1-2

Last starts

  1. 1Scone2200m23 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT5-4.92
  2. 3Tamworth1600m12 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT52.69L
  3. 2Taree1615m22 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT60.17L
  4. 4Tamworth1400m14 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD41.9L
  5. 3Scone1300m1 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT52.5L
  6. 6Muswellbrook1000m19 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)11.8L
  7. 3Tamworth1000m5 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.2L
  8. 3Scone800m11 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.2L

Insights

  • Top Stable

    Positive

    P & L Messara & Gavranich performing 11% above market expectation

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Racing Solidly

    Positive

    In peak form

Comments

AAP

Streeted them this venue over today's trip. He can go on and win again.

ILB

Blitzed its rivals when winning by nearly 5L last run at the track and good career start. Should be going forward early. Jockey Aaron Bullock is highly regarded. Commands serious respect.

RP

Gained a first success at the fifth time of asking when winning with a bit to spare two weeks ago upped to this distance; appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; the yard continues to be among winners recently; in the mix.

RSIS

Won easily by close to 5L last time at this venue and showing consistent performance in races. Will be positive in the run early. Rated to win.

4PepperinaJ: Mitchell Bell·T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough557kg13 4 6 3 88: 1-0-2$7.50$1.95

Career

8: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Scone

    5: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    5: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-0-2

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Muswellbrook1750m1 Nov 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT65L
  2. 3Muswellbrook1450m19 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD43.45L
  3. 6Scone1300m25 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD44.05L
  4. 4Scone1100m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)8.4L
  5. 13Scone1300m9 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT610.9L
  6. 12Scone1600m15 May 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD47.1L
  7. 1Muswellbrook1280m1 May 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.7
  8. 3Scone1600m11 Dec 2025 · MDN · GOOD45L

Insights

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 2%

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $13 when unable to threaten at Muswellbrook. Usually gets back. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Was $13.00 and struggled with the pace when 8th last time at Muswellbrook. Prefer in something a lot easier.

RP

Not disgraced in eighth at Muswellbrook a week ago upped to 1m½f; holds major claims with a bit more luck as excuses last time (crowded) and shown she can get her head in front.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Odds of 12/1 and weakened under pressure when 8th last start at Muswellbrook.

5Quirky PrincessJ: Mikayla Weir·T: S I Singleton157kg3 4 6 1 49: 1-1-2$7.00$1.90

Career

9: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gunnedah

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tuncurry

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Tamworth

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1900m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-2

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Scone2200m23 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT56.67L
  2. 1Tamworth2100m1 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD4-2.99
  3. 6Tamworth2100m14 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD46.9L
  4. 4Scone2200m1 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT56.2L
  5. 3Newcastle1900m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L
  6. 9Gunnedah1400m14 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT68.2L
  7. 4Tamworth1000m5 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.3L
  8. 2Tuncurry2105m18 Apr 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT61.6L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 4%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Cleared maiden ranks at Tamworth 1 Oct. Started $3.60 when battled home in Class 1 company this track. Not out of this.

ILB

Jumped at $3.60 and came in 4th last start at this venue but has drawn the rails. Can surprise at a nice price.

RP

Grade looks suitable and best form so far in last two starts; needs considering with a bit more luck as excuses last time (crowded) and was a winner two starts ago.

RSIS

At 13/5 finished 4th last time at this venue but will appreciate a good draw.

6AphelionJ: Jacob Stiff·T: Brett Thompson756.5kg6 3 4 4 913: 0-2-1$41.00$4.00

Career

13: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Tamworth

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Carinda

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Dubbo1600m31 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD37.29L
  2. 4Dubbo1600m2 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY83.72L
  3. 4Narromine1600m21 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD32.75L
  4. 3Narromine1600m23 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY80.9L
  5. 6Gilgandra1200m1 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.7L
  6. 2Carinda1000m18 July 2026 · MDN0.4L
  7. 7Orange2100m9 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1017.7L
  8. 8Parkes1600m24 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD45.9L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 61%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 2%

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Dubbo. Super fit from racing, looks a safer place proposition.

ILB

At $15.00 came in 9th last time at Dubbo but facing a rise in trip. Might have to make up considerable ground. Entitled to be a big price.

RP

Finished just behind Woollen when ninth over 1m at Dubbo (conditions race) last month; yet to get his head in front after 13 starts; yard has been going through a quiet spell; passed over.

RSIS

Was 14/1 and finished 9th last start at Dubbo but rising in trip. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

7Mission StrikeJ: Andrew Gibbons·T: Adam Duggan256.5kg9 5 10 5 212: 0-2-1$3.20$1.22

Career

12: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Happy Valley

    6: 0-1-1

  • Track Sha Tin

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 0-2-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Gosford2030m5 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.67L
  2. 5Muswellbrook1500m19 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD49.27L
  3. 10Happy Valley2200m3 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD4.5L
  4. 5Happy Valley1800m2 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD3.3L
  5. 9Sha Tin1800m19 Oct 2025 · 3UP CL4 RTG 60-40 HCP · GOOD5.3L
  6. 9Sha Tin1600m21 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT4.5L
  7. 2Conghua1600m12 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial · GOOD0.1L
  8. 8Conghua1200m29 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial · GOOD5L

Insights

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 28%

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Second run now in Australia. Ridden back and never a factor at Muswellbrook for new trainer. Better conditioned.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Finished well when 2nd last run at Gosford and drawn nicely. Has a credible chance.

RP

Finished a decent runner-up of eight at Gosford over 1m2f (conditions race) on Thursday; winless in ten starts overseas.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Picked up late ground when 2nd last time at Gosford and has a good draw. Must be considered here.

8WoollenJ: N.r·T: G D Lunn655kg8 7 5 3 88: 0-0-1$21.00$3.40

Career

8: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Dubbo1600m31 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD36.18L
  2. 3Orange1600m19 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.86L
  3. 5Coonamble1300m11 Oct 2026 · Maiden · GOOD36.95L
  4. 7Dubbo1400m27 Sept 2026 · Maiden · GOOD42.99L
  5. 8Kilmore2000m18 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.6L
  6. 4Pakenham2000m26 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY95.3L
  7. 4Kyneton1862m13 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD40.67L
  8. 6Kyneton1479m27 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · SOFT66.8L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Garry Lunn striking at just 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 41%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 2%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure in the Plate (C1) at Dubbo. Unexposed at trip. Not out of it.

ILB

Started $5.00 and finished 8th last start at Dubbo but going over more ground. Overlook from a betting angle.

RP

Has found improvement of late; beaten a fair way when eighth over 1m at Dubbo (conditions race) last month; now upped in trip and one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Was 4/1 and finished 8th last time at Dubbo but facing a rise in trip.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Tue 1 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races