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Scone (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Scone (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 9 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsScone (NSW)Change

Race 5 — Scone Equine Hospital Mdn Hcp 1100m · jumps

Race notes

  • MDN,MDN HCP,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 13 runners

Shortest win price

Tickelova (2) and Umbusi (7)

3.20

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

  • 1Vintage Bell
  • 4Brave Archie
  • 5Flying Evidence
  • 6Vaguely Red
  • 8Midnight Revolt
  • 9Valkyra

Backmarker

  • 3Take It On

Offpace

  • 12Shasort

Onpace

  • 7Umbusi
  • 13Something Sweet

Leader

  • 10Fake Fiction
  • 2Tickelova
  • 11Halcyon Belle
  • Vintage Bell · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • Tickelova · Negative

    Trainer A2E

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%

  • Take It On · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 10%

  • Brave Archie · Negative

    1st Up

    May need this run

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Vintage BellJ: Nick Palmer·T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough559kg3$14.00$3.80

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 3Scone1000m10 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)6.6L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 44%

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Watch Betting

    Negative

    If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:1-0-1). Ready to greet the starter after some decent trial work. Look to market for a further guide.

ILB

Brett Cavanough & Georgie Cavanough trained 4yo by Ringerdingding on debut. Success in a trial here on Oct 7th. Watch betting.

RP

Course debutants for this stable have to be taken seriously; sibling of Muscadelle (6f winner); already gelded; this doesn't look easy against experienced rivals so he could be one for another day.

RSIS

4yo by Ringerdingding having first race appearance for trainer Brett Cavanough & Georgie Cavanough. Won a trial at this venue on Oct 7th.

2TickelovaJ: Aaron Bullock·T: K A Lees858.5kg4 14 1 5 22: 0-1-0$3.20$1.55

Career

2: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Newcastle900m6 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN HCP · GOOD40.51L
  2. 5Gosford1000m31 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.9L
  3. 1Muswellbrook800m19 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
  4. 14Scone1100m15 May 2026 · 2&3Y MDN · GOOD411.9L
  5. 4Wyong1000m24 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.6L
  6. 3Gosford800m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.2L
  7. 6Gosford1000m25 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial1.6L
  8. 4Wyong845m10 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial2.5L

Insights

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Stuck to her guns to fill the minors at Newcastle at second start. Positive last start and may take another step. A leading chance.

ILB

Nice run when 2nd last time at Newcastle. Aaron Bullock is a suitable booking. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Ran a good race in defeat when a close second at Newcastle over 4½f (handicap) five weeks ago.

RSIS

Was competitive when 2nd last start at Newcastle. Aaron Bullock is a smart booking. Watch betting.

3Take It OnJ: Daniel A Northey·T: Simon Casey958kg4 5 4 101: 0-0-0$91.00$14.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Muswellbrook1280m19 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD413.39L
  2. 4Tamworth1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3L
  3. 5Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)11.7L
  4. 4Muswellbrook800m6 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.1L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 10%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

A long way off them at Muswellbrook on debut at wide odds. Switching to 1100m. Big lift needed from there.

ILB

At $81.00 faded away to finish 10th last run at Muswellbrook but fitter for debut run. Does take a while to get into stride. Entitled to be big odds.

RP

Held when tenth (beaten 14l) on his debut at Muswellbrook at 80-1 last month; will need to progress to get off the mark.

RSIS

Odds of 80/1 and didn't attack the line when 10th last run at Muswellbrook but was a debutant last start. Might have to make up considerable ground.

4Brave ArchieJ: Christian Reith·T: R E Ollerton1057.5kg2 1$10.00$3.30

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 1Scone800m10 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-1.3
  2. 2Newcastle800m3 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.7L

Insights

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:1-1-0). Looked smart winning most recent trial this track. Awkward draw a concern.

ILB

3yo debutant by Shalaa for trainer Rodney Ollerton. Won a barrier trial at the track on June 10th. Watch the market moves.

RP

This son of Shalaa is having his first start under rules; holds leading claims as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

3yo debutant by Shalaa for Rodney Ollerton. Success in a trial here on June 10th.

5Flying EvidenceJ: William A Stanley·T: K A Lees757.5kg4 1$21.00$4.60

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 1Muswellbrook1000m21 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.3
  2. 4Newcastle800m3 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.4L

Insights

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%

  • Market Watch

    Negative

    Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (4:1-0-0). Dam won two races. In astute yard and signalled was ready to go now with latest improved Muswellbrook trial win. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

Debutant 3yo by Flying Artie for Kris Lees. Winner in a trial at Muswellbrook on Oct 21st. Watch early betting.

RP

Already gelded; Kris Lees debutants have a strong record at Scone; likely to be in contention with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Kris Lees trained 3yo runner on debut by Flying Artie. Success in a trial at Muswellbrook on Oct 21st.

6Vaguely RedJ: Ashley Morgan·T: P Messara & L Gavranich657.5kg6 5 2$6.00$2.25

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 2Muswellbrook1000m21 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L
  2. 5Newcastle800m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.6L
  3. 6Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6.1L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.

  • Top Trainer

    Positive

    Stable in form at present with a S/R of 28%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Ashley Morgan 21% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • First Starter

    Positive

    Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Trials (4:0-1-0). Out of a sister to the stakes winner Amber Sky. Makes debut after a handy Muswellbrook trial. Locally trained. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

Racing as a debutant 3yo by Maurice for trainer Leah Gavranich & Paul Messara. Jockey Ashley Morgan is an asset. Watch the betting.

RP

Represents a yard with a strong record here with newcomers; related to Villa Castina (winner from 1m up to 1m2f); could have a say as some good aspects to his profile and trainer is in good order.

RSIS

Leah Gavranich & Paul Messara trained 3yo by Maurice on debut. Jockey Ashley Morgan is highly regarded. Placed 2nd in a trial at Muswellbrook on Oct 21st. Market as guide.

7UmbusiJ: Mikayla Weir·T: S I Singleton157kg2 4 41: 0-0-0$3.20$1.55

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Scone1000m23 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT52.14L
  2. 4Muswellbrook900m15 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)13.2L
  3. 2Scone800m1 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)1.1L

Insights

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 27%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 4%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

Comments

AAP

Gave a sight on debut this course 23 Oct. Better for it. Extra trip may assist. Commands attention here.

ILB

Was $9.00 and edged past some when finishing 4th last start at this track and having second career run. Can save some energy from the draw. Competitive type.

RP

Had a number of these behind him when beaten just over just over 2l to come home fourth on his debut running here over 5f at 8-1 two weeks ago; possible improver with outing under his belt although has plenty to find.

RSIS

Started at 8/1 and edged past some when finishing 4th last run at this track and was on debut last time. Drawn well. Good chance at a nice price.

8Midnight RevoltJ: L P Beuzelin·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott1155.5kg7$8.50$2.90

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 7Randwick740m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)3L

Insights

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    L P Beuzelin 23% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    L P Beuzelin winning at 5% POT in last 100 rides

  • Watch Betting

    Negative

    If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-0). $30k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare. Trial form uninspiring but obviously better for the experience. Check betting.

ILB

3yo by Russian Revolution first starter for trainer Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott. Interesting to see the tongue tie go on for the first time. Unplaced in multiple barrier trials. Follow the money.

RP

Related to 7f winner October Manifesto; stable has fine record with newcomers at this distance; capable of making an impact with signs of encouragement in profile and the hot form of the trainer is a bonus.

RSIS

3yo first starter by Russian Revolution for Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott. Tongue strap go on for the first time.

9ValkyraJ: Olivia Chambers·T: Nikki Hodgson1255.5kg6$81.00$13.00

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 6Newcastle800m12 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.1L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Olivia Chambers current POT is 39% below Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 48% in L100 rides

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-1). Latest trial was fair but this looks tough. Would need to see some market confidence.

10Fake FictionJ: Winona Costin·T: Wes Boyd255kg3 6 2 4 58: 0-1-1$26.00$5.00

Career

8: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Dunkeld

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warracknabeal

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Mount Gambier1200m20 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT56.05L
  2. 4Casterton1400m30 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.4L
  3. 2Warracknabeal1200m15 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT64.5L
  4. 6Ballarat Synthetic1200m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.3L
  5. 3Ballarat Synthetic1000m3 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC3.3L
  6. 7Stawell1100m13 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.8L
  7. 4Dunkeld1000m15 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT65.8L
  8. 11Terang1000m13 Apr 2025 · Maiden · GOOD426.16L

Insights

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Winona Costin 21% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ex Tom Dabernig. Trained here now. Set tempo, offered little resistance when challenged at Mt Gambier. Big watch under new trainer.

ILB

Back from a freshen up. Started at $2.00 and looked outclassed when 5th last run at Mount Gambier but has a good draw. Could feature here.

RP

Fifth, beaten 6l, after starting favourite over 6f at Mt Gambier (maiden) 50 days ago when first-time blinkers didn't help; has lacked consistency of late and still winless and defeats stacking up (eight on the bounce); first start for trainer; is passed over.

RSIS

Back from a let up. At Evens struggled with the pace when 5th last run at Mount Gambier but will try to take advantage of the draw. Could feature here.

11Halcyon BelleJ: Jean Van Overmeire·T: Nathan Doyle1355kg1 4 3 5 62: 0-0-0$4.00$1.75

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Scone1000m23 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT54.06L
  2. 5Wyong1000m10 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.6L
  3. 3Gosford1000m31 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.2L
  4. 4Scone1100m15 May 2026 · 2&3Y MDN · GOOD43.2L
  5. 1Newcastle1000m4 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-2.2
  6. 2Wyong845m24 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.1L

Insights

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%

Comments

AAP

Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely this venue at second start. Right in this.

ILB

Jumped at $4.40 and finished 6th last start at the track. Can show a better performance this time. Very capable of taking this out.

RP

Not beaten too far when sixth here in a maiden two weeks ago; passed over.

RSIS

Started 10/3 and finished 6th last time around here. Should improve. Great chance.

12ShasortJ: Alysha Collett·T: Annabel & Rob Archibald455kg6 2 51: 0-0-0$5.00$2.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Scone1000m23 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.46L
  2. 2Tamworth1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.8L
  3. 6Muswellbrook800m6 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)15.5L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced this course at double-figure odds at career opener 23 Oct. Experience a positive. Longer trip may help. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Started $31.00 and made some ground when 5th last time here and having second race start. Needs to improve.

RP

Finished fifth two weeks ago on her debut albeit only beaten 3½l (5f, here); progress needed on this second career run.

RSIS

Odds of 30/1 and made up ground when 5th last time around here and having second career run.

13Something SweetJ: Andrew Gibbons·T: Angela Davies355kg4 4 91: 0-0-0$51.00$8.50

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Scone1000m23 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT56.87L
  2. 4Newcastle800m12 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.7L
  3. 4Newcastle800m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6.6L

Insights

  • Form Trainer

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectation by 6%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Had no answers when the pressure went on this course debut at wide odds 23 Oct. May improve with racing but others better for now.

ILB

Was $81.00 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last run around here but having second career run. Angela Davies stable are on a hot streak. Making up the numbers.

RP

Couldn't land a blow on her debut running here over 5f when she was behind several of these rivals at 80-1 two weeks ago; needs to make above-average progress.

RSIS

Started at 80/1 and tailed off to finish 9th last start here but fitter for debut run. Have to respect the recent Angela Davies form.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Tue 1 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races