Shortest win price
Snitzel Tycoon (12)
2.75
Welcome to Tatura for the Liam Howley Racing Mdn Plate over 1100m on a fine Good 4 track. Looking at the early win market order, punters have zeroed in on Snitzel Tycoon heading the betting lines, followed closely by I Am Algadon, Fully Funded, and Forward Ho sitting next in the queue. This maiden affair brought together a fascinating mix of seasoned triallers and local gallopers looking to break through for their maiden wins under a lovely afternoon sky.
The form behind those shorter prices tells an interesting story for the punters dissecting the yarn. Snitzel Tycoon comes in with strong credentials, boasting consecutive placings including a solid runner-up effort at Wodonga over 1200m where she pushed forward and fought on gamely from a nice gate. Meanwhile, Forward Ho represents the J F Moloney stable and improved last start when working into the minors at Kilmore over this exact trip, showing she can handle the 1100m dart nicely despite a wide alley. Fully Funded for M W Walker also holds claims, having freshened up since racing behind the leaders at Echuca, though an awkward draw out wide makes the task slightly trickier.
Further down the race card, debutant I Am Algadon catches the eye for M M Laurie after costing sixty grand at the sales and showing improvement in city jumpouts following an quiet trial, benefiting from a kind barrier in stall two. With speed maps suggesting leaders like Forward Ho and Snitzel Tycoon will look to dictate terms early, it sets up an intriguing tactical battle for the punters trying to find the winner of this Tatura maiden.
Shortest win price
Snitzel Tycoon (12)
2.75
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Leader
Betty's Rubble · Negative
Gave ground LS
Faded towards the finish last time out
Forward Ho · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Fully Funded · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Katiya · Negative
Trainer SR
Brent Stanley striking at just 8%
Career
5: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
4: 0-2-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-2-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Not disgraced at Mornington for new stable. Awkwardly drawn. Drops back a notch in trip. Each way appeal.
ILB
Odds of $9.50 and struggled when 9th last start at Mornington.
RP
Without a win in five attempts although has finished second; respectable ninth over 6f at Mornington (maiden) two weeks ago on debut for this trainer.
RSIS
Odds of 17/2 and below par when 9th last run at Mornington.
Career
4: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-2-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-2-0
Going Good
3: 0-2-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Hot Jockey
Positive
Valentin Le Boeuf in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 51%
AAP
Very honest. Got back, ran on late with purpose at Kilmore after lengthy absence. Building fitness. Capable of playing a key role in this.
ILB
Ran on when 2nd beaten by 2 1/4L last time at Kilmore.
RP
Gave good account to finish second finished just ahead of Forward Ho (Kilmore) two weeks ago.
RSIS
Good effort to run 2nd beaten by 2 1/4L last run at Kilmore.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (21-weeks). A long way off them at Wangaratta on debut at longer odds. Would need to improve from there.
ILB
First up after a break. At $81.00 struggled with the pace when 13th last time at Wangaratta but having second career run. Does take a while to get into stride. Rough chance today.
RP
Couldn't land a blow on her debut at Wangaratta at 80-1 in May; returns from a break today; excuses last time (checked) and could have a say.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Started 80/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 13th last time at Wangaratta but was on debut last time. Drawn the rails.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Signalled some ability on debut at Corowa 14 Sep. Better for race exposure. Looks suited going to 1100m. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Started at $5.50 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last start at Corowa and having second race start.
RP
Went close on her debut at Corowa at 9-2 15 days ago; entitled to have come on for that run.
RSIS
Was 9/2 and improved late to finish 4th last run at Corowa and was on debut last time.
Career
8: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
2: 0-1-1
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Off pace, worked her way into the minors without threatening winner at Kilmore 13 Sep. Sound claims.
ILB
Displayed good finishing speed when 3rd last start at Kilmore. Shows good early pace. Strong claims in this.
RP
Didn't run badly when 16-1 third (close behind Bee Admired) at Kilmore 16 days ago; has found improvement of late but yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at eight.
RSIS
Picked up late ground when 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L last time at Kilmore. Shows good early pace. Strong prospects in this race.
Career
4: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1218m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-2
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Freshened after return. Came from well back in the Maiden at Echuca off extended spell. Has an adverse draw. More a minor money chance here.
ILB
Finished amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by 3 1/2L last start at Echuca and solid career start. Strong claims and hard to beat.
RP
Winless in four starts but has shown promise with second her top showing; fair form when 3½l third over 5f at Echuca (maiden) last month.
RSIS
Was strong late when 3rd last start at Echuca and showing consistent performance in races. Will Gordon and Mark Walker are usually a competitive duo. Hard to beat.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1406m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Brent Stanley striking at just 8%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 62%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (53-days). Well back and never sighted at Seymour off long spell as a despised outsider. 4th in latest jumpout. More needed.
ILB
Freshened up. Odds of $151.00 and well beaten when 13th last run at Seymour. Interesting gear change of ear muffs on first time. Gets back and needs luck. Lines up against a competitive field.
RP
Yet to manage better than fourth in her five races; towards the rear of 14 over 6f at Seymour (maiden) last month; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Back from a let up. Started 150/1 and just average when 13th last time at Seymour. Interesting to see the hood go on for the first time.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
AAP
Failed to threaten at Geelong over this trip as a despised outsider. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Honest race when 2nd last time at Jerilderie. Producing consistent results this campaign.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. In the money when 2nd last run at Jerilderie. Looking sharp on the track recently.
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Firststart
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 42% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Nadia Daniels 43% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 69%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
On Debut
Positive
First race start
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). Cost $60k. Dam won five races. Never gave a yelp in her only trial but since performed well in city jumpouts. Benefit of decent alley. Follow betting leads.
ILB
First time at the races 3yo by I Am Immortal for Matt Laurie and drawn nicely. Nadia Daniels rates highly. Interesting gear change of tongue tie on first time. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
The only newcomer in the field; from the same family as Algadon Storm, a winner over 7½f; stable gets plenty of debutant winners; sire's progeny generally enjoy some ease in the ground; could be hard to beat as some good aspects to her profile.
RSIS
Debutant 3yo by I Am Immortal for trainer Matt Laurie and can find a nice position from the draw. Jockey Nadia Daniels rates highly aboard. Watch betting.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
AAP
Freshened. Solid run Mdn Plate at Ballarat Synthetic 6 Aug. Failed to threaten at Ballarat Synthetic second-up as an odds drifter. Sharper now, can make her presence felt.
ILB
Odds of $7.50 and gave away some ground when 8th last run Ballarat Synthetic.
RSIS
Started 13/2 and struggled with the pace when 8th last time Ballarat Synthetic.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 74%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Returns for second campaign (27-weeks). Well down the track at Pakenham on debut as a despised outsider. Decent lay-off. Must show more and hard to entertain without market support.
ILB
First up from a 27 week break. Was $101.00 and faded to finish 12th last start at Pakenham but fitter for debut run. Considerable improvement needed.
RP
Beaten 15l when last on her debut running over this distance at Pakenham at 100-1 six months ago; returns from a layoff; can give it a good shot.
RSIS
First run back from a break of 27 weeks. At 100/1 faded away to finish 12th last start at Pakenham but having second race start.
Career
4: 0-3-1
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Albury
1: 0-1-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-1-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-1
Distance 900m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-2-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-2-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -58% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Form reads well for this. Pushed forward and fought on solidly 3yo+ Mdn Plate. Nice gate. Highly fancied to go one better.
ILB
Was strong on the speed before fading to finish 2nd last time at Wodonga and good career start. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Major player who should go very close.
RP
String of near-misses of late; good effort when 1l second over 6f at Wodonga (maiden) 14 days ago.
RSIS
Worked hard to finish 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Wodonga and good career start. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Expect support.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (29-weeks). Reasonable debut performance when battled to line at Warrnambool. Better for the run. Latest trial was pleasing.
ILB
First up after a break of 29 weeks. Started $7.00 and folded up in the straight when 8th last start at Warrnambool but was on debut last time.
RP
Beaten 3½l to finish eighth on debut at Warrnambool at 6-1 in March; obvious scope for improvement; returns from a break here.
RSIS
Resuming after a break of 29 weeks. Started at 6/1 and looked outclassed when 8th last time at Warrnambool but having second career run.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1108m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 42% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Nadia Daniels 43% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (26-weeks). Wasn't really up to it in her earlier campaigns but will have matured further over the long break. Need to see more from her now.
ILB
Back from break of 26 weeks. Faded away to finish 9th last start at Kyneton.
RP
Finished ninth, beaten 6l, at Kyneton in March; layoff to overcome.
RSIS
Resuming after a break of 26 weeks. Faded to finish 9th last start at Kyneton.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1108m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Inexperienced and showing little. Failed to threaten in heavy ground at Moe for new stable. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Started $15.00 and didn't threaten when 7th last run at Moe on a heavy surface. Winkers go on for the first time. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Seventh beaten 10l at Moe on first run for her current trainer 21 days ago.
RSIS
Started 14/1 and weakened to finish 7th last time at Moe. Interesting gear change of cheekpieces on first time. Not at all out of this race.
Career
8: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Track Warracknabeal
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 0-0-0
Distance 1217m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Limited
Negative
Yet to break through after 8 starts
AAP
Fresh. Started $101 when safely held in Maiden company at Warracknabeal. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Was $101.00 and finished 7th last run at Warracknabeal. Yet to trouble the judge in all runs. Best to watch only.
RP
Finished seventh but wasn't beaten too far (4½l) over 6f at Warracknabeal (maiden) last month.
RSIS
At 100/1 ran 7th last run at Warracknabeal. Yet to fire a shot in 8 runs.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murtoa
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Toby Atkinson current POT is 16% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 97%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 57% in L100 rides
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Started $8.50 when safely held in Maiden company on a soft deck at Mildura last outing. Needs to show more.
ILB
Jumped at $8.50 and didn't find the line when 7th last run at Mildura.
RP
Not disgraced when seventh over 5f at Mildura (maiden) three weeks ago.
RSIS
Started at 15/2 and was well beaten when 7th last time at Mildura.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
4 weeks since last run. Sent out $101 when unable to threaten in rain affected ground at Seymour second-up. Hard to warm to.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Ran 5th last run at Kilmore.
RP
Not beaten too far when fifth at Kilmore yesterday; held an entry at Kilmore Monday.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Came in 5th last run at Kilmore.