Tatura (VIC) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:04 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Tatura (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 29 Sept, 10:00 am AEST

Meetings · Tue, 29 SeptTatura (VIC)Change

Race 4 — Kevin Hicks Real Estate Hcp (C1) 1450m · jumps Tue 29 Sept, 3:00 pm AEST

Race notes

3yo+,CL1,CL1 HCP,Class 1
GOOD4
Fine
9 runners

Shortest win price

Baganov (1)

3.10

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

2State Of Affairs
8Mayeki

Offmidfield

5Isalot

Midfield

3Strongside
9Carnival Riches

Offpace

7Tassadar

Onpace

6Mahmudah

Leader

1Baganov
4Monsun's Pride

Baganov · Positive
Lightly Raced
Limited race experience but shown potential
State Of Affairs · Positive
Margin LS
Won by a big margin last start
Strongside · Negative
Resuming
Poor strike rate when first up
Monsun's Pride · Positive
Drawn In
Suited drawn down low

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1BaganovJ: Jackson Radley·T: Nick Ryan560kg6 3 5 3 35: 1-0-2$3.10$1.32

Career

5: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Echuca
2: 1-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1443m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Bendigo1300m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.1L
3Bendigo800m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)5.3L
5Geelong1443m1 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD43.2L
3Echuca1300m16 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD31.7L
6Sale1200m29 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT62.7L
1Echuca1200m8 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.8
2Tatura850m24 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial6L

Insights

Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming

Comments

AAP

Made all and just picked off late at Bendigo first run back. Will be fitter second-up. Has early speed. Looks a serious player.

ILB

Overrun late when 3rd last run at Bendigo and solid career start. Jockey Jackson Radley and trainer Nick Ryan have shared plenty of success together. Should come to hand quickly. Expected to be competitive.

Finishing third was a good effort 23 days ago over 6½f (handicap) at Bendigo; he's an attractive contender.

RSIS

Put together a strong on-pace performance when 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Bendigo and good career start. Expecting to settle positively. Expect support.

2State Of AffairsJ: Will Gordon·T: Lisa Whelan459kg2 4 2 2 19: 1-3-0$10.00$2.65

Career

9: 1-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Ipswich
2: 0-1-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
2: 0-1-0
Distance 2070m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2208m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2228m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-1-0

Last starts

1Gold Coast2208m5 July 2025 · MDN SW · SOFT5-4
2Doomben2070m18 June 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.8L
2Gold Coast2228m7 June 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT50.1L
4Ipswich2200m31 May 2025 · MDN-SW · HEAVY85.7L
2Ipswich2210m5 May 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.7L
5Doomben2060m23 Apr 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT57.6L
4Hawkesbury1800m18 Mar 2025 · Maiden · GOOD45.08L
10Hawkesbury1400m12 Feb 2025 · Maiden · SOFT57.96L

Insights

Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Resuming (64-weeks). Ex C J Waller in QLD. Sound campaign last time in, capped by a Gold Coast win. Long break but ready to go after a recent jumpout win. Check betting.

ILB

Back after spell of 64 weeks. Bolted in when winning by a margin of 4L last time at Gold Coast but coming back in distance. Considering others.

Has shown some recent improvement; comfortably landed seven-runner maiden (Gold Coast) last July, getting off the mark at the ninth attempt; first start for stable; long absence to overcome; probably unlikely to trouble the principals despite the last time out success.

RSIS

Fresh after a 64 week break. Bolted in when winning by 4L last time at Gold Coast but will be dropping in distance. First appearance for a new trainer.

3StrongsideJ: Linda Meech·T: Tori Madigan959kg7 6 6 5 65: 1-0-0$12.00$3.00

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Hamilton1400m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT64.8L
5Newcastle1600m14 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD44.7L
6Goulburn1600m27 Jan 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42.9L
6Randwick1050m15 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial7.4L
7Randwick1050m30 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial3.4L
8Randwick Kensington850m18 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial5.7L
1Wyong1625m31 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.1
4Kembla Grange1400m7 Aug 2025 · Maiden · HEAVY102.6L

Insights

Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Hamilton for new stable. Better conditioned. Has some claims.

ILB

Was $14.00 and ran 6th last run at Hamilton but suited by the weight drop. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Solid prospects.

Not disgraced in sixth (Hamilton) on debut for this trainer two weeks ago; can have a big say as shown he can win fairly recently.

RSIS

Odds of 13/1 and ran 6th last run at Hamilton but carrying less weight this time. Should jump out and bowl along. Good prospects.

4Monsun's PrideJ: Mitchell Aitken·T: Chris Calthorpe157.5kg1 5 10 5 37: 1-0-2$8.00$2.35

Career

7: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
2: 1-0-1
Distance 2200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Ballarat Synthetic2100m2 July 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC3.3L
5Pakenham Synthetic2200m15 June 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD34L
10Bendigo2200m29 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD44.27L
5Ballarat1600m10 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT65.8L
1Werribee1625m24 Apr 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.3
3Werribee1400m11 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT51.3L
5Bendigo1300m27 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.77L

Insights

Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here

Comments

AAP

Import returning for second Australian campaign (12-weeks). Held form well last time in. Went close in Maiden company at Bendigo first-up last campaign. Seen in stronger company last campaign.

ILB

Resumes after a spell. Amongst the placegetters when 3rd last run Ballarat Synthetic and has drawn the rails. Won't be far away during the run. Back to a shorter distance. Do not dismiss entirely.

Was on the premises (finished third of ten) over 1m2½f at Ballarat (handicap) in July.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Looked good when 3rd last start Ballarat Synthetic and drawn by the rails. Shows good early pace. Down in trip.

5IsalotJ: Jack Martin·T: Heath Chalmers657kg11 8 3 5 411: 1-1-2$21.00$3.70

Career

11: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-1-0
Track Murtoa
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2069m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-2

Last starts

4Echuca1600m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT72.4L
5Murtoa1600m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY82.2L
3Mildura2000m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.3L
8Mildura1900m18 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD44.5L
11Ballarat Synthetic1500m26 June 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC11.1L
1Swan Hill1600m6 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT6-0.4
3Mildura1400m24 May 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.5L
6Moe2069m4 Sept 2025 · 3UP MDN SW · HEAVY1012.1L

Insights

Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Got the wobbles late after leading at Echuca. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Jumped at $8.00 and ran 4th last time at Echuca but gets some weight relief. Not very reliable.

Far from disgraced (beaten 2½l) at Echuca over 1m (handicap) four weeks ago; normally pretty consistent; this looks a decent race so makes little appeal.

RSIS

Started at 7/1 and finished 4th last run at Echuca but gets some weight relief.

6MahmudahJ: Lachlan King·T: Ms H Powell857kg2 7 1 2 712: 1-2-2$6.50$2.10

Career

12: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Seymour
5: 1-1-1
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 0-1-2
Going Soft
3: 1-1-0

Last starts

7Corowa1300m14 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD44.1L
2Seymour1425m21 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT61.8L
1Seymour1300m26 Apr 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT5-0.8
7Caulfield1400m11 Apr 2026 · CL3-SW · SOFT72.8L
2Ballarat1400m20 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD30.2L
3Kilmore1450m6 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.9L
3Seymour1300m20 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.5L
4Seymour1200m3 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD32.5L

Insights

Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Started $3.50 when safely held in Benchmark 58 company at Corowa first up. Building fitness. Key player if she gets the breaks.

ILB

Odds of $3.50 and tailed off when 7th last start at Corowa. May see an upturn in form. Gets a chance against these.

Useful in this grade; not disgraced in seventh at Corowa over 6½f (handicap) 15 days ago; shouldn't be too far away as shown she can win fairly recently.

RSIS

Started 5/2 and basic showing when 7th last run at Corowa. Can make a comeback. Expecting a strong showing.

7TassadarJ: Jett Stanley·T: Aaron Laing756.5kg12 8 5 4 1111: 1-0-0$18.00$3.70

Career

11: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Echuca
3: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Echuca1412m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.03L
4Echuca1200m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT72.6L
5Stony Creek1600m8 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT64L
8Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD46.1L
12Pakenham2000m12 Feb 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD415.4L
1Moe2050m25 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.2
6Seymour1600m15 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD37.8L
9Mornington1600m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.4L

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Sent out $9 when unable to threaten at Echuca when second-up. Has early speed. First time around Tatura. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Jumped at $9.00 and weakened under pressure when 11th last run at Echuca. Have to look elsewhere.

Last of 11 upped to this distance at Echuca ten days ago; ought to give it a shot if replicating the best of his form.

RSIS

Odds of 8/1 and struggled with the pace when 11th last run at Echuca.

8MayekiJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Simon Zahra255.5kg3 4 1 5 714: 1-2-1$16.00$3.60

Career

14: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Sale
2: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1717m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1968m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-2-1
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Werribee2200m11 Apr 2026 · BM56 · SOFT53.5L
5Echuca2124m21 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD41.7L
1Stony Creek2100m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT6-0.3
4Yarra Valley1968m21 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.7L
3Wangaratta1590m8 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD310.3L
8Geelong1525m20 Jan 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD38.2L
4Sale1717m28 May 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT53L
7Kilmore1457m5 May 2025 · 2yo+ · GOOD43.9L

Insights

Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

First-up (24-weeks). Two quite jumpouts. Blinkers come off. First time around Tatura. Expect will need this.

ILB

First run back from a break. Started at $12.00 and came in 7th last start at Werribee but has a good draw. Prefers to settle towards the rear. This one has a big task.

Not beaten that far over 1m3f at Werribee (handicap) six months ago; returns from a layoff here; others more appealing as this looks a decent race.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a break. At 11/1 came in 7th last run at Werribee but will try to take advantage of the draw. Back to a shorter trip.

9Carnival RichesJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: Rhys Archard355kg7 12 4 4 59: 1-0-0$3.70$1.40

Career

9: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Seymour1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5L
4Geelong1760m10 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY83.9L
4Ballarat Synthetic1500m26 June 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC5.5L
12Flemington1600m6 June 2026 · 3Y HCP · HEAVY816.7L
7Seymour1425m21 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT65.8L
6Kilmore1200m4 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94.3L
5Flemington1600m10 Jan 2026 · 3Y BM70 · GOOD36.8L
1Echuca1400m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.8

Insights

Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Let-up (81-days). Led, gave away under pressure at Geelong over longer test. Since trialled at Seymour 11 Sep. Hard to warm to here.

RSIS

Back from break. Started 19/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 4th last start at Geelong on a heavy rated track but down in distance.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Started at $20.00 and was outmatched when 4th last run at Geelong on a heavy surface but back in trip. Not dismissing.

Not beaten too far when fourth of nine over 1m1f at Geelong (handicap) in July; a few throw outs since her success in a maiden at Echuca in December; this is competitive and not easy to fancy.

Odds correct as at Tue 29 Sept, 3:00 pm AEST. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Mon 7 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races