Warren (NSW) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:03 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Warren (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 8 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsWarren (NSW)Change

Race 1 — Elders (Bm58) 1000m · jumps Sun 8 Nov, 1:45 pm AEDT

Race notes

BM58,BM58 HCP,Benchmark 58
GOOD4
Fine
8 runners

Shortest win price

Miss Capricorn (1)

2.75

Most career wins

Miss Capricorn and Divine Sinner

5 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

9Sir Freddie

Midfield

4Jet Empress
5Wellspring
3Divine Sinner
1Miss Capricorn

Onpace

8Tampa Bay

Leader

2Denman Force
7Ilikesooboogie

Miss Capricorn · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Denman Force · Negative
Trainer SR
Brett Thompson striking at just 3%
Divine Sinner · Negative
Trainer SR
Kieren Hazelton striking at just 7%
Jet Empress · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 7% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Miss CapricornJ: Gabrielle Johnston·T: Connie Greig263kg7 6 3 1 248: 5-8-5$2.75$1.34

Career

48: 5-8-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-1
Track Bathurst
3: 1-0-0
Track Coonamble
2: 0-1-0
Track Tuncurry
6: 0-0-3
Distance 1000m
11: 1-1-1
Distance 1007m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1012m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
26: 3-6-1
Going Heavy
8: 0-0-2
Going Soft
14: 2-2-2

Last starts

2Dubbo1000m31 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD31.36L
1Bathurst1100m16 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD4-0.01
3Dubbo1000m2 Oct 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY84.08L
6Wellington1100m15 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT65.17L
7Dubbo1000m7 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD48L
5Bathurst1100m17 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY81.9L
3Mudgee1100m5 Apr 2026 · BM66 · GOOD30.5L
2Newcastle1150m23 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT61.5L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 8% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 33%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Experienced mare racing with some conviction. Ridden in back half, strong late to fill the minors (Bm66) at Dubbo over today's trip. Back in easier class. Rates highly.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Ran home into 2nd last run at Dubbo and competing at a lower level of competition. Finishes off strongly. Gets a favourable barrier. Capable of winning this.

Went down by 1½l when second at Dubbo last week.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Managed to run into 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Dubbo and competing in a lower grade. Can go through the gears. Expecting a solid performance.

2Denman ForceJ: Jake Pracey-Holmes·T: Brett Thompson361.5kg5 4 2 4 212: 3-2-2$2.80$1.34

Career

12: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Wellington
2: 1-1-0
Track Dubbo
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
6: 1-0-1
Distance 800m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-2-0

Last starts

2Narromine800m17 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT50.33L
4Dubbo1000m2 Oct 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY84.58L
2Wellington900m15 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT65.29L
4Dubbo1000m7 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD47L
5Narromine800m23 Aug 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY83.5L
5Warren1000m1 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT74.4L
12Gosford1000m9 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.6L
1Wellington900m12 Apr 2026 · BM66 · SOFT5-0.4

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Brett Thompson striking at just 3%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 61%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Honest type. Sent forward and stuck to the task bravely on a soft deck in the (Bm58) at Narromine. Nice gate. Key player.

ILB

Competed in a tight contest last run at Narromine. Good to see Jake Pracey Holmes is jumping on. Has plenty of early speed. Strong competitor.

Recent form has a decent look to it; admirable career strike-rate (three from 12 to date); just denied when second favourite at Narromine over 4f (handicap) in front of Divine Sinner last month; plenty of appeal if backing up last run.

RSIS

Missed by a narrow margin last time at Narromine. Jake Pracey Holmes is a plus. Should muster plenty of early pace. Winning chance.

3Divine SinnerJ: Zoe Hunt·T: Kieren Hazelton160kg9 9 6 3 639: 5-4-4$5.00$2.00

Career

39: 5-4-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
7: 0-1-1
Second-up
6: 0-1-2
Third-up
6: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-1
Track Dubbo
6: 1-0-0
Track Coonamble
1: 0-0-0
Track Cowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 800m
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 0-2-2
Going Good
30: 4-2-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-1

Last starts

6Dubbo1000m31 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD34.04L
3Narromine800m17 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT50.55L
6Narromine1100m21 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD33.27L
9Dubbo1400m18 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD47.3L
9Mudgee1400m5 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD34.5L
2Warren1400m21 Mar 2026 · BM74 (72) · GOOD40.6L
5Dubbo1400m15 Mar 2026 · BM58 · GOOD44.5L
1Orange1280m14 Feb 2026 · BM50 · GOOD4-0.8

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Kieren Hazelton striking at just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -76% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Started $61 when battled home in Benchmark 66 company at Dubbo. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

On a short back up. Ran 6th last start at Dubbo but stepping down to a lower level. Has drawn the rails. Carrying more weight than last time. Not without a chance.

Close up behind Miss Capricorn when sixth at Dubbo last week; has shown some capability here and there and expected to be in the thick of things.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Finished 6th last run at Dubbo but facing a weaker group of contenders. Can save some energy from the stall. Has more weight to carry. Can't leave out of your calculations.

4Jet EmpressJ: Diego Montes De Oca·T: Douglas Fernando859.5kg11 9 7 5 829: 4-2-2$31.00$4.60

Career

29: 4-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 2-1-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warren
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Wellington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
15: 3-2-1
Distance 1012m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 3-1-1
Going Soft
9: 1-1-1

Last starts

8Moree950m30 Oct 2026 · BM66 · SOFT58.75L
5Come By Chance1000m26 Sept 2026 · Open9.14L
7Tamworth1000m14 Sept 2026 · BM82 · GOOD45.1L
9Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD45.3L
11Tamworth1000m17 July 2026 · BM82 · GOOD46.6L
5Goondiwindi1000m5 July 2026 · BM743.9L
11Tamworth1000m26 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT56.6L
7Warren1000m14 June 2026 · CANNONBALL BM82 · SOFT66.4L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 7% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 1%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Diego Montes De Oca 23% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 80%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 76% Profit on Turnover
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track

Comments

AAP

Long losing streak. Failed to threaten at Moree at cricket score odds. Keener on others.

ILB

Jumped at $101.00 and tailed off to finish 8th last start at Moree but taking on easier opposition. Has struggled so far this campaign. Priced to finish behind most.

Last of eight at Moree last month; brings winning C&D form to the table; this is her level; likely to go well.

RSIS

Started at 100/1 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last time at Moree but competing in a less challenging grade.

5WellspringJ: Jacob Stiff·T: Ms S Jeffries759.5kg6 2 3 1 217: 2-2-4$3.20$1.45

Career

17: 2-2-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Orange
1: 0-1-0
Track Wangaratta
4: 0-0-1
Track Towong
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-2
Going Unknown
4: 1-0-1
Going Good
9: 1-1-2
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1

Last starts

2Orange1000m19 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 50 · GOOD40.15L
1Grenfell1000m26 Sept 2026 · BM58-1.9
3Gulargambone1200m29 Aug 2026 · CL11.9L
2Warren1000m21 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT50.3L
6Cowra950m11 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.3L
9Wangaratta1170m22 Dec 2025 · BM56 · SOFT53.85L
3Wagga1200m29 Nov 2025 · BM50 · GOOD42.2L
7Tumut1000m1 Nov 2025 · BM503.6L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Sharon Jeffries striking at just 9%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

In peak form and fitness. Terrific effort when just shaded at Orange 19 Oct. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Makes a strong case in this company.

ILB

Just missed last start at Orange. Jockey Jacob Stiff is currently in strong form for this stable. Showing positive results this preparation. Watch betting.

Good effort when close up at Orange last month.

RSIS

Close up last start at Orange. Jockey Jacob Stiff is in top form for this stable. In a purple patch of form since coming back from a break. Respect the betting.

6EnchaantedScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Won Hcp (C1) Dubbo 2 Oct. Sent out $16 when unable to threaten at Coonamble. Warrants attention.

ILB

Was $16.00 and looked outclassed when 11th last run at Coonamble and up in weight. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned.

RSIS

Started 15/1 and struggled with the pace when 11th last time at Coonamble and has to carry more weight this time. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.

7IlikesooboogieJ: Kody Nestor·T: Joseph Hodgson558kg1 9 3 7 222: 3-5-4$7.50$2.60

Career

22: 3-5-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 2-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Quirindi
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Come By Chance
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1100m
4: 0-2-1
Distance 1170m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-1-1
Going Unknown
3: 1-0-1
Going Good
13: 2-4-1
Going Soft
5: 0-1-1

Last starts

2Mudgee1100m24 Oct 2026 · BM50 · GOOD41.06L
7Coonamble1100m11 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD32.01L
3Come By Chance800m26 Sept 2026 · Open3.13L
9Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · CL3 · GOOD46.8L
1Gilgandra800m1 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD4-0.2
1Come By Chance800m27 Sept 2025 · Open-1.9
4Walgett1300m14 June 2025 · Class 16.2L
4Moree950m3 June 2025 · BenchMark 58 · SOFT61.73L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Kody Nestor in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 25%
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Brave in defeat (Bm50) at Mudgee. Up in class but very fit, each way.

ILB

Nice run when 2nd last run at Mudgee and carrying less weight this time. Displays good tactical speed. In fine form this campaign. Limited possibility.

Has maintained his consistent level of form; a respectable runner-up of eight at Mudgee over 5½f (handicap) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Was competitive when 2nd last time at Mudgee and carrying less weight this time. Should race on the pace. Performing impressively in recent runs.

8Tampa BayJ: Izzy Neale·T: Connie Greig656.5kg1 1 1 4 926: 3-4-3$7.00$2.45

Career

26: 3-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
2: 0-0-0
Track Taree
2: 0-0-1
Track Gosford
1: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
6: 0-1-1
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-1-1
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0
Going Firm
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-2-0

Last starts

9Dubbo1200m31 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD35.07L
4Harden1100m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · FIRM23.02L
1Young1100m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · FIRM2-1.75
1Come By Chance1200m26 Sept 2026 · Open-5.49
1Wellington1100m15 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT6-0.1
5Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · Maiden · GOOD46L
2Narromine1100m23 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN · HEAVY80.2L
4Dubbo1120m10 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY95.5L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Izzy Neale current POT is 8% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

In touch but couldn't find anything when pressured at Dubbo. Drops to shorter trip. Super fit from racing, capable of making an impact.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Weakened under pressure when 9th last run at Dubbo. Place claims.

Finished ninth of 12 at Dubbo over 6f (handicap) last month; passed over with a few rivals in good form.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Faded to finish 9th last start at Dubbo.

9Sir FreddieJ: N.r·T: J A Sylvester455kg6 7 6 12 542: 3-2-4$11.00$3.20

Career

42: 3-2-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-2
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
5: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 1-0-0
Track Scone
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
29: 2-2-1
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
5: 1-1-1
Going Soft
16: 2-0-1

Last starts

5Muswellbrook1000m1 Nov 2026 · BM58 CL2+ · SOFT63.56L
12Muswellbrook1000m19 Oct 2026 · BM58 · GOOD47.58L
6Muswellbrook900m5 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD43.38L
7Taree1008m22 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL3 · SOFT66.46L
6Coffs Harbour1014m13 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD44.2L
6Scone1000m1 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT52.3L
9Tamworth1000m25 Aug 2026 · CL3 BM66 · SOFT54.6L
9Gunnedah1000m14 Aug 2026 · BM58 · SOFT65.9L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -64% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 63%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Snagged back and worked home okay in (Bm58) at Muswellbrook over this trip. Usually gets back and doesn't win out of turn.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Started $20.00 and came in 5th last start at Muswellbrook. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Struggling this campaign with no placings from 9 attempts. Not threatening these.

Useful at this level; out of the frame (beaten 3½l in fifth) at Muswellbrook last Sunday; he shouldn't be far away.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Started 19/1 and came in 5th last start at Muswellbrook. Prefers to settle towards the rear.

Odds correct as at Sun 8 Nov, 1:00 am AEDT. Odds can change.