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Warren (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Warren (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 8 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsWarren (NSW)Change

Race 5 — Warren Services Club Hcp (C2) 1200m · jumps

Race notes

  • CL2,CL2 HCP,Class 2
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Marinera (7)

2.80

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 11Lockadente

Offmidfield

  • 3Star Whisperer
  • 9Bounding Bon

Offpace

  • 4Andale
  • 7Marinera
  • 2Demarcate

Onpace

  • 1Blue De Beers
  • 8Spring Prospect
  • 5Fearn Trick

Leader

  • 6Vicious Rumour
  • Blue De Beers · Negative

    Gave ground LS

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Demarcate · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 9% better than Career Avg.

  • Star Whisperer · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.

  • Andale · Positive

    Profitable Trainer

    Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Blue De BeersJ: Jake Pracey-Holmes·T: C Lundholm1059kg3 8 11 2 1113: 2-2-1$4.80$1.95

Career

13: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

96

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Bathurst

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Coonamble

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Moree

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 800m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 950m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 2-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 11Dubbo1000m31 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD35.8L
  2. 2Coonamble1100m11 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD30.31L
  3. 11Dubbo1100m27 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL2-SW · GOOD45.94L
  4. 8Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · CL3 · GOOD46.7L
  5. 3Narromine800m23 Aug 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY80.9L
  6. 3Gilgandra800m1 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.6L
  7. 13Randwick1000m28 Feb 2026 · 3UP C3 HCP · SOFT57.1L
  8. 1Dubbo1000m15 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD4-2.1

Insights

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Great run at Coonamble 11 Oct then went to line tamely at Dubbo. Very fit, can make his presence felt if things pan out.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Jumped at $4.00 and weakened under pressure when 11th last start at Dubbo but facing a weaker group of contenders. Definite winning chance.

RP

Finished 11th when second favourite at Dubbo over 5f (handicap) last Saturday; not the most consistent of horses lately; is passed over as this looks a fair heat.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Was 3/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last time at Dubbo but up against weaker rivals. Has a good chance.

2DemarcateJ: Gabrielle Johnston·T: Ms J Clement559kg2 5 3 5 420: 2-2-3$4.40$1.85

Career

20: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Scone

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 955m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 2-0-2

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 4Scone1000m23 Oct 2026 · CL2 · SOFT51.26L
  2. 5Coonamble1100m11 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD31.14L
  3. 3Armidale1100m20 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD31.47L
  4. 5Mendooran1200m5 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 662.2L
  5. 2Narromine1300m23 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY80.8L
  6. 4Gunnedah1250m14 Aug 2026 · CTRY CL3 · SOFT62L
  7. 5Quirindi1200m4 Aug 2026 · BM66 · GOOD31.5L
  8. 5Warren1200m21 July 2026 · BM66 · SOFT53.4L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 9% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -21%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

Comments

AAP

Close up in sound performance Hcp (C2) at Scone at double-figure odds. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Finished 4th last run at Scone but up against a less competitive field. Could be in the mix.

RP

Respectable effort in defeat (beaten just over 1l) over 5f at Scone (handicap) last month; brings winning C&D form to the table; been struggling to get his head in front recently so hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Came in 4th last time at Scone but stepping down to a lower level. Respect the betting.

3Star WhispererJ: Kody Nestor·T: R P Northam459kg12 2 6 6 310: 2-1-1$4.20$1.80

Career

10: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mudgee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moree

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Coonabarabran

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 950m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 1-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Coonamble1100m11 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD30.44L
  2. 6Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · CL3 · GOOD45.9L
  3. 6Scone1000m17 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT52.9L
  4. 2Quirindi1000m4 Aug 2026 · CL3 · GOOD30.3L
  5. 12Rosehill1100m18 July 2026 · 3UP C2 HCP · HEAVY910.7L
  6. 1Muswellbrook1000m7 July 2026 · BM58 HCP · SOFT7-2
  7. 8Dubbo1000m2 Feb 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD44.3L
  8. 1Dubbo1018m12 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.6

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Kody Nestor 25% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Kody Nestor in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 25%

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Put in some big strides late at Coonamble. Looks a serious player.

ILB

Threw down a serious challenge last start at Coonamble. Competitive type.

RP

Not beaten far over 5½f at Coonamble (handicap) when separating a number of reopposing rivals last month; easy to see him making an impression.

RSIS

Was agonizingly close last run at Coonamble. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

4AndaleJ: Izzy Neale·T: Merv Rumble658.5kg3 10 3 12 48: 2-0-2$12.00$3.50

Career

8: 2-0-2

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Coonamble

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Mudgee

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    6: 2-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Narromine800m17 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.2L
  2. 12Dubbo1000m3 May 2026 · BM58 · GOOD45.7L
  3. 3Narromine800m26 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.8L
  4. 10Dubbo1200m6 Mar 2026 · CTRY CL4 PREV · GOOD47.4L
  5. 3Mudgee1100m21 Feb 2026 · BM66 · SOFT51.1L
  6. 1Dubbo1000m2 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial-0.5
  7. 4Narromine1300m2 Dec 2025 · BM58 · GOOD42.4L
  8. 1Wellington1100m16 Nov 2025 · CL1 · GOOD4-0.3

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • 1st Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when resuming

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (27-weeks). Blew the cobwebs away in recent trial but only for multiples fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up from a break of 27 weeks and came on strongly to finish 3rd first up last preparation at Mudgee. Gets some weight taken off. Best to watch and see.

RP

Last of 12 over 5f at Dubbo (handicap) in May; he can be competitive at this level; returning from a layoff here; definitely of interest as he clearly knows how to get his head in front.

RSIS

Resuming and showed a good turn of foot when 3rd resuming last preparation at Mudgee. Finished 4th in a trial at Narromine on Oct 17th.

5Fearn TrickJ: Shannen Llewellyn·T: R Lomax857.5kg7 1 13 4 412: 2-0-0$4.40$1.85

Career

12: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bathurst

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Muswellbrook1280m1 Nov 2026 · BM58 HCP · SOFT61.82L
  2. 4Coonamble1100m11 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD31.03L
  3. 13Dubbo1000m2 Oct 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY810.86L
  4. 1Wellington1100m15 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL1 · SOFT6-1.18
  5. 7Hawkesbury2000m17 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.6L
  6. 7Rosehill1500m25 Feb 2026 · 3YF BM72 · GOOD48.5L
  7. 4Canterbury1550m13 Feb 2026 · Benchmark 72 · GOOD40.9L
  8. 1Scone1400m29 Jan 2026 · MDN · GOOD4-0.8

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 252%

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Ross Lomax in good form, out performing market 50%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 36% POT in L100 Runners

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Big weight took its toll at Muswellbrook. On pacer with sound recent form and could take stopping in this company.

ILB

Backing up quickly. At $6.50 peaked on the run when 4th last start at Muswellbrook. Shannen Llewellyn and Ross Lomax command respect as a pairing. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Running consistently; fair effort at Muswellbrook over 6½f (handicap) a week ago; strong contender if replicating the best of her form.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Started 11/2 and tired late when 4th last run at Muswellbrook. Jockey Shannen Llewellyn and trainer Ross Lomax are a proven combination. Has some claims.

6Vicious RumourJ: Jacob Stiff·T: M R Mulholland757.5kg2 1 3 9 115: 2-5-2$5.50$2.15

Career

15: 2-5-2

Rating · IRD

97

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Mudgee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cowra

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Coonabarabran

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    6: 0-3-1

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 2-5-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Orange1000m8 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD4-1.64
  2. 9Cowra1375m9 Mar 2026 · CL1 · GOOD45.6L
  3. 3Muswellbrook1280m9 Feb 2026 · CL1 HCP · HEAVY102.4L
  4. 1Dubbo1200m2 Feb 2026 · MDN · GOOD4-0.5
  5. 2Cowra1375m18 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.1L
  6. 2Dubbo1318m12 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD40.6L
  7. 2Bathurst1100m23 Dec 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD32.2L
  8. 4Mudgee1200m5 Dec 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD32L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 31 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh following return. Overcame wide gate to post a decisive victory at Orange. Can lead or take a sit. Warrants attention.

ILB

Ran over the top of them when winning last start at Orange. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw. Good chance at a nice price.

RP

Came out on top by 1½l at Orange over 5f (handicap) when dropped in distance four weeks ago; could be in the mix.

RSIS

Flew home to win last time at Orange. Has the necessary pace to mitistall the wide draw. Capable type.

7MarineraJ: Clayton Gallagher·T: Brett Robb357kg6 4 12 2 29: 1-4-0$2.80$1.40

Career

9: 1-4-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Warren

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    3: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-4-0

Last starts

  1. 2Dubbo1200m31 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD30.26L
  2. 2Bathurst1200m16 Oct 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD40.04L
  3. 12Dubbo1300m27 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD48.76L
  4. 4Moree1200m6 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD43.6L
  5. 6Tamworth1000m25 Aug 2026 · CL3 BM66 · SOFT53.5L
  6. 1Warren1000m21 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT5-0.2
  7. 2Dubbo1200m3 May 2026 · Maiden · GOOD40.9L
  8. 2Mudgee1100m5 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD31.3L

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 5% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 1%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Just missed at Bathurst 16 Oct. Raced on the pace and went down in a thrilling stoush at Dubbo. Drawn to effect. Right in this.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Threw down a serious challenge last time at Dubbo. Clayton Gallagher and Brett Robb have a good working relationship. Expecting a strong showing.

RP

Admirably consistent; track has proven suitable before; good effort when close up at Dubbo a week ago.

RSIS

On a short back up. Missed by a narrow margin last start at Dubbo. Clayton Gallagher has a good track record with the Brett Robb stable. Expecting a solid performance.

8Spring ProspectJ: Zoe Hunt·T: David J Smith155kg6 6 12 6 115: 2-4-1$12.00$3.60

Career

15: 2-4-1

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Warren

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Forbes

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1200m

    6: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 1Mudgee1200m24 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD4-1.2
  2. 6Mudgee1200m30 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT73L
  3. 12Forbes1100m2 Aug 2026 · CL2 · GOOD49.4L
  4. 6Muswellbrook1000m7 July 2026 · BM58 HCP · SOFT75L
  5. 6Bathurst1200m16 June 2026 · CTRY CL2-SW · HEAVY99.8L
  6. 2Dubbo1100m5 June 2026 · CTRY CL1 · HEAVY90.2L
  7. 11Mudgee1400m21 Feb 2026 · CDRA CHAMP · SOFT57.2L
  8. 2Dubbo1300m2 Feb 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41L

Insights

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Won in decisive fashion at Mudgee over today's trip. Winner at track and distance. Super fit from racing, worth a look.

ILB

Left nothing to chance when winning by 1 1/4L last run at Mudgee and has drawn to do little work. Minor claims.

RP

Gained a just over 1l success at Mudgee 15 days ago; can boast winning form over this C&D; easy to oppose despite that win at Mudgee.

RSIS

Nice effort when winning by 1 1/4L last time at Mudgee and gets the perfect stall.

9Bounding BonJ: Ken Dunbar·T: M C Lynch955kg11 6 6 8 624: 2-3-3$41.00$6.00

Career

24: 2-3-3

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    9: 0-2-1

  • Track Wagga

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Orange

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    13: 0-3-3

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-1-1

  • Going Good

    15: 1-2-2

Last starts

  1. 6Orange1000m19 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 50 · GOOD42.11L
  2. 8Leeton1050m22 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD411.6L
  3. 6Dubbo1000m7 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD47.9L
  4. 6Bathurst1100m17 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY82L
  5. 11Forbes1100m2 Aug 2026 · CL2 · GOOD48L
  6. 4Dubbo1100m13 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT51L
  7. 6Dubbo1000m28 June 2026 · Benchmark 66 · HEAVY82.6L
  8. 6Warren1000m14 June 2026 · CTRY CL3 · SOFT62.3L

Insights

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 7kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Ran on okay without troubling at Orange but awkwardly drawn here and place best.

ILB

Started $20.00 and ran 6th last start at Orange but will benefit with the weight drop. Likely to settle back in the field. Chances are slim.

RP

Respectable display to finish sixth, beaten just over 2l over 5f at Orange (handicap) last month; has struggled to hit the frame of late and been generally quiet since successful in a handicap at Wellington in April; this line-up contains some strong opposition so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.

RSIS

Odds of 19/1 and finished 6th last time at Orange but suited by the weight drop. Prefers to settle towards the tail.

10BushwalkerScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -63% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 59%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Long winless run. Battled home okay at Bathurst over this journey. First time around Warren. Can't enthuse.

ILB

At $6.00 not competitive when 6th last start at Bathurst. Likely to get back in the field.

RSIS

Started 5/1 and basic showing when 6th last start at Bathurst. Does take a while to get into stride.

11LockadenteJ: Jess Del Frari·T: Dennis Bush255kg10 3 3 5 439: 2-3-5$101.00$13.00

Career

39: 2-3-5

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Forbes

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Gunnedah

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    8: 0-1-2

  • Going Unknown

    9: 0-1-3

  • Going Firm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 1-0-2

Last starts

  1. 4Harden1200m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · FIRM24.92L
  2. 5Forbes1400m10 Oct 2026 · BM50 · GOOD42L
  3. 3Grenfell1200m26 Sept 2026 · CL23.28L
  4. 3Geurie1400m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+5.5L
  5. 10Narromine1300m23 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY811.8L
  6. 9Dubbo1420m10 Aug 2026 · CL2 · HEAVY913L
  7. 11Cowra1375m11 July 2026 · BM50 · SOFT59.5L
  8. 4Ardlethan1400m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo+5L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Jess Del Frari current POT is 37% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 2%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 73%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 66% Profit on Turnover

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 46% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 33%

Comments

AAP

Winless since 26 Dec 2024. Ordinary performance in small field at Harden over this distance. Picnic form.

ILB

Average effort when 4th last start at Harden but gets a favourable draw. Gets back and needs luck. Gets a reduction in weight. Form will be tested here.

RP

Not beaten that far in fourth (5l, Harden) last month; hasn't won for a while and form has been a bit up and down of late; facing a testing assignment and others more likely.

RSIS

Struggled when 4th last time at Harden but has a positive stall. Likely to get back in the field. Carrying less weight this time.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.