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Warren (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Warren (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 8 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsWarren (NSW)Change

Race 3 — Ag Flow Solutions (Bm82) 1200m · jumps

Race notes

  • Benchmark 82,CLUB SPRNT,CLUB SPRNT HCP
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

Fetes Des Meres (5)

2.35

Most career wins

Castlebar Road

10-8-4 from 49 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 6Great Point

Offpace

  • 4Zampano
  • 5Fetes Des Meres

Onpace

  • 2Lockdown Gamble

Leader

  • 1Castlebar Road
  • 3Glowing Rapids
  • 7Keadool
  • Castlebar Road · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 8% better than Career Avg.

  • Lockdown Gamble · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • Glowing Rapids · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.

  • Zampano · Negative

    Maps Poorly

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Castlebar RoadJ: Gabrielle Johnston·T: Ms J Clement561.5kg1 5 2 7 249: 10-8-4$4.40$2.15

Career

49: 10-8-4

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 1-2-2

  • Second-up

    6: 2-1-0

  • Third-up

    5: 2-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Track Forbes

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    18: 3-7-1

  • Track Gilgandra

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 950m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Firm

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    25: 2-4-3

  • Going Heavy

    8: 4-1-1

Last starts

  1. 2Dubbo1100m31 Oct 2026 · Open · GOOD30.35L
  2. 7Tamworth1000m12 Oct 2026 · BM82 · SOFT56.05L
  3. 2Dubbo1100m27 Sept 2026 · FLYING HCP · GOOD43.92L
  4. 5Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD42.9L
  5. 1Dubbo1120m10 Aug 2026 · HCP · HEAVY9-0.2
  6. 1Gilgandra1280m1 Aug 2026 · COLLIE CUP BM76 · GOOD4-0.2
  7. 6Tamworth1000m17 July 2026 · BM82 · GOOD43.1L
  8. 6Tamworth1200m26 June 2026 · BM82 · SOFT52.1L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 8% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Jane Clement striking at just 8%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -21%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Gabrielle Johnston in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 11%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Up In Weight

    Negative

    Goes up 5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Ears scrubbed off early to cross and lead but kept on bravely for the minors. Can go forward. Well into preparation now, warrants attention.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Threw down a serious challenge last time at Dubbo and up against a less challenging field. Likely to be well placed early. Place claims.

RP

Had two of these rivals behind him over 5½f at Dubbo (handicap) a week ago when not beaten far; has won at this course.

RSIS

On a short back up. Close to claiming the win last run at Dubbo and facing a weaker grade. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.

2Lockdown GambleJ: Anna Weatherlake·T: David J Smith661kg3 10 7 3 945: 8-2-11$10.00$3.80

Career

45: 8-2-11

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 2-0-2

  • Second-up

    6: 1-0-2

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Track Randwick

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Orange

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Coonamble

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1375m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    27: 7-2-6

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-0-2

  • Going Soft

    13: 1-0-3

Last starts

  1. 9Bathurst1300m13 Sept 2026 · BM 85 HCP · SOFT56.4L
  2. 3Mudgee1400m30 Aug 2026 · BM82 · SOFT70.8L
  3. 7Forbes1600m2 Aug 2026 · FORBES CUP MB76 · GOOD43L
  4. 10Warwick Farm1600m15 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.5L
  5. 3Dubbo1600m28 June 2026 · BM82 · HEAVY81.2L
  6. 5Newcastle1400m6 June 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT53.2L
  7. 2Dubbo860m3 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.4L
  8. 3Coonabarabran1600m26 Oct 2025 · C'BRAN CUP BM8 · GOOD41.5L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (56-days). Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Bathurst. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Back from a freshen up. Was $81.00 and average performance when 9th last run at Bathurst but taking on easier opposition. Anna Weatherlake takes a large claim. Hard to warm to at present.

RP

Finished ninth of 12 over 6½f at Bathurst (handicap) two months ago; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; strong claims; absence is no concern as has previously gone well off a break and he ran well in defeat two starts ago.

RSIS

Freshened up. Odds of 80/1 and subpar when 9th last time at Bathurst but going down in grade. The large claim from Anna Weatherlake should help.

3Glowing RapidsJ: Jess Del Frari·T: Ms M Harrison755.5kg9 1 1 9 733: 6-3-8$8.50$3.50

Career

33: 6-3-8

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Gulargambone

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Mendooran

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Gilgandra

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    10: 2-1-2

  • Distance 1200m

    10: 4-0-1

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    2: 2-0-0

  • Going Good

    21: 3-2-5

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Dubbo1100m31 Oct 2026 · Open · GOOD32.52L
  2. 9Narromine1300m21 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD34.73L
  3. 1Mendooran1200m5 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 66-0.3
  4. 1Gulargambone1200m29 Aug 2026 · CUP BM74-1
  5. 9Forbes1200m2 Aug 2026 · BM82 · GOOD45.7L
  6. 3Warren1200m21 July 2026 · BM66 · SOFT52.9L
  7. 2Dubbo1100m13 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT50.6L
  8. 7Dubbo1000m28 June 2026 · Benchmark 66 · HEAVY83.5L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -26%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 46% in L100 rides

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On pace but conceded late at Dubbo when drifting in the betting. Sticky gate but has early pace. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Very fit, worth a look.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Started at $14.00 and weakened to finish 7th last start at Dubbo but competing at a lower class. Should come to hand quickly. Slim chance.

RP

Creditable seventh at Dubbo over 5½f (handicap) last month.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Odds of 13/1 and weakened to finish 7th last time at Dubbo but strong performer at this trip. Should muster plenty of early toe.

4ZampanoJ: Shannen Llewellyn·T: Melissa Dennett255.5kg7 5 2 3 913: 3-1-2$3.60$1.85

Career

13: 3-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gunnedah

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Moree

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Tamworth

    6: 2-1-1

  • Distance 950m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    10: 3-1-2

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 1-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 9Scone1100m23 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 82 · SOFT54.11L
  2. 3Tamworth1000m12 Oct 2026 · BM82 · SOFT53.63L
  3. 2Tamworth1000m28 Sept 2026 · CL3 · GOOD40.02L
  4. 5Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · CL3 · GOOD45.7L
  5. 7Tamworth1000m24 Apr 2026 · BM58 HCP · GOOD42.2L
  6. 6Moree950m17 Mar 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.9L
  7. 15Randwick1000m28 Feb 2026 · 3UP C3 HCP · SOFT512.6L
  8. 1Tamworth1000m13 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial-0.4

Insights

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely at Scone at $4.60. Should relish the rise in distance and well worth another look.

ILB

Started $4.60 and lacked competitiveness when 9th last start at Scone. May see an upturn in form and going down in class. Attracts support.

RP

Finished ninth of 12 over 5½f at Scone (handicap) last month; has achieved three wins from 13 career runs.

RSIS

Was 7/2 and below par when 9th last start at Scone. Giving another chance here and competing in a less challenging grade. Strong chance.

5Fetes Des MeresJ: Clayton Gallagher·T: G D Lunn155kg7 9 8 2 420: 4-3-1$2.35$1.45

Career

20: 4-3-1

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mudgee

    3: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 1-2-0

  • Distance 1457m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 4-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Dubbo1100m31 Oct 2026 · Open · GOOD31.3L
  2. 2Dubbo1400m2 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 82 · HEAVY80.56L
  3. 8Dubbo1100m27 Sept 2026 · FLYING HCP · GOOD46.19L
  4. 9Wellington1100m15 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT67.61L
  5. 7Mudgee1400m30 Aug 2026 · BM82 · SOFT75.7L
  6. 6Dubbo1120m10 Aug 2026 · HCP · HEAVY93.9L
  7. 1Dubbo1400m3 Oct 2025 · BM82 · GOOD4-0.3
  8. 2Mudgee1400m7 Sept 2025 · BLCKNUGGET · GOOD40.5L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 41%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 48% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Great run at Dubbo 2 Oct then finished within striking distance Showcase Open Hcp over shorter trip on same track. Drawn to get a soft run. Commands attention here.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Started at $4.40 and finished 4th last run at Dubbo. Should improve here and facing a weaker grade. Will appreciate a good barrier. Will go close today.

RP

Has winning C&D form to her name; split Castlebar Road (runner-up) and Glowing Rapids (seventh) at Dubbo over 5½f (handicap) when fourth beaten 1½l last week; others have more pressing claims as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. At 10/3 finished 4th last time at Dubbo. Should improve and up against a less competitive field. Gets a favourable stall. Will show up at the business end.

6Great PointJ: Leeshelle Small·T: R P Northam455kg1 1 3 11 522: 5-4-0$3.70$1.90

Career

22: 5-4-0

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Tamworth

    3: 2-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1450m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    9: 2-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 3-3-0

Last starts

  1. 5Scone1100m23 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 82 · SOFT52.35L
  2. 11Scone1400m20 Mar 2026 · CL5 SW · SOFT57L
  3. 3Scone1000m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.1L
  4. 1Scone1400m26 Sept 2025 · BM74 · GOOD4-0.1
  5. 1Tamworth1400m8 Sept 2025 · BM66 · SOFT5-0.6
  6. 2Scone1300m19 Aug 2025 · BM66 HCP · SOFT50.4L
  7. 12Randwick1600m12 July 2025 · 3UP CL3 SW · SOFT510.6L
  8. 9Rosehill1500m28 June 2025 · 3UP C3 HCP · GOOD43.5L

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ran on late from the back at Scone after lengthy absence. Will be fitter and more effective second-up. Both totes.

ILB

At $9.00 picked up some late ground when 5th last run at Scone and competing in a less challenging grade. Will be trying to topple them late. Definite winning chance.

RP

Admirable career strike-rate (five from 22 to date); creditable fifth over 5½f at Scone (handicap) 16 days ago; looks likely to go well.

RSIS

Started at 8/1 and showed some merit late when 5th last time at Scone and competing in a lower grade. Has a nice turn of foot. Value selection.

7KeadoolJ: Zoe Hunt·T: C Lundholm355kg8 7 10 6 320: 5-1-4$4.80$2.25

Career

20: 5-1-4

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Cowra

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Gilgandra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wellington

    3: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 900m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 950m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    15: 3-0-3

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 3Dubbo1000m31 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD32.17L
  2. 6Bathurst1100m16 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42.65L
  3. 10Dubbo1100m27 Sept 2026 · FLYING HCP · GOOD46.66L
  4. 7Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD44.2L
  5. 8Newcastle900m22 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD44.6L
  6. 1Canberra1000m6 Feb 2026 · BM65 · GOOD4-1.2
  7. 4Gilgandra1100m4 Jan 2026 · HCP · GOOD42.7L
  8. 1Dubbo1000m8 Dec 2025 · BM58 HCP · GOOD3-0.45

Insights

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 1%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 5.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Out-and-out speed horse. Made running, no answer when challenged but held on for third in the (Bm66) at Dubbo. Up in class but should press forward. Each way.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Grabbed towards the finish when 3rd beaten by 2 1/4L last time at Dubbo but challenged by a tougher grade. Low-key chance.

RP

Admirably consistent and record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 5-20); gave good account to finish third at Dubbo over 5f (handicap) a week ago; ought to give it a shot.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Good result placing 3rd beaten by 2 1/4L last start at Dubbo but competing at a higher class. Suited by the weight drop.

8TropicScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Insights

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Quietly handled in back half, shaken up and finished full of running at Tamworth over this trip. Can play a role.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Just average when 13th last time at Rosehill but has a positive gate.

RSIS

On a short back up. Sub-standard effort when 13th last time at Rosehill but has a positive stall.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.