Shortest win price
Nailed'Em (2)
3.00
Welcome to Albany for the Graham Manley Auto Repairs Hcp (C1) over 1000m on a Soft 7 track with showers about. As the field gets set under the lights for a 7:00 pm AEDT jump, punters have sifted through the form to frame an intriguing market. Looking at the win market order, Nailed'Em holds down the mantle as the shortest runner, closely followed by Brave Wasp and Brazen Bid, with Dolce Maschino and Longtimebeliever next in line as the race approaches.
Digging into the form behind those shorter prices gives us a clearer picture of the yarn. Nailed'Em jumps from barrier 8 for trainer Samantha Faithfull and jockey Natasha Faithfull, coming off a run at Belmont where they led them up before melting under pressure over 1200m; dropping back to the 1000m here might suit, even with the awkward draw. Meanwhile, Brave Wasp resumes from a fourteen-week break for trainer T J Stone and jockey Patrick Carbery from barrier 4, boasting a handy first-up record and a trial under the belt. Brazen Bid for Stephen Sheehy and Lisa Staples also maps to press forward fresh from barrier 5, having previously shown an ability to run well when resuming.
Further down the speed groups, we see Nailed'Em listed as the leader, while runners like Brazen Bid and Heaps True Aye push forward onto the pace, and Dolce Maschino settles back as a backmarker looking to run on. Autofocus rounds things out from barrier 7 for Ashleigh Woollett and Jason Whiting, backed by a stable operating with a solid profit profile. It is shaping up as a competitive sprint where early speed map pressure could tell the tale on the damp surface.
Shortest win price
Nailed'Em (2)
3.00
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Brave Wasp · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Nailed'Em · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 39%
Brazen Bid · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%
Longtimebeliever · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Career
11: 1-4-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 1-2-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
6: 1-2-1
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-1-1
Going Good
8: 1-2-1
Going Soft
3: 0-2-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (14-weeks). Ex Mitchell Pateman. Trained here now. Consistently around the mark last prep. Got the money at Belmont Park when fresh last campaign while trialling well in the lead-up.
ILB
First up and was eating up the ground late to win first up last preparation at Belmont. First appearance for a new trainer and will appreciate the drop in grade. Looks set to run a big race.
RP
This is his level; respectable effort at Northam in July; first run for trainer; he has a shout if replicating the best of his form.
RSIS
Resuming and dashed home to win resuming last preparation at Belmont. First race for a new trainer and competing in a lower grade. Major chance.
Career
7: 1-3-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Barker
1: 0-1-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1240m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 0-3-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 39%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Led them up but melted under pressure at Belmont Park when second-up. Awkwardly drawn but has enough speed. Drops to shorter trip. All the better, has some claims.
ILB
Came in 5th last run at Belmont. Should improve from the last run and up against a less challenging field. Should race on the speed. Good value.
RP
Not beaten that far in fifth (4½l) over 6f at Belmont Park (handicap) last month; capable if in the mood so in the mix.
RSIS
Came in 5th last run at Belmont. Should bounce back and has been racing in stronger company. Should race on the pace. Can lift in this event.
Career
17: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
2: 1-0-0
Track Ascot
6: 0-0-2
Track Albany
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-2-0
Distance 1100m
6: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
4: 1-0-1
Going Good
11: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-2-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 58%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 36% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
AAP
Resuming (31-weeks). Has run well fresh. Should press forward. Not out of this fresh in this affair.
ILB
Fresh from a break of 31 weeks. Grabbed towards the finish when 2nd last time around here and form has been improving over recent runs. One of the value chances in this race.
RP
Has been fairly consistent lately; not beaten far when runner-up in March; has strong claims if reproducing most recent effort.
RSIS
Resumes after a break of 31 weeks. Was found wanting late when 2nd beaten by 2L last time at this venue and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Can figure in the finish.
Career
16: 1-4-1
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-2-0
Track York
2: 0-1-1
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Going Good
10: 1-4-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 49% Profit on Turnover
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 24%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (27-weeks). Nearly won in Maiden company at Narrogin first-up last campaign while brought on by 2 trials. Put together some solid performances last preparation. Can make her presence felt fresh in this affair.
ILB
First up after 27 weeks and honest race when 2nd first up last preparation at Narrogin. Has the ideal barrier. Rises in weight. Keep safe.
RP
Beaten 5½l when fourth of eight at Narrogin over 5½f (handicap) six months ago; appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; others more likely.
RSIS
Resuming and did well when 2nd resuming last preparation at Narrogin. Drawn the rails. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Albany
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Austin Galati 58% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Austin Galati in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 58%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Second campaign (24-weeks). Looked in good order in latest trial, although the long spell could tell late. Was a long way off being competitive in his first campaign and they've taken time bringing him back. Others with stronger claims.
ILB
First up. Started at $101.00 and made up ground when 5th last run at this venue. Expected to settle towards the tail. Prefer in a much weaker race.
RP
Lightly raced with this just his fourth appearance; finished fifth, beaten a fair way over 5½f here (maiden) six months ago; needs new headgear to provoke some improvement; others are preferred.
RSIS
First run back today. Started 100/1 and improved when 5th last start here. Gets back and needs luck.
Career
21: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Albany
20: 1-2-2
Track CurrentTrack
20: 1-2-2
Track Narrogin
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 0-2-1
Distance 1720m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-1-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 48% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 42% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 24%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
AAP
First-up (24-weeks). Ex Ms A J Smith. Trained here now. Pitted against better company last prep. One for exotics fresh in this company.
ILB
Fresh from a break. Started at $31.00 and didn't maintain the pace throughout when 4th last start here on a heavy surface. Will be down in distance. Hard to have.
RP
Largely disappointing since successful in a maiden at Albany in February; not beaten too far when fourth here over 7½f (handicap) in May; passed over.
RSIS
Resuming. Odds of 30/1 and tired in the closing stages of the race when 4th last run at this track and has a good draw. Back to a shorter distance.
Career
5: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Albany
5: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1230m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (24-weeks). Hasn't set the world on fire with just the one placing on her books. Since trialled at Albany. Looks more a place prospect.
ILB
Resuming after a break. Started $6.50 and couldn't finish off when 5th last run around here on a heavy surface. Can't recommend.
RP
Not disgraced when fifth here over 5½f (maiden) in May; without a win in five attempts although has finished second; easy enough to take on.
RSIS
First run back after a break. At 11/2 gave ground when 5th last start at the track on a heavy rated track.
Career
15: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wellington
1: 0-1-0
Track Albany
8: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
8: 0-0-1
Distance 1230m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1240m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-2-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 53%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
First-up (24-weeks). Long winless run. Reasonable tick-over trial for return. Competing in stronger races last prep.
ILB
First run back from a break. Was $31.00 and underperformed when 7th last time around here. Likely to get back in the run. Cannot have under these circumstances.
RP
Came home seventh, beaten 7l, here over 5½f (handicap) in May; if replicating best previous efforts one to be interested in.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a break. Was 30/1 and not up to scratch when 7th last run at this venue. Might have to make up considerable ground.