Shortest win price
Looks (4)
3.00
Albany: Statewide Horse Transport (Bm58+) tips: punters eye off 1500m clash under showers and a soft7 track. The win market lines up with Hey True Blue holding the mantle as the shortest priced runner, closely followed by Looks, Warralea Lass, and Beaumont Miss sitting next in the order. It sets up an intriguing narrative on a damp track where runners will need to handle the conditions over the 1500m journey.
Looking at the form behind those shorter prices, Hey True Blue comes here trained by S J Wolfe and drawn in barrier 1 with Troy Turner in the saddle, dropping back from metro company after a fair performance without threatening at Ascot over 1400m and holding a win at this track previously. Looks is set from barrier 5 with Austin Galati steering for trainer T M Wolfe, looking to bounce back after leading and dropping off at Northam four weeks between runs while meeting easier opposition here. Warralea Lass is another from the S J Wolfe yard, jumping from barrier 6 with Brayden Gaerth, heading into this following a let-up of 57 days since compounding over a longer assignment at Belmont Park and having since trialled at Albany on 20 Oct. Beaumont Miss rounds out the leading chances from barrier 3 for trainer Misty Bazeley and jockey Natasha Faithfull, coming off a run into the minors at Belmont Park following a maiden win at Geraldton earlier.
Further down the winMarketOrder, runners like Wayne The Pain, Bondi Express, Cherokee Miss, and Hot Chatter add depth to the yarn, with Hot Chatter noted as going hard early among the speed groups while Looks maps as the leader from gate 5. Punters weighing up the form lines will find plenty of angles to dissect as the field heads out for the 7:30 pm AEDT jump.
Shortest win price
Looks (4)
3.00
Most career wins
Warralea Lass
7-0-5 from 40 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Warralea Lass · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.
Wayne The Pain · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 74%
Hey True Blue · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Looks · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.
Career
40: 7-0-5
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
8: 0-0-1
Second-up
7: 1-0-2
Third-up
6: 2-0-1
Fourth-up
6: 2-0-0
Track Pinjarra
4: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
8: 3-0-1
Track Bunbury
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
22: 5-0-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
15: 2-0-3
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Steve Wolfe striking at just 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 71% in L100 rides
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
AAP
Let-up (57-days). Every chance but compounded at Belmont Park over longer assignment. Since trialled at Albany 20 Oct. Rates highly.
ILB
Back from a let up. Jumped at $8.50 and was well beaten when 9th last run at Belmont but up against weaker rivals. Back to a shorter trip. Keep safe.
RP
Was held in ninth over 1m2½f at Belmont Park (handicap) two months ago; can boast winning form over this C&D; big player.
RSIS
Freshened up. Odds of 15/2 and didn't attack the line when 9th last start at Belmont but taking on a lower class of opponents. Down in trip.
Career
38: 5-5-2
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
8: 0-1-0
Second-up
7: 2-2-0
Third-up
6: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-1
Track Albany
2: 0-2-0
Track Bunbury
9: 2-1-0
Track Narrogin
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
24: 3-2-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 2-3-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 74%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 31%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 22% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 18%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sent out $101 when never got into the race at Ascot second-up. Good second only time this t/d. Others rate stronger.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Didn't attack the line when 14th last time at Ascot but taking on a lower class of opponents. Should get going late. Goes up in weight. Possible place chance.
RP
Towards the rear of 15 last Saturday (Ascot) upped to 1m; useful in this grade; shown he can win fairly recently and ought to be competitive.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Weakened under pressure when 14th last time at Ascot but competing at a lower grade. Will be motoring home late. Up in weight.
Career
14: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
7: 0-0-0
Track Albany
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fair performance without threatening at Ascot at $19. Back from metro company. Won only other time at Albany. Key player.
ILB
At $19.00 finished 6th last run at Ascot. Should bounce back and competing in a less challenging grade. Gets the perfect gate. Forward showing expected.
RP
Has winning form at this track; not really built on success in a maiden in January at Albany; not disgraced when sixth of 12 over 7f at Ascot (handicap) last month; passed over.
RSIS
Started at 18/1 and came in 6th last run at Ascot. Likely to bounce back and competing in an easier class. Drawn beautifully. Good prospects.
Career
52: 5-8-4
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 1-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-2-0
Track Pinjarra Scarpside
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
7: 0-0-0
Track Northam
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
17: 1-4-1
Distance 1420m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
5: 0-2-0
Going Good
32: 3-5-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
18: 2-3-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Austin Galati 58% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 180%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Austin Galati in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 58%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Led, soon under pressure and dropped off at Northam. Meeting easier opposition here. Makes a strong case in this company.
ILB
Odds of $10.00 and faded to finish 9th last start at Northam. Should improve. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Rates highly.
RP
Multiple course winner; beaten a fair way when ninth at Northam over 6½f (handicap) last month; others appeal more.
RSIS
Odds of 9/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last run at Northam. Expected to rebound. Should come to hand quickly. This race suits.
Career
8: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
2: 0-0-0
Track Albany
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2019m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-2
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 40%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 23%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Returns for second campaign (34-weeks). Consistently around the mark last prep. Given two trials. Shapes as a rough place prospect fresh in this company.
ILB
Fresh from a 34 week break. Charged home to win last start around here but facing a stronger group of contenders. Long shot.
RP
Seems to be improving based on last two runs; got the job done by just under 2l, breaking his duck at the eighth time of asking in a maiden in March; has had some time off; despite that Albany success, others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
First run back from a 34 week break. Was eating up the ground late to win last time at this track but challenged by a tougher grade.
Career
31: 3-3-3
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
4: 0-0-1
Track Flemington
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
9: 1-1-1
Distance 1200m
10: 1-1-2
Distance 1300m
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
24: 2-2-2
Going Soft
7: 1-1-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 56% Profit on Turnover
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 6.5kg from LS run
AAP
Had all before him at turn and went home tamely at York. Capable of making an impact if he gets the breaks.
ILB
Was $9.00 and chased well when 5th last start at York but racing against tougher rivals. Goes down in weight.
RP
Useful in this grade; not disgraced when fifth over 6½f at York (handicap) last month; may be involved.
RSIS
Started 8/1 and made up ground when 5th last start at York but racing in stronger company. Suited by the weight drop.
Career
4: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-1
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Geraldton
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Hot Trainer
Positive
Misty Bazeley in good form, out performing market 31%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 22% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Cleared maiden ranks at Geraldton 30 Sep. No threat to winner but ran on for the minors at Belmont Park following market easing. Has some claims.
ILB
Placed 3rd last start at Belmont. Watch betting.
RP
Lightly raced with this just her fifth appearance; a respectable third of ten at Belmont Park over 7f (handicap) last week; just second start in this company; not many of these impressed last time out so expected to be in the thick of things.
RSIS
Claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd last start at Belmont.
Career
58: 6-2-4
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
6: 1-1-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-0
Track Pinjarra
9: 1-0-0
Track Albany
4: 2-0-0
Track Pinjarra Scarpside
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1720m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
44: 4-2-2
Going Soft
14: 2-0-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 18%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Form at Dist
Negative
Poor strike rate over this distance
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Had all before her at turn and went home tamely at Ascot. Well into preparation now, has some claims.
ILB
Started at $201.00 and ordinary performance when 10th last start at Ascot but will appreciate the drop in grade. Might be ridden for luck. May find these too slick.
RP
A previous winner here; finished tenth of 12 over 7f at Ascot (handicap) 15 days ago; she can be taken on.
RSIS
Was 200/1 and below standard effort when 10th last start at Ascot but stepping down to a lower level. Gets back and needs luck.
Career
47: 2-8-6
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Belmont
7: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
7: 1-1-1
Distance 1600m
5: 0-1-1
Distance 1675m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 0-1-0
Going Good
39: 2-6-5
Going Soft
8: 0-2-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep
AAP
Winless since 30 Nov 2023. Went home tamely at York over this journey at $17. On pacer. Needs to lift to figure. On trust.
ILB
Was $17.00 and struggled with the pace when 7th last run at York but has a good draw. Competing at a higher level of competition. Rather have another day.
RP
Track has proven suitable before; not seen the winners' enclosure for a while now (last win in 2023); behind Cherokee Miss when finishing seventh (York) three weeks ago; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Odds of 16/1 and looked outclassed when 7th last time at York but has a positive stall. Competing at a higher level of competition.