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Cairns (QLD) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Cairns (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 11 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 11 OctCairns (QLD)Change

Race 2 — Remax Powerhouse Hcp 1250m · jumps

Race notes

  • 3Y HCP,3Y HCP,3yo,Open
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

Worthy Gem (1)

1.16

Most career wins

Worthy Gem

2-1-0 from 6 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 8Ostuni

Midfield

  • 2Rocky Prince
  • 5Red Light Power

Firststart

  • 6Bank Interest

Onpace

  • 1Worthy Gem
  • 7Booming Belief

Leader

  • 4Formal Affair

  • Worthy Gem · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Fred Wieland striking at just 9%

  • Rocky Prince · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Formal Affair · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%

  • Red Light Power · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Worthy GemJ: Ryan Wiggins·T: F J Wieland660kg2 1 7 1 46: 2-1-0$1.16$1.02

Career

6: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cairns

    3: 2-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 2-0-0

  • Track Townsville

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 950m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Townsville1200m18 Sept 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT52.02L
  2. 1Cairns1250m29 Aug 2026 · 3&4Y HCP · GOOD4-0.9
  3. 7Townsville1200m6 June 2026 · 2Y-SW · GOOD35.8L
  4. 1Cairns950m29 May 2026 · 2Y MDN · SOFT5-6.6
  5. 2Townsville1000m8 May 2026 · 2Y MDN · SOFT52.4L
  6. 5Cairns950m20 Dec 2025 · 2Y HCP · SOFT512L
  7. 1Cairns850m4 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial-1.4
  8. 1Sunshine Coast850m11 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial-0.3

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Fred Wieland striking at just 9%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 33%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

Comments

AAP

Cairns winner two back. Effort tapered late after showing pace in the small field at Townsville. Has early speed. Respecting in this line-up.

ILB

Odds of $6.50 and gave away some ground when 4th last start at Townsville. Should improve from the last run. Won't be far away during the run. Worth strong consideration.

RP

Last of four (Townsville) last month; a winner over C&D; brings winning form to the table and prospects.

RSIS

Was 11/2 and gave away some ground when 4th last time at Townsville. Happy to overlook that run. Should jump out and bowl along. Strong claims.

2Rocky PrinceJ: Masayuki Abe·T: Trevor & Peter Rowe158kg3 5 1 5 135: 1-0-0$26.00$3.90

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Mackay

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Rockhampton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 950m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 13Townsville1200m6 June 2026 · 2Y-SW · GOOD311.9L
  2. 5Townsville1200m25 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD43.2L
  3. 1Cairns950m15 May 2026 · MDN · HEAVY9-0.1
  4. 5Mackay1100m2 Apr 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD43.88L
  5. 3Rockhampton1000m25 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.9L
  6. 3Rockhampton1000m16 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.5L
  7. 10Rockhampton1050m9 Dec 2025 · 2Y HCP · GOOD421L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (18-weeks). Broke his maiden over 950m at Cairns last campaign. May need this.

ILB

Fresh today after a break. Jumped at $201.00 and clearly outclassed when 13th last start at Townsville but gets the perfect gate. Does take a while to get into stride. Prefer others.

RP

Has won previously at this course; finished towards the rear of 14 four months ago at Townsville in a conditions race; returns from a break today; others are preferred.

RSIS

Resuming. At 200/1 subpar when 13th last time at Townsville but has a nice advantage with a good stall. Likely to get back in the run.

3Hugo's HangoverScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 4Cairns850m12 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)21.5L

Insights

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-1). Trial form uninspiring but obviously better for the experience. Betting may provide a clearer picture.

ILB

3yo by Glenfiddich racing as a debutant for trainer Krystin Allender. Watch betting.

RP

Already gelded; related to 5f winner Queen Of Ssorts; the only newcomer in the field; competitive shout as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

Krystin Allender trained 3yo by Glenfiddich having first race start.

4Formal AffairJ: Ben Kennedy·T: T Button854.5kg7 4 4 1 25: 1-1-0$10.00$2.50

Career

5: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

97

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Cairns

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ipswich

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Bowen1000m15 Sept 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD41.18L
  2. 1Cairns950m28 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.6
  3. 4Kilcoy1200m10 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT63.8L
  4. 4Rockhampton1200m24 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN · SOFT52.88L
  5. 7Ipswich800m6 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN · GOOD44.4L
  6. 2Sunshine Coast Poly Track850m31 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.4L
  7. 2Deagon650m20 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial1.5L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 23% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Broke maiden at Cairns 28 Aug. Found enough to place in small field at Bowen. Makes a strong case in this company.

ILB

Did well to run into 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last start at Bowen. Jockey Ben Kennedy and trainer Tom Button deserve serious attention. Expecting to settle positively. Will go close today.

RP

A previous winner here; seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice; finishing runner-up was a good effort last month (Bowen) over 5f (handicap); has to be feared.

RSIS

Good performance to run into 2nd last start at Bowen. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Should go close.

5Red Light PowerJ: Nathan Thomas·T: Trevor & Peter Rowe454kg6 7 8 7 68: 1-0-0$51.00$6.50

Career

8: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cairns

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Townsville

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Ewan1200m26 Sept 2026 · BM458.03L
  2. 7Townsville1000m8 Sept 2026 · 3&4Y HCP · GOOD46.6L
  3. 8Townsville1200m25 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD45.6L
  4. 7Gordonvale1100m9 May 2026 · CL29.3L
  5. 6Townsville1000m21 Apr 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD43.9L
  6. 1Cairns950m9 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT7-0.2
  7. 4Cairns950m26 Mar 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY98.6L
  8. 5Cairns950m4 Dec 2025 · 2Y HCP · SOFT717.1L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Nathan Thomas in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 17%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Ewan second-up. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Started $2.00 and disappointing effort when 6th last start at Ewan but dropping weight. Looking elsewhere today.

RP

Out of the frame (beaten 8l in sixth) at Ewan last month; a course winner; should go close as shown she can win fairly recently and had excuses last time (hampered).

RSIS

Started Evens and just average when 6th last run at Ewan but gets some weight taken off.

6Bank InterestJ: Ivo Fry·T: R C Ludwig754kg4 5 4 33: 0-0-1$23.00$3.90

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Atherton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gordonvale

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Mareeba

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    3: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Gordonvale1100m3 Oct 2026 · 3yo+1.49L
  2. 4Atherton1000m19 Sept 2026 · CLB1.56L
  3. 5Mareeba900m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+4.5L
  4. 4Deagon650m9 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)6.5L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fought bravely to the wire in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Gordonvale last start. Has an adverse draw. Stiffer opposition here.

ILB

On a short back up. Ran well when 3rd last time at Gordonvale and form has been improving over recent runs. Marginal contender.

RP

Finishing third was a good effort last Saturday at Gordonvale in a maiden; lightly raced (running for just the fourth time).

RSIS

Backs up quickly. In the money when 3rd last time at Gordonvale and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Stable is in form.

7Booming BeliefJ: Sean Cormack·T: F J Wieland254kg4 5 3 2 38: 0-1-3$7.00$2.05

Career

8: 0-1-3

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cairns

    4: 0-0-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 0-0-2

  • Track Townsville

    4: 0-1-1

  • Distance 950m

    4: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    4: 0-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Townsville1000m4 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD41.39L
  2. 2Townsville1200m8 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD41.1L
  3. 3Cairns950m28 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD40.8L
  4. 5Townsville1000m8 May 2026 · 2Y MDN · SOFT54.2L
  5. 4Townsville1000m21 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD41.8L
  6. 4Cairns950m9 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT70.8L
  7. 4Cairns950m12 Mar 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY84.47L
  8. 3Cairns950m4 Dec 2025 · 2Y HCP · SOFT78.7L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Fred Wieland striking at just 9%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Racing Strongly

    Positive

    Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Close-up of late. Midfield, let down intently into the placings at Townsville. Rates highly in this affair.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Nice effort when finishing 3rd last start at Townsville and gets a favourable alley. Has shown early pace in races to date. Very tidy performer.

RP

Has raised her game the last twice but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at eight; minor honours in a handicap last week (7-5, Townsville); hard enough to fancy as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Flashed home late into 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Townsville and has a good draw. Will be positive in the run early. Must respect.

8OstuniJ: Samantha Pointon·T: A G Malliff354kg5 5 8 7 88: 0-1-0$101.00$13.00

Career

8: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cairns

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Townsville

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 950m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Gordonvale1100m3 Oct 2026 · 3yo+7.68L
  2. 7Townsville1200m8 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD49.2L
  3. 8Cairns950m28 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.9L
  4. 5Townsville1200m28 June 2026 · 2Y MDN · GOOD44.8L
  5. 5Townsville1000m16 June 2026 · 2Y MDN · GOOD43.9L
  6. 2Cairns950m29 May 2026 · 2Y MDN · SOFT56.6L
  7. 4Townsville1000m8 May 2026 · 2Y MDN · SOFT53.7L
  8. 7Cairns950m9 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT73.5L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Samantha Pointon current POT is 12% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 9%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 31% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Gordonvale. Keener on others.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Was $2.30 and nothing special when 8th last run at Gordonvale. Hard to see it being competitive today.

RP

Yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at eight; finished behind Bank Interest at Gordonvale last Saturday when last of eight in a maiden; others more persuasive as this is a fairly competitive event.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Started 13/10 and disappointing display when 8th last time at Gordonvale.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.