Seymour (VIC) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 1:49 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Seymour (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 11 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 11 OctSeymour (VIC)Change

Race 10 — National Thoroughbred Week 20-30 Nov (Bm70) 1400m · jumps Sun 11 Oct, 5:25 pm AEDT

Race notes

3yo+,BM70,BM70 HCP,Benchmark 70
SOFT5
Fine
13 runners

Shortest win price

Wetumpka (16)

2.50

Most career wins

Eamonn's Memory

16-9-9 from 87 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

5Russian Meteor
13Savoyard

Offmidfield

4Eamonn's Memory
7Flying Mikki

Midfield

16Wetumpka
17Lofty Thoughts
10Shaalute
15Camp Cable

Offpace

2Hiyaam Proud

Onpace

12Chicago Blues
18Highly Intrigued
6Expeetee

Leader

9Chest Of Gold

Hiyaam Proud · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.
Eamonn's Memory · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Russian Meteor · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%
Expeetee · Negative
Dist Drop
Distance decrease from last start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Bullets HighScratched5––––

Career

26: 4-5-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
2: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 2-1-0
Distance 1600m
5: 0-2-1
Distance 2000m
3: 0-1-1
Going Good
16: 2-4-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
8: 2-0-0

Last starts

8Geelong1125m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.37L
10Flemington1200m18 July 2026 · BM88 · SOFT66.1L
9Flemington1200m4 July 2026 · LISTED QUALITY · SOFT73.5L
9Flemington1800m16 May 2026 · BM84 · GOOD46.3L
4Warrnambool1700m5 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY81.7L
4Mornington1600m18 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · GOOD42.3L
3Warracknabeal1600m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.7L
9Caulfield1400m21 Mar 2026 · BM84 · GOOD415.1L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 60% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Nadia Daniels in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 72%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Sent out $101 when never got into the race at Geelong. New to Seymour. Needs to lift to figure. On trust.

ILB

Couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last start at Geelong but will be well suited at the trip. Competing in a more challenging class.

Held when eighth of nine over 5½f at Geelong (handicap) last month; meeting some horses in good form and not easy to fancy.

RSIS

Weakened under pressure when 8th last start at Geelong but suited at this trip in the past. Rising in grade.

2Hiyaam ProudJ: Stephanie Hateley·T: M M Laurie962kg2 2 2 8 617: 3-5-0$34.00$4.80

Career

17: 3-5-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 2-0-0
Going Good
13: 1-5-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Caulfield1600m7 Feb 2026 · BM84 · GOOD42.5L
8Flemington1600m10 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33L
2Cranbourne1600m27 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD30.4L
2Pakenham1600m13 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L
2Wodonga1590m28 Nov 2025 · Open · GOOD30.4L
7Caulfield1700m15 Nov 2025 · BM74 · GOOD44.2L
6Bendigo1600m29 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.9L
6Sandown1600m14 June 2025 · BM78 HCP · SOFT55.4L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 1070%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 39% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (35-weeks). Proven fresh performer. Has early speed. Can fill the minors here fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up from a 35 week break. Jumped at $6.00 and didn't find the line when 6th last start at Caulfield but challenged by less formidable competitors. Represents significant value.

Finished sixth in February albeit only beaten 2½l at Caulfield over 1m (handicap); quite a while since he tasted success and has lacked consistency of late; back from an absence here; a lot on his plate here and makes little appeal.

RSIS

Fresh today after a break of 35 weeks. Odds of 5/1 and gave away some ground when 6th last time at Caulfield but dropping in class. Will go close.

3BoltsaverScratched15––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -59%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Let-up (43-days). Never in the call at Caulfield over this journey. Can play a role if he gets the breaks.

ILB

Let up. Started at $16.00 and was nothing special when 13th last time at Caulfield but competing at a lower class. Racing consistently this preparation but rising in weight.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Odds of 15/1 and below par when 13th last start at Caulfield but stepping down to a lower level. Showing positive results in recent runs.

4Eamonn's MemoryJ: Jordan Childs·T: Andrew Dale461.5kg4 7 2 1 187: 16-9-9$101.00$11.00

Career

87: 16-9-9

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-1-0
Track Jerilderie
3: 2-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 1-0-0
Going Firm
3: 2-1-0
Going Good
47: 10-4-7
Going Heavy
8: 0-2-0

Last starts

1Jerilderie1400m26 Sept 2026 · JERILDCUP BM78-0.28
1Griffith1350m12 Sept 2026 · BM78 HCP · GOOD3-1.3
2Wagga1200m27 Aug 2026 · IAN REID BM85 · HEAVY100.2L
7Ballarat Synthetic1200m18 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC9.1L
4Narrandera1000m12 July 2026 · BM74 · SOFT74.3L
4Wangaratta1000m14 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY101.7L
4Tumut1400m7 Feb 2026 · BM74 HCP · SOFT63.4L
5Wodonga1300m28 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.3L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form

Comments

AAP

Showed plenty of fight winning Jerilderie Cup at Jerilderie over this journey. This will ask more.

ILB

Secured the win by a slim margin last time at Jerilderie but racing against tougher rivals. Unbeaten last 2 runs. Expected to settle towards the rear. Watch the betting.

Bidding for a hat-trick; landed a narrow success in a handicap at Jerilderie last month; despite that Jerilderie success, may be vulnerable.

RSIS

Managed to come out on top by the slightest of margins last start at Jerilderie but competing in a more challenging grade. Unbeaten last 2 attempts. Could feature here.

5Russian MeteorJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Bill Papazaharoudakis861.5kg10 5 3 1 1026: 5-3-4$34.00$4.80

Career

26: 5-3-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 2-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
6: 1-1-2
Distance 1400m
17: 4-2-1
Distance 1420m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1440m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
19: 3-1-3
Going Soft
5: 0-2-1
Going Synthetic
2: 2-0-0

Last starts

10Flemington1400m12 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD35.9L
1Caulfield1400m4 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD3-0.4
3Pakenham1600m5 Mar 2026 · BM62 · GOOD41.7L
5Pakenham1400m12 Feb 2026 · BM66 · GOOD43.2L
10Flemington1800m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD310.1L
7Sandown1400m26 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD46.1L
3Pakenham1600m28 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.5L
10Bendigo1400m29 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.2L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 7.5kg now

Comments

AAP

Freshened since return. Finished well held at Flemington off long break. Back from Listed level. One for exotics.

ILB

Started at $151.00 and lost ground in the run home when 10th last time at Flemington but stepping down to a lower level. Might have to make up considerable ground. Highly unlikely it will trouble the judge.

Towards the rear of 13 in a Listed handicap (Flemington) four weeks ago; can be a player at this level; he shouldn't be far away if excused most recent run as achieved handicap success two runs back and down in grade.

RSIS

Started at 150/1 and struggled with the pace when 10th last start at Flemington but facing weaker opposition. Gets back and needs luck. Rising in weight.

6ExpeeteeJ: Brittany Button·T: G W Egan761kg4 1 8 4 627: 6-4-3$91.00$10.00

Career

27: 6-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Track Benalla
4: 1-1-1
Track Bendigo
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2100m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
24: 6-3-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

6Wangaratta2000m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35L
4Caulfield Heath1600m9 Feb 2026 · 3UP F&M BM74 HCP · GOOD42.45L
8Flemington1800m10 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.9L
1Sandown2100m26 Dec 2025 · BM66 · GOOD4-1.3
4Sandown2100m10 Dec 2025 · BM66 · GOOD41.6L
1Wodonga2050m28 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.8
7Flemington1700m6 Nov 2025 · 3UP F&M BM70 HCP · GOOD34.5L
5Moonee Valley2040m24 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD33L

Insights

Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (32-weeks). On pacer. Can fill the minors here fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up from a break of 32 weeks. Jumped at $9.50 and finished 6th last start at Wangaratta but dropping in grade. Will be facing a significant drop in distance. Very unlikely.

Held in sixth over 1m2f at Wangaratta (handicap) in February; proven that she knows how to get her head in front (seeking a seventh career win); returns from an absence here; could go well.

RSIS

Fresh after a 32 week break. Started 17/2 and finished 6th last run at Wangaratta but up against a less challenging field. Will be down in distance.

7Flying MikkiJ: Billy Egan·T: D M Noonan260.5kg6 3 2 12 636: 6-4-7$23.00$4.00

Career

36: 6-4-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 2-0-2
Second-up
3: 2-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Sale
2: 1-0-1
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
15: 3-2-2
Distance 1205m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
14: 1-2-4
Going Good
20: 5-2-2

Last starts

6Mornington1200m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT52.13L
12Flemington1410m1 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37L
2Sandown1400m22 July 2026 · BM70 · SOFT61.5L
3Sandown1400m1 July 2026 · BM74 · HEAVY91.8L
6Mornington1200m8 June 2026 · BM70 · SOFT73.4L
1Sale1208m17 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD4-0.3
8Pakenham1200m8 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY86L
9Sandown1400m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.2L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Closed off late from the tail at Mornington. New to Seymour. Others rate stronger.

ILB

At $31.00 came in 6th last start at Mornington but has a good draw. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Has some claims.

Far from disgraced (beaten just over 2l) over 6f at Mornington (handicap) dropped back in distance 15 days ago; others more likely with several rivals in good nick.

RSIS

At 30/1 ran 6th last run at Mornington but will try to take advantage of the stall. Likely to settle back in the field. Betting is the best guide.

8Regal TycoonScratched16––––

Career

21: 5-6-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-2
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Kyneton
1: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-1-1
Track Sale
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
3: 2-1-0
Distance 1307m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
15: 5-3-5
Going Soft
6: 0-3-1

Last starts

3Cranbourne1400m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD41.05L
4Sandown1200m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.5L
8Caulfield1400m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.8L
8Caulfield1400m21 Mar 2026 · BM84 · GOOD47.1L
3Flemington1200m28 Feb 2026 · BM78 · GOOD41.2L
9Geelong1200m3 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.9L
1Cranbourne1300m19 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD4-1.5
1Cranbourne1300m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-2.3

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Set pace and caught late at Cranbourne second-up. Outer barrier but has good gate speed. In the placings only prior run here. Can challenge again.

ILB

Put together a strong on-speed performance when 3rd last start at Cranbourne but up in class. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw.

Has managed five wins from 21 career runs; creditable effort to finish third (Cranbourne) last month; not been able to get her head in front lately so unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Showed strength on the pace initially before fading at the end 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Cranbourne but matched against tougher rivals.

9Chest Of GoldJ: Beau Mertens·T: Julius Sandhu160kg5 1 6 5 1312: 3-2-2$13.00$3.30

Career

12: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham
3: 0-1-1
Track Cranbourne
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
6: 2-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
8: 3-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1

Last starts

13Sandown1400m1 July 2026 · BM74 · HEAVY924.8L
5Sandown1400m3 June 2026 · BM74 · HEAVY86.2L
6Caulfield Heath1500m20 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD43.2L
1Cranbourne1500m22 Nov 2025 · CL3 · GOOD3-0.2
5Cranbourne1400m31 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.2L
3Pakenham1600m17 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT54.5L
3Flemington1630m21 Sept 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD40.8L
1Sandown1400m3 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1.3

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (14-weeks). Fresh form solid without winning. Didn't make much impact in stronger races last prep. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Resumes after a spell. Started $15.00 and gave away some ground when 13th last start at Sandown on a heavy rated track but can save some energy from the alley. Represents value at a price.

Was tailed off (Sandown) in July; proven that he knows how to get his head in front (seeking a fourth career win); he's a serious player.

RSIS

Resuming. Started 14/1 and faded to finish 13th last start at Sandown but has the ideal stall. Beau Mertens is a key engagement. Should race on the pace. Solid chance.

10ShaaluteJ: Bailey Kinninmont·T: M M Laurie1060kg7 3 3 4 227: 6-4-4$12.00$3.20

Career

27: 6-4-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed60%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Flemington
4: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-1-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
13: 2-2-2
Distance 1203m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
7: 3-2-1
Going Good
16: 2-2-2

Last starts

2Bendigo1400m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.25L
4Ballarat Synthetic1200m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.4L
3Ballarat Synthetic1200m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SYNTHETIC1L
3Pakenham Synthetic1200m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD31.8L
7Flemington1200m6 June 2026 · BM84 · HEAVY88.1L
9Caulfield Heath1200m20 May 2026 · BM74 · SOFT63.3L
3Caulfield Heath950m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L
5Flemington1200m31 Dec 2025 · BM70 · GOOD35.6L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Worked hard both ends and narrowly outpointed over today's trip. Leads, handy. Shapes as a rough place prospect.

ILB

Displayed a strong effort throughout the race when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last run at Bendigo but rising in class. May find these too slick.

Has managed six wins from 27 career runs; recent efforts have generally been solid; finishing runner-up was a good effort last month (Bendigo).

RSIS

Claimed late when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last start at Bendigo but facing a stronger grade.

11Endless SummerScratched17––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Insights

Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs

Comments

AAP

Forwardly placed, continued to stick on at Bendigo. On pacer. Not out of this.

ILB

Nice run when 2nd last run at Bendigo but competing at a higher grade. Going well this preparation.

RSIS

In the money when 2nd last run at Bendigo but up against a more competitive field. Running with confidence since coming back from a break.

12Chicago BluesJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: Jason Warren659kg5 10 2 1 111: 3-1-1$13.00$3.30

Career

11: 3-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 1-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-1
Going Soft
6: 1-1-1
Going Good
5: 2-0-0

Last starts

1Morphettville1250m19 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD4-1.17
1Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT5-1.8
2Wangaratta1100m23 Aug 2026 · BM56 · SOFT70.1L
10Seymour1100m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · SOFT75.5L
5Mildura1200m17 July 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42.8L
7Pakenham Synthetic1000m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC9.5L
6Cranbourne1000m6 Feb 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD38L
6Mornington1200m17 Dec 2025 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD44.2L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 32% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Racing in great heart. Impressive come-from-behind win at Morphettville Parks. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Charged home to win last run at Morphettville but facing formidable rivals. Can't knock the form winning 2 on the bounce. Won't be far away during the run. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

Bidding for a hat-trick and admirable career strike-rate (three from 11 to date); won by just over 1l over 6f at Morphettville (handicap) last month; despite that Morphettville success, has questions to answer.

RSIS

Ran on hard when winning last time at Morphettville but taking on stronger rivals. Maintaining a perfect record the last 2 starts. Has shown early pace in races to date. Definite contender.

13SavoyardJ: Ethan Brown·T: C I Brown1359kg1 2 7 44: 1-1-0$2.70$1.32

Career

4: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 1-1-0
Track Caulfield
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 1-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Caulfield1400m19 Sept 2026 · BM84 · GOOD30.6L
7Caulfield1100m15 Aug 2026 · BM74 · SOFT61.8L
2Pakenham1400m26 Feb 2026 · 3UP CLASS 3 SW · GOOD40.2L
1Pakenham1200m16 Jan 2026 · 3-5yo · GOOD4-0.5

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 47% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Ethan Brown 73% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 63%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 68% Profit on Turnover
Hot Jockey
Positive
Ethan Brown in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 73%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Finished within striking distance (Bm84) at Caulfield second-up. All the better, commands attention here.

ILB

Odds of $4.20 and improved late to finish 4th last start at Caulfield but goes up in weight. Great chance.

Good effort when beaten into fourth by half a length last month (Caulfield) upped to this distance; this just his fifth race; Ethan Brown booking heightens interest; capable if in the mood so has claims.

RSIS

Started 10/3 and crept into 4th last run at Caulfield but hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Finishes off strongly. Gets a chance against these.

14EscarpaScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Insights

Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Midfield and worked home solidly at Cranbourne over this trip. In the placings only prior run here. Not out of this.

ILB

Started $12.00 and finished 6th last start at Cranbourne and challenged by more formidable competitors.

RSIS

Was 11/1 and finished 6th last start at Cranbourne and facing stiffer opposition.

15Camp CableJ: Cory Parish·T: Lee & Shannon Hope559kg8 4 5 1 314: 4-2-1$41.00$6.00

Career

14: 4-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 1-0-0
Track Seymour
4: 3-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 3-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1218m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
8: 1-1-1
Going Soft
5: 3-1-0

Last starts

3Seymour800m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.8L
1Seymour1400m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT7-0.4
5Sandown1500m29 July 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY105.1L
4Bendigo1500m5 July 2026 · 0 - 66 · HEAVY92.2L
8Caulfield Heath1500m17 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT61.6L
6Sandown1400m3 June 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY83.7L
1Pakenham1400m8 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY8-0.4
1Seymour1400m13 Apr 2026 · BM56 · SOFT5-1

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 42% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Cory Parish 62% above market expected in L100 Rides
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track And Dist
Positive
Excels at this track and trip
Form At Track
Positive
3 time winner here at Seymour
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (65-days). Sheer display of grit and determination this venue over this journey. Since trialled at Seymour 11 Sep. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Back from a break. Flew home to win last time at this venue and have to respect the form at this trip. Facing stiffer opposition. Betting is the best guide.

Three-time C&D winner, including last time when finishing ahead of 11 rivals (15-2).

RSIS

Back from a break. Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last run at this venue and proven performer at this trip. Proven performer on soft ground. Respect the betting.

16WetumpkaJ: Ben Allen·T: Peter Gelagotis358.5kg8 1 3 4 19: 2-3-1$2.50$1.30

Career

9: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 1-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Sandown
3: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1206m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-2-1
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

1Sale1206m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-2.8
4Sandown1600m6 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM66 · GOOD44.8L
3Caulfield1600m14 Mar 2026 · 3Y SW · GOOD44.3L
1Sale1427m1 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT6-0.1
8Flemington1400m14 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD43.7L
2Pakenham1200m29 Jan 2026 · 3-5Y MDN-SW · GOOD41.5L
4Sandown1300m10 Sept 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.3L
2Sandown1200m20 Aug 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD40.8L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh since resuming. A patient and confident ride secured the result at Sale off long spell. Has each way claims.

ILB

Ran over the top of them when winning last time at Sale but facing a stronger grade. Good chance at a nice price.

Got the job done by just under 3l over 6f at Sale (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Ran on strongly to win last run at Sale but competing at a higher grade. Solid prospects.

17Lofty ThoughtsJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: Alexander Rae1158.5kg3 3 2 1 39: 2-2-3$12.00$3.30

Career

9: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-2
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-1
Track Sale
3: 1-1-1
Distance 1100m
4: 0-1-2
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1213m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 1-1-1
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-1

Last starts

3Caulfield Heath1000m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.8L
1Sale1400m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT6-0.4
2Sale1400m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT60.5L
3Sale1213m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY91.2L
3Murray Bridge1100m13 June 2026 · CL1 · SOFT60.3L
7Caulfield Heath800m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.5L
9Caulfield1400m18 Oct 2025 · 3Y-SWP · GOOD48.2L
2Bendigo1100m5 Oct 2025 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD40.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 69%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Alexander Rae in good form, out performing market 53%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 32% POT in L100 Runners
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Let-up (51-days). Determined effort to secure victory at Sale over today's trip. Since trialled at Caulfield Heath 1 Oct. Can make his presence felt again.

ILB

Freshened up. Rounded them up to win last start at Sale but facing a stronger group of contenders. On an upward trajectory in recent races. Commands respect.

Narrow winner of a handicap at Sale 51 days ago.

RSIS

Back from a let up. Ran home strongly to win last run at Sale but competing at a higher level of competition. Getting better in recent performances. Has claims.

18Highly IntriguedJ: Jett Stanley·T: Saab Hasan1256.5kg1 4 2 1 617: 4-1-1$61.00$7.50

Career

17: 4-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 2-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Albury
1: 1-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 1-0-0
Track Kilmore
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1514m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 4-1-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Mornington1500m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP F&M BM70 HCP · SOFT510.55L
1Geelong1300m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1
2Bendigo800m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)0.8L
4Corowa1400m11 May 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.8L
1Swan Hill1300m12 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD3-1
7Kilmore1600m23 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT79.9L
1Albury1500m7 Nov 2025 · BM66 · GOOD4-1.3
4Yarra Valley1514m25 Oct 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.1L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 760%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Handy but dropped away tamely at Mornington when second-up. Has speed. New to Seymour. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Odds of $17.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last start at Mornington. Should be rolling forward early from the wide alley. Not likely to be troubling the more fancied runners today.

Career record shows her ability to win (wins-runs record of 4-17); last of six over 7½f at Mornington (handicap) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Was 16/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last time at Mornington. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall.

Odds correct as at Sun 11 Oct, 5:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races