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Seymour (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Seymour (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 11 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 11 OctSeymour (VIC)Change

Race 9 — Bet365 Seymour Cup 1600m · jumps

Race notes

  • LISTED,Listed,Open,SEYM CUP
  • SOFT5
  • Fine
  • 13 runners

Shortest win price

Detonator Jack (3)

4.20

Most career wins

Lim's Saltoro

10-3-3 from 20 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 5Doctor Askar

Offmidfield

  • 17My Brothers Keeper

Midfield

  • 16New York Hurricane

Offpace

  • 9Wymark
  • 12Justadeel
  • 13Saganti
  • 3Detonator Jack

Onpace

  • 7Lim's Saltoro
  • 6Immediacy
  • 11Storm Leopard

Leader

  • 4Al Duca
  • 8Magnaspin
  • 14Black Storm

  • Detonator Jack · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 15%

  • Al Duca · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides

  • Doctor Askar · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -56% POT in their L100 Races

  • Immediacy · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 47% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Regal ZeusScratched11––––

Career

39: 12-6-0

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    6: 2-1-0

  • Third-up

    6: 4-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 2-0-0

  • Track Ipswich

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    24: 8-4-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    13: 3-2-0

Last starts

  1. 1Caulfield1440m27 Sept 2026 · LISTED SWP · GOOD4-1.5
  2. 6Sandown1500m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP SW+P · SOFT74.6L
  3. 5Sandown1500m22 Aug 2026 · 3UP HCP · HEAVY84.4L
  4. 17Sunshine Coast1400m4 July 2026 · GLASSHOUSE HCP · SOFT613.6L
  5. 15Ipswich1350m20 June 2026 · EYE LINER · SOFT57.1L
  6. 2Sandown1200m23 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.5L
  7. 4Caulfield1600m7 Feb 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD40.6L
  8. 1Caulfield1400m24 Jan 2026 · BARTON STKS · GOOD3-0.2

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Wonderful competitor. Delivered in dominant style at Caulfield. Should be prominent again. Major player.

ILB

On a short back up. Amongst the placegetters when 3rd last time at Caulfield. Jamie Mott is a bonus. Should be going forward early.

RP

Achieved plenty of success against this sort of company; produced a good effort to finish third over 7f at Caulfield (Listed handicap) yesterday; he's a serious player; was entered at Caulfield Saturday.

RSIS

On a short back up. Tidy effort when 3rd last start at Caulfield. Should jump out and bowl along. Jamie Mott takes the reins today.

2Relentless VoyagerScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Insights

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Long Break

    Negative

    Resumes from a 428 day break (> 300 days)

Comments

AAP

Import returning for second Australian campaign (61-weeks). Seen in stronger company last campaign. Likely to take benefit from this run.

ILB

Back from a break of 61 weeks. Picked up nicely to win last run at Moonee Valley and can find a nice position from the draw. Coming back in trip.

RSIS

Fresh after a break of 61 weeks. Ran on strongly to win last run at Moonee Vstall and has a positive stall. Will be dropping in distance.

3Detonator JackJ: John Allen·T: C Maher458.5kg1 8 2 2 441: 7-7-6$4.20$1.80

Career

41: 7-7-6

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 2-0-1

  • Second-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    6: 2-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    6: 0-2-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    8: 2-1-1

  • Distance 1500m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1523m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    21: 3-3-4

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    17: 3-3-2

Last starts

  1. 4Caulfield2000m27 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.25L
  2. 2Caulfield1600m15 Aug 2026 · BM100 · SOFT61.8L
  3. 2Caulfield Heath1800m8 Aug 2026 · BM100 · SOFT60.4L
  4. 8Caulfield1600m25 July 2026 · BM100 · SOFT66.4L
  5. 1Flemington1600m4 July 2026 · LISTED QUALITY · SOFT7-0.4
  6. 11Flemington1620m20 June 2026 · DAVIDBOURKE · SOFT78.5L
  7. 13Sandown1400m23 May 2026 · BM100 · SOFT712.4L
  8. 3Sandown1600m26 Dec 2025 · LISTED HCP · GOOD42L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 15%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 26%

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Honest stakes horse. Placed (Bm100) at Caulfield 15 Aug. Started $12 when battled home in Open company at Caulfield. A few runs under his belt this campaign, right in the mix.

ILB

Jumped at $12.00 and kept chasing when 4th last start at Caulfield but back to a shorter distance. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Not beaten too far when fourth at Caulfield in a Group 3 upped to 1m2f last month; often been there or thereabouts lately; might find this easier; is a player based on the pick of his form.

RSIS

Started at 11/1 and got going late when 4th last time at Caulfield but coming back in trip. Has some claims.

4Al DucaJ: Mark Zahra·T: A & S Freedman1256.5kg11 2 8 8 224: 8-9-0$6.50$2.40

Career

24: 8-9-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-3-0

  • Second-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 2-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    6: 1-3-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    11: 4-4-0

  • Going Good

    15: 5-6-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 3-2-0

Last starts

  1. 2Ballarat1600m18 Sept 2026 · GOLD NUGGET · GOOD42.5L
  2. 8Caulfield1400m29 Aug 2026 · BM100 · SOFT67.1L
  3. 8Flemington1600m4 July 2026 · LISTED QUALITY · SOFT74.9L
  4. 2Flemington1620m20 June 2026 · DAVIDBOURKE · SOFT70.1L
  5. 11Bendigo1600m2 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.4L
  6. 1Caulfield1600m11 Apr 2026 · ANNIV VASE · SOFT7-0.2
  7. 1Flemington1600m28 Mar 2026 · 3UP HCP · SOFT7-0.4
  8. 2Caulfield1400m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Mark Zahra 36% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Alertly away to lead, stuck on solidly Gold Nugget at Ballarat over this distance. Drawn out but has good gate speed. Each way claims.

ILB

Big effort to place 2nd last time at Ballarat and goes down in weight. Mark Zahra is a suitable booking. Suited on soft going. Running with confidence this preparation. Should progress and will be close.

RP

Finished ahead of three of these in a handicap at Ballarat when second (sent off 14-5) last month; career record shows his ability to win (wins-runs record of 8-24); the trainer has enjoyed plenty of winners of late and Mark Zahra a good booking; is passed over with tougher test on the cards.

RSIS

Was found wanting late when 2nd last start at Ballarat and gets a reduction in weight. Mark Zahra rates highly. Exhibiting good form lately. Expect support.

5Doctor AskarJ: Craig Williams·T: C J Waller856.5kg6 13 9 13 525: 8-4-2$23.00$4.40

Career

25: 8-4-2

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wanganui

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Waverley

    4: 1-2-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1400m

    11: 6-1-2

  • Distance 1600m

    5: 2-1-0

  • Going Good

    8: 2-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    13: 6-2-1

Last starts

  1. 5Randwick1200m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)8.9L
  2. 13Rosehill2000m30 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY910.1L
  3. 9Gosford2100m9 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.6L
  4. 13Caulfield2000m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.3L
  5. 6Ellerslie2000m7 Mar 2026 · WFA · SOFT54.14L
  6. 1Trentham1600m17 Jan 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT6-0.1
  7. 2Trentham1600m3 Jan 2026 · OPN HCP · SOFT52.3L
  8. 5Trentham1400m20 Dec 2025 · WFA · SOFT51.2L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -56% POT in their L100 Races

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (19-weeks). Trialled quietly at Randwick. First time around Seymour. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Resuming from a spell. Was $91.00 and gave away some ground when 13th last time at Rosehill but proven performer at this trip in the past. Down in trip. Not interested.

RP

Achieved plenty of success against this sort of company but not always shown an awful lot since winning a Group 2 at Trentham in January; held in 13th over 1m2f at Rosehill (Listed handicap) in May; Craig Williams a noteworthy booking; returning from a layoff here; easy to oppose as has a lot on his plate here.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. Was 90/1 and didn't find the line when 13th last time at Rosehill but will be well suited at the trip. Back in trip.

6ImmediacyJ: Ethan Brown·T: T Busuttin & N Young256kg7 3 6 6 820: 5-1-1$5.50$2.15

Career

20: 5-1-1

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Flemington

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    16: 4-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Flemington1400m12 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD35.1L
  2. 6Caulfield2000m9 May 2026 · 3UP BM100 HCP · SOFT73.8L
  3. 6Mornington2400m18 Apr 2026 · LISTED HCP · GOOD43.1L
  4. 3Caulfield2000m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.6L
  5. 7Flemington2000m7 Mar 2026 · 3UP SWP · GOOD35.9L
  6. 6Caulfield2000m21 Feb 2026 · LISTED QUALITY · GOOD42.9L
  7. 2Caulfield1600m7 Feb 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD40.2L
  8. 14Eagle Farm2400m31 May 2025 · GROUP 3 · HEAVY810.7L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 47% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 13%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Ethan Brown winning at 49% POT in last 100 rides

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh. Battled away in listed company at Flemington off spell at $71 last time. Place claims preferred.

ILB

Came in 8th last start at Flemington but has a good draw. Likes the cut in the ground. Rates as one of the key chances.

RP

Could not manage better than eighth at Flemington over 7f (Listed handicap) last month; successful five times from 20 career runs; Ethan Brown a good booking; not dismissed with a bit more luck as excuses last time (checked) and he has shown signs of promise in the past.

RSIS

Finished 8th last time at Flemington but has a good draw. Prefers the sting out of the ground with 1 win from 2 attempts. Very tidy performer.

7Lim's SaltoroJ: Craig Newitt·T: D Meagher755.5kg2 11 3 9 320: 10-3-3$7.00$2.50

Career

20: 10-3-3

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 2-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-2-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Caulfield

    5: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1400m

    6: 2-1-0

  • Distance 1440m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 2-0-0

  • Going Good

    15: 8-2-2

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-1-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Caulfield1440m27 Sept 2026 · LISTED SWP · GOOD41.6L
  2. 9Flemington1400m12 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD35.8L
  3. 3Morphettville1200m8 Aug 2026 · BEHEMOTH · SOFT71.9L
  4. 11Caulfield1400m12 July 2025 · BM100 HCP · SOFT630.3L
  5. 2Caulfield1440m28 June 2025 · HCP · SOFT60.3L
  6. 4Caulfield1600m31 May 2025 · BM100 HCP · GOOD41.5L
  7. 5Caulfield1400m10 May 2025 · BM100 HCP · GOOD42.9L
  8. 2Kranji2000m5 Oct 2024 · GROUP 1 · GOOD0.3L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Handy, knuckled down with purpose at Caulfield last time out behind Regal Zeus. Work a look.

ILB

Strong effort to run into 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at Caulfield. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

RP

Fully effective over this distance with all ten wins over this trip; solid effort in defeat to finish third after going off 18-1 at Caulfield over 7f (Listed race) when behind the reopposing Regal Zeus 14 days ago; others appeal more as looks more likely to place than win.

RSIS

Made some ground late when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at Caulfield. Shows good early pace. Exhibiting good form since resuming from a break. Good potential.

8MagnaspinJ: Declan Bates·T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin354.5kg6 10 2 7 1047: 8-6-6$21.00$4.40

Career

47: 8-6-6

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-2-0

  • Second-up

    6: 2-0-1

  • Third-up

    6: 0-2-1

  • Fourth-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    6: 2-0-1

  • Track Sandown

    4: 2-0-1

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1620m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1800m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 2-0-1

  • Going Soft

    19: 3-3-2

  • Going Good

    24: 3-3-3

Last starts

  1. 10Caulfield2000m29 Aug 2026 · Open · SOFT67L
  2. 7Caulfield Heath1800m8 Aug 2026 · BM100 · SOFT64.5L
  3. 2Caulfield1600m25 July 2026 · BM100 · SOFT62.3L
  4. 10Caulfield1400m11 July 2026 · BM100 · SOFT73.3L
  5. 6Caulfield1400m27 June 2026 · HCP · SOFT74.5L
  6. 5Flemington2000m7 Mar 2026 · 3UP SWP · GOOD34.3L
  7. 1Caulfield2000m21 Feb 2026 · LISTED QUALITY · GOOD4-0.8
  8. 2Caulfield2000m7 Feb 2026 · 3UP · GOOD41L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (43-days). Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Caulfield over longer assignment. Gets the gun run. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Freshened for this. Was $41.00 and well beaten when 10th last time at Caulfield and coming back in distance. Has plenty of early speed. Respect the betting.

RP

Finished tenth, beaten 7l, (Caulfield) 43 days ago in a handicap; is passed over as facing tougher company.

RSIS

Let up. Odds of 40/1 and weakened under pressure when 10th last run at Caulfield and back to a shorter distance. Will be positive in the run early. Watch betting.

9WymarkJ: Jett Stanley·T: Gavin Bedggood554kg3 1 1 12 326: 7-2-4$12.00$3.60

Career

26: 7-2-4

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-2

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    4: 2-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    18: 4-2-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 3-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Ballarat1600m18 Sept 2026 · GOLD NUGGET · GOOD43L
  2. 12Mornington2400m18 Apr 2026 · LISTED HCP · GOOD49.8L
  3. 1Stawell2000m5 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1
  4. 1Yarra Valley1950m15 Mar 2026 · HCP · GOOD4-0.8
  5. 3Wangaratta2000m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.7L
  6. 5Gold Coast2200m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP QUALITY · GOOD44.9L
  7. 6Gold Coast1800m10 Jan 2026 · 3UP WFA · GOOD42.5L
  8. 1Caulfield Heath1800m20 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM84 HCP · GOOD4-2.3

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 73%

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Gavin Bedggood in good form, out performing market 76%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 53% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Gave a good sight making the frame at Ballarat off extended spell. New to Seymour. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Ran 3rd last time at Ballarat and gets a reduction in weight. Likes the cut in the ground with 3 wins. Watch the betting.

RP

Record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 7-26); solid effort when beaten 3l to finish third (Ballarat) 23 days ago in a handicap; makes limited appeal with tougher test on the cards.

RSIS

Tidy effort when 3rd last time at Ballarat and goes down in weight. Likes the cut in the ground. Watch the betting.

10StatuarioScratched13––––

Career

22: 3-4-3

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Ballarat

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Flemington

    4: 0-2-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2000m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2400m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    14: 3-3-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-0-3

Last starts

  1. 10Ballarat1600m18 Sept 2026 · GOLD NUGGET · GOOD47.69L
  2. 12Caulfield1600m11 Apr 2026 · ANNIV VASE · SOFT79.5L
  3. 8Flemington1600m28 Mar 2026 · 3UP HCP · SOFT74.8L
  4. 5Caulfield Heath1000m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.3L
  5. 4Pakenham2500m13 Dec 2025 · LISTED HCP · GOOD43.9L
  6. 3Ballarat2000m6 Dec 2025 · BRAT CUP · SOFT64.5L
  7. 13Cranbourne1600m22 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.2L
  8. 2Flemington1400m6 Nov 2025 · Benchmark 90 · GOOD30.8L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 14% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 51% Profit on Turnover

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Dist Stats

    Negative

    Has struggled at this distance range

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Long winning drought. Failed to threaten (wide barrier) at Ballarat off extended spell. New to Seymour. Others rate stronger.

ILB

Started $18.00 and fairly underwhelming when 10th last run at Ballarat but suited by the weight drop.

RP

Beaten 8l in a handicap (Ballarat) when he was behind several of these rivals last month; this represents a step up in class so hard to recommend.

RSIS

At 17/1 disappointing effort when 10th last time at Ballarat but will benefit with the weight drop.

11Storm LeopardJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes154kg5 1 3 5 129: 3-1-1$4.80$1.95

Career

9: 3-1-1

Rating · IRD

95

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 12Flemington1700m12 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD37.6L
  2. 5Caulfield1400m29 Aug 2026 · BM100 · SOFT63.7L
  3. 3Randwick2400m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo · SOFT73.6L
  4. 1Rosehill2000m28 Mar 2026 · 3yo · SOFT6-1.8
  5. 5Caulfield1600m14 Mar 2026 · 3Y SW · GOOD44.4L
  6. 1Ballarat1600m14 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD4-2.5
  7. 2Pakenham1400m29 Jan 2026 · BM62 · GOOD41.8L
  8. 1Geelong1530m12 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.4

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Knocked up after showing speed at Flemington second-up. May pay to forgive that run. Can bounce back here.

ILB

Started $2.60 and didn't attack the line when 12th last run at Flemington. Capable of bouncing back and drawn the rails. Should go very close.

RP

Finished just behind Justadeel when towards the rear at Flemington last month upped to 1m½f in a handicap; this is his grade; this looks tougher but one to be interested in.

RSIS

Started 8/5 and didn't threaten when 12th last time at Flemington. Capable of bouncing back and has minimal work to do from the draw. Definite contender.

12JustadeelJ: Michael Dee·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes954kg10 4 4 11 417: 4-3-3$14.00$3.90

Career

17: 4-3-3

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 1-2-2

  • Going Good

    9: 3-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-2-1

Last starts

  1. 4Tatura850m30 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
  2. 11Flemington1700m12 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD37.5L
  3. 4Sandown1500m22 Aug 2026 · 3UP HCP · HEAVY82.6L
  4. 4Rosehill1300m1 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM94 HCP · SOFT51.6L
  5. 10Flemington1600m28 Mar 2026 · 3UP HCP · SOFT76.4L
  6. 2Echuca1400m8 Mar 2026 · ECHA CUP · GOOD40.1L
  7. 1Caulfield Heath1000m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1.3
  8. 3Caulfield1400m24 Jan 2026 · BARTON STKS · GOOD31L

Insights

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Failed to threaten at Flemington. Since trialled at Tatura 30 Sep. Look for a bold showing.

ILB

At $4.40 didn't find the line when 11th last time at Flemington but proven performer at this distance in the past. Very capable of taking this out.

RP

Below expectations when 11th at 100-30 at Flemington over 1m½f (handicap) four weeks ago; career wins-runs record of 4-17 but has gained all his wins at a lower level; facing a tougher assignment than last time, others appeal more.

RSIS

At 10/3 lost ground in the run home when 11th last start at Flemington but hard to fault at the distance. Great chance.

13SagantiJ: Harry Coffey·T: Shane Jackson1054kg7 12 3 13 1416: 1-3-3$34.00$6.00

Career

16: 1-3-3

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Compiegne

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Saint Cloud

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1799m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1999m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    9: 1-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 14Mornington2400m18 Apr 2026 · LISTED HCP · GOOD435.2L
  2. 13Rosehill2400m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT610.3L
  3. 3Caulfield2000m21 Feb 2026 · LISTED QUALITY · GOOD41.1L
  4. 12Caulfield1600m7 Feb 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD44.3L
  5. 7Flemington1400m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · GOOD34.9L
  6. 5Randwick1800m26 Apr 2025 · 3UP BM94 HCP · SOFT64.8L
  7. 3Hawkesbury1600m9 Apr 2025 · BenchMark 94 · GOOD40.03L
  8. 5Rosehill2000m2 Nov 2024 · GROUP 3 3UP QUALITY · GOOD41.23L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (25-weeks). Ex M Price & M Kent Jnr in Victoria. Last success was 30 Aug 2023. Prefer to see.

ILB

Racing fresh today after a break. Started at $26.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 14th last run at Mornington and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Rough chance.

RP

Finished tailed off over 1m4f at Mornington (Listed handicap) in April; returns from a layoff; first start for new yard; this line-up contains some strong opposition so has some questions to answer.

RSIS

Back from a break. Started at 25/1 and faded away to finish 14th last run at Mornington and will be down in distance. First start for a new trainer.

14Black StormJ: Teodore Nugent·T: T Fitzsimmons1154kg2 5 9 2 525: 6-10-1$20.00$4.40

Career

25: 6-10-1

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 2-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Albury

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    12: 3-6-0

  • Distance 1620m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    20: 4-10-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Caulfield Heath1500m8 Aug 2026 · BM84 · SOFT65.9L
  2. 2Mildura1400m17 July 2026 · HCP · GOOD40.4L
  3. 9Caulfield1700m27 June 2026 · BM78 · SOFT73.3L
  4. 5Swan Hill1600m7 June 2026 · HCP · SOFT51.6L
  5. 2Warracknabeal1600m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.5L
  6. 1Albury1600m19 Mar 2026 · ALBURYMILE BM90 · SOFT7-0.9
  7. 7Caulfield1400m21 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.1L
  8. 2Caulfield1600m24 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD30.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 38%

  • 1st Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 2 from 3 when resuming

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (64-days). Great run at Mildura 17 Jul. Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Caulfield Heath. Remote place hope at best fresh in this company.

ILB

Goes well when fresh. Started at $17.00 and ran 5th last start at Caulfield Heath and up against a higher level of opposition. Needs significant improvement.

RP

Beaten 6l in fifth over 7½f at Caulfield (handicap) in August; successful six times from 16 career runs; others are preferred given likely tougher test.

RSIS

Has multiple wins first run back. Started at 16/1 and ran 5th last run at Caulfield Heath and up in class. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw.

15Ocean BeyondScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Comments

AAP

Went home just tamely at Ballarat at $31. Has a tricky draw. First time around Seymour. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Finished 7th last time at Ballarat.

RSIS

Came in 7th last time at Ballarat.

16New York HurricaneJ: Beau Mertens·T: Liam Howley654kg1 10 7 8 850: 8-10-5$34.00$6.00

Career

50: 8-10-5

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    6: 0-3-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 2-1-0

  • Track Flemington

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    4: 1-0-1

  • Track Caulfield

    6: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1620m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1765m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    32: 4-7-4

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Ballarat1600m18 Sept 2026 · GOLD NUGGET · GOOD45.44L
  2. 8Sandown1600m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.4L
  3. 7Flemington1620m1 Aug 2026 · BM78 · GOOD35.5L
  4. 10Sandown1600m22 July 2026 · BM74 · SOFT66.5L
  5. 1Pakenham Synthetic1400m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC-0.5
  6. 2Yarra Valley1950m15 Mar 2026 · HCP · GOOD40.8L
  7. 1Wangaratta2000m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.2
  8. 2Camperdown1600m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · GOOD30.3L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Liam Howley striking at just 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Started $31 when safely held in Open company at Ballarat over this trip. First time around Seymour. Has work to do on recent figures.

ILB

Jumped at $31.00 and came in 8th last time at Ballarat. Can't have on what it has been showing.

RP

Held in eighth at Ballarat three weeks ago in a handicap; grade looks suitable.

RSIS

Was 30/1 and ran 8th last run at Ballarat.

17My Brothers KeeperJ: Nadia Daniels·T: S V Brown1354kg4 10 3 8 1245: 4-3-10$71.00$11.00

Career

45: 4-3-10

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    17: 0-1-5

  • Distance 1400m

    6: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1800m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2000m

    15: 1-1-5

  • Going Good

    27: 3-1-7

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    17: 1-2-3

Last starts

  1. 12Caulfield1800m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD38.36L
  2. 8Caulfield1400m29 Aug 2026 · BM84 · SOFT65.3L
  3. 3Flemington1800m16 May 2026 · BM84 · GOOD41.4L
  4. 10Bendigo2200m2 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.6L
  5. 4Caulfield2000m11 Apr 2026 · BM74 · SOFT71.2L
  6. 5Flemington2000m28 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · HEAVY83.6L
  7. 3Yarra Valley1950m15 Mar 2026 · HCP · GOOD41.2L
  8. 7Flemington2000m28 Feb 2026 · BM84 · GOOD45L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Stephen Brown striking at just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 41%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Long winless run. Never in the call at Caulfield second-up. Usually gets back. Keener on others.

ILB

Started $26.00 and didn't threaten when 12th last run at Caulfield and competing at a higher grade. Expected to settle towards the rear. Will benefit with the weight drop. Pass.

RP

Finished towards the rear of 13 at Caulfield over 1m1f (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Odds of 25/1 and was well beaten when 12th last start at Caulfield and challenged by a tougher grade. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Dropping weight.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races