Shortest win price
More Foxie (3)
4.00
The Seymour maiden plate over 1600 metres has kicked off on a soft track, and the market has sorted itself around a trio of proven performers. More Foxie holds the shortest win odds, with Dela Bella and Dance Day sitting next in the order. More Foxie arrives on a quick back-up after running third at both Pakenham Synthetic and Sale, posting placings just days apart. The form comment flags her as sharper now and suggests she'll take stopping in this company—a storyline that carries weight given she's shown enough to attract early market support. Dela Bella, by contrast, has been grinding away at the lower rungs, though she did grab second at Bendigo at fat odds of $31 on her second-up run, and her finishing sectionals at that track were quick. Dance Day is making debut after a pass-mark trial at the Heath, with Craig Williams in the saddle and a $130K purchase price on her CV, so there's breeding and connections nous behind her entry.
More Foxie's form line reads as solid maiden work. She's tackled stronger tracks than Seymour in her two starts and shown a willingness to fight, though she hasn't quite crossed the line yet. T Rogers' stable is currently underperforming the market by 25 per cent, which tempers enthusiasm, and a 13 per cent career strike-rate doesn't scream stability. Still, Jamie Mott is aboard, and the comment about her knuckling down with purpose at Pakenham holds narrative appeal. Dela Bella has raced 13 times without a win, but her recent Bendigo runs—especially that slick finish to grab second by a whisker—suggest she's getting closer. Ryan Hurdle has been outperforming his career average by 23 per cent, and she's clocked the fastest finishing sectionals in her last start. The concern is the soft track at Seymour; she's only tackled SOFT5 once, when she ran second at Bendigo just days ago.
Circus Moon deserves a mention as a roughie. The form reads modest—three starts for no wins—but the AAP comment notes she wasn't disgraced at Cranbourne latest and could improve stepping out to 1600 metres. More intriguingly, her map position at Seymour is outperforming market expectations by 28 per cent, and M M Laurie's stable has been running at 16 per cent POT over the last 100 runners. She's a backmarker by speed map, so punters chasing a wider offering might find appeal in her case, particularly for a place.
Shortest win price
More Foxie (3)
4.00
Back left · leaders right
Firststart
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Brilliant Bull Ant · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Handsome Missile · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
More Foxie · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 13%
Riverlea Prince · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 42% in Last 100 Rides
Career
16: 0-5-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
3: 0-2-0
Track Wangaratta
3: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-3-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Olivia Osborne striking at just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 37%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
AAP
Backing up quickly. Serial maiden but recent form encouraging. Just missed at Ballarat 18 Sep. Restrained from wide gate, let down late into the minors at Bendigo. Has claims.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Made some ground late when 2nd last start at Bendigo. Should get going late. Has the ratings to win this.
RP
Shown recent signs of improvement and string of creditable efforts to his name of late; gave good account to finish runner-up at Bendigo over 6½f (maiden) last Sunday; not been able to get his head in front lately so is passed over.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Kept chasing when 2nd beaten by 2L last start at Bendigo. Should get going late. Strong chance.
Career
10: 0-4-2
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-2-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-1
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1312m
2: 0-2-0
Going Good
6: 0-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -70% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Continues to hold form with another solid finish last time. Ridden in back half, strong late to fill the minors 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Cranbourne. Distance increase suits. Can challenge again.
ILB
Came on strongly to finish 3rd last time at Cranbourne and can find a nice position from the draw. Producing consistent results since resuming from a spell. Good potential.
RP
Stepped up on his last two starts; ran encouragingly when just under 2l third at Cranbourne over 7f (maiden), finished ahead of Circus Moon last month; first-time cheekpieces now go on; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so makes little appeal.
RSIS
Finished well when 3rd last start at Cranbourne and has a good draw. Tracking very well in recent runs. Should go very close.
Career
2: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Sale
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1415m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-2
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 13%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
AAP
On a short back-up. Supported in early runs. Handy, knuckled down with purpose at Pakenham Synthetic. Sharper now, will take stopping in this company.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Finished with intent when 3rd last run at Pakenham Synthetic. Jamie Mott is in good form for this stable. Definite claims for punters.
RP
Creditable effort to finish third at Pakenham over 7f (maiden) a week ago.
RSIS
On a short back up. Managed to run into 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last run at Pakenham Synthetic. Jamie Mott and Tina Rogers are a strong team. Commands respect.
Career
8: 0-2-2
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-2
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-1-0
Track Kilmore
3: 0-0-2
Track Seymour
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-2-1
Distance 1607m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-2-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 42% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Key Rider
Positive
Cory Parish 62% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 58%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Cory Parish in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 62%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Fresh. Rarely far away. Refused to shirk task in 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Kilmore second-up. Sharper now, sound claims.
ILB
Attacked the line when 3rd beaten by 1L last start at Kilmore. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts this preparation. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Remote chance at best.
RP
Has kicked on in his last couple of races; went close when third (close behind Hot Spirit, Kilmore) 28 days ago.
RSIS
Did well to run into 3rd last time at Kilmore. In the placings at every start lately. Likely to get back.
Career
13: 0-3-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
3: 0-2-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
5: 0-2-0
Going Good
8: 0-1-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 134%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 56%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 29% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Great run at Bendigo 6 Sep. Came home with a wet sail to grab second 3yo+ F&M Mdn Plate at Bendigo second-up at odds of $31. First time around Seymour. Looks up against it.
ILB
Was agonizingly close last time at Bendigo. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts this preparation. Tough ask.
RP
Seems to be improving based on last two runs; cracking effort in defeat when close runner-up over 7f at Bendigo (maiden) 21 days ago; hard enough to fancy as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
Was agonizingly close last start at Bendigo. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts recently.
Career
8: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2007m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 17% lower than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong at Kilmore when second-up. Has a tricky draw to contend with this time. Better showing latest and danger with repeat.
ILB
Produced an eye catching run when 2nd last start at Kilmore. Will need to find a few more lengths.
RP
Appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; beaten narrowly finished just ahead of Riverlea Prince (Kilmore) last month.
RSIS
Zipped home into 2nd last run at Kilmore.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
AAP
Started $26 when safely held in Maiden company at Bendigo after lengthy absence. Others rate stronger.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Jumped at $9.50 and ran 4th last run at Ballarat.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Started 17/2 and came in 4th last start at Ballarat.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -55% POT in their L100 Races
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
AAP
Backing up quickly. Started $21 when safely held in Maiden company in rain affected going at Bendigo last start. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Looked outclassed when 7th last time at Bendigo.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Weakened under pressure when 7th last time at Bendigo.
Career
3: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-1
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1347m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1415m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Not disgraced at Cranbourne latest outing. Could improve out to 1600m. Place preferred option.
ILB
Started at $15.00 and moved ahead of some to finish 5th last start at Cranbourne. Always seems to find the line well. Could be in the mix.
RP
Winless in three starts but has shown promise with third his top showing; not disgraced when fifth at Cranbourne over 7f (maiden, close behind Handsome Missile) last month.
RSIS
Odds of 14/1 and moved through the field into 5th last time at Cranbourne. Displays very good closing pace. Watch the betting.
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Firststart
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). Cost $130K and out of a Showcasing mare La Jolie Fille. Just a pass mark in recent Heath trial and will need to show more on debut. Craig Williams engaged. Betting may provide a clearer picture.
ILB
Noverre 3yo trained by Allan Williams & Jason Williams having first race appearance. Keep your eye on the market.
RP
Shares a dam with Bourbon Chique, a 6½f winner; New Zealander bred; the only newcomer in the field; leading claims with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
3yo by Noverre having initial appearance for trainer Allan Williams & Jason Williams.
Career
2: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Kilmore
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1450m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
A & A Yargi striking at just 7%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 67%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Courageous effort in the 3yo Mdn Plate at Kilmore at second start. Stripping fitter, can make his presence felt with even luck.
ILB
Was strong late when 2nd last start at Kilmore. The wide draw shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.
RP
Solid effort when beaten just under 2l to finish runner-up at Kilmore over 7f (maiden) two weeks ago; a likely player.
RSIS
Picked up late ground when 2nd last start at Kilmore. Has the pace to overcome the wide draw. Definitely worth considering.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -66% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Gave solid chase in a good effort at Coleraine second-up. Encouraging latest but needs to progress further here.
ILB
On a quick back up. Close up last time at Manangatang and has a nice advantage with a good draw.
RSIS
On a short back up. Just short of the win last run at Manangatang and can save some energy from the draw.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
With leading stable but a very soft debut performance at Warrnambool when drifting in the betting 21 Sep. May need more racing. Hard to enthuse.
ILB
Was $26.00 and came in 6th last run at Warrnambool but having second race start. Have to look elsewhere.
RP
Finished sixth of 11 on his debut over 7f at Warrnambool at 25-1 last month; excuses last time (crowded) and definite chance.
RSIS
Started 25/1 and ran 6th last start at Warrnambool but having second career run.
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Offpace
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 26% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Shown early promise and been the subject of support. Ridden cold, produced solid finish late at Bendigo at his second race start. Scope for improvement. Each way claims.
ILB
Was competitive when 3rd last time at Bendigo. Been in the money each start this campaign.
RSIS
Did well when 3rd last start at Bendigo. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts recently.