Seymour (VIC) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Seymour (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 11 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 11 OctSeymour (VIC)Change

Race 8 — Seymour Park (Bm74) 1100m · jumps Sun 11 Oct, 4:20 pm AEDT

Race notes

3yo+,BM74,BM74 HCP,Benchmark 74
SOFT5
Fine
14 runners

Shortest win price

Educated (7)

3.00

Most career wins

Big Day Out

13-13-17 from 96 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

2Fission
12Jakivy

Midfield

6Big Day Out
8Interest Point
14Fluent
15Farcited
17Just For Show

Offpace

11Yolo
4Castellar

Onpace

7Educated

Leader

1Brenlyn's Legacy
9La Astro Chat
13Narcissist
18Electric Elvis

Brenlyn's Legacy · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races
Fission · Negative
Needs To Imp
Finished towards the tail last start
Castellar · Positive
Trainer Form
In form stable, out performing market expectations 76%
Big Day Out · Positive
Key Rider
Jett Stanley 33% above market expected in L100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Brenlyn's LegacyJ: Brittany Button·T: Andrew Dale560.5kg7 9 2 9 111: 5-2-0$31.00$6.00

Career

11: 5-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Narrandera
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 1-1-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 2-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 2-0-0
Going Good
6: 4-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 1-1-0

Last starts

1Bendigo1100m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT6-0.35
9Caulfield Heath1000m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.32L
2Bendigo1000m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY80.8L
9Narrandera1000m12 July 2026 · BM74 · SOFT79.1L
7Albury900m20 Mar 2026 · FLAT KNACKER 94 · SOFT63.6L
6Kilmore1000m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.9L
6Morphettville1250m14 Feb 2026 · 3Y BM72 HCP · GOOD36.1L
1Albury900m5 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial-1.5

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. On pace (wide barrier) and toughed it out well in choppy conditions at Bendigo over this journey. Draws to do no work. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Reeled them in to win last run at Bendigo. Has plenty of early speed. Respect the betting.

Career wins-runs record of 5-11; scored narrowly in a handicap at Bendigo last Sunday; hard to dismiss.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Reeled them in when winning last start at Bendigo. Should be going forward early. Watch for a sign in the market.

2FissionJ: Jamie Mott·T: R D Griffiths1460kg3 6 6 8 839: 5-5-7$23.00$4.60

Career

39: 5-5-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-2
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
14: 3-3-3
Distance 1100m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
16: 2-1-1
Going Good
26: 5-4-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
12: 0-1-3

Last starts

8Mornington1200m18 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD46.8L
8Flemington1100m28 Mar 2026 · BM78 · HEAVY82.4L
6Flemington1200m28 Feb 2026 · BM78 · GOOD41.7L
6Flemington1200m14 Feb 2026 · BM90 · GOOD43.6L
3Flemington1200m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · GOOD32.5L
1Flemington1200m10 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.5
5Cranbourne1200m27 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM84 HCP · GOOD32.3L
9Caulfield1100m15 Nov 2025 · BM74 · GOOD44.4L

Insights

Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (25-weeks). Not beaten far Benchmark 84 company at Moonee Valley first-up last preparation. Seen in stronger company last campaign. Hard to warm to.

ILB

First up after a break. Was $31.00 and nothing special when 8th last run at Mornington but facing a weaker grade. Likely to get back in the field. Looking elsewhere today.

Held when eighth of nine at Mornington over 6f (handicap) six months ago; subpar since successful in a handicap at Flemington in January; layoff to overcome; this looks a fair heat so not one to rely on.

RSIS

First run back from a break. At 30/1 disappointing run when 8th last start at Mornington but going down in grade. Gets back and needs luck.

3BacashScratched14––––

Career

16: 3-3-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Moonee Valley
2: 0-0-1
Track Sandown
1: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
5: 0-2-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1200m
6: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 1-1-1
Going Good
9: 2-2-2

Last starts

8Mornington1200m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT52.73L
7Flemington1200m16 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD45.1L
7Bendigo1400m2 May 2026 · 3yo · GOOD34.8L
3Caulfield1200m11 Apr 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT73.3L
3Flemington1100m28 Mar 2026 · 3yo · HEAVY80.2L
10Flemington1400m4 Nov 2025 · 3yo · SOFT55.9L
1Caulfield1400m18 Oct 2025 · 3Y-SWP · GOOD4-2
2Sandown1400m27 Sept 2025 · 3YC&G-QLTY HCP · GOOD30.1L

Insights

Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kept finding the line without threatening at Mornington off spell. Better conditioned. Warrants attention.

ILB

Odds of $6.50 and folded up in the straight when 8th last time at Mornington.

Not disgraced when eighth of 11 at Mornington over 6f (handicap) last month; form has an up and down look to it; easy to oppose as this looks a decent race.

RSIS

Odds of 11/2 and struggled with the pace when 8th last run at Mornington.

4CastellarJ: Craig Williams·T: Gavin Bedggood1359.5kg1 3 10 7 516: 4-2-2$8.50$2.90

Career

16: 4-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
3: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1000m
12: 4-2-1
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 3-2-2
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Caulfield Heath1000m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.16L
7Mornington1000m18 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD42.2L
10Flemington1100m28 Mar 2026 · BM78 · HEAVY83.8L
3Caulfield1100m21 Feb 2026 · BM78 · GOOD41.3L
1Caulfield1000m31 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.8
3Flemington1000m10 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.8L
7Sandown1000m12 Mar 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT610.6L
5Moonee Valley1000m7 Feb 2025 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD44.25L

Insights

Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 76%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 53% POT in L100 Runners
2nd Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when second up
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ran on soundly from midfield at Caulfield Heath after lengthy absence. Cranbourne jump-out winner since. Fitter and can make his presence felt here.

ILB

Started at $8.00 and ran 5th last run at Caulfield Heath. Rates as one of the key chances.

Has achieved four wins from 16 career runs and has been fairly consistent lately; split a number of these rivals over 5f at Caulfield (handicap) when fifth beaten just over 2l last month; in the mix.

RSIS

Started 7/1 and finished 5th last run at Caulfield Heath. Definite winning chance.

5WingsandpropellersScratched13––––

Career

7: 4-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 1-0-0
Track Kerang
1: 1-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 2-1-0
Distance 1125m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 4-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

1Tatura850m30 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.3
9Bendigo1100m2 May 2026 · BM84 · GOOD36.3L
1Geelong1125m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.3
1Stawell1100m5 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.2
1Ballarat1000m20 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD3-1.3
1Kerang1100m27 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.8
2Wodonga1100m28 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.8L
3Echuca1200m4 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT0.35L

Insights

Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (23-weeks). In the minors at Echuca on debut last campaign while winning a recent trial without much pressure. Even so, faces a tough assignment here.

ILB

First up and led and controlled the pace when winning by a margin of 1 1/4L first up last preparation at Ballarat. Good to see Brad Rawiller is jumping on.

Finished ninth of 12 (Bendigo) in May; returns from a break today; winner of a handicap two starts ago so too soon to write him off; rates a likely contender.

RSIS

Resuming and controlled the pace to win by 1 1/4L resuming last preparation at Ballarat. Brad Rawiller is a suitable booking and facing less formidable opponents.

6Big Day OutJ: Jett Stanley·T: Craig Weeding258.5kg1 9 6 6 396: 13-13-17$126.00$17.00

Career

96: 13-13-17

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
9: 1-2-2
Second-up
8: 3-1-0
Third-up
8: 1-2-2
Fourth-up
8: 0-1-3
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
14: 2-2-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1410m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0
Going Firm
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
55: 7-9-11

Last starts

3Leeton1150m22 Sept 2026 · BM82 · GOOD43.16L
6Newcastle900m22 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD44.2L
6Kembla Grange1000m15 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42.4L
9Flemington1100m1 Aug 2026 · BM78 · GOOD33.9L
1Narrandera1000m12 July 2026 · BM74 · SOFT7-1.4
1Wagga1000m6 July 2026 · BM82 · HEAVY9-0.2
3Tumut1000m7 Feb 2026 · Benchmark 74 · SOFT60.6L
5Wagga1000m26 Jan 2026 · BM82 HCP · GOOD45.3L

Insights

Key Rider
Positive
Jett Stanley 33% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple

Comments

AAP

Kept grinding away for the minors at Leeton. Harder to warm to here.

ILB

Showed a good turn of foot when 3rd last run at Leeton and has a positive draw. Unfortunately, it seems unlikely.

Has won at this track; not beaten too far when third of six at Leeton upped to this trip three weeks ago; others appeal more.

RSIS

Strong effort to run into 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L last start at Leeton and will try to take advantage of the stall.

7EducatedJ: Celine Gaudray·T: C Maher1258.5kg1 1 6 2 26: 3-2-0$3.00$1.45

Career

6: 3-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 2-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
2: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1100m
4: 2-1-0
Going Good
3: 3-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-2-0

Last starts

2Sandown1000m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.3L
2Caulfield1100m15 Aug 2026 · BM74 · SOFT60.3L
6Flemington1100m28 Mar 2026 · 3yo · HEAVY83.6L
1Flemington1100m28 Feb 2026 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · GOOD4-1.8
1Cranbourne1000m30 Jan 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD3-3.3
1Tatura1100m8 Sept 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.5

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 10%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Celine Gaudray 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Showed plenty when coming from midfield 3yo+ (Bm78) at Sandown-Hillside when second-up. Stripping fitter & profiles well. Take beating.

ILB

Just missed last run at Sandown and suited at this trip historically. Celine Gaudray rates highly. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts this preparation. Strong claims in this.

Has maintained her consistent level of form; finished ahead of two of these rivals over 5f at Sandown (handicap) when just denied five weeks ago; can make her presence felt.

RSIS

Narrowly beaten last time at Sandown and hard to fault at the distance. Celine Gaudray takes the reins today. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall. Good potential.

8Interest PointJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: M M Laurie358.5kg4 1 2 5 515: 3-2-0$13.00$3.80

Career

15: 3-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1050m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-1-0
Going Soft
7: 2-1-0

Last starts

5Mornington1000m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · SOFT52.6L
5Sandown1000m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM88 HCP · SOFT73.4L
2Caulfield1100m15 Nov 2025 · BM74 · GOOD41.5L
1Ballarat1000m14 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-2.5
4Bendigo1000m17 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT51L
10Morphettville1050m30 Aug 2025 · BM66 · SOFT75.7L
8Morphettville1050m29 Mar 2025 · BenchMark 72 · GOOD44.23L
4Flemington1100m8 Mar 2025 · Quality · GOOD42.55L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form 3rd Up
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when third up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4.5kg now

Comments

AAP

Made late rally from the back at Mornington second-up. Sharper now, could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Jumped at $13.00 and made ground when closing off to finish 5th last run at Mornington and dropping in grade. Will have to carry more weight. Betting is the best guide.

Respectable effort over 5f at Mornington (handicap) 15 days ago; facing a testing assignment and has some questions to answer.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and chased well when 5th last run at Mornington and facing weaker opposition. Rises in weight. Betting is the best guide.

9La Astro ChatJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker1058.5kg2 9 4 4 917: 4-3-0$14.00$3.90

Career

17: 4-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
4: 2-1-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-1-0
Track Sandown
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
11: 3-2-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 3-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-1-0

Last starts

9Mornington1000m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · SOFT54.65L
4Caulfield Heath1000m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.16L
4Sandown1000m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.3L
9Flemington1200m4 July 2026 · 3yo · SOFT75.6L
2Flemington1100m20 June 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT71.8L
10Caulfield1100m30 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · HEAVY817.2L
7Bendigo1100m2 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD33.9L
2Mornington1000m18 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD40.2L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 57% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 30% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 51% Profit on Turnover
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 7.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Mornington. New to Seymour. Has the ability but lift needed on last effort.

ILB

At $7.00 didn't find the line when 9th last time at Mornington but competing in a less challenging grade. Expecting to settle positively. Carrying more weight than last time. Won't find this easy.

Not far behind Interest Point when ninth at Mornington over 5f (handicap) beaten 4½l last month; admirable career strike-rate (four from 17 to date); others appeal more as this could be a hot race.

RSIS

At 6/1 looked outclassed when 9th last time at Mornington but up against a less challenging field. Has plenty of early pace. Has to cope with a weight increase.

10MonixScratched18––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Strong win over 975m 3yo+ (Bm62) at Swan Hill. Has an adverse draw. Repeat would surprise.

ILB

Flew home to win last start at Swan Hill but challenged by more formidable competitors. Racing consistently this campaign and will appreciate the drop in weight.

RSIS

Ran on hard when winning last time at Swan Hill but facing a stronger group of contenders. Gets some weight relief. Chelsea Taylor has multiple wins aboard.

11YoloJ: Jabez Johnstone·T: C Maher158.5kg6 5 2 1 118: 4-2-2$7.00$2.50

Career

18: 4-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 2-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
4: 2-1-1
Distance 1000m
13: 4-2-1
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1118m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
13: 3-1-2
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Ballarat1000m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.25
1Ballarat1000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD4-1.5
2Ballarat Synthetic1000m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC1.8L
5Donald1000m14 Apr 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42.7L
6Warrnambool1000m26 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT68.8L
2Ballarat1000m10 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33L
3Ballarat1200m22 Feb 2026 · BM70 · GOOD45.8L
4Kyneton1118m10 Feb 2026 · BM62 C · GOOD41.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 10%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 26%
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
In Form
Positive
Racing in top form recently

Comments

AAP

Chasing hat-trick. Finished too well winning 3yo+ (Bm66) at Ballarat. Winner at only other start at Seymour. Stiffer task now but don't undersell.

ILB

Rocketed home when winning last run at Ballarat and can save some energy from the alley. Unbeaten last 2 runs. Should be in the finish.

Bidding for hat-trick; has won at this course; gained a just over 1l success over 5f at Ballarat (handicap) last week; despite that Ballarat success, can be taken on.

RSIS

Was eating up the ground late when winning last time at Ballarat and has the ideal draw. Won last 2 in a row. Definite claims for punters.

12JakivyJ: Ethan Brown·T: Kasey Besanko1158kg3 2 7 7 130: 3-6-7$17.00$4.00

Career

30: 3-6-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
6: 1-2-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-2
Third-up
4: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
11: 2-2-5
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
18: 2-4-4
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
9: 1-1-3

Last starts

1Sandown1000m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT7-0.4
7Ballarat1200m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.7L
7Caulfield1200m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46L
2Flemington1100m14 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L
3Pakenham1200m16 Jan 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD42.3L
4Flemington1100m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM66 · GOOD32.7L
2Pakenham1200m28 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.2L
6Sandown1200m2 July 2025 · BM70 HCP · SOFT58.2L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 47% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Kasey Besanko striking at just 5%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 731%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 42%
Key Jockey
Positive
Ethan Brown winning at 49% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start

Comments

AAP

Freshened after return. Off midfield when flew home to score at Sandown-Hillside off extended spell. In the placings only prior run here. Can challenge again.

ILB

Finished hard to win last run at Sandown. Might have to make up considerable ground. Very slim hope.

Snapped losing streak over 5f at Sandown (handicap) when getting the job done by a neck last month; Ethan Brown a noteworthy booking; makes limited appeal despite that win last time.

RSIS

Ran on strongly to win last start at Sandown. Likely to get back.

13NarcissistJ: Claire Ramsbotham·T: B R Mallyon758kg1 11 2 5 115: 4-3-1$71.00$11.00

Career

15: 4-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
2: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
11: 3-3-1
Distance 1100m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-2-0
Going Good
7: 2-1-1

Last starts

1Corowa1000m14 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD4-1
5Albury1175m27 July 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY92.1L
2Narrandera1000m12 July 2026 · BM74 · SOFT71.4L
11Wagga1000m4 June 2026 · Benchmark 66 · HEAVY911.2L
1Corowa1000m11 May 2026 · CL3 · GOOD4-0.4
1Albury1000m23 Feb 2026 · CTRY CL2 · HEAVY8-2
2Albury1000m5 Feb 2026 · CTRY CL2 · GOOD40.3L
3Albury1000m19 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.4L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 308%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Toughed it out on the pace at Corowa at $2.70. Usually prominent. First time around Seymour. This will test his mettle.

ILB

Finished hard to win last time at Corowa but up against a more competitive field. Displays good tactical speed. Very competitive this preparation and goes down in weight. Could be in the mix.

Has achieved four wins from 15 career runs; gained a 1l success at Corowa over 5f (handicap) last month; despite that Corowa success, may have to settle for supporting role at best.

RSIS

Bold effort when winning last run at Corowa but competing in a higher grade. Likely to be well placed early. Gets some weight taken off. Watch the betting.

14FluentJ: Harry Coffey·T: Andrew Noblet457.5kg1 1 5 5 616: 4-2-0$19.00$4.20

Career

16: 4-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
3: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 1-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1100m
7: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

6Caulfield Heath1000m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.22L
5Flemington1100m28 Mar 2026 · 4UP MARES HCP · HEAVY81.4L
5Cranbourne1200m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD44.9L
1Cranbourne1200m6 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.8
1Sandown1200m8 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.8
2Sandown1200m26 Dec 2025 · BM66 · GOOD41.5L
5Ballarat1200m6 Dec 2025 · 3-4yo · SOFT64L
4Bendigo1100m29 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form at Dist
Negative
Poor strike rate over this distance
2nd Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when second up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Made late rally from the back at Caulfield Heath off extended spell. Better for the outing. One for exotics.

ILB

At $21.00 came in 6th last time at Caulfield Heath. Keep safe.

A proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 4-16 and admirably consistent; split a number of these rivals at Caulfield over 5f (handicap) posting a respectable display to finish sixth last month; probably unlikely to trouble the principals as this is a fairly competitive event.

RSIS

Started at 20/1 and came in 6th last run at Caulfield Heath. Keep safe.

15FarcitedJ: Mark Zahra·T: A & S Freedman657.5kg3 5 5 5 48: 1-1-1$6.50$2.40

Career

8: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
2: 0-0-1
Track Sandown
2: 0-0-0
Distance 955m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-1

Last starts

4Cranbourne955m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD41.62L
5Sandown1000m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.8L
5Sandown1200m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT73.8L
5Caulfield1100m25 July 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT63.7L
3Caulfield1000m27 June 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT75.5L
15Rosehill1200m22 Mar 2025 · 2yo · GOOD426.9L
2Canberra1200m9 Mar 2025 · 2yo · GOOD40.29L
1Canberra1000m21 Feb 2025 · Set Weights · SOFT5-0.92

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Mark Zahra 36% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced at Cranbourne. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Was $9.00 and finished 4th last time at Cranbourne. Has definite claims.

Respectable effort when fourth over 4½f at Cranbourne (handicap) 16 days ago; running consistently; Mark Zahra booked.

RSIS

Started at 8/1 and ran 4th last time at Cranbourne. Can win this.

16LawboroughScratched7––––

Career

6: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed60%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 1-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
4: 2-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 2-0-0

Last starts

5Mornington1200m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT50.88L
2Bendigo1100m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.2L
8Morphettville1200m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD43.5L
7Flemington1400m28 Mar 2026 · 3Y HCP · HEAVY84.06L
1Cranbourne1200m13 Mar 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD4-0.8
1Ballarat1200m22 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.3

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Great run at Bendigo 6 Sep. Tough and honest when just behind the minors in the 3yo+ (Bm70) at Mornington when second-up. Leads, handy. Sharper now, has some claims.

ILB

Started at $9.50 and peaked on the run when 5th last run at Mornington.

Produced a string of consistent efforts; fifth at Mornington but only beaten less than a length over 6f (handicap) last month; finished ahead of Bacash but was behind Just For Show.

RSIS

Started 17/2 and lost momentum when 5th last start at Mornington.

17Just For ShowJ: Michael Dee·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes856.5kg4 8 6 6 420: 3-2-6$23.00$4.80

Career

20: 3-2-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed60%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
4: 0-1-1
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
9: 2-0-2
Distance 1300m
3: 0-1-1
Going Good
11: 3-1-2
Going Soft
8: 0-1-4
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Mornington1200m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT50.86L
6Geelong1100m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.2L
6Ballarat Synthetic1200m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SYNTHETIC3.9L
8Pakenham Synthetic1200m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD36.2L
4Pakenham Synthetic1000m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC7.7L
8Cranbourne1200m27 Dec 2025 · 3&4Y SW · GOOD35.1L
7Sandown1300m3 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD34L
3Sandown1400m20 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.35L

Insights

Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Winless since 28 Dec 2024. Midfield, picked up solidly at Mornington. First time around Seymour. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Started $31.00 and advanced late into 4th last run at Mornington. Needs to find a lot more.

This is his level; respectable effort finishing fourth (beaten less than a length) over 6f at Mornington (handicap) last month with two of these rivals behind.

RSIS

At 30/1 moved ahead of some to finish 4th last run at Mornington.

18Electric ElvisJ: Ben Allen·T: Reece Goodwin957.5kg4 1 2 1 215: 3-6-3$8.50$2.90

Career

15: 3-6-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-2-1
Second-up
3: 0-2-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-1
Track Bendigo
3: 1-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Bairnsdale
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
8: 1-3-3
Distance 1212m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-2-0
Going Soft
3: 2-1-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Bendigo1400m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY80.8L
1Bendigo1300m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY9-2.75
2Sandown1200m29 July 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY101.3L
1Bairnsdale1200m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT7-5.5
4Ballarat Synthetic1200m2 July 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC5.2L
2Seymour1200m11 June 2026 · CL1 · SOFT70.75L
3Pakenham1200m26 Feb 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD42L
3Caulfield Heath1200m9 Feb 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · GOOD43L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

Let-up (46-days). Holding form. Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Bendigo over longer assignment. Sound chance.

ILB

Freshened up. Finished strongly when 2nd last run at Bendigo on a heavy rated track but dropping back to a shorter trip. Won't be far away during the run. Very capable of taking this out.

Mostly consistent recently; near miss at 2-5 over 7f at Bendigo (handicap) 46 days ago.

RSIS

Freshened for this. Flashed home late into 2nd beaten by 3/4L last start at Bendigo but back to a shorter trip. Expecting to settle positively. Will relish the track conditions. Very tidy performer.

Odds correct as at Sun 11 Oct, 4:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races