Seymour (VIC) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Seymour (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 11 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 11 OctSeymour (VIC)Change

Race 5 — Kilmore Ford (Bm66) 2000m · jumps Sun 11 Oct, 2:35 pm AEDT

Race notes

3yo+,BM66,BM66 HCP,Benchmark 66
SOFT5
Fine
13 runners

Shortest win price

Covert Thinking (4) and Navy Heart (10)

4.00

Most career wins

Cable Dancer and Frostration

6 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

8Salsita

Offmidfield

3Pure Grunt
9Callmeanicon
14Only Opera

Midfield

1Cable Dancer
6Roaring Engine
7Kazungula
10Navy Heart

Offpace

4Covert Thinking
15Dashing Donkey

Onpace

11Vellasglory
13Frostration

Leader

2Yahoo Bar

Cable Dancer · Negative
Jockey Booking
Brad Rawiller current POT is 51% below Career Avg.
Yahoo Bar · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Pure Grunt · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Covert Thinking · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 10%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Cable DancerJ: Brad Rawiller·T: Charlotte Littlefield662.5kg5 4 6 2 342: 6-6-10$6.50$2.40

Career

42: 6-6-10

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-0
Track Ballarat
3: 1-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1710m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1728m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
30: 6-2-8
Going Soft
8: 0-1-1
Going Synthetic
4: 0-3-1

Last starts

3Bendigo1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.75L
2Sandown3000m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.8L
6Caulfield2400m4 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD32.7L
4Caulfield2400m21 Mar 2026 · BM78 · GOOD42L
5Stony Creek2100m8 Mar 2026 · Open · SOFT65.3L
9Caulfield Heath1600m18 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.3L
8Pakenham2000m13 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD44.5L
1Ararat2200m9 Nov 2025 · 3UP HCP · GOOD3-1.8

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Brad Rawiller current POT is 51% below Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 56% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Restrained (outside alley) and really let down late for an eye-catching third at Bendigo off long spell. Will be fitter second-up and rise in trip a plus. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Showed a good turn of foot when 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L last run at Bendigo. Chance and can measure up.

Had two of these rivals behind him at Bendigo over 1m (handicap) when dropped in distance last month; the trainer is going well; not hard to turn elsewhere as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

Made some ground late when 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L last time at Bendigo. Can measure up against these.

2Yahoo BarJ: Bailey Kinninmont·T: Liam Howley1062kg7 13 4 2 514: 2-1-2$8.00$2.70

Career

14: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 1-1-2
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

5Bendigo1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.52L
2Caulfield Heath1500m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L
4Pakenham1400m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD44.1L
13Sha Tin1800m14 June 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD10.8L
7Sha Tin1200m6 June 2025 · Barrier Trial · GOOD7.8L
10Sha Tin2000m4 May 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD12.3L
4Sha Tin1800m13 Apr 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD1.3L
1Sha Tin1800m23 Mar 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD-0.5

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Third outing for new trainer/ this region. In trailing position and kept on evenly at Bendigo off extended spell. Fitter second-up and takes a 2kg claim. Lands in a suitable contest.

ILB

Jumped at $5.00 and faded late when 5th last start at Bendigo. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Must be considered here.

Not disgraced when fifth of 12 at Bendigo over 1m (handicap) last month; has been in the winners' enclosure twice in his career; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Started 4/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 5th last time at Bendigo. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

3Pure GruntJ: Jett Stanley·T: K & K Keys160.5kg10 6 8 7 416: 3-0-1$23.00$4.40

Career

16: 3-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
4: 1-0-0
Track Launceston
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-0-0

Last starts

4Cranbourne1600m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD41.2L
7Sandown1300m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT76.5L
8Caulfield2400m21 Mar 2026 · BM78 · GOOD413.2L
6Stony Creek2100m8 Mar 2026 · Open · SOFT611.6L
10Caulfield Heath1600m18 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD411.8L
10Sandown1600m9 July 2025 · BM70 HCP · SOFT54.1L
8Launceston2400m26 Feb 2025 · Handicap · GOOD45.86L
1Sandown2400m1 Feb 2025 · BenchMark 74 · GOOD4-1

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 37%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Snagged back and last at 400m before letting down late to just miss the minors at Cranbourne when second-up. Backmarker who needs speed on and luck. First time around Seymour. Not fancied.

ILB

Jumped at $61.00 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last run at Cranbourne and drawn well. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Could be in the mix.

Respectable display to finish fourth, beaten just over 1l last month (Cranbourne) upped to 1m; latest effort was encouraging so warrants plenty of respect.

RSIS

At 60/1 was making up some late ground when 4th last run at Cranbourne and drawn by the rails. Likely to settle back in the field. Watch for a sign in the market.

4Covert ThinkingJ: Jabez Johnstone·T: C Maher760kg7 2 12 1 315: 4-3-2$4.00$1.75

Career

15: 4-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed60%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Gosford
2: 2-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2046m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1730m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
5: 2-0-0
Going Soft
6: 2-2-0

Last starts

3Cranbourne2025m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP F&M BM74 HCP · GOOD43.25L
1Seymour2046m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.2
12Geelong1730m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY812.7L
2Canterbury1900m22 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.7L
7Canterbury1550m8 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY87.4L
7Randwick1600m20 June 2026 · 3&4Y BM72 · SOFT54.1L
9Rosehill1500m30 May 2026 · 3&4Y BM72 · HEAVY94.4L
6Randwick1200m15 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 10%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 26%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Kept grinding away for the minors at Cranbourne. Right in this.

ILB

Managed to run into 3rd last run at Cranbourne but carrying more weight than last time. Should run a competitive race.

Has won here; not beaten that far in third (just over 3l, Cranbourne) 16 days ago; should be in the mix if finding her best form.

RSIS

Displayed good finishing pace when 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L last run at Cranbourne but will have to carry more weight. Has a good chance.

5RagazzoneScratched8––––

Career

5: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1730m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

1Ballarat2000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD4-0.1
4Geelong1765m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT72.4L
3Geelong1730m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY85.4L
1Murtoa1600m25 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT7-0.2
5Bendigo1100m5 July 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY98.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 190%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 23% POT in L100 Runners
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start

Comments

AAP

Responded well from back half to get the prize at Ballarat over this trip. Ratings lift after that win but stays under strong notice at same level.

ILB

Bold effort when winning last start at Ballarat and putting a tidy record together. Racing consistently this campaign.

25-1 when winning Ballarat handicap three weeks ago upped to this trip; needs considering.

RSIS

Ran on strongly to win last time at Ballarat and solid career start.

6Roaring EngineJ: Damien Thornton·T: D T O'Brien359kg5 4 3 8 533: 4-3-2$23.00$4.40

Career

33: 4-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Colac
1: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 3400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 2244m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
22: 4-3-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 0-0-1

Last starts

5Caulfield Heath1400m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.4L
8Ballarat2000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD43.32L
3Seymour1300m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2L
4Warrnambool3400m30 Nov 2025 · BM67-HWGT · SOFT63.4L
5Geelong3762m14 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD416.02L
6Geelong1535m8 Nov 2025 · BALLAN CUP · HEAVY99.4L
6Sandown2400m10 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD45L
6Moonee Valley2500m9 Aug 2025 · BM78 HCP · SOFT64.9L

Insights

Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Last win was 6 Dec 2024. Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Ballarat off long spell. Since trialled at Caulfield Heath 1 Oct. Others rate stronger.

ILB

Jumped at $51.00 and ran 8th last start at Ballarat. Facing a difficult task today.

Not disgraced when eighth of 14 at Ballarat three weeks ago; a while since his last success; others have more pressing claims as this looks a fair heat.

RSIS

Odds of 50/1 and ran 8th last run at Ballarat.

7KazungulaJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Jarrod Robinson558.5kg7 2 1 6 515: 2-5-1$34.00$5.50

Career

15: 2-5-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed60%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-2-0
Track Geelong
4: 1-2-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1610m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-2-0
Going Good
8: 0-3-1
Going Heavy
5: 2-0-0

Last starts

5Mornington2050m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.36L
6Bendigo1600m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY88.8L
1Geelong2465m10 July 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY8-0.1
2Bendigo2400m25 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT63.3L
7Pakenham2000m29 May 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY84.8L
1Pakenham2000m8 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-0.3
2Echuca2100m16 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD30.1L
8Kilmore1610m29 Sept 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD39.3L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 57% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Jarrod Robinson striking at just 7%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 124%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Key Jockey
Positive
Nadia Daniels winning at 52% POT in last 100 rides
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Midfield, picked up solidly at Mornington. First time around Seymour. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Was $18.00 and outmuscled late when 5th last time at Mornington. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.

Respectable effort upped to this distance (Mornington) three weeks ago; this looks a fair heat so others are preferred.

RSIS

Started at 17/1 and peaked on the run when 5th last start at Mornington.

8SalsitaJ: Will Gordon·T: E & D Browne458.5kg12 13 8 3 532: 2-7-7$16.00$4.00

Career

32: 2-7-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-1
Third-up
5: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-2
Track Pakenham
2: 1-1-0
Track Warrnambool
3: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1717m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
19: 2-5-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
10: 0-2-3

Last starts

5Mornington3080m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.25L
3Mornington2030m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT50.6L
8Pakenham Synthetic1400m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD35.6L
13Warrnambool2350m7 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1010.8L
12Warrnambool2350m5 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY810.2L
9Sandown2100m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT59.6L
3Sale1717m29 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT61.3L
7Warrnambool4600m30 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM90-HWGT · SOFT614.4L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 51% Profit on Turnover
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Placed 3yo+ (Bm62) at Mornington 4 Sep. Started $3 when battled home in Benchmark 70 company at Mornington. Coming back in distance. Has some claims.

ILB

Started at $3.00 and inched into 5th last run at Mornington but back to a shorter trip. Likely to get back in the field. Could feature here.

A disappointing fifth when favourite at Mornington three weeks ago upped to 1m7½f; hasn't won for a while; this is competitive and has questions to answer.

RSIS

Started 2/1 and overtook some late when 5th last start at Mornington but will be facing a significant drop in distance. Expected to settle towards the tail. Could feature here.

9CallmeaniconJ: Luke Nolen·T: Bill Papazaharoudakis258kg4 6 10 13 319: 4-1-1$12.00$3.60

Career

19: 4-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

3Caulfield Heath1800m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.35L
13Sandown1500m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT58.5L
10Pakenham2000m15 May 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT55.2L
6Pakenham1600m23 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD44.3L
4Pakenham1400m26 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY99.8L
12Seymour1300m12 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD411.9L
13Sandown1600m14 June 2025 · BenchMark 74 · SOFT510.8L
1Sandown1800m21 May 2025 · BM70 HCP · GOOD3-0.4

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 187%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Taken back from the alley, closed the race off powerfully at Caulfield Heath. Stripping fitter, has some claims.

ILB

Produced an eye catching run when 3rd last start at Caulfield Heath and has a good draw. Luke Nolen rates highly aboard. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Betting is the best guide.

Decent effort when 16-1 third three weeks ago at Caulfield upped to 1m1f; has managed four wins from 19 career runs; Luke Nolen booked; has possibilities as recent effort was encouraging.

RSIS

Rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last start at Caulfield Heath and drawn nicely. Luke Nolen is a suitable booking. Might have to make up considerable ground. Respect the betting.

10Navy HeartJ: Harry Coffey·T: C Maher958kg1 2 3 10 1117: 2-3-4$4.00$1.75

Career

17: 2-3-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-1
Track Sandown
4: 0-0-1
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1312m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1
Going Good
12: 2-2-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

11Bendigo1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.48L
10Sandown1500m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT57.8L
3Flemington2520m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD30.7L
2Geelong2400m3 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD30.2L
1Geelong2450m12 Dec 2025 · BM66 · GOOD3-0.3
3Kilmore2000m23 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT72.8L
8Flemington1700m6 Nov 2025 · 3UP F&M BM70 HCP · GOOD34.5L
2Pakenham1600m17 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT52.8L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 10%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 55%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 26%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Bendigo. One for exotics.

ILB

Was $6.50 and didn't find the line when 11th last time at Bendigo. Capable of a strong comeback. Harry Coffey is a key booking. Will show up at the business end.

Finished 11th of 12 over 1m at Bendigo (handicap) last month; this is competitive and unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and weakened to finish 11th last time at Bendigo. Happy to forgive that run. Harry Coffey rates highly aboard. Great chance.

11VellasgloryJ: Neil Farley·T: P Koumis1257.5kg1 2 4 11 416: 2-1-1$51.00$8.00

Career

16: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
2: 0-0-0
Track Murtoa
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1512m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-0

Last starts

4Geelong1700m11 Sept 2026 · BM62 · GOOD42.4L
11Seymour1414m27 Aug 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY89.8L
4Pakenham2500m19 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT52.3L
2Warrnambool2350m9 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L
1Stony Creek2100m15 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.3
5Seymour2246m3 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD34.1L
1Stony Creek2100m18 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT5-3.8
3Warrnambool1700m11 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD34L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 30 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fresh. On pace but conceded late at Geelong second-up as an outsider. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Started at $41.00 and outmatched towards the finish when 4th last start at Geelong. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide draw. Hard to see it being competitive today.

Respectable effort in defeat (beaten 2½l) at Geelong last month upped to 1m½f; not hard to turn elsewhere as meeting a number of horses who are in good form.

RSIS

At 40/1 tired in the closing stages of the race when 4th last time at Geelong. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace.

12MehsunScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Never in the call at Caulfield Heath first up. Will be fitter second-up. First real test of stamina here. Sound claims.

ILB

Started at $4.80 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last run at Caulfield Heath but racing over a longer distance. Up in grade.

RSIS

Started 4/1 and tailed off to finish 8th last start at Caulfield Heath but going up in trip. Racing in stronger company.

13FrostrationJ: Craig Newitt·T: D E Dean855.5kg4 9 4 3 122: 6-1-2$20.00$4.40

Career

22: 6-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
2: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1628m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
5: 2-1-1
Going Good
5: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Kilmore1600m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.1
3Seymour1600m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.5L
4Seymour1414m27 Aug 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY83.4L
9Sandown1600m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT76.7L
4Seymour1600m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT73.1L
1Wodonga1400m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY9-3.3
1Donald1628m11 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY8-1.5
1Wodonga1590m27 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY8-0.5

Insights

Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 59%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 46% POT in L100 Runners
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Made all and held on bravely in a thrilling finish at Kilmore 28 Sep. First real test of stamina here. Meets stronger company here but at least in good order.

ILB

Dictated the tempo to win by a margin of a nose last start at Kilmore but stepping up to a higher level. Likely to be well placed early. Looking at others.

Resume shows that she is a proven winner (seeking a seventh career win); scored narrowly in a handicap at Kilmore last month; now upped in trip and not one to rely on.

RSIS

Assumed control from the start when winning by a margin of a nose last start at Kilmore and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Should come to hand quickly.

14Only OperaJ: Declan Bates·T: Henry Dwyer1355.5kg6 3 4 2 15: 1-1-1$6.50$2.40

Career

5: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed60%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1443m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Ballarat2000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-2.5
2Ballarat Synthetic2100m25 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC1.3L
4Bendigo1600m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · HEAVY97.4L
3Geelong1443m10 July 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY83.8L
6Kyneton1479m10 Feb 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD45.8L
4Scone1000m25 June 2025 · Barrier Trial7.5L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Henry Dwyer striking at just 8%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Hauled them in effortlessly at Ballarat at $7.50. Goes into wider exotics.

ILB

Stormed home to win last start at Ballarat and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Showing great form this preparation but racing in stronger company. Has ability but this is challenging.

Signs of improvement on last two runs; came out on top by 2½l when registering her first success at the fifth time of asking three weeks ago at Ballarat in a maiden; despite that Ballarat success, one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Reeled them in to win last time at Ballarat but competing at a higher level of competition. Displaying good ability since resuming from a break. Might be ridden for luck.

15Dashing DonkeyJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Olivia Osborne1154kg6 2 2 4 642: 2-7-1$126.00$16.00

Career

42: 2-7-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
3: 0-0-0
Track Gunbower
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 0-1-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 1-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
25: 2-2-0
Going Heavy
7: 0-2-0

Last starts

6Echuca2112m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.31L
4Tatura1980m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT72.8L
2Wodonga2050m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.3L
2Wodonga2050m17 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY80.2L
6Ballarat Synthetic1500m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC6.3L
6Wodonga1400m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY910.8L
7Ballarat Synthetic1400m30 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SYNTHETIC7L
4Echuca1400m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY102.7L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 37%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Last success was 23 Sep 2025. Battled home okay at Echuca. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Odds of $15.00 and finished 6th last start at Echuca and competing at a higher grade. Too much luck needed to come into contention.

Not disgraced in sixth at Echuca over 1m2½f (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Started 14/1 and came in 6th last time at Echuca and racing against tougher rivals.

16Kiss My RockScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -66% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Went home just tamely at Ballarat at $81. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Ran 6th last start at Ballarat.

RSIS

Finished 6th last start at Ballarat.

Odds correct as at Sun 11 Oct, 2:40 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races