Seymour (VIC) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Seymour (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 11 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 11 OctSeymour (VIC)Change

Race 7 — Libertad @ Blue Gum Farm (Bm70) 1200m · jumps Sun 11 Oct, 3:45 pm AEDT

Race notes

3yo+,Benchmark 70,F&M BM70,F&M BM70 HCP
SOFT5
Fine
10 runners

Shortest win price

Bajaria (14)

2.90

Most career wins

Pretty Penguin

10-5-7 from 56 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

1Bon Mistress
9Legacy Bay

Offpace

6Tsarine
14Bajaria
5Lathlain
10Pretty Penguin
16Russian Choice

Onpace

2Princess Que

Leader

4Sister Shay
15Befuddle

Bon Mistress · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Princess Que · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%
Sister Shay · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 53%
Lathlain · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 13%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Bon MistressJ: Lauren Burke·T: K & K Keys862kg10 4 2 8 228: 4-2-1$26.00$4.20

Career

28: 4-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-2-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2025m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
19: 3-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-1-0

Last starts

2Caulfield Heath800m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2L
8Morphettville2033m9 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.3L
2Mornington1600m18 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M BM74 HCP · GOOD41L
4Sandown1400m25 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.5L
10Sandown1600m26 Dec 2025 · LISTED HCP · GOOD45.4L
4Pakenham1600m13 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M BM78 · GOOD41.7L
9Cranbourne2025m22 Nov 2025 · BM84 · GOOD38.7L
10Flemington2000m8 Nov 2025 · 4yo+ · HEAVY813.5L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 37%
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (22-weeks). Last success was 14 Dec 2024. Not beaten far Benchmark 70 company at Sandown-Lakeside first-up last preparation. Effective this grade. Has some claims.

ILB

First run back from a break. Odds of $21.00 and faded away to finish 8th last start at Morphettville but competing in a lower grade. Will be down in distance. Considering others.

This is her grade; not disgraced in eighth in a Listed race (Morphettville) upped to 1m2f five months ago; returns from a layoff here; no surprise to see her go well as shown she can be competitive fairly recently and lower class is a plus.

RSIS

First run back today. At 20/1 faded away to finish 8th last time at Morphettville but has been racing in stronger company. Gets back and needs luck.

2Princess QueJ: Jordan Childs·T: Simon Zahra361.5kg7 2 5 8 814: 3-3-1$12.00$3.10

Career

14: 3-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moonee Valley
4: 1-2-0
Track Sandown
3: 2-0-0
Track Flemington
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
10: 3-3-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1
Going Good
10: 2-3-0

Last starts

8Sandown1200m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56L
8Caulfield1100m15 Aug 2026 · BM74 · SOFT64.1L
5Cranbourne1400m13 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD31.8L
2Murray Bridge1200m17 Jan 2026 · BM74 · GOOD40.1L
7Moonee Valley1200m24 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM80 HCP · GOOD32.7L
7Flemington1200m4 Oct 2025 · BM78 · GOOD33.7L
2Moonee Valley1200m6 Sept 2025 · 3UP BM84 HCP · GOOD40.8L
1Sandown1200m20 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.2

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fresh. On pace but folded up quickly at Sandown-Hillside second-up. Can lead or take a sit. Stripping fitter, can make her presence felt.

ILB

Was $6.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last run at Sandown. Has a good chance.

Career record shows her ability to win (wins-runs record of 3-14); close up behind Coco de Luxe when eighth at Sandown five weeks ago; not hard to turn elsewhere with a number of her rivals in good nick.

RSIS

At 5/1 weakened under pressure when 8th last start at Sandown. Great chance.

3KokakoScratched16––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 3 from 4 when resuming

Comments

AAP

Resuming (16-weeks). Strikes a handy bunch fresh but hits form quickly. Raced in stiffer company last prep. Needs her A-game.

ILB

Has multiple wins first up. Started $11.00 and faded to finish 8th last start at Caulfield Heath but taking on easier opposition.

RSIS

Proven record when resuming. Odds of 10/1 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last time at Caulfield Heath but dropping in class.

4Sister ShayJ: Sarah Field·T: C D Widdison160.5kg5 2 6 12 315: 4-4-1$20.00$3.90

Career

15: 4-4-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gundagai
1: 0-1-0
Track Albury
3: 1-1-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 4-3-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

3Tatura850m30 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.1L
12Randwick1400m23 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY108.4L
6Bendigo1400m2 May 2026 · 4UP MARES SWP · GOOD31.5L
2Sandown1400m6 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.3L
5Caulfield1400m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.9L
3Canterbury1550m19 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD41L
1Wodonga1300m28 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1.75
8Moonee Valley1600m24 Oct 2025 · 3UP F&M BM70 HCP · GOOD311.2L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 53%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (20-weeks). Went close in Open company at Caulfield first-up last campaign. Raced in stiffer company last prep. Warrants attention fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up from a break. Started at $15.00 and didn't find the line when 12th last run at Randwick on a heavy rated track but will find this grade easier. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Towards the rear of 15 over 7f at Randwick (handicap) in May; successful four times from 15 career runs and had been doing well before disappointing effort latest; probably unlikely to trouble the principals as tends to need the run.

RSIS

Back after a break. At 14/1 struggled with the pace when 12th last run at Randwick on a heavy surface but facing less formidable opponents. Sarah Field is a bonus. Betting is the best guide.

5LathlainJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: T Busuttin & N Young260kg1 8 5 3 18: 3-0-1$15.00$3.50

Career

8: 3-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 3-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 3-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 2-0-1
Going Good
6: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 2-0-0

Last starts

1Seymour1200m27 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-0.3
3Pakenham1400m1 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD41.6L
5Sandown1400m6 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.4L
8Flemington1600m7 Mar 2026 · 3yo · GOOD313.21L
1Seymour1400m20 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-5.25
7Flemington1600m4 Oct 2025 · 3yo · GOOD33.6L
9Caulfield1400m20 Sept 2025 · 3yo · GOOD34.9L
1Seymour1400m31 Aug 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY9-0.4

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 13%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Form At Track
Positive
3 time winner here at Seymour
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (45-days). Won from just off the pace-setters this venue. Good draw. Can challenge again.

ILB

Freshened up. Strong effort to the line to win last start at this track on a heavy surface and has a positive draw. Demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Should go well.

Unbeaten at this course after three runs; landed a narrow success in a handicap 45 days ago; respected.

RSIS

Freshened up. Ran on strongly to win last time at this track and drawn nicely. On an upward trajectory in recent races. Stamps its reason for consideration.

6TsarineJ: Ethan Brown·T: A & S Freedman1059.5kg2 7 3 1 112: 3-3-3$3.50$1.40

Career

12: 3-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 1-2-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-1-1
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1208m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1325m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-1
Going Soft
5: 2-0-1
Going Good
5: 1-2-1

Last starts

1Mornington1200m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT5-0.46
1Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT5-2.75
3Geelong1325m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY83.4L
7Sandown1300m22 July 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT67.2L
2Moe1208m18 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · HEAVY90.4L
4Pakenham1400m23 Jan 2026 · BM66 · GOOD33.5L
2Cranbourne1600m3 Jan 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD31.5L
3Cranbourne1400m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.5L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 47% better than Career Avg.
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 29%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Ethan Brown in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 73%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Let down with a raking drive to get up in final bounds at Mornington over today's trip. Sterner test here but can't rule out.

ILB

Rounded them up to win last start at Mornington and ideal distance as proven previously. Unbeaten last 2 attempts and has been racing in stronger company. Definite contender.

On a hat-trick and career wins-runs record of 3-12; landed a narrow success in a handicap at Mornington last month; Ethan Brown a good booking; despite that Mornington success, one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Romped home to win last time at Mornington and proven performer at this trip. Made it 2 wins in succession and drops back to a suitable class. Rises in weight. Good chance at a nice price.

7Catwalk IconScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced at Cranbourne first up. Better conditioned. Pace influence. Can play a role.

ILB

Was $3.60 and folded up in the straight when 5th last run at Cranbourne but suited at this distance in the past.

RSIS

Started 13/5 and didn't attack the line when 5th last time at Cranbourne but will be well suited at the trip.

8KippisScratched15––––

Career

6: 2-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 1-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 1-0-0
Track Moe
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-2-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Mornington1200m26 Sept 2026 · 4UP MARES BM78 HCP · SOFT57.3L
1Bendigo1000m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.2
5Caulfield Heath800m16 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)3.5L
1Cranbourne1200m22 Jan 2026 · 3-5Y MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.2
2Warrnambool1100m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD30.3L
4Moe1100m14 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD41.6L
2Moe1100m16 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD40.8L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Ciaron Maher striking at just 10%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 6kg now

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field at Mornington second-up. One for multiples only.

ILB

At $14.00 gave away some ground when 7th last run at Mornington but facing a weaker group of contenders. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt.

Last of seven (Mornington) last month; winner of a handicap two starts ago so too soon to write her off; must be respected.

RSIS

Was 13/1 and didn't find the line when 7th last start at Mornington but up against weaker rivals. Carrying more weight than last time.

9Legacy BayJ: Luke Nolen·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman458.5kg2 5 3 4 917: 2-5-4$4.60$1.65

Career

17: 2-5-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-2
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Sandown
5: 1-2-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-1
Track Flemington
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
6: 0-2-2
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-1-1
Going Good
11: 1-4-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Caulfield1100m9 May 2026 · Benchmark 78 · SOFT78.9L
4Flemington1200m28 Feb 2026 · BM78 · GOOD41.2L
3Sandown1400m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.6L
5Flemington1400m10 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35L
2Sandown1400m26 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M BM66 HCP · GOOD40.2L
3Ballarat1200m6 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M BM78 HCP · SOFT62L
3Caulfield1100m15 Nov 2025 · BM74 · GOOD41.9L
2Flemington1400m19 July 2025 · 3Y HCP · SOFT51.3L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Luke Nolen current POT is 19% below Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 49% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (22-weeks). Held form well last time in. In the minors at Caulfield first-up last campaign. Can make her presence felt fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Fresh today. At $6.00 finished 9th last run at Caulfield but up against a less challenging field. Possesses good closing speed. Up in weight. Can lift in this event.

Held in ninth over 5½f at Caulfield (handicap) in May; not at her best last time although had previously shown useful form; Luke Nolen a good booking; returns from a layoff here; others are preferred as this looks a fair heat.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Was 5/1 and finished 9th last run at Caulfield but competing at a lower level of competition. Should be swooping on the field late. Has a good chance.

10Pretty PenguinJ: Brittany Button·T: Olivia Osborne758.5kg3 3 11 1 156: 10-5-7$61.00$7.00

Career

56: 10-5-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
7: 0-1-0
Second-up
6: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 2-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Tocumwal
2: 1-0-1
Track Benalla
6: 0-2-0
Track Leeton
2: 2-0-0
Distance 900m
6: 0-0-2
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
4: 0-1-0
Going Unknown
5: 2-0-1
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
38: 8-5-5

Last starts

1Leeton1150m22 Sept 2026 · BM82 · GOOD4-2.23
1Seymour1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-2
11Bendigo1000m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT57.1L
3Dubbo1200m18 Apr 2026 · BM82 HCP · GOOD41.3L
3Tocumwal1300m4 Apr 2026 · Open1.23L
8Wagga1000m29 Mar 2026 · BM66 · SOFT54.4L
3Albury900m20 Mar 2026 · FLAT KNACKER 94 · SOFT62.7L
2Corowa1000m7 Mar 2026 · BM66 · GOOD40.6L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Olivia Osborne striking at just 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 37%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Responded strongly to dispose of the small field at Leeton second-up. Has early speed. First time around Seymour. Repeat would surprise here.

ILB

Ran on strongly to win last run at Leeton and up against a less competitive field. Ideal distance as proven previously. Rises in weight. Very hard to have.

Won a handicap by just over 2l (Leeton) 19 days ago; despite that Leeton success, unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Charged home to win last time at Leeton and proven performer at this trip. Will find this grade easier. Has to carry more weight this time.

11Tango JewelScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Faded off the lead at Kilmore over today's trip. Draw makes the job harder. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Odds of $6.00 and peaked on the run when 4th last start at Kilmore.

RSIS

Started at 5/1 and peaked on the run when 4th last run at Kilmore.

12Coco De LuxeScratched9––––

Career

5: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Track Albury
2: 1-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1175m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 2-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Wodonga1200m15 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.01L
7Sandown1200m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.9L
9Albury1175m5 Feb 2026 · BM66 · GOOD45.7L
1Albury1175m19 Jan 2026 · CL1 · GOOD4-1.9
1Echuca1100m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.3

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Gave good account 3yo+ (Bm62) at Wodonga when second-up. Looks up against it.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Finished 3rd last start at Albury.

Has been fairly consistent lately; minor honours in a handicap yesterday (evens, Albury); has a reasonable shout; held an entry at Albury Saturday.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Honest race when 3rd last start at Albury.

13TapoScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 60% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Key Rider
Positive
Nadia Daniels 72% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Key Jockey
Positive
Nadia Daniels winning at 55% POT in last 100 rides
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here

Comments

AAP

Led, gave away under pressure at Bendigo. Can dictate. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Started $5.50 and came in 4th last run at Bendigo but suited by the weight drop.

Been generally quiet since successful in a handicap at Echuca last November; finished fourth but wasn't beaten too far (just over 3l) over 5½f at Bendigo (handicap) last month; this is competitive and may have to settle for supporting role at best.

RSIS

Odds of 9/2 and ran 4th last start at Bendigo but will appreciate the drop in weight.

14BajariaJ: Ben Allen·T: Peter Gelagotis557.5kg8 2 5 4 111: 2-3-2$2.90$1.32

Career

11: 2-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-2-0
Track Sale
2: 1-1-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1419m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
8: 2-2-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

1Kilmore1200m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-3.75
4Geelong1200m11 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD40.8L
5Caulfield1400m30 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · HEAVY81.3L
2Sale1419m17 May 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD40.2L
8Caulfield Heath1200m29 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD44.69L
2Pakenham1200m9 Apr 2026 · CL1 · SOFT50.1L
2Pakenham1100m12 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.5L
3Bendigo1300m29 Oct 2025 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD32.5L

Insights

Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Raced to a clear and dominant victory at Kilmore second-up. Sharper now, capable of figuring again.

ILB

Blitzed its rivals when winning by 3 3/4L last start at Kilmore and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Solid claims.

Back to winning ways (Kilmore) when running out a cosy winner last month; others appeal more despite that win at Kilmore.

RSIS

Found another gear when winning by a margin of 3 3/4L last run at Kilmore and form has been improving over recent runs. Definitely worth considering.

15BefuddleJ: Jake Noonan·T: J D Sadler956.5kg11 3 3 8 711: 1-1-3$12.00$3.10

Career

11: 1-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-1-2
Going Good
9: 1-1-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

7Sale1400m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD37L
8Mornington1200m18 Apr 2026 · 3YF HCP · GOOD45L
3Sandown1200m6 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L
3Sandown1400m25 Mar 2026 · 3YF BM64 · SOFT52.9L
11Flemington1100m28 Feb 2026 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · GOOD416L
4Caulfield Heath1000m9 Feb 2026 · 3UP F&M BM66 HCP · GOOD42.4L
3Flemington1200m29 Mar 2025 · Set Weights plus Penalties · GOOD42.5L
2Caulfield1200m15 Mar 2025 · 2Y SW · GOOD40.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (23-weeks). Went close in Benchmark 66 company at Caulfield Heath first-up last campaign. Leader. Looks a risk fresh.

ILB

First up after a break. Started $2.90 and didn't threaten when 7th last start at Sale. Has the speed to overcome the wide barrier. Needs to find a lot more.

Useful in this grade; came up short at Sale when seventh of ten over 7f (handicap) five months ago; returning from a layoff here.

RSIS

Resumes after a break. Started at 15/8 and didn't threaten when 7th last time at Sale. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall.

16Russian ChoiceJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: Andrew Noblet656.5kg4 2 3 3 107: 1-1-2$21.00$3.90

Career

7: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Terang
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
2: 0-1-1
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

10Ballarat1200m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD45.58L
3Ballarat1400m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32L
3Sandown1500m25 Feb 2026 · 3Y BM64 · SOFT50.5L
2Sandown1400m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.3L
4Flemington1400m17 Jan 2026 · 3Y BM70 · GOOD32.9L
1Stawell1300m4 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.8
7Terang1200m16 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.4L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely at Ballarat off extended spell at $5. Strips fitter. Can forgive last start. Worth thought.

ILB

Jumped at $5.00 and was well beaten when 10th last time at Ballarat. Betting is the best guide.

Finished tenth of 12 at Ballarat three weeks ago; although below par last time out, is better than that judged on previous efforts.

RSIS

Odds of 4/1 and gave away some ground when 10th last time at Ballarat. Not without a chance.

17Moana SpiritScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (35-weeks). Commanding winner at Morphettville Parks when fresh last campaign. Seen in stronger company last campaign prior to break. Recent Flemington jump-out winner. Looms large first-up.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Odds of $12.00 and subpar when 6th last time at Caulfield but facing weaker opposition.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Started 11/1 and clearly outclassed when 6th last start at Caulfield but matched against less formidable competition.

Odds correct as at Sun 11 Oct, 3:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races