Seymour (VIC) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Seymour (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 11 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 11 OctSeymour (VIC)Change

Race 6 — Bezzy Eldo (Bm62) 1000m · jumps Sun 11 Oct, 3:10 pm AEDT

Race notes

3yo+,BM62,BM62 HCP,Benchmark 62
SOFT5
Fine
13 runners

Shortest win price

Myhro's Ruler (9)

2.65

Most career wins

Cumboogle

10-4-3 from 47 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

13Bel Lupa

Offmidfield

16Ourzacracker

Midfield

2Commands Success

Offpace

1Tookay Pete
6Ulfberht
7Blaze Away

Onpace

3Abovethefrostline
8Watten Assett
11Heidi Dancer
12Salamanca Six

Leader

5Cumboogle
9Myhro's Ruler
14Parcae

Tookay Pete · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Commands Success · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Abovethefrostline · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 78%
Cumboogle · Negative
Jockey Booking
Olivia East current POT is 22% below Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Tookay PeteJ: Hayley Spitse·T: Melissa Page163.5kg1 3 5 11 225: 5-4-4$41.00$6.00

Career

25: 5-4-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
2: 0-0-1
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-1
Track Yarra Valley
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1102m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1209m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
19: 5-4-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

2Seymour1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2L
11Flemington1100m28 Mar 2026 · BM78 · HEAVY89.3L
5Caulfield Heath1100m4 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L
3Cranbourne1000m20 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.5L
1Sandown1000m4 Feb 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD4-0.5
2Cranbourne1000m30 Jan 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD33.3L
1Cranbourne1000m22 Jan 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD3-0.5
1Yarra Valley1000m13 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD4-0.3

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 66%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Track And Dist
Negative
Has a poor record at this track and trip
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (28-weeks). Handy form when last seen. Just missed in Benchmark 56 company at Tatura first-up last campaign while brought on with a solid 2nd at a trial here. Keep safe.

ILB

First up from a break of 28 weeks and just missed first up last preparation at Tatura. The large claim from Hayley Spitse should help and goes down in class. Questions at this level.

Finished 11th of 12 at Flemington over 5½f (handicap) in March; back from an absence here; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Resuming and right in contention resuming last preparation at Tatura. The large claim from Hayley Spitse should help and up against a less competitive field. Gets a favourable draw.

2Commands SuccessJ: Cassidy Hill·T: Dwayne Reid661kg1 4 5 8 737: 6-6-4$20.00$3.90

Career

37: 6-6-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 3-1-0
Second-up
6: 1-1-0
Third-up
5: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-1
Track Narrandera
1: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
3: 0-1-1
Track Seymour
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1312m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
23: 6-4-2
Distance 1006m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
9: 1-1-0
Going Good
27: 5-4-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

7Ballarat1000m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.5L
8Ballarat1000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD43.23L
5Ballarat1000m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.9L
4Caulfield Heath1200m18 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.6L
1Caulfield Heath1000m4 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
3Pakenham1000m26 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD40.7L
2Sale1006m11 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD40.5L
3Cranbourne1000m30 Jan 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD33.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Started $21 when safely held in Benchmark 66 company at Ballarat second-up. Others with more appeal.

ILB

At $21.00 struggled with the pace when 7th last time at Ballarat. Won't find this easy.

Likes this combination of C&D; not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Caulfield in March; held when seventh beaten 7l at Ballarat last month; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

At 20/1 couldn't stay in touch when 7th last run at Ballarat.

3AbovethefrostlineJ: Damien Thornton·T: J D Sadler460.5kg6 9 5 1 813: 3-2-0$31.00$4.80

Career

13: 3-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 1-2-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
7: 1-2-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
11: 2-2-0
Distance 1009m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0

Last starts

8Mornington1000m25 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.5L
1Mornington1000m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1
5Mornington1000m5 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD34.4L
9Mornington1000m23 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT57L
6Seymour1000m12 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.3L
2Mornington1000m18 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.8L
1Moonee Valley1000m7 Mar 2025 · Class 1 · GOOD4-1.75
5Sandown1200m10 July 2024 · BenchMark 64 · HEAVY83.05L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 78%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (19-weeks). Ex Marcus Fahler in Victoria. Fresh form is good. 3rd at past couple of Pakenham jump-outs. Look for any market support.

ILB

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Jumped at $12.00 and was well beaten when 8th last start at Mornington and matched against a stronger field. Hard to take.

Not beaten that far (Mornington) in May; career wins-runs record of 3-13; now running for a new yard; returns from a layoff; passed over.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Was 11/1 and weakened under pressure when 8th last time at Mornington and facing stiffer opposition. Has plenty of early pace.

4Don't RussiaScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (27-weeks). Ex Craig Blackshaw in SA. Handy fresh horse. 3rd in a 800m Flemington jump-out 28/8. Big watch under new trainer after long spell.

ILB

On a quick back up. Odds of $6.50 and came in 5th last run at Cranbourne.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started 11/2 and finished 5th last time at Cranbourne.

5CumboogleJ: Olivia East·T: L E Robertson1160kg6 7 2 9 747: 10-4-3$101.00$12.00

Career

47: 10-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 2-0-0
Third-up
4: 2-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Orange
6: 2-1-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
4: 2-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1018m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
4: 2-0-0
Going Good
21: 4-2-1
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Tatura1000m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.25L
9Ballarat1000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD43.98L
2Tatura1000m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.5L
7Bendigo1000m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY84L
6Ballarat Synthetic1000m14 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.36L
4Ballarat Synthetic1000m2 July 2026 · BM70 · SYNTHETIC1.6L
1Ballarat Synthetic1000m24 June 2026 · BM66 · SYNTHETIC-0.2
1Ballarat Synthetic1000m16 June 2026 · BM66 · SYNTHETIC-0.06

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Olivia East current POT is 22% below Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 81%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 25% in L100 rides
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Rider found a forward spot at Tatura but he put in a very lacklustre finish over this distance. New to Seymour. Others with more appeal.

ILB

At $3.80 weakened under pressure when 7th last time at Tatura but suited by the weight drop. Olivia East and Leslie Robertson are a duo to watch closely. Significant improvement required.

Admirable career strike-rate (ten from 47 to date); only finished seventh of 12 despite odds of 14-5 at Tatura last month; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

At 11/4 didn't find the line when 7th last start at Tatura but carrying less weight this time. Olivia East and Leslie Robertson are consistently competitive when paired.

6UlfberhtJ: Luke Nolen·T: R D Griffiths1260kg2 2 2 1 104: 1-2-0$18.00$3.80

Career

4: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
3: 1-2-0
Distance 1208m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1113m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 1-2-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Flemington1100m20 June 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT76.3L
1Sale1208m17 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.3
2Sale1100m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD31.75L
2Sale1113m19 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41L
2Caulfield Heath800m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.8L

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (16-weeks). Wasn't all that far away in his first prep. In the minors at Sale on debut last campaign. One for exotics fresh in this company.

ILB

First up and put in a competitive run when placing 2nd first up last preparation at Sale. Back in an easier grade. Putting a tidy record together. Has a good chance.

Beaten 6l into tenth at Flemington over 5½f (handicap) in June; Luke Nolen a noteworthy booking and this only his second handicap outing; others more appealing.

RSIS

Resuming and attacked the line when 2nd beaten by 1L resuming last preparation at Sale. Going down in grade. Good career start. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Serious contender.

7Blaze AwayJ: Lachlan King·T: Claire Patterson759.5kg6 10 7 5 119: 2-0-1$11.00$3.20

Career

9: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
4: 2-0-0
Distance 1125m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Sale1205m28 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY86.3L
5Caulfield Heath1200m27 May 2026 · 3Y BM64 · SOFT71.1L
7Bendigo1100m13 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD43.2L
10Geelong1125m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.7L
6Ballarat1000m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.1L
1Caulfield1100m12 Nov 2025 · 3YF BM64 · SOFT6-1
1Moe1100m19 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8
8Murtoa1100m4 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD46.6L

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (15-weeks). Often around the mark fresh while warmed up with an impressive trial. This will test.

ILB

First up today. Was $12.00 and folded up in the straight when 11th last run at Sale. Rough chance today.

Generally modest form since handicap success at Caulfield last November; finished last of 11 at Sale over 6f (handicap) in June; others more persuasive.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Started at 11/1 and struggled with the pace when 11th last run at Sale.

8Watten AssettJ: Ben Allen·T: Simon Zahra1359kg2 8 1 2 49: 1-4-0$16.00$3.90

Career

9: 1-4-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
3: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-1-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-2-0
Going Good
6: 1-4-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Sale1006m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.7L
2Pakenham Synthetic1000m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD30.2L
1Pakenham Synthetic1000m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.8
8Sale1100m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT64.1L
2Werribee1100m17 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.3L
2Wangaratta1170m18 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD30.1L
2Echuca1100m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD30.3L
7Kilmore1200m23 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT76.17L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Great run at Pakenham Synthetic 24 Aug. Fought to the death at Sale. Can play a role if he gets the breaks.

ILB

Was $5.00 and ran 4th last time at Sale. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Keep safe.

Consistent lately; gave it a good shot when a close fourth at Sale last month.

RSIS

Started 4/1 and came in 4th last run at Sale. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Watch for a sign in the market.

9Myhro's RulerJ: Jamie Mott·T: John Mcardle958kg6 1 83: 1-0-0$2.65$1.34

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Caulfield1100m15 Aug 2026 · 3yo · SOFT65.3L
1Echuca1000m24 July 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY9-6
6Caulfield1200m21 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD411L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (57-days). Bolted in at Echuca two back. In touch but couldn't find anything when pressured at Caulfield when second-up. Warrants attention.

ILB

Back from a let up. Was $10.00 and didn't attack the line when 8th last run at Caulfield but stepping down to a lower level. Expecting a solid performance.

Held in eighth two months ago at Caulfield in a Group 3; dropping in class but there are better alternatives here.

RSIS

Let up. Started 9/1 and was well beaten when 8th last time at Caulfield but competing in an easier class. Displays good tactical pace. Great chance.

10The ShysterScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 41% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Short odds and duly saluted at Tatura on debut. Dropping back to 1000m here. Can make his presence felt again.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Dominant winner by a margin of just short of 4L last run at Albury. Very tidy this preparation winning 2 from as many attempts.

Readily accounted for his rivals over 4½f at Albury (handicap) yesterday; big chance; was entered at Albury Saturday.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Won very easily when winning by a margin of close to 4L last start at Albury. Flying lately with 2 wins from as many starts.

11Heidi DancerJ: Craig Newitt·T: D Meagher257.5kg3 4 2 1 85: 1-1-1$61.00$8.00

Career

5: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-0-1
Track Yarra Valley
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1009m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-1

Last starts

8Mornington1000m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.76L
1Yarra Valley1000m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.4
2Yarra Valley1009m21 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.5L
4Sandown1000m21 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.61L
3Mornington1000m1 Jan 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD43L
5Caulfield800m20 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial3.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent out $20 when unable to threaten at Mornington after lengthy absence. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Odds of $20.00 and faded to finish 8th last time at Mornington but has a good draw. Displays good tactical speed. Looking at others.

Was eighth of nine, beaten 6l, at Mornington 24 days ago; appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; runs for only the second time in a handicap; interesting with a bit more luck as excuses last time (hampered) and she won a maiden two runs back.

RSIS

Started 19/1 and weakened to finish 8th last run at Mornington but drawn nicely. Should come to hand quickly.

12Salamanca SixJ: Billy Egan·T: Dominic Sutton357.5kg2 1 102: 1-0-0$23.00$4.40

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

10Flemington1100m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD310.2L
1Bendigo1000m26 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY8-0.4
2Caulfield Heath800m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Billy Egan winning at 13% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Terrific debut at Bendigo 26 Aug. Failed to threaten at Flemington at second outing. as an outsider. Stripping fitter, can make his presence felt.

ILB

Looked outclassed when 10th last time at Flemington. May see an upturn in form and competing in an easier class. Good chance at a nice price.

Finished last of ten over 5½f at Flemington (Group 3) last month; should go close in this lower-class event and was successful two starts back.

RSIS

Couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last time at Flemington. May see an upturn in form and facing less formidable opponents. Good chance in this.

13Bel LupaJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: G Eurell557kg1 1 11 5 87: 1-2-0$4.40$1.75

Career

7: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

8Caulfield Heath1000m20 May 2026 · 3Y BM64 · SOFT62.3L
5Caulfield Heath1200m29 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD43.46L
11Caulfield1200m4 Apr 2026 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · GOOD35.7L
1Pakenham1000m12 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-2.8
1Caulfield Heath1000m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1
5Seymour1200m12 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD49.1L
2Benalla1206m26 Sept 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD30.8L
2Bendigo1100m7 Sept 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · HEAVY91.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 41%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (20-weeks). Big win in Maiden company Pakenham last time first-up. Last campaign was against better opposition. Can make her presence felt fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up from a break of 20 weeks and rounded them up when winning first up last preparation at Pakenham. Displays good finishing speed. Good chance in this.

Not beaten too far (just over 2l) at Caulfield five months ago; returns from a layoff here.

RSIS

Resuming and finished hard to win resuming last preparation at Pakenham. Has good finishing pace. One of the punters top hopes.

14ParcaeJ: Michael Dee·T: A & S Freedman856kg3 1 11: 1-0-0$3.80$1.60

Career

1: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Mornington1000m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-2.5
1Randwick740m16 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.6
3Randwick736m5 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.3L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Straight into the black book after a terrific debut at Mornington. M J Dee retains the ride. Profiles well. Hard to toss.

ILB

Got the cash when winning by 2 1/2L last time at Mornington and having second career run. Expecting to settle positively. Up against a higher level of opposition. Must be considered here.

Good debut winner at Mornington at 4-9 last month; can be on the premises.

RSIS

Got the prize when winning by 2 1/2L last start at Mornington and was on debut last time. Will be positive in the run early. Should go close.

15Adieu GrasseScratched15––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 272%
Key Jockey
Positive
Ryan Hurdle winning at 18% POT in last 100 rides
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Winner packed too many punches but he kept on bravely at Kilmore. Sticky draw to negotiate. Drops back a notch in trip. Harder to warm to here.

ILB

Couldn't keep the pace going when 3rd last start at Kilmore. In a purple patch of form this preparation.

RSIS

Outgunned at the finish when 3rd beaten by more than 3 1/2L last time at Kilmore. Has been a model of consistency since coming back from a break.

16OurzacrackerJ: Teodore Nugent·T: C J Davis1054kg9 7 8 9 9113: 1-7-6$126.00$16.00

Career

113: 1-7-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track Donald
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1002m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1009m
5: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
16: 0-0-1
Going Soft
34: 1-5-2
Going Synthetic
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Echuca1009m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.33L
9Tatura1000m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT76.5L
8Berrigan1100m22 Aug 2026 · BM506.2L
7Narrandera1000m15 Aug 2026 · BM50 · SOFT66.9L
9Ballarat Synthetic1000m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM52 HCP · SYNTHETIC6.8L
10Wangaratta1000m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY96.4L
11Wangaratta1000m6 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY1011.7L
9Echuca1000m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY106.3L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -65% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 62%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 65% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track And Dist
Negative
Has a poor record at this track and trip
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Off pace and comfortably beaten at Echuca. Remains unplaced from 6 starts here. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

At $101.00 didn't threaten when 9th last start at Echuca and testing ability against stronger contenders. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Seems unlikely.

Useful in this grade; not disgraced in ninth at Echuca last month.

RSIS

Started at 100/1 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last time at Echuca and racing in stronger company. Has struggled so far in recent runs.

Odds correct as at Sun 11 Oct, 3:10 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races