Shortest win price
Soul Lady (5)
2.90
Welcome to Queanbeyan for race seven on the card, the Carbids Benchmark 74 Handicap over 1200m on a soft six track under overcast skies. Punters looking at the win market will find Soul Lady heading the queues right at the top of the order, closely followed by Christmas Star, Rubi Air, and Aristocrat rounding out the next line of betting. It shapes as a fascinating tactical affair over the 1200m scamper with Vella Magic expected to find the front early, while runners like Metallic Ruler and Aristocrat map to track close behind on the pace.
Digging into the form behind those shorter prices reveals some interesting stable yarns and lead-up efforts. Soul Lady resumes here after finishing fourth at Canberra over 1000m where she went back and closed intently first run back, with the rise in trip looking a major plus second-up for trainer J M Cleary. Christmas Star brings a win at Sapphire Coast over 1005m two starts back before a close runner-up finish at the same track, though the stable brings her here fresh following a twenty-five-week break and a single Canberra trial. Meanwhile, Rubi Air comes in off a solid third at Moruya in similar grade where she was reserved at the back before giving a late chase, boasting a neat prior win over this exact track.
Further down the market and across the speed map, Anthony Warren's stable is running hot with numbers that are outperforming market expectations significantly when paired with jockey Coriah Keatings. Aristocrat is another returning from a twenty-five-week spell for Matthew Kelley, having put together some honest efforts last preparation and drawing barrier one with Emma Ly taking the mount. Vella Magic looks set to dictate terms from the inside as the lone leader on the map, but punters seeking value might be eyeing how Soul Lady maps from barrier three as a backmarker suited by the track setup.
Shortest win price
Soul Lady (5)
2.90
Most career wins
Rubi Air
7-6-9 from 48 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Metallic Ruler · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 41% better than Career Avg.
Christmas Star · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Soul Lady · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Rubi Air · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 86%
Career
37: 6-0-9
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
7: 1-0-2
Second-up
6: 1-0-1
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
11: 2-0-1
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
13: 2-0-3
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 3-0-4
Going Heavy
6: 1-0-2
Going Soft
13: 2-0-3
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
AAP
Went down fighting in the small field at Illawarra Grange second-up. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Started at $19.00 and ran 9th last time at Kembla Grange but drawn well. Performing impressively since returning from a spell.
RP
Has proven competitive in a race of this nature; not disgraced when ninth of 14 (Kembla Grange) at the weekend; should not be far away as has bits and pieces of decent form.
RSIS
On a short back up. Odds of 18/1 and ran 9th last time at Kembla Grange but has a nice advantage with a good stall. Showing great form lately.
Career
11: 3-2-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 1-0-0
Track Nowra
2: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
5: 2-1-0
Going Good
7: 1-1-0
Going Soft
4: 2-1-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 22% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 58%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (24-weeks). Placed at Newcastle first-up last campaign while trialling 2 times ahead of return. Has some claims fresh in this line-up.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Lost ground when 4th last run at Randwick but going up in weight.
RP
Creditable effort (went off 66-1) to finish fourth (Randwick) on Saturday; has winning form at this track; useful at this level; best of his form suggests ability; warrants plenty of respect.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Overrun late when 4th last run at Randwick but rises in weight.
Career
26: 4-1-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 2-0-1
Second-up
5: 2-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-1-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 3-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 2-0-0
Going Good
12: 2-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 41% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 33%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
Glenn Cahill winning at 14% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
AAP
Long time since last saluted. Midfield, unable to muster a threatening rally at Wagga. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Struggled with the pace when 7th last start at Wagga but will be well suited at the trip. Should be going forward early. Worth a serious look.
RP
Not beaten too far when seventh of 11 at Wagga over 6½f (handicap) nine days ago; has posted some fair efforts in defeat and has a competitive shout.
RSIS
Faded away to finish 7th last start at Wagga but hard to fault at this trip. Should jump out and bowl along. Capable type.
Career
24: 4-4-8
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 1-0-2
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
3: 0-0-1
Track Canberra
3: 1-0-2
Track Gundagai
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1005m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1180m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
16: 3-2-6
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 1-2-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
First-up (25-weeks). Tends to race well first-up without winning while brought on by a single Canberra trial. Warrants attention fresh in this company.
ILB
First up after a break. Made every post a winner when winning by 1L last run at Sapphire Coast. Very tidy performer.
RP
Scored by just over 1l over 5f at Sapphire Coast (handicap) in May; returning from a layoff here; despite that Sapphire Coast success, others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Resumes after a break. Set the tempo when winning by a margin of 1L last time at Sapphire Coast. Major player who should go very close.
Career
22: 4-4-2
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 1-2-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Canberra
3: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Gundagai
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
6: 1-2-0
Going Soft
6: 2-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-2-2
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Handy competitor. Went back, closed intently at Canberra first run back. Will be fitter second-up and rise in trip a plus. Key player.
ILB
Made up ground when 4th last start at Canberra and strong form at this distance. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Will be motoring home late. Will run close.
RP
Achieved three wins at this venue and consistent performer; fourth, not beaten that far (25-1) over 5f at Canberra (handicap) 17 days ago; looks likely to go well given recent reappearance at Canberra will have blown away the cobwebs and her latest run was promising.
RSIS
Outpaced some runners late when 4th last time at Canberra and suited at this trip historically. Blinkers go on for the first time. Will be trying to topple them late. Suited against these.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Trainer SR
Negative
David Pfieffer striking at just 12%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Midfield, unable to muster a threatening rally at Hawkesbury for new trainer. Better conditioned. Right in this.
ILB
On a short back up. Folded up in the straight when 11th last start at Randwick but drawn nicely. Carrying more weight than last time.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Gave away some ground when 11th last time at Randwick but will try to take advantage of the stall. Goes up in weight.
Career
48: 7-6-9
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
7: 0-1-1
Second-up
6: 2-1-2
Third-up
6: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-1
Track Albury
1: 1-0-0
Track Coonabarabran
1: 0-0-0
Track Narromine
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1280m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
6: 0-0-0
Going Good
27: 3-3-4
Going Heavy
4: 1-2-0
Going Soft
17: 3-1-5
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 86%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 51%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 33% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Reserved at back and gave late chase into third at Moruya. Won only other time at Queanbeyan. Goes into wider exotics.
ILB
Finished amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by close to 2 1/2L last time at Moruya and has a good draw. Entitled to be respected in betting.
RP
Sound effort when 18-1 third at Moruya last month; winning form over C&D.
RSIS
Put in a competitive run when placing 3rd beaten by almost 2 1/2L last start at Moruya and can find a nice position from the draw. Competitive type.
Career
14: 2-2-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 31% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Emma Ly 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
AAP
Resuming (25-weeks). Raced well last time in. Put together some solid performances last preparation. Key contender fresh in this affair.
ILB
Back after a break. Started at $15.00 and peaked on the run when 6th last time at Hawkesbury and has a nice advantage with a good gate. Down in distance. Place hope.
RP
Not beaten too far when sixth of 13 at Hawkesbury over 7½f (handicap) six months ago; returns from a layoff; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Back from a break. Started at 14/1 and got tired late when 6th last start at Hawkesbury and has the ideal stall. Displays good tactical pace. Coming back in trip.
Career
36: 4-5-6
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 1-0-2
Second-up
4: 0-2-1
Third-up
4: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-1
Track Sapphire Coast
2: 0-0-1
Track Bombala
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
21: 3-4-3
Distance 1175m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1180m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
12: 2-2-1
Going Synthetic
5: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 3-3-5
Jockey Booking
Negative
Sairyn Fawke current POT is 28% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Went home tamely at Canberra after lengthy absence at $71. Others more persuasive.
ILB
Jumped at $71.00 and looked outclassed when 8th last run at Canberra but will appreciate the drop in weight. Displays good tactical speed. Struggle to recommend.
RP
Finished just behind Soul Lady when eighth over 5f at Canberra (handicap) two weeks ago; hasn't won for a while; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Started at 70/1 and struggled with the pace when 8th last time at Canberra but gets some weight taken off. Has early pace and positions nicely.