Shortest win price
Patrika Express (6)
1.85
Welcome to Queanbeyan for the Tab Saver Hcp (C2) over the 1000m dash, where an overcast sky and a soft 6 track condition await the punters. Looking at how the win market is shaping up, Patrika Express holds down the mantle of the shortest runner, closely followed by Blue Akoya, Travelon Dory, and Sweet Rose sitting right next in line. It is a sharp sprint contest over the 1000m trip, and sorting out the early speed from the backmarkers will be half the yarn as they head toward the judge under these overcast skies at 4:35 pm AEDT.
Delving into the form lines behind those shorter prices, Patrika Express jumps from barrier 2 for jockey Coriah Keatings and trainer N J Olive, dropping back to a suitable class after setting the pace and getting caught late when second at Orange following a maiden win at Dubbo. Travelon Dory represents N J Osborne with Glenn Cahill steering from barrier 1, showing plenty of fight to win a Country Boosted benchmark 50 at Orange second-up, benefiting here from a nice weight drop and a good gate. Blue Akoya steps out from barrier 7 for Quayde Krogh and the stable of B Joseph & P & M Jones, closing off late from the tail at Wagga when second-up after a consistent run of placings. Meanwhile, Sweet Rose resumes from a 24-week spell for trainer J M Austin with Jess Taylor aboard, having placed on debut at Nowra and tuning up with an easy barrier trial win at Warwick Farm.
Scanning further down the speed groups and data packs, the early pressure looks intriguing with Patrika Express and Rained Out listed among the leaders, while Travelon Dory and Sweet Rose push forward to sit right on the pace. Blue Akoya takes up a backmarker lane, hoping to capitalise if the speed up front proves too hot over the Queanbeyan 1000m. While some combinations carry colder recent statistics, the tactical map suggests Patrika Express can use that inside draw to dictate terms and give punters plenty to cheer about in a fascinating class 2 showdown.
Shortest win price
Patrika Express (6)
1.85
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Blue Akoya · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Shyamalan · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 31% in Last 100 Rides
Travelon Dory · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 41% in Last 100 Rides
Patrika Express · Positive
Nice Barrier
Well drawn from gate 2
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 5kg weight here
AAP
Didn't finish it off over 900m 3yo+ Midway (Bm64) at Newcastle. Right in the mix in this field.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Finished 5th last run at Kembla Grange. The large claim from Poppie Gorton should help.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Ran 5th last time at Kembla Grange. Poppie Gorton provides some weight relief.
Career
12: 2-2-2
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-2-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Sale
1: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 1-0-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
9: 2-2-2
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-2-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 30% Profit on Turnover
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Steps out for third run new stable/region. Closed off late from the tail at Wagga second-up. Warrants attention.
ILB
Started at $8.50 and ran on into 4th last run at Wagga. Will be motoring home late. Expecting a solid performance.
RP
Not disgraced when fourth at Wagga last month; has maintained her consistent level of form; meeting some horses in good form and hard to recommend.
RSIS
At 15/2 kept chasing when 4th last start at Wagga. Can go through the gears. Will be around the mark.
Career
12: 2-2-2
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1280m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1460m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 2-1-2
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 31% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Returns for second campaign (19-weeks). Tactical speed, inside draw. Has some claims fresh in this line-up.
ILB
First up and finished hard to win first up last preparation at Wodonga. Will be dropping in distance. Could be in the mix.
RP
In good form before possible blip last time; no impression when tenth of 11 at Wangaratta over 1m (handicap) four months ago; returns from a break today; meeting some horses in good form and may have to settle for supporting role at best.
RSIS
Resuming and dashed home to win resuming last preparation at Wodonga. Will be down in distance. Not at all out of this race.
Career
3: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-1-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Wellington
1: 1-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
AAP
Bolted in at Wellington two back. Found enough to place in small field at Muswellbrook when second-up. Can challenge again.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Jumped at $7.00 and struggled when 7th last time at Port Macquarie. Producing consistent results this campaign.
RP
Finished seventh yesterday albeit only beaten 2½l at Port Macquarie; is of some interest; held an entry at Port Macquarie Sunday.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Odds of 6/1 and below par when 7th last start at Port Macquarie. Exhibiting good form since returning from a break.
Career
9: 2-1-2
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Gundagai
2: 0-0-1
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 2-0-2
Going Good
5: 1-1-1
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 41% in Last 100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Glenn Cahill in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 40%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Showed plenty of fight winning Country Boosted (Bm50) at Orange when second-up. Drawn well and a nice weight drop.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Bold effort when winning last time at Orange and drawn beautifully. Will be positive in the run early. Goes down in weight. A long shot.
RP
Narrow success in a handicap at Orange last week; should get involved.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Picked up late to win last start at Orange and has a nice advantage with a good stall. Won't be far away during the run.
Career
2: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Dubbo
1: 1-0-0
Track Orange
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
2: 1-1-0
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Set pace and caught late at Orange at second appearance. Drawn to effect. Sharper now, major player here.
ILB
Was found wanting late when 2nd last run at Orange and gets a favourable alley. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Looming as the clear top pick.
RP
Finished runner-up when 30-100 (Orange) two weeks ago; runs for only the second time in a handicap; rates a likely contender.
RSIS
Big effort to place 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at Orange and has a positive stall. Should muster plenty of early pace. Major chance. Sets the standard.
Career
30: 2-4-7
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Wagga
3: 0-0-1
Track Port Macquarie
2: 1-0-0
Track Wellington
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-1
Going Soft
10: 0-2-1
Going Good
17: 1-2-5
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 78%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (31-weeks). In the minors at Kempsey first-up last campaign. Hard to make a case off the long break.
ILB
Fresh today after a break of 31 weeks. Started at $31.00 and didn't threaten when 7th last run at Albury and back to a shorter trip. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
Not beaten that far at Albury over 1m (handicap) in March; back from an absence here; others appeal more as this could be a hot race.
RSIS
Back from a break of 31 weeks. Started 30/1 and gave away some ground when 7th last start at Albury and down in distance. Dropping weight.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Latest attempt this journey when stationed midfield and never landed a blow at Wagga 28 Sep. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
On a short back up. Started at $3.80 and uncompetitive when 7th last start at Canberra.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Started 11/4 and not in contention when 7th last time at Canberra.
Career
2: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 1-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Jarrod Austin striking at just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -41% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Back for second campaign (24-weeks). Placed at Nowra on debut last campaign while indicating was forward with an easy trial win at Warwick Farm. Others with stronger appeal here.
ILB
First up today. Controlled the speed when winning by 3/4L last run at Canberra. Likely to be well placed early. Won a trial at Warwick Farm on Sept 28th. Respect the betting.
RP
Off the mark at the second time of asking when winning by three-quarters of a length in May (Canberra) in a maiden; returns from a layoff here; can make her presence felt.
RSIS
Resuming after break. Set the tempo to win by 3/4L last run at Canberra. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
3: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 1-0-0
Track Gosford
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 30% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Mark Sues in good form, out performing market 40%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 30% POT in L100 Runners
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Just held on after leading at Canberra over this trip. Positive last start but needs to build further on that effort.
ILB
Set the pace when winning by a margin of a long neck last run at Canberra.
RP
Big price (25-1) when winning Canberra handicap 17 days ago; unexposed in handicaps with this her second start in this company; hard enough to fancy despite that win last time.
RSIS
Assumed control from the start when winning by a long neck last time at Canberra.
Career
24: 1-3-3
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-2
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
9: 0-0-2
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-2
Going Soft
10: 0-1-1
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Frank Cleary striking at just 6%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 383%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 41% in L100 rides
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Failed to threaten in soft going at Moruya second-up at longer odds. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Odds of $19.00 and tailed off to finish 6th last run at Moruya. Needs to improve.
RP
Held when sixth beaten 8l at Moruya three weeks ago; only once has she got into the winners' enclosure; meeting some horses in good form and looks risky.
RSIS
Started 18/1 and weakened under pressure when 6th last time at Moruya.
Career
33: 2-2-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
7: 2-1-0
Second-up
6: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
14: 2-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
10: 0-2-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 920m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
8: 0-1-0
Going Good
10: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
18: 2-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 13% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Prominent but got the staggers and surrendered quickly at Moruya. Pace influence. Hard to warm to.
ILB
First up after a break. Odds of $151.00 and faded away to finish 8th last run at Moruya. Should race on the speed. Very hard to have.
RP
Last of eight at Moruya in August; all her winning form has come at Moruya (two successes) and needs to improve on balance of recent form; is passed over as running in what looks to be a hot race.
RSIS
Fresh from a break. Started at 150/1 and didn't find the line when 8th last time at Moruya on a heavy rated track. Should race on the pace.