Shortest win price
Chumpakidd (1)
2.25
Queanbeyan hosts the Allbids Mdn Plate over 1000m on a soft 6 track with overcast skies, and punters are sizing up a tricky maiden to kick things along. Looking at the win market order, Chumpakidd leads the charge at the head of betting, closely followed by Aerialize and Winterinthecapital, with Double Rainbow and Heart Reset next in line as the field prepares to jump at 2:10 pm AEDT.
Chumpakidd comes in with strong claims after a game effort finishing second at Orange over 1000m when running on hard, suggesting this C Karakatsanis runner is ready to go one better here from barrier 5 with Jess Taylor in the saddle. Aerialize also holds appeal from barrier 3 for trainer A L Mcrae, having placed handily at Orange over this trip previously and benefiting from an in-form rider in Emma Ly who is outperforming her career average.
Further down the form lines, Winterinthecapital brings interesting debut credentials for G Portelli as a $45k purchase out of a stakes-placed mare, showing sharp improvement in a recent trial at Kembla Grange. Meanwhile, Double Rainbow drops back to 1000m after fading over a longer journey at Illawarra Grange, while Gripfast and Aerialize look to use their early speed from the front if they can dictate terms.
Shortest win price
Chumpakidd (1)
2.25
Back left · leaders right
Offmidfield
Firststart
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Chumpakidd · Positive
Ran On Hard LS
Ran on well last start
Heart Reset · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.
Prairie Legend · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Cosmic Glance · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 53%
Career
3: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Orange
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Game effort at Orange second-up. Sharper now, top chance to go one better.
ILB
Ran home into 2nd last start at Orange. Worth a lot of thought in this race.
RP
Went down by less than a length at Orange 18 days ago.
RSIS
Was strong late when 2nd last time at Orange. Very capable of taking this out.
Career
18: 0-1-3
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Queanbeyan
2: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-1
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1080m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 0-1-2
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Led and fought on bravely for third this venue over this trip. A few runs under his girth this campaign, recent form sound enough.
ILB
Close to a win last run around here.
RP
Ran well when beaten half a length two weeks ago; improved form the last twice but yet to open his account after 18 starts; passed over; also engaged in race 3 at Queanbeyan.
RSIS
Right up there last time at the track.
Career
6: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
5: 0-0-1
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 41% in L100 rides
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (13-weeks). Ex R & L Price. Limited form to date. Market watch under new trainer.
ILB
Resumes after a break. Started at $51.00 and underwhelming when 6th last start at Kembla Grange and back to a shorter trip. Change in trainer. Could not recommend.
RP
Not disgraced in sixth at Kembla Grange over 7f (maiden) in July; six-race maiden though does have a third place to his name; first run for yard; may have to settle for supporting role.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a break. At 50/1 below par when 6th last run at Kembla Grange and back to a shorter distance. First start for a new trainer.
Career
28: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
7: 0-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 0-0-1
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Settled back and didn't come on at Canberra second-up. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Back from a let up. Odds of $151.00 and weakened under pressure when 9th last start at Canberra but has a positive alley. Carrying more weight than last time. Hard to see it being good enough.
RP
Finished last of nine last month at Canberra in a handicap; generally struggled of late and yet to open his account after 28 starts; others appeal more.
RSIS
Let up. Odds of 150/1 and didn't attack the line when 9th last run at Canberra but will try to take advantage of the draw.
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 53%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). Well down the track in only trial at Canberra. Follow betting.
ILB
Tash Burleigh trained 5yo by Cosmic Force having first race start. Finished 6th in a trial at Canberra on Oct 9th. Respect the betting.
RP
First start under rules for this daughter of Cosmic Force; she has a shout as some good aspects to her profile.
RSIS
First start at the races 5yo by Cosmic Force for Tash Burleigh. Ran 6th in a trial at Canberra on Oct 9th.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 54%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
On pace but folded up quickly at Illawarra Grange over longer assignment. Switching to 1000m. Distant place hope only.
ILB
Started at $41.00 and well beaten when 10th last start at Illawarra Grange and dropping in distance. Won't find this easy.
RP
Still searching for first win after five tries; finished tenth, beaten 6l, over 7f at Illawarra Grange (maiden) three weeks ago; passed over.
RSIS
Started at 40/1 and was nothing special when 10th last time at Illawarra Grange and will be facing a significant drop in distance.
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Firststart
On Debut
Positive
First race start
AAP
Trials (3:1-0-0). $90k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare who won six races. Stronger showing in latest Kembla Grange trial 7 Oct.
ILB
4yo runner on debut by Written Tycoon for trainer Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter. Betting is the best guide.
RP
First public outing; sire capable of producing high class offspring; has a decent shout.
RSIS
Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter 4yo by Written Tycoon having first start.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 37%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 55% Profit on Turnover
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Unplaced in all five runs to date. Ordinary performance in small field at Canberra over this trip. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Started $15.00 and overtook some late when 5th last start at Canberra and drawn the rails. Slim hope.
RP
Not disgraced when fifth two weeks ago at Canberra in a handicap; she can be taken on.
RSIS
Started 14/1 and moved ahead of some to finish 5th last time at Canberra and gets the perfect stall.
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
Trials (2:0-1-0). $45k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare. Looked a bit sharper in latest trial suggesting well on track for debut. Looks capable of featuring on debut.
ILB
Initial race appearance 4yo by Capitalist for Gary Portelli. Ran 2nd in a barrier trial at Kembla Grange on Oct 7th. Follow the money.
RP
There's hope from the pedigree that she has some ability; first start for this daughter of Capitalist; has strong claims with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
First appearance at the races 4yo by Capitalist for Gary Portelli. Finished 2nd in a trial at Kembla Grange on Oct 7th. Watch the market moves.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Orange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
AAP
Led, gave up the ghost quickly in Mdn Plate at Orange for new trainer. Building fitness. Looks a safer place proposition.
ILB
Odds of $101.00 and faded away to finish 7th last time at Orange. Prefer in an easier race.
RP
Finished seventh but wasn't beaten too far (4l) when close behind Chumpakidd at Orange on first outing for new trainer two weeks ago; this now his fourth attempt to get off the mark; others more persuasive.
RSIS
Was 100/1 and weakened under pressure when 7th last time at Orange.
Career
5: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Orange
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 31% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Emma Ly 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 64%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Allan McRae in good form, out performing market 37%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
AAP
Handily placed but lacked the necessary pick-up at Orange over this distance. Drawn to get a soft run. Worth a look.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. At $18.00 was outmuscled late when 4th last run at Orange. Should muster plenty of early toe. Competitive type.
RP
Five-race maiden though does have a third place to her name; didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Orange (beaten just over 4l) in a handicap last week; respected as a number of her rivals have questions to answer and had excuses last time (hampered); also engaged in race 3 at Queanbeyan.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Started 17/1 and faded late when 4th last time at Orange. Should muster plenty of early toe. Chance and can measure up.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Last assignment this trip when reasonable effort without seriously threatening this venue. Stripping fitter, not out of it.
ILB
Started at $9.50 and chased well when 4th last start at this venue. Will be trying to topple them late. Watch the betting.
RP
Finished just behind Entirely Oak when fourth 15 days ago.
RSIS
Started 17/2 and inched into 4th last run here. Will be trying to topple them late. Can't leave out of your calculations.