Shortest win price
Inzain Dragon (4)
2.80
Welcome to the Gold Coast for the Tab One Pool Mdn Hcp over 1000m on a Soft5 track under fine skies. It is 1:04 pm AEST and this maiden contest has already jumped, so let's look at how the market shook out. Punters zeroed in early, sending Inzain Dragon straight to the top of the win market order. Following closely behind in the betting are Nation, Tramca, and Fair Shake, rounding out the early fancies in what shaped up as a fascinating puzzle for the racing faithful.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Inzain Dragon lines up for Ben Ahrens with Ryan Wiggins in the saddle from barrier 2, backed by some solid trial form including a Doomben win. Meanwhile, Tramca is prepared by Chris and Corey Munce, jumping from barrier 5 with Archie Mc Colm aboard, coming off a vastly improved minor placing on a soft deck at the Sunshine Coast following a long break. Nation also holds strong claims from the inside alley in gate 1 for Tony and Maddysen Sears with Bobby El-Issa steering, looking to bounce back after a let-up following a fair effort at the Sunshine Coast.
Down the list, Symo's Boy represents the speed map as the lone leader from barrier 4 for Ms M Brosnan and Adin Thompson, backed by a hot jockey and trainer combo running above market expectations. Fair Shake draws barrier 9 for K M Schweida and Ashley Butler, returning from a twenty-one-week spell with a fresh Doomben trial win under the belt. With speed types like Tramca and Nation pressing forward early alongside the leader, this 1000m dash provided plenty of yarns for punters to dissect.
Shortest win price
Inzain Dragon (4)
2.80
Back left · leaders right
Firststart
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Symo's Boy · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 85%
Inzain Dragon · Positive
Key Rider
Ryan Wiggins 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Vindictive · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Bodmin Moor · Negative
Well beaten LS
Not competitive last run
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Firststart
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 34% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 45% in L100 rides
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
AAP
Trials (2:1-1-0). It's all systems go now for this gelding after latest trial win on a good 4 at Beaudesert. D Peisley stays aboard for debut. Follow betting leads.
ILB
Paul Shailer 4yo by Capitalist having first start. Watch the betting.
RP
Trainer does well here with debutants; related to 6f winner Agnar; sire capable of getting smart offspring; clear chance as some good aspects to his profile.
RSIS
4yo debutant by Capitalist for trainer Paul Shailer.
Career
14: 0-4-5
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
2: 0-0-1
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
4: 0-3-1
Distance 800m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
9: 0-3-4
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
8: 0-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-1-2
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track And Dist
Positive
Loves at this track and trip
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
On a quick back-up. Rarely far away. Found enough to place in small field this course over this distance. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Finished amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last start at this venue. In good racing form this campaign.
RP
Not beaten too far (1½l) a week ago; seems to be improving based on last two runs but yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at 14; been struggling to get his head in front recently so looks risky.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Good run when finishing 3rd last run at this track. Putting up notable efforts since resuming from a break.
Career
3: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 85%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Maryann Brosnan in good form, out performing market 25%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 354 day break (> 300 days)
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (50-weeks). Ex M J Dunn. Trained here now. In the minors at Gold Coast on debut last campaign. Big watch under new trainer off the lengthy break.
ILB
First up from a break of 50 weeks and close to a win first up last preparation at this track. Should jump out and bowl along. Has every chance.
RP
Only finished fourth of eight despite odds of 8-15 over 6f at Murwillumbah (handicap) 12 months ago; three-race maiden but has managed to finish second; first start for trainer; returns from a break here; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Resuming and close up resuming last preparation here. Won't be far away during the run. First race for a new trainer. Will be there at the business end.
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Firststart
Key Rider
Positive
Ryan Wiggins 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Ryan Wiggins winning at 2% POT in last 100 rides
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (5:2-3-0). Aided by some solid trial form but thrown into a tough contest. Good draw.
ILB
3yo debutant by Zousain for trainer Ben Ahrens and can find a nice position from the draw. Watch the market moves.
RP
Gelded already; this son of Zousain is having his first start under rules; needs considering with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Zousain 3yo trained by Ben Ahrens having first start and can find a nice position from the draw.
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Firststart
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (4:0-0-0). Trial results underwhelming at this stage. Shouldn't be overlooked on debut.
ILB
3yo by I Am Invincible having first race start for trainer Tony Gollan. Betting as a guide.
RP
Trainer gets fair share of winning newcomers over this sort of trip; related to 4½f winner Mach Ten; sire capable of producing high class offspring; already gelded; should go well as some good aspects to his profile and the current yard form is another tick.
RSIS
I Am Invincible 3yo on debut for trainer Tony Gollan.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Doomben off long break. Fitter second-up. Much kinder draw. Looks a safer place proposition.
ILB
At $16.00 below standard effort when 8th last time at Doomben. Can go through the gears. Must be considered here.
RP
Beaten 5l at Doomben over 5½f (maiden) 17 days ago.
RSIS
Started at 15/1 and sub-standard effort when 8th last start at Doomben. Has very good finishing pace. One that represents value at a decent price.
Career
3: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
A vastly improved performance when the Brutal 3year-old ran into the minors on a soft deck at Sunshine Coast off long break. Encouraging latest but needs to progress further here.
ILB
Was amongst the placegetters when 2nd last time at Sunshine Coast. Archie Mccolm and Chris Munce & Corey Munce must be respected together. Large claim helps. Holds a major chance.
RP
Creditable effort to finish second at Sunshine Coast 22 days ago.
RSIS
Nice effort to run into 2nd last time at Sunshine Coast. Archie Mccolm and Chris Munce & Corey Munce are a proven combination. Large claim helps. Strong chance.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 13% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Ashley Butler 20% above market expected in L100 Rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (21-weeks). No impact in early runs first campaign but latest trial win Doomben bodes well for return. More a minor money chance here.
ILB
First run back from a break. Odds of $3.10 and came in 5th last start at Ipswich. Place chance.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten just under 4l in fifth) at Ipswich (dropped back to 4f) five months ago in a maiden; returns from a layoff; others more persuasive.
RSIS
First run back. Started 11/5 and ran 5th last run at Ipswich.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Let-up (62-days). Performance just fair in rain affected going at Sunshine Coast at second start at $10. Two tick over trials since. Looks a safer place proposition.
ILB
Racing fresh after a break. Started $10.00 and ran 5th last run at Sunshine Coast but drawn beautifully. Solid claims.
RP
Not disgraced when fifth in a maiden at Sunshine Coast in August; easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Back from a break. Started 9/1 and finished 5th last start at Sunshine Coast but drawn by the rails. Value runner at good odds.