Toowoomba (QLD) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 1:49 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Toowoomba (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 31 OctToowoomba (QLD)Change

Race 7 — Moore Trailers Mdn Plate 1210m · jumps Sat 31 Oct, 9:55 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Toowoomba for the Moore Trailers Mdn Plate over 1210m on a Soft 5 track under overcast skies, where punters are looking to unpack a tricky maiden field. Looking at how the win market is shaping up, Spoilt Rotten holds down the shortest quote to kick things off, closely followed by Painted Wings and Thinker, with It's A Long Road sitting next in the order as runners prepare for a 9:55 pm AEDT jump.

The market favourite Spoilt Rotten lines up from barrier 8 for trainer Michael Nolan and jockey Aidan Keeley, boasting a handy set of recent efforts including a runner-up finish over 1300m here on a heavy track and an encouraging minor placing earlier in the campaign. The serial maiden tag is there, but the stable form and recent course performance suggest another bold showing is on the cards. Another fancied runner drawing attention is It's A Long Road from barrier 3, handled by Jaden Lloyd for P A Nolan Jnr. This backmarker drops back to a suitable class following an effort at Ipswich and a strong runner-up finish over 1200m here at Toowoomba, pointing to potential improvement.

Looking further down the order, Painted Wings jumps from barrier 5 for Nick Keal with Kelsey Lenton aboard, kicking off fresh for a new stable after previously racing down south. Early speed is listed as an asset on this circuit, which could suit runners like Painted Wings and Thinker who map on pace, while backmarkers will need the tempo to suit. It shapes as an intriguing puzzle for punters trying to find the winner in the twilight air.

Race notes

MDN-SW,Maiden
SOFT5
Overcast
8 runners

Shortest win price

Spoilt Rotten (4)

2.50

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

2It's A Long Road
5Symphonion

Midfield

6Little Miss Classy
8Pearl Of Sicily

Offpace

3Proffer

Onpace

9Thinker
7Painted Wings

Leader

4Spoilt Rotten

It's A Long Road · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 210%
Proffer · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Spoilt Rotten · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 39% better than Career Avg.
Symphonion · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Flashing StarScratched9––––

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Sunshine Coast1000m9 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN · GOOD46.36L
2Doomben1000m7 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.9L
2Doomben1000m7 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.5L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run

Comments

AAP

Debut effort fair in spread-out finish at Sunshine Coast 9 Oct. Wiser for experience. Likely to improve from there. In the mix.

ILB

Started at $12.00 and picked up some late ground when 4th last run at Sunshine Coast and having second career run. Likely to be well placed early.

Beaten 6l on his debut at Sunshine Coast in blinkers at 11-1 22 days ago; must now step up.

RSIS

Started at 11/1 and ran on into 4th last run at Sunshine Coast and having second career run. Should be going forward early.

2It's A Long RoadJ: Jaden Lloyd·T: P A Nolan Jnr358.5kg6 5 5 2 85: 0-1-0$4.40$1.38

Career

5: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 870m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Ipswich1350m8 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.58L
2Toowoomba1200m8 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.3L
5Toowoomba1300m23 Aug 2025 · MDN HCP · GOOD46.2L
5Gatton1100m1 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT56.1L
6Toowoomba870m12 July 2025 · MDN HCP · GOOD46L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 210%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Great run at Toowoomba 8 Aug. Failed to flatter at Ipswich second-up. Usually gets back. Improvement on the cards here.

ILB

Jumped at $16.00 and well beaten when 8th last run at Ipswich. Possesses very good finishing speed. Good chance in this.

Eighth of 11 beaten 8l over 6½f at Ipswich (maiden) three weeks ago; has displayed improved form on last two starts; poses a threat as he finished second three months ago.

RSIS

Started 15/1 and sub-standard effort when 8th last start at Ipswich. Can go through the gears. Should run a competitive race.

3ProfferJ: Stacey Callow·T: G J Banks458.5kg5 7 5 5 68: 0-0-1$11.00$2.50

Career

8: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1217m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Gatton1100m16 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.11L
5Moe1217m21 July 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY96.8L
5Cranbourne1300m17 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD37L
7Cranbourne1200m3 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD39.3L
5Mornington1500m27 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42L
5Seymour1200m13 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.7L
3Mornington1200m2 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD1.4L
11Newcastle1300m7 Mar 2025 · Handicap · SOFT610.79L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 23% POT in L100 Runners
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Got the wobbles and faded out of the placings at Gatton. Will be fitter second-up. Sound claims.

ILB

Odds of $51.00 and came in 6th last time at Gatton. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Can be a player at this level; fair effort when beaten just over 3l, finishing sixth of 11 over 5½f at Gatton (maiden) two weeks ago on debut for this trainer; he's worth a go.

RSIS

Started 50/1 and came in 6th last start at Gatton.

4Spoilt RottenJ: Aidan Keeley·T: Michael Nolan858.5kg4 5 2 5 217: 0-6-1$2.50$1.22

Career

17: 0-6-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-2-0
Second-up
3: 0-2-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
8: 0-3-1
Track Gatton
2: 0-1-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
7: 0-3-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 0-3-0
Going Good
9: 0-2-1

Last starts

2Toowoomba1300m24 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY91.32L
5Ipswich1200m15 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD41.58L
2Gatton1100m1 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.66L
5Beaudesert1100m17 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD31.82L
4Ipswich1200m4 May 2026 · MDN · SOFT54.4L
5Toowoomba1100m25 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD42.8L
9Doomben1200m1 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT58.1L
3Toowoomba1200m14 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD40.9L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 39% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 69%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 35% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Aidan Keeley in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 61%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Serial maiden but recent form encouraging. Handily placed and gave his all this course. Right in this.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Picked up late ground when 2nd last time at this venue. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Expected to be competitive.

Good effort when 1½l runner-up over 6½f here (maiden) a week ago; signs of improvement on last two runs but still winless and defeats stacking up (17 on the bounce); record suggests he is usually one to take on for win purposes so only limited appeal.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Displayed good finishing pace when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at this track. Likely to be well placed early. Holds a major chance.

5SymphonionJ: Kenji Yoshida·T: E Ropiha158.5kg9 11 12 74: 0-0-0$81.00$7.00

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Clifton
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Warwick800m10 Oct 2026 · MDN · SOFT57L
12Toowoomba1200m13 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD414.7L
11Toowoomba1200m22 Nov 2025 · MDN · GOOD414.4L
9Clifton1000m25 Oct 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW8.9L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 92%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Eric Ropiha in good form, out performing market 73%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 56% POT in L100 Runners
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Unplaced in all 4 runs to date. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Warwick. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Jumped at $51.00 and finished 7th last run at Warwick but going up in trip. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Has a nice advantage with a good draw. Entitled to be big odds.

Could not manage better than seventh on debut for this handler at Warwick 21 days ago dropped down to 4f in a handicap; lightly raced (running for just the fifth time); not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

At 50/1 came in 7th last run at Warwick but has a nice advantage with a good stall. Likely to get back in the field. Facing an increased distance.

6Little Miss ClassyJ: Sariah Champkin·T: Ravyn Warzecha256.5kg4 8 4 7 78: 0-0-1$23.00$3.80

Career

8: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Sunshine Coast1400m20 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.12L
7Ipswich1200m2 Sept 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT58.4L
4Doomben1000m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.4L
8Doomben1650m11 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN · SOFT615.4L
4Sunshine Coast1600m1 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.5L
5Doomben1630m17 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · GOOD32.9L
5Ipswich1200m3 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD410.1L
3Sunshine Coast1200m14 Dec 2025 · 3YF MDN · GOOD46.44L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 41 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Ex R L Heathcote in QLD. Started $12 when safely held in Maiden company at Sunshine Coast second-up. Keeping safe at first run for new stable.

ILB

Odds of $12.00 and ran 7th last start at Sunshine Coast but gets a favourable gate. First start for a new trainer. Could feature here.

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Sunshine Coast (beaten just over 4l) over 7f (maiden) last month; first start for new trainer; a likely player as has been on the scene in the recent past.

RSIS

Started 11/1 and finished 7th last run at Sunshine Coast but has a good draw. First start for a new trainer. Watch betting.

7Painted WingsJ: Kelsey Lenton·T: Nick Keal556.5kg7 11 4 5 810: 0-0-0$4.20$1.38

Career

10: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Bendigo1400m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.5L
5Wodonga1590m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.2L
4Wodonga1300m17 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY81.5L
11Pakenham Synthetic1200m29 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC4.2L
7Seymour1300m21 May 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT67.8L
7Ballarat1100m30 Apr 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD35.1L
6Newcastle1600m14 Aug 2025 · MDN HCP · HEAVY910.9L
4Hawkesbury1500m20 July 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.7L

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 41 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Had Chances
Negative
Still in maiden grade after several runs

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Ex Edward Cummings. Trained here now. In touch but couldn't find anything when pressured at Bendigo. Can hit the ground running for new stable.

ILB

Folded up in the straight when 8th last time at Bendigo. First race for a new trainer. Place chance.

Beaten 6l over 7f at Bendigo (maiden) 41 days ago; yet to open her account after ten starts; trainer is ticking along nicely; passed over.

RSIS

Struggled with the pace when 8th last time at Bendigo. First race for a new trainer.

8Pearl Of SicilyJ: Colleen Krahnen·T: David Cole756.5kg2 10 9 7 613: 0-2-0$61.00$6.00

Career

13: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
2: 0-1-0
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 860m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Stanthorpe1200m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.97L
7Kilcoy1200m6 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN · GOOD47.29L
9Grafton1410m29 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT514.5L
10Gold Coast Poly1540m15 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC8.9L
2Warwick1350m4 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.1L
11Sunshine Coast1200m26 July 2026 · MDN · GOOD48.5L
8Beaudesert1100m7 July 2026 · MDN · GOOD41.3L
2Gold Coast1050m23 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC0.4L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Stanthorpe. New to Toowoomba. Regular under achiever.

ILB

Odds of $20.00 and ran 6th last time at Stanthorpe. Colleen Krahnen provides some weight relief. Prefer to watch.

Held in sixth at Stanthorpe 14 days ago; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 13; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Was 19/1 and ran 6th last start at Stanthorpe. The large claim from Colleen Krahnen helps.

9ThinkerJ: Karl Zechner·T: Darcy Rodgers656.5kg3 10 4 12 57: 0-0-1$4.80$1.50

Career

7: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1209m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1243m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Gatton1100m1 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.55L
12Pakenham Synthetic1400m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC16.4L
4Swan Hill1300m28 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT51.8L
10Geelong1243m10 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY814.7L
3Geelong1525m20 Jan 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD31.2L
6Werribee1429m12 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD35.3L
6Yarra Valley1209m29 Dec 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD48L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Well back and made limited headway at Gatton for new stable. Can make her presence felt.

ILB

Started at $16.00 and overtook some late when 5th last time at Gatton. Should muster plenty of early speed. Serious contender.

Not beaten too far when fifth of 11 over 5½f at Gatton (maiden) four weeks ago on debut for this trainer; seven-race maiden but has managed to finish third.

RSIS

Was 15/1 and showed some merit late when 5th last time at Gatton. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Definite claims for punters.

10Vela FortuneScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

On Debut
Positive
First race start

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). Well down the track in only trial at Sunshine Coast Inner. Gets a soft draw. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

3yo debutant by Lean Mean Machine for Kristie Clark-Peoples. Betting is the best guide.

RSIS

Initial appearance 3yo by Lean Mean Machine for Kristie Clark-Peoples.

Odds correct as at Sat 31 Oct, 10:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races
Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 6 races
Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races