Ascot (WA) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 12:50 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ascot (WA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovAscot (WA)Change

Race 9 — Brooks Hire (Rs0ly) 1500m · jumps Tue 3 Nov, 8:10 pm AEDT

Race preview

It's a soft deck and showers at Ascot on Wednesday night for the Brooks Hire handicap over 1500 metres. The win market tells an interesting tale: Please Mizter heads the order after back-to-back wins at Kalgoorlie in dominant fashion, with Dug Another Hole the next shortest and Defending third in the pecking order. This is a competitive 0MWLY and 3UP handicap where the track condition will sort the genuine article from the pretenders, and early pace looks to be a point of interest with two runners mapping to lead.

Please Mizter shapes as the horse to beat on the back of those two wins, delivered by decent margins at Kalgoorlie under Luke Fernie. The form reads well—winning over 1400m then 1600m—and the rating of 100 suggests this horse is holding its form nicely. The question mark is whether the stable is firing as expected; recent runners have underperformed market by 56 per cent, which is a cold comfort for punters keen on this one. Dug Another Hole, carrying 60.5 kilos from barrier eight for the Parnham yard and Brad Parnham, looked to have every chance second-up when trailing speed at Ascot over 1400m last time but couldn't match the winner. The horse has a habit of running on well and rates 98, though the J/T combo sits 23 per cent below market expectations. Defending is a seasoned type on a 53-start career who was sent out at big odds when unable to threaten this venue recently, yet the AAP comment warrants attention. Playing Solo, further down the order, improved again last start and has early speed—an advantage on this circuit—after working home soundly at Ascot over 1600m when conditions were firmer.

The leaders Dug Another Hole and Please Mizter will likely set a tempo, with Defending and Armino mapping to sit onpace. That early shape should suit a horse with gas in reserve; the speed groups suggest an offpace runner could pick the bones out of it if the pace runs hot. Holly Watson and Jason Lyon are both riding above career expectations in their recent runs, and Miss Wall Street and Armino warrant a look from that angle, though the data suggests this race may fall to one of the shorter-priced runners if track conditions and pace align.

Race notes

0MWLY,3UP 0MWLY SC 60+ HCP,3yo+,Rst 0 Met Win-LY
SOFT5
Showers
12 runners

Shortest win price

Please Mizter (7)

3.10

Most career wins

Defending

8-6-6 from 53 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

12Norma Stars

Midfield

6Keggs Later

Offpace

4Too Much Talk
5Divine Inanna
8Boussac
10Miss Billie Jean
13Playing Solo
11Miss Wall Street

Onpace

3Defending
9Armino

Leader

2Dug Another Hole
7Please Mizter

Dug Another Hole · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are under performing market expectations by -23%
Defending · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 34% lower than Career Avg.
Too Much Talk · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Divine Inanna · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 9%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1ExceltrainScratched9––––

Career

42: 7-4-9

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
5: 1-1-1
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-3
Track Belmont
16: 2-0-5
Track Kalgoorlie
3: 1-1-1
Track Northam
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
9: 1-0-1
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
8: 1-1-1
Going Good
30: 6-3-7
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1

Last starts

7Ascot1600m17 Oct 2026 · 3UP 72+ HCP · GOOD47.71L
2Kalgoorlie1400m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 69+ HCP · GOOD41.67L
8Belmont1400m12 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 72+ HCP · SOFT56.7L
3Belmont1400m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP 72+ HCP · GOOD40.7L
3Belmont1400m25 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 72+ HCP · GOOD41.4L
7Belmont1400m4 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 72+ HCP · SOFT62.2L
3Belmont1400m20 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 72+ HCP · GOOD42.9L
2Lark Hill1050m2 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)3L

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression this course. Usually prominent. Can show more here.

ILB

At $6.00 didn't threaten when 7th last time at the track but goes down in grade. Natika Riordan takes a large claim.

Beaten 8l in seventh here over 1m (handicap) two weeks ago; possesses winning form at this track; can be a player at this level; likely to go well as finished second four weeks ago.

RSIS

At 5/1 faded to finish 7th last start at the track but will appreciate the drop in class. The large claim from Natika Riordan should help.

2Dug Another HoleJ: Brad Parnham·T: N D Parnham860.5kg3 7 9 7 230: 4-6-11$3.40$1.40

Career

30: 4-6-11

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 0-2-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Bunbury
7: 2-1-2
Track Pinjarra Scarpside
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
28: 4-6-11
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Ascot1400m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 72+ HCP · GOOD40.8L
7Ascot1400m10 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 66+ HCP · SOFT53.7L
9Broome1300m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 74+ HCP · GOOD31L
7Lark Hill950m13 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD2.9L
3Ascot1600m25 Apr 2026 · 2UP RTG 66+ HCP · GOOD40.3L
3Ascot1400m4 Apr 2026 · 2UP RTG 72+ HCP · GOOD41.22L
3Bunbury1400m7 Mar 2026 · 2UP RTG 72+ HCP · GOOD42.9L
7Ascot1400m7 Feb 2026 · 2UP RTG 66+ HCP · GOOD43.3L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -23%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 6kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong this venue. Shapes as a rough place prospect.

ILB

Managed to run into 2nd beaten by 3/4L last run at the track and competing in a lower grade. Will be positive in the run early. Forward showing expected.

Outran 28-1 odds when a close second over 7f here (handicap) ten days ago; this C&D holds no fears.

RSIS

Put in a competitive run when placing 2nd beaten by 3/4L last run at this venue and dropping in class. Likely to be well placed early. Must be considered here.

3DefendingJ: Holly Nottle·T: D & B Pearce460kg2 3 10 7 1353: 8-6-6$6.50$2.25

Career

53: 8-6-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed60%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
10: 0-1-0
Second-up
9: 1-2-1
Third-up
8: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-2
Track Belmont
14: 2-2-0
Track Kalgoorlie
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
7: 1-1-2
Distance 1500m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
20: 4-0-3
Distance 1230m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
12: 2-3-0
Going Good
40: 6-3-6

Last starts

13Ascot1400m10 Oct 2026 · 0MWLY · SOFT54.92L
7Belmont1200m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 66+ HCP · GOOD45.8L
10Belmont1200m12 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 66+ HCP · SOFT56.7L
3Lark Hill950m24 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.1L
2Ascot1600m11 Apr 2026 · 2UP GRAD 60+ HCP · GOOD40.5L
3Ascot1500m21 Mar 2026 · 2UP 1MW SC 60+ HCP · GOOD41L
1Ascot1600m11 Mar 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD4-0.3
3Pinjarra1600m22 Feb 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD40.7L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 34% lower than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 39% in L100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Seasoned performer. Sent out $31 when unable to threaten this venue. Warrants attention.

ILB

At $31.00 couldn't stay in touch when 13th last start at this track. Should muster plenty of early speed. Respect the betting.

Towards the rear of 16 here over 7f (handicap) three weeks ago; has won here before; can be a player at this level; shown he can win fairly recently and could be interesting.

RSIS

Odds of 30/1 and didn't find the line when 13th last start at this venue. Should jump out and bowl along. Could be in the mix.

4Too Much TalkJ: Patrick Carbery·T: Jarrad Humphries357.5kg2 12 8 1 331: 4-7-4$15.00$3.60

Career

31: 4-7-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 0-2-0
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Pinjarra
8: 1-2-2
Track Ascot
3: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1190m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-2-2
Going Good
20: 3-4-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
9: 1-2-2

Last starts

3Bunbury1400m10 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL5 59+ HCP · GOOD42.5L
1Pinjarra1500m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP CLASS 3 54+ HCP · SOFT5-1.3
8Northam1300m9 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT2.05L
12Belmont1600m20 June 2026 · 2UP GRAD HCP 60+ · GOOD44L
2Belmont1400m10 June 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD41.2L
5Belmont1400m3 June 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT52L
14Ascot1400m9 May 2026 · 2UP HCP 60+ · GOOD46.9L
7Narrogin1190m23 Apr 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD33.1L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -43% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Knuckled down for third at Bunbury. Maps to get a sweet run. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Freshened up. Made some ground late when 3rd beaten by 2 1/2L last run at Bunbury. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Has winning track form; not beaten far when third over 7f at Bunbury (handicap) two months ago; one to note.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Put in a competitive run when placing 3rd last start at Bunbury.

5Divine InannaJ: Jefferson Tsang·T: Meryl Hayley1157kg2 10 7 1 346: 6-9-8$14.00$3.50

Career

46: 6-9-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
8: 0-1-0
Second-up
7: 0-3-0
Third-up
7: 3-2-2
Fourth-up
7: 1-2-1
Track Belmont
16: 1-2-0
Track Northam
2: 0-1-1
Track Pinjarra
8: 0-4-3
Distance 1113m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1410m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1413m
2: 1-0-1
Going Good
35: 6-8-7
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-1-1

Last starts

3Geraldton1413m22 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 70+ HCP · GOOD40.43L
1Geraldton1200m11 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 70+ HCP · GOOD4-0.31
7Belmont1200m19 Aug 2026 · 0MWLY · SOFT55.3L
10Belmont1400m11 July 2026 · 2UP GRAD HCP 60+ · GOOD45.8L
2Pinjarra1400m24 June 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD40.3L
2Belmont1200m3 June 2026 · 0MWLY · SOFT50.5L
10Belmont1200m23 May 2026 · 2UP 1MW HCP 60+ · GOOD47L
4Ascot1000m11 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.8L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 31%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Pressed on early and stuck on well at Geraldton. Awkwardly drawn but has enough speed. Hard fit, not out of this.

ILB

Close to a win last start at Geraldton. The large claim from Jefferson Tsang should help. Should be in the finish.

Good effort when beaten into third by a neck at Geraldton over 7f (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Narrowly denied a win last start at Geraldton. Large claim helps. Definite winning chance.

6Keggs LaterJ: Steven Parnham·T: A W Maley156kg3 4 4 8 828: 4-2-3$51.00$6.50

Career

28: 4-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Ascot
4: 2-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 2-0-0
Track Bunbury
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
6: 3-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
2: 0-0-2
Going Good
20: 4-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-1
Going Soft
5: 0-1-1

Last starts

8Belmont1000m12 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)10.4L
8Ascot2200m1 Nov 2025 · 3UP GRAD HCP 58+ · GOOD499L
4Ascot2200m11 Oct 2025 · 3UP RTG 61+ HCP · GOOD40.9L
4Bunbury2025m29 Sept 2025 · 3UP RTG 54+ HCP · GOOD41.3L
3Belmont1650m3 Sept 2025 · 0MWLY · SOFT52.2L
2Pinjarra1400m20 Aug 2025 · 3UP 0MWLY 60+ HCP · HEAVY82.4L
5Belmont2100m17 May 2025 · 3UP HCP 60+ · GOOD45.2L
1Ascot2200m30 Apr 2025 · 3UP RTG 54+ HCP · GOOD4-0.1

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 367 day break (> 300 days)
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming after a (52-weeks) spell. Placed first-up last campaign while given some soft trial work for return. Always a challenge off long break but capable and keep a close watch on the market.

ILB

First up after 52 weeks and hit the line well when 2nd first up last preparation at Pinjarra. Drawn beautifully. Down in distance. Looking at others.

Has won here before; here over 1m3f (handicap) 12 months ago; returns from a lengthy absence; this looks a fair heat so not easy to fancy.

RSIS

Resuming and ran on when 2nd resuming last preparation at Pinjarra on a heavy track. Drawn well. Back to a shorter trip.

7Please MizterJ: Lucy F Fiore·T: Luke Fernie656kg10 3 1 1 127: 7-0-4$3.10$1.36

Career

27: 7-0-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-2
Third-up
4: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 2-0-0
Track Kalgoorlie
22: 7-0-3
Track Ascot
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 2-0-1
Distance 1612m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1
Going Good
21: 6-0-3

Last starts

1Kalgoorlie1400m18 Oct 2026 · 3UP 58+ HCP · GOOD4-1.29
1Kalgoorlie1600m1 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD4-2.78
1Kalgoorlie1400m20 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD4-3.48
3Kalgoorlie1600m6 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 58+ HCP · SOFT61.1L
10Kalgoorlie1300m23 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 58+ HCP · SOFT57.6L
7Kalgoorlie1617m21 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 58+ HCP · SOFT55.5L
6Kalgoorlie1760m7 June 2026 · 2UP 58+ HCP · GOOD45.1L
4Kalgoorlie1638m24 May 2026 · 2UP RTG 64+ HCP · GOOD42.8L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 56%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 56% Profit on Turnover
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form

Comments

AAP

Ex P J Fernie. Trained here now. Holding form. Delivered in dominant style at Kalgoorlie. Can back it up.

ILB

Made all to win by 1 1/4L last time at Kalgoorlie but competing at a higher level of competition. Unbeaten last 3 runs. Lucy F Fiore is a key engagement. Capable of winning this.

Looking to complete a four-timer and career wins-runs record of 7-27; gained a just over 1l success at Kalgoorlie over 7f (handicap) 16 days ago; has to be feared.

RSIS

Showed a clean pair of heels to win by 1 1/4L last time at Kalgoorlie but up against stronger competition. Keeping a perfect win record the last 3 attempts. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

8BoussacJ: Laqdar Ramoly·T: Meryl Hayley554.5kg6 14 8 5 323: 3-3-2$21.00$4.20

Career

23: 3-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 0-2-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Ascot
7: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 0-1-0
Track Bunbury
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
8: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 3-3-2
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Belmont1650m16 Sept 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD40.78L
5Belmont1400m2 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD43.7L
8Belmont1400m19 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 C&G 54+ HCP · SOFT58.4L
14Belmont1200m5 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT58.8L
6Belmont1000m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)4.6L
5Geraldton1900m23 Jan 2026 · 2UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD31.1L
1Geraldton1618m8 Jan 2026 · 2UP CL2 50+ HCP · GOOD3-1.5
1Geraldton1600m27 Dec 2025 · 3UP HCP RTG 58+ · GOOD3-0.2

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Meryl Hayley striking at just 9%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 31%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

Comments

AAP

Came home with a wet sail to grab third 3yo+ (Rs0ly) at Belmont Park at odds of $19. Backmarker who doesn't win out of turn. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Let up. Did well to place 3rd beaten by 3/4L last time at Belmont but stepping up to a higher level. Carrying less weight this time. Would need to step up.

Cracking effort in defeat when close third over 1m at Belmont Park (handicap) 48 days ago.

RSIS

Freshened up. Good run when finishing 3rd beaten by 3/4L last time at Belmont but stepping up to a higher level. Dropping weight.

9ArminoJ: Jason Lyon·T: Aaron Mitchell1054kg1 12 14 7 1133: 4-0-5$71.00$9.00

Career

33: 4-0-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
7: 1-0-1
Second-up
6: 0-0-2
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-0
Track Belmont
3: 1-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
18: 3-0-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 1-0-1

Last starts

11Northam1300m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL5 HCP 59+ · GOOD3.75L
7Belmont1300m5 Aug 2026 · 0MWLY · SOFT53.7L
14Belmont1200m18 July 2026 · 2UP GRAD HCP 59+ · SOFT79.6L
12Bunbury1200m28 June 2026 · 2UP CL5 60+ HCP · SOFT728.5L
1Belmont1200m3 June 2026 · 0MWLY · SOFT5-0.5
8Belmont1000m25 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L
9Ascot1000m11 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.9L
11Ascot2200m10 Jan 2026 · 2UP RTG 66+ HCP · GOOD418.2L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 9% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Jason Lyon 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jason Lyon in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 27%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Settled midfield, no meaningful impression at Northam. Capable but needs to turn it around quickly.

ILB

Was $11.00 and folded up in the straight when 11th last run at Northam. Has to improve out of sight.

Finished last of 11 at Northam over 6½f (handicap) four weeks ago; not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Belmont Park in June; facing a testing assignment and looks opposable.

RSIS

At 10/1 weakened under pressure when 11th last run at Northam.

10Miss Billie JeanJ: Clint Johnston-Porter·T: Aaron Mitchell254kg5 2 62: 0-1-0$10.00$2.90

Career

2: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-1-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Ascot1400m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.65L
2Northam1300m23 Sept 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD40.71L
5Belmont1000m22 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 164%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Went home just tamely this track at $14. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Was $14.00 and peaked on the run when 6th last time here and has a positive gate. Up against a higher level of opposition. Looks hopeful.

Beaten 6l here over 7f (maiden) last month; lightly raced (this just her third race); may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Started 13/1 and to tire when 6th last run at this venue and can find a nice position from the draw. Testing ability against stronger contenders.

11Miss Wall StreetJ: Holly Watson·T: Mack Hall1254kg7 9 6 3 1339: 3-3-9$41.00$6.50

Career

39: 3-3-9

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-3
Second-up
5: 1-0-2
Third-up
5: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-2
Track Bunbury
3: 0-0-1
Track Mount Barker
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
11: 2-0-1
Distance 1412m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
30: 1-2-7
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 2-1-1

Last starts

13Northam1300m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL3 F&M 54+ HCP · GOOD46.02L
3Northam1400m15 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL5 58+ HCP · GOOD41.02L
6York1300m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD45.05L
9Belmont1400m16 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 F&M 54+ HCP · GOOD46.25L
7Belmont1600m29 Aug 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD43.8L
10Pinjarra1500m20 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD42.1L
7Belmont1400m5 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT54.1L
4Kalgoorlie1400m26 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD43L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Holly Watson 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Long winless run. Well back and never a factor at Northam. Keener on others.

ILB

Jumped at $41.00 and unimpressive effort when 13th last start at Northam and facing stiffer opposition. Best to watch and see.

Finished towards the rear of 15 over 6½f at Northam (handicap) last month; doesn't win often; others more appealing as running in what looks to be a hot race.

RSIS

At 40/1 subpar when 13th last start at Northam and facing a stronger class.

12Norma StarsJ: Shaun O'Donnell·T: Tina Glasson954kg9 11 8 11 274: 4-7-7$91.00$12.00

Career

74: 4-7-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
8: 1-0-1
Second-up
7: 0-1-0
Third-up
7: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
6: 1-2-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
6: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
13: 1-3-1
Distance 1800m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 2218m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
54: 2-5-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
15: 1-0-3

Last starts

2Collie1400m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ · GOOD0.93L
11Ascot1200m17 Oct 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD46.26L
8Bunbury1100m7 Oct 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD48.17L
11Pinjarra1300m2 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 46+ HCP · SOFT515.7L
9Northam1600m18 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD46.5L
6York1920m14 May 2026 · 2UP RTG 46+ HCP · SOFT55.7L
1Narrogin1720m23 Apr 2026 · 2UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD3-0.1
10Pinjarra1400m8 Apr 2026 · 2UP CLASS 3 54+ HCP · GOOD47.2L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Collie. Rising in grade. Unplaced from 6 starts here. Now faces a deeper field.

ILB

Improved to place when 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Collie but testing ability against stronger contenders. Expected to settle towards the rear. Needs significant improvement.

Went down by less than a length over 7f at Collie (handicap), bouncing back from some moderate efforts last month.

RSIS

Ran on strongly when 2nd last time at Collie but competing in a higher grade. Gets back and needs luck.

13Playing SoloJ: Chris Parnham·T: D L Morton754kg2 7 1 5 46: 1-1-0$9.00$2.75

Career

6: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-1-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-0

Last starts

4Ascot1600m14 Oct 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD42.48L
5Northam1400m23 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD45.22L
1Bunbury1400m10 Sept 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD4-0.3
7Belmont1200m19 Aug 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · SOFT53.2L
2Lark Hill950m10 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2.4L
2Pinjarra1400m15 Apr 2026 · 2Y SWP 0MW · GOOD41.95L
10Belmont1200m25 Mar 2026 · 2Y 0MW SWP · GOOD44.9L
3Belmont1000m16 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.6L

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start

Comments

AAP

Handily placed and worked home soundly this venue. Not out of this.

ILB

Started at $4.60 and felt the pinch late when 4th last run here. Good chance of taking this out.

Left punters frustrated after going off favourite when fourth here over 1m (handicap) last month; meeting some horses in good form and makes little appeal.

RSIS

Was 7/2 and found wanting late when 4th last run here. Has claims.

Odds correct as at Tue 3 Nov, 8:10 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races