Shortest win price
Bourbonontherocks (3)
1.80
Shortest win price
Bourbonontherocks (3)
1.80
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Parish Prince · Positive
Map Suits
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Alot Of Desire · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Bourbonontherocks · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 40%
Redrye · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races
Career
21: 1-3-4
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 1-1-1
Track Bunbury
3: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-0-3
Distance 1500m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
21: 1-3-4
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Got back and ran home steadily at Belmont Park off long spell. Will be fitter second-up and rise in trip a plus.
ILB
Was $15.00 and hit the line well when 5th last start at Belmont. Could feature here.
RP
Not beaten too far when fifth of ten over 7f at Belmont Park (handicap) last month; finished ahead of Redrye but was behind Idodomya; has won previously at this course; record demonstrates how he often finds at least one too good so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.
RSIS
Was 14/1 and making up some late ground when 5th last start at Belmont. Could be in the mix.
Career
2: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Geraldton
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1413m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Holly Watson 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Holly Watson winning at 14% POT in last 100 rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Won in decisive fashion at Geraldton at second start. All the better, could add some value to exotics.
ILB
Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last start at Geraldton but up against a more competitive field. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts this preparation. Pass.
RP
Off the mark at the second time of asking when in front by just under 2l last month (Geraldton) upped to 7f in a maiden; strong claims.
RSIS
Rounded them up when winning last time at Geraldton but up against tougher opponents. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts lately.
Career
3: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 1-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-1
Track Ascot
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
3: 1-1-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 40%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Justine Erkelens in good form, out performing market 47%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 29% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Determined effort to secure victory at Belmont Park last start. Distance increase suits. Should have more to come so he's shortlisted.
ILB
Reeled them in when winning last start at Belmont and solid career start. Has not missed the money this campaign in 3 attempts and getting better in recent performances. Strong prospects.
RP
Opened account at the third time of asking at Belmont Park two weeks ago when winning by less than a length in a maiden; likely to be a threat.
RSIS
Ran on strongly to win last run at Belmont and solid career start. Been in the placings each attempt of late but testing ability against stronger contenders. Serious contender.
Career
3: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Albany
1: 1-0-0
Track Bunbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2013m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Second campaign (18-weeks). Not too far off the mark in his first preparation. Had a quiet trial at Lark Hill.
ILB
First up from a break of 18 weeks and was eating up the ground late to win first up last preparation at Albany. Drawn beautifully. Coming back in trip.
RP
First-time blinkers didn't work when a disappointing fourth at Bunbury in June upped to 1m2f; layoff to overcome; competitive shout as shown he can win fairly recently.
RSIS
Resuming and ran on hard when winning resuming last preparation at Albany. Will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Down in distance.
Career
10: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Belmont
5: 0-1-1
Track Pinjarra
2: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1940m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
AAP
Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Belmont Park first up. Strips in better shape. Has some claims.
ILB
At $41.00 ran 6th last time at Belmont. Hard to entertain.
RP
Fair effort when beaten 4½l, finishing sixth of ten over 7f at Belmont Park (handicap) two weeks ago; meeting some horses in good form and others more likely.
RSIS
Started 40/1 and finished 6th last time at Belmont.
Career
8: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
S & J Casey striking at just 10%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Against own sex when handy and boxed on solidly at Northam. First try over a mile. Right in this.
ILB
At $2.40 peaked on the run when 6th last time at Northam. Has very good closing speed. Good chance at a nice price.
RP
Produced a string of consistent efforts; ran a bit below expectations (sent off 7-5) when sixth at Northam over 6½f (handicap) last month; can't be ruled out as shown she can get her head in front.
RSIS
At 7/5 peaked on the run when 6th last time at Northam. Might take a while to wind up but should be hitting top gear in the straight. Definite contender.
Career
9: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
3: 0-0-1
Track Northam
2: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 1-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 164%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Warmed up nicely late at Belmont Park for new trainer under sustained support. Tackling stronger line-up.
ILB
Jumped at $11.00 and advanced late into 4th last time at Belmont. Clint Johnston-Porter is in good form for this stable. Should be going forward early. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Far from disgraced (beaten just under 3l) at Belmont Park over 7f (handicap) where she had two of these rivals behind two weeks ago on debut for this trainer; others appeal more as has a lot on her plate here.
RSIS
Started at 10/1 and pushed past some when 4th last time at Belmont. Clint Johnston-Porter and Aaron Mitchell enjoy a high success rate together. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
11: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-0
Track Northam
3: 1-0-0
Track Pinjarra
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Gregory Evans striking at just 4%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Raced in back half and never likely at Belmont Park over longer assignment. Drops to shorter trip. Needs a form spike.
ILB
Odds of $81.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 16th last time at Belmont but can find a nice position from the draw. Likely to get back. Best to watch and see.
RP
Finished just behind Ah Kum when last at Belmont Park over 1m2½f (handicap) last month; slumped a bit since winning a maiden at Northam in September; this line-up contains some strong opposition so not easy to fancy.
RSIS
Started 80/1 and didn't attack the line when 16th last run at Belmont but can find a nice position from the draw. Prefers to settle towards the rear.
Career
10: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
2: 0-1-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-2-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Got home nicely to beat all but winner at Northam over today's trip. Not as well drawn this time. Could add some value to exotics.
ILB
Was amongst the placegetters when 2nd last run at Northam. The wide alley shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Watch betting.
RP
Ran a solid race finishing runner-up (Northam) when back to this trip last month.
RSIS
Hit the line well when 2nd last time at Northam. Has the pace to overcome the wide draw. Watch betting.
Career
21: 1-4-2
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Belmont
4: 0-0-1
Track Northam
2: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-3-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Long winning drought. Last start this trip settled close and ran an honest race at Belmont Park. One for exotics.
ILB
Odds of $10.00 and lost ground when 5th last run at Belmont. Should jump out and bowl along. Worth a lot of thought in this race.
RP
Solid effort (Belmont Park) two weeks ago; facing a testing assignment and looks an unlikely winner.
RSIS
Was 9/1 and outmuscled towards the finish when 5th last start at Belmont. Has plenty of early pace. Major player who should go very close.
Career
30: 1-3-4
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Bunbury
4: 1-0-0
Track Mount Barker
1: 0-0-0
Track Moora
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1675m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
24: 0-3-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Brayden Gaerth current POT is 52% below Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Sharon Miller striking at just 4%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 47%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 52% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 71% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
AAP
Long losing streak. Failed to threaten at Belmont Park over longer test at wide odds. Can lead or take a sit. Has plenty to find on latest offerings.
ILB
Started at $71.00 and didn't find the line when 14th last time at Belmont and back in trip. Has plenty of early speed. May find these too slick.
RP
Just the one win to his name; finished towards the rear of 16 at Belmont Park last month upped to 1m2½f; may have to settle for supporting role with this looking like a hot contest.
RSIS
Was 70/1 and lost ground in the run home when 14th last time at Belmont and will be dropping in distance. Should muster plenty of early toe.