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Ascot (WA) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ascot (WA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovAscot (WA)Change

Race 7 — Hunter Manning Recruitment Hcp (C3) 1200m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Ascot for the Hunter Manning Recruitment Hcp (C3) over the 1200m journey, set down for decision on a Soft5 track with showers about. Looking at how the win market has shaped up for this Class 3 affair, the early punters have zeroed in on The Nun holding down the top spot in the betting order. Right behind in the market order come Firearm, Hasani, and Wiluna Lass, setting up a fascinating puzzle for us on course.

The form lines behind those shorter prices tell an interesting yarn. Hasani kicks off a fresh campaign here from barrier 9 for Aaron Mitchell, with Clint Johnston-Porter in the saddle off a 30-week break and an encouraging trial under the belt, previously racing with Summer Dickson. Meanwhile, Wiluna Lass arrives via Josh Brown's yard from barrier 2, having stuck to her guns well to fill the minors at Northam after a gritty win at Kalgoorlie over this 1200m trip, marking her out as a natural leader who should give plenty of cheek.

Digging a little deeper into the pack, we can see how the early speed map is likely to unfold with Catch Carter, Spanish Armada, Wiluna Lass, and Roaming America all listed in the leader speed group, meaning there could be plenty of early pressure up front on this circuit. For punters hunting value further down the win market order, runners like The Nun bring handy course form to the table with a win and minor placings from three prior attempts at Ascot, alongside a stable currently operating in great form.

Race notes

  • 3UP CL3 54+ HCP,3yo+,CL3,Class 3
  • SOFT5
  • Showers
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Firearm (8)

3.80

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 9Tribal Ruler

Offmidfield

  • 6Brave Dragon
  • 8Firearm

Midfield

  • 1Hasani
  • 7The Nun

Offpace

  • 10Caporetto

Leader

  • 2Catch Carter
  • 3Spanish Armada
  • 4Wiluna Lass
  • 5Roaming America
  • Hasani · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 164%

  • Catch Carter · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 9%

  • Spanish Armada · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 44%

  • Wiluna Lass · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1HasaniJ: Clint Johnston-Porter·T: Aaron Mitchell960kg1 3 4 8 68: 2-0-1$8.50$2.50

Career

8: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Belmont

    4: 2-0-1

  • Track Ascot

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Ascot1400m4 Apr 2026 · 3Y 62+ HCP · GOOD44.1L
  2. 8Ascot1600m22 Nov 2025 · 3yo · GOOD44.3L
  3. 4Ascot1600m8 Nov 2025 · 3UP 1MW SC 60+ HCP · GOOD41.8L
  4. 3Belmont1200m29 Oct 2025 · 3Y 0MWLY 54+ HCP · GOOD41.9L
  5. 1Belmont1400m17 Sept 2025 · 3Y 0MWLY 53+ HCP · HEAVY8-0.5
  6. 1Belmont1300m3 Sept 2025 · 3Y 0MWLY 54+ HCP · SOFT5-0.3
  7. 4Belmont1200m23 Aug 2025 · 3Y SWP · SOFT55.8L
  8. 2Lark Hill950m11 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial3.1L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 164%

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 3%

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (30-weeks). Ex Summer Dickson. Trained here now. Trial was encouraging. Keeping safe at first run for new stable off the lengthy break.

ILB

Racing fresh after a break of 30 weeks. Started $10.00 and tailed off when 6th last time at this venue but competing at a lower level of competition. Watch betting.

RP

Useful in this grade; not beaten that far in sixth (4l) here over 7f (handicap) in April; first start for new trainer; has had some time off; warrants respect as has wins in his back catalogue.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 30 weeks. Odds of 9/1 and struggled when 6th last run at this venue but facing a weaker group of contenders. Betting is the best guide.

2Catch CarterJ: Holly Nottle·T: Meryl Hayley559kg4 3 8 3 224: 2-3-4$13.00$3.40

Career

24: 2-3-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Bunbury

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Pinjarra Scarpside

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    8: 1-2-1

  • Distance 1000m

    8: 1-2-1

  • Distance 1113m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    11: 1-0-3

  • Going Good

    16: 2-3-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 2Geraldton1113m22 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD41.39L
  2. 3Geraldton1200m11 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 58+ SPRINT HCP · GOOD1.25L
  3. 8Northam1300m27 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · HEAVY1.8L
  4. 3Pinjarra1200m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP CLASS 3 54+ HCP · SOFT51.5L
  5. 4Belmont1200m5 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT51L
  6. 4Pinjarra1300m22 July 2026 · 2UP CL5 59+ HCP · GOOD41.1L
  7. 4Pinjarra1200m2 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 C&G HCP 54+ · SOFT52.2L
  8. 9Belmont1300m13 June 2026 · 4UP 58+ · SOFT63.7L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 9%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 31%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 39% in L100 rides

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

Comments

AAP

Sent forward, outgunned late but boxed on at Geraldton. Pace influence. Fits well against this opposition.

ILB

Came in 2nd last start at Geraldton and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Won't be far away during the run. Definite winning chance.

RP

Favourite when runner-up over 5½f at Geraldton (handicap) 12 days ago; been struggling to get his head in front recently so has questions to answer.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the top three when 2nd last time at Geraldton and showing improvement in recent outings. Should jump out and bowl along. Good prospects.

3Spanish ArmadaJ: Jefferson Tsang·T: J P Taylor759kg4 1 6 3 18: 2-1-1$11.00$3.10

Career

8: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track York

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 2-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1York1200m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 52+ HCP · GOOD4-0.94
  2. 3Belmont1200m9 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD40.3L
  3. 6Belmont1000m22 Aug 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY 58+ HCP · SOFT54.6L
  4. 1Northam1100m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD4-2.9
  5. 4Pinjarra1400m16 July 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · HEAVY83.6L
  6. 2Northam1300m25 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD40.6L
  7. 4Pinjarra1406m31 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN SW · GOOD41.3L
  8. 6Ascot1400m20 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD43.4L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 44%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ran home nicely to win after settling handy at York over this distance. Can show up again at fair odds.

ILB

Picked up late to win last run at York and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Has shown early pace in races to date. Showing great form this campaign. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Narrow winner of a handicap at York last month; shortlisted.

RSIS

Ran on strongly to win last time at York and form has been improving over recent runs. Should muster plenty of early pace. Watch for a sign in the market.

4Wiluna LassJ: Natika Riordan·T: Josh Brown259kg2 5 1 1 211: 3-3-1$5.50$2.05

Career

11: 3-3-1

Rating · IRD

99

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Albany

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Bunbury

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    10: 2-3-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 3-2-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Northam1000m15 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD40.59L
  2. 1Kalgoorlie1200m1 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL2 50+ HCP · GOOD4-0.01
  3. 1Belmont1000m16 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD4-1.12
  4. 5Belmont1000m31 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L
  5. 2Albany1000m26 Apr 2026 · 2UP CL2 50+ HCP · SOFT50.3L
  6. 6Ascot1000m18 Apr 2026 · 3Y HCP 62+ · SOFT58.7L
  7. 4Ascot1000m3 Apr 2026 · 3Y 0MWLY HCP 54+ · GOOD43.8L
  8. 2Belmont1000m25 Mar 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD40.5L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 258%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 13%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • In Form

    Positive

    Racing in top form recently

Comments

AAP

Stuck to her guns to fill the minors when in the market at Northam. Natural leader.

ILB

Big effort to place 2nd last run at Northam and gets a favourable draw. Jockey Natika Riordan and trainer Josh Brown are a pair that can't be ignored. Good prospects.

RP

Missed out by half a length over 5f at Northam (handicap) 19 days ago; has won at this track; holds major claims.

RSIS

Worked hard to place 2nd last run at Northam and has a good draw. Natika Riordan and Josh Brown are a strong team. Should come to hand quickly. Good potential.

5Roaming AmericaJ: Brad Parnham·T: Mack Hall858kg5 4 7 9 28: 2-0-1$20.00$3.90

Career

8: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Northam

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 2-0-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Lark Hill1050m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.5L
  2. 9Belmont1400m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP 1MW HCP 60+ · GOOD47.3L
  3. 7Belmont1300m22 Aug 2026 · 3UP 1MW SC 60+ HCP · SOFT54.3L
  4. 4Belmont1200m1 Aug 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY HCP 58+ · SOFT51.6L
  5. 5Belmont1000m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)3.4L
  6. 3Ascot1200m11 Apr 2026 · 3Y 56+ HCP · GOOD41.9L
  7. 1Pinjarra1200m22 Mar 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD4-1.1
  8. 1Ascot1000m11 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · GOOD4-0.8

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    1 time winner here at Ascot

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent to lead, made a rapid retreat back through the field at Belmont Park. Can make his presence felt fresh in this line-up if things pan out.

ILB

Fresh from a spell. Was $8.50 and looked outclassed when 9th last start at Belmont but back in an easier grade. Can't suggest backing.

RP

Last of nine at Belmont Park over 7f (handicap) two months ago; a previous winner here; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; it wouldn't be a surprise to see him return to the winners' enclosure and by no means ruled out.

RSIS

Back from break. Started 15/2 and gave away some ground when 9th last time at Belmont but taking on a lower class of opponents.

6Brave DragonJ: Shaun Mc Gruddy·T: S J Wolfe657kg8 9 5 6 214: 2-0-2$12.00$3.30

Career

14: 2-0-2

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    5: 0-0-1

  • Track Pinjarra

    4: 1-0-1

  • Track Ascot

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1230m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Lark Hill1050m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.9L
  2. 6Pinjarra1400m24 June 2026 · 3Y 0MWLY HCP 54+ · GOOD44.5L
  3. 5Belmont1200m10 June 2026 · 3Y 0MWLY 54+ HCP · GOOD42.2L
  4. 9Belmont1400m27 May 2026 · 3Y 0MWLY 54+ HCP · GOOD43.9L
  5. 8Pinjarra1200m13 May 2026 · 3Y 0MWLY 53+ HCP · GOOD44.1L
  6. 1Pinjarra1200m27 Apr 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD4-0.3
  7. 3Pinjarra1400m15 Apr 2026 · 3Y 0MWLY 54+ HCP · GOOD42.6L
  8. 1Albany1230m5 Apr 2026 · 2UP SW MDN · SOFT5-0.7

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 7%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (18-weeks). This looks challenging.

ILB

First up and ran on hard when winning first up last preparation at Albany. Likely to get back. Needs to improve.

RP

Not beaten too far when sixth of nine over 7f at Pinjarra (handicap) in June; slumped a bit since winning a handicap at Pinjarra in April; returns from a layoff here; this looks a decent race so easy to oppose.

RSIS

Resuming and finished well when winning resuming last preparation at Albany. Does take a while to get into stride.

7The NunJ: Shaun O'Donnell·T: Ms J Erkelens156.5kg2 7 7 5 59: 1-3-1$4.80$1.80

Career

9: 1-3-1

Rating · IRD

96

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    3: 1-1-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 1-1-1

  • Track Belmont

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    7: 1-3-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Belmont1700m9 Sept 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD43L
  2. 5Belmont1650m26 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT66.8L
  3. 7Pinjarra1200m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP CLASS 3 54+ HCP · SOFT53.8L
  4. 7Belmont1000m3 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.8L
  5. 2Belmont1400m4 Mar 2026 · 2UP F&M CLASS 3 HCP · GOOD41.1L
  6. 7Pinjarra1200m14 Feb 2026 · 3Y M MILLIONS · GOOD42.6L
  7. 2Ascot1100m31 Jan 2026 · 3Y SWP PLATE · GOOD41.4L
  8. 3Ascot1200m14 Jan 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD41.2L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 40%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 47%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 29% POT in L100 Runners

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

Comments

AAP

Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Belmont Park. Since trialled at Belmont Park 26 Oct. Warrants attention.

ILB

Let up. Was $10.00 and moved through the field into 5th last time at Belmont and can save some energy from the draw. Down in distance. Can win.

RP

Has won at this course; patchy form recently; far from disgraced (beaten 3l) over 1m½f at Belmont Park (handicap) two months ago; this line-up contains some strong opposition so only limited appeal.

RSIS

Freshened for this. Started 9/1 and chased well when 5th last start at Belmont and gets the perfect stall. Back to a shorter trip. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

8FirearmJ: Steven Parnham·T: T M Andrews456kg7 2 1 5 99: 1-1-2$3.80$1.50

Career

9: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Northam

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Ascot

    6: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 1-1-2

Last starts

  1. 9Ascot1200m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo · GOOD43.55L
  2. 5Ascot1200m14 Oct 2026 · 3Y 0MWLY HCP · GOOD41.59L
  3. 1Northam1100m4 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.35
  4. 2Northam1100m23 Sept 2026 · 3Y SW MDN · GOOD40.26L
  5. 7Ascot1100m4 Apr 2026 · 2yo · GOOD43.1L
  6. 4Belmont400m30 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.1L
  7. 11Belmont1200m25 Mar 2026 · 2Y 0MW SWP · GOOD45.1L
  8. 3Ascot1100m14 Mar 2026 · 2Y SWP · GOOD42.6L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced this course over this journey. Hard to make a case beyond the minors.

ILB

Was $61.00 and came in 9th last start at the track but has been racing in stronger company. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Not without a chance.

RP

Not disgraced in ninth last month in a Listed race; dropping in class but others more likely.

RSIS

Odds of 60/1 and came in 9th last time here but competing in a lower grade. Likely to get back in the run.

9Tribal RulerJ: Jason Lyon·T: P W Mcleod356kg2 9 7 9 430: 3-1-3$21.00$3.90

Career

30: 3-1-3

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Track Pinjarra

    5: 1-0-1

  • Track Geraldton

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Ascot

    9: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    5: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1705m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    24: 3-1-3

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Ascot1200m24 Oct 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY SC 58+ · GOOD43.2L
  2. 9Ascot1100m10 Oct 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY HCP 57+ · SOFT52.38L
  3. 7Belmont2100m30 May 2026 · 2UP RTG 66+ HCP · SOFT614.1L
  4. 9Belmont2100m20 May 2026 · 3UP RTG 52+ HCP · GOOD43.9L
  5. 2Ascot1600m9 May 2026 · 4UP 55+ HCP · GOOD40.5L
  6. 7Ascot1600m29 Apr 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT54L
  7. 6Ascot1400m22 Apr 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY 58+ HCP · GOOD42.1L
  8. 1Ascot1200m3 Apr 2026 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · GOOD4-1.2

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 9% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Phillip McLeod striking at just 2%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Jason Lyon 27% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 75%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 73% Profit on Turnover

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Jason Lyon in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 27%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced this venue second-up at $101. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Started at $101.00 and ran on into 4th last start at this track. Might be ridden for luck. Very difficult to back.

RP

Not beaten that far in fourth (just over 3l) last month; a winner over C&D; subpar since successful in a handicap at Ascot in April; is passed over with this looking like a hot contest.

RSIS

Started at 100/1 and improved late to finish 4th last start at this track. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

10CaporettoJ: Chris Parnham·T: N D Parnham1055.5kg3 7 6 5 123: 3-0-4$9.00$2.70

Career

23: 3-0-4

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    11: 2-0-3

  • Track Belmont

    7: 1-0-0

  • Track Northam

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    11: 2-0-2

  • Going Good

    17: 3-0-4

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Lark Hill1050m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-4.5
  2. 5Belmont1000m12 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.2L
  3. 6Belmont1200m16 May 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY 58+ · SOFT54.8L
  4. 7Ascot1400m6 May 2026 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · GOOD42.3L
  5. 3Ascot1400m22 Apr 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY 58+ HCP · GOOD40.7L
  6. 3Ascot1200m3 Apr 2026 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · GOOD42.1L
  7. 5Belmont1400m4 Mar 2026 · 2UP CL3 C&G HCP · GOOD44.6L
  8. 6Pinjarra1400m22 Feb 2026 · 2UP CL3 C&G 54+ · GOOD42.8L

Insights

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

First-up (24-weeks). Showed plenty in a recent trial, although this long-awaited return may leave some improvement. This will test.

ILB

Back from a break. Started $16.00 and lacked competitiveness when 6th last start at Belmont. Can't have.

RP

Fair effort when beaten just under 5l, finishing sixth of eight at Belmont Park in May; has winning form at this track; form is hit and miss; back from an absence here; easy to oppose with a few rivals in good form.

RSIS

Back from a break. At 15/1 lacked competitiveness when 6th last start at Belmont.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races