Kembla Grange (NSW) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 1:49 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Kembla Grange (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovKembla Grange (NSW)Change

Race 8 — Go Hire The Events People (Bm64) 1000m · jumps Tue 3 Nov, 6:50 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Kembla Grange for the Go Hire The Events People Benchmark 64 over the quick 1000m dash on an overcast day with the track sitting in the soft range. Looking at how the win market has shaped up for this battle, Century Song leads the betting line as the shortest runner. Sitting next in the market order are Steel Knight, Aegipan, and Yes Yes Boss, drawing plenty of attention from punters looking for a solid form line on the quick back-up or fresh setup. It is shaping up as an intriguing yarn over the short trip with plenty of pace angles across the field.

Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Century Song comes into this resuming after a twelve-week break for R & L Price with Keagan Latham steering from barrier 6, having built fitness nicely through a couple of recent trials. Steel Knight lines up from barrier 2 for Annabel & Rob Archibald with Adam Farragher in the saddle, sporting a lone career victory over this exact trip despite a plain effort last time out. Meanwhile, Yes Yes Boss jumps from the inside alley for trainer Marc Chevalier and jockey L P Beuzelin, coming off a solid late rally at Hawkesbury and holding a dual-winning record over the distance that suggests a major player presence.

Down the market a touch, Aegipan maps on the pace with Jess Taylor for trainer Ms T Bateup from barrier 4. While recent outings have cooled off, this runner boasts several strong results over this specific track and distance combination, making it one to keep safe in your wider calculations. With speed groups featuring Boom Break rolling forward as the leader alongside on-pacers like Yes Yes Boss and Aegipan, expect a sharp contest right from the get-go as the field sorts out their early positions.

Race notes

BM64,BM64 HCP,Benchmark 64
SOFT6
Overcast
6 runners

Shortest win price

Century Song (1)

1.95

Most career wins

Aegipan

6-4-3 from 37 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

1Century Song

Offmidfield

5Steel Knight

Midfield

2Donwon
8Calgary King

Onpace

9Aegipan

Leader

4Boom Break

Century Song · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Donwon · Negative
Jockey Booking
Chad Lever current POT is 14% below Career Avg.
Boom Break · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Steel Knight · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -69% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Century SongJ: Keagan Latham·T: R & L Price663.5kg1 4 8 2 416: 4-3-3$1.95$1.22

Career

16: 4-3-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 0-2-2
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 2-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-1
Track Randwick
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
8: 3-1-2
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
7: 2-0-1
Going Good
7: 2-1-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-2-0

Last starts

4Nowra900m18 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.5L
2Kembla Grange800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.5L
8Randwick1100m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.6L
4Randwick Kensington1000m29 July 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · SOFT51.8L
1Kembla Grange1000m16 July 2026 · BM64 · GOOD4-1
8Rosehill1100m4 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT63.6L
10Randwick1000m20 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.7L
2Kembla Grange1000m2 June 2026 · Benchmark 68 · HEAVY80.4L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Track And Dist
Positive
Excels at this track and trip
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (12-weeks). Competitive at this level last prep and building fitness through 2 trials. Worth a look fresh.

ILB

First up and just missed first up last preparation around here. Should be swooping on the field late. Placed 2nd in a barrier trial at this track on Oct 7th. Has to be in the finish.

Record over this C&D is three wins from five runs; finished eighth but wasn't beaten too far (4½l) over 5½f at Randwick (handicap) in August; holds major claims.

RSIS

Resuming and narrowly beaten resuming last preparation here on a heavy surface. Finished 2nd in a trial at the track on Oct 7th and competing in a less challenging grade. Expect a bold effort.

2DonwonJ: Chad Lever·T: Ross Mcconville760.5kg3 1 5 4 622: 2-3-5$9.00$3.20

Career

22: 2-3-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-2-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
5: 0-0-2
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-0-2
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
5: 1-1-1
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
8: 1-2-0
Going Good
9: 0-2-2
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-2
Going Soft
10: 1-1-1

Last starts

6Moruya1010m2 Oct 2026 · OPEN BM89 · SOFT72.4L
4Newcastle900m19 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD43.68L
5Canterbury1100m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT77L
1Canterbury1100m12 Aug 2026 · 5UP BM72 HCP · SOFT5-0.6
3Illawarra Grange1200m30 July 2026 · BM68 HCP · GOOD43.3L
5Kembla Grange1200m16 July 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD42.3L
8Hawkesbury1100m23 June 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT57L
3Kembla Grange1000m2 June 2026 · Benchmark 68 · HEAVY81.9L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Chad Lever current POT is 14% below Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 104%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 32 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 5.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Battled home into 6th in the small field at Moruya. At best, a place hope.

ILB

Jumped at $5.00 and weakened under pressure when 6th last run at Moruya. Capable of a strong comeback and matched against less formidable competition. Strong contender.

This is his level; solid run when sixth at Moruya last month; knows how to win so ought to be considered.

RSIS

Was 4/1 and didn't threaten when 6th last time at Moruya. Should improve and will find this grade more suitable. Carrying more weight than last time. Can win this.

3Who But RooScratched8––––

Career

51: 10-4-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 1-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-2
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Leeton
1: 0-1-0
Track Sapphire Coast
2: 0-1-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
5: 2-0-1
Going Soft
14: 0-1-1
Going Synthetic
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

4Hawkesbury1300m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.9L
4Randwick Kensington1250m7 Oct 2026 · 5UP BM78 HCP · SOFT61.08L
5Rosehill1100m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD42.38L
5Canberra1000m18 Sept 2026 · Open · GOOD33.56L
6Canberra1300m4 Sept 2026 · Open · SOFT63.6L
8Rosehill1100m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD43.6L
1Canberra1206m21 Aug 2026 · OPEN BM84 · GOOD3-2.4
8Canterbury1100m5 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.2L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 84%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 84%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 61% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Experienced campaigner. Gave good sight at Randwick-Kensington 7 Oct. Handy but dropped away tamely at Hawkesbury over longer assignment. Can forgive last start.

ILB

Odds of $2.70 and couldn't maintain the pace when 4th last time at Hawkesbury and will be facing a significant drop in distance.

Yet to taste defeat at this track, winning on two visits; not beaten that far in fourth (5l) at Hawkesbury over 6½f (handicap) three weeks ago; should get involved; also engaged in race 10 at Randwick and race 8 at Randwick.

RSIS

At 7/4 faded to finish 4th last run at Hawkesbury and back to a shorter distance.

4Boom BreakJ: Jon Grisedale·T: Donna Grisedale358.5kg1 5 3 6 110: 2-1-3$12.00$3.60

Career

10: 2-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-1
Track Inverell
1: 1-0-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1015m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-2

Last starts

1Inverell1050m22 May 2026 · BM58 · GOOD4-0.2
6Coffs Harbour1000m24 Apr 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY82.8L
3Gold Coast1000m28 Feb 2026 · 0 - 60 · HEAVY81.8L
5Beaudesert1200m6 Feb 2026 · CG&E 0 - 60 · GOOD44.2L
1Ipswich1100m15 Jan 2026 · MDN · GOOD4-2.48
2Ipswich1100m24 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.7L
6Deagon1050m20 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial4.1L
3Gold Coast1015m19 July 2025 · 3YC&G MDN-SW · SOFT78.8L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 31% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (23-weeks). Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Last campaign produced some excellent performances. Placed recent trial on the Illawara Grange. Well drawn for return.

ILB

Resuming from a break. Bold effort when winning last time at Inverell but challenged by more formidable competitors. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Others much better.

Narrow scorer in a handicap at Inverell in May; returns from a layoff; should be on the premises.

RSIS

First run back after break. Strong effort to the line to win last time at Inverell but up in class. Should muster plenty of early pace.

5Steel KnightJ: Adam Farragher·T: Annabel & Rob Archibald258.5kg2 1 9 2 410: 1-2-0$5.00$2.20

Career

10: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
4: 1-2-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-2-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-1-0

Last starts

4Newcastle1150m26 Oct 2026 · CL1 · SOFT56.18L
2Canberra1000m9 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD40.79L
9Newcastle900m18 Sept 2026 · BM72 HCP · GOOD36.32L
1Warwick Farm795m3 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.3
2Hawkesbury800m24 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.1L
5Newcastle1150m15 Jan 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.3L
3Rosehill1030m2 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial0.5L
6Randwick Kensington850m18 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial3.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -69% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Went home just tamely at Beaumont at $2.10. Lone victory was over this trip. Can play a role.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Was $2.10 and came in 4th last start at Newcastle. Expecting improvement and has a good draw. Possesses good closing speed. Will be competitive.

A disappointing fourth when favourite over 5½f at Beaumont (handicap) last Monday; others more appealing.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Started 11/10 and came in 4th last time at Newcastle. Should improve and can find a nice position from the draw. Suited by the weight drop. Strong competitor.

6Girls WeekendScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

First-up (21-weeks). Form mixed last prep which included wins at Canberra and Moruya. Nice draw for return. Include.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Tidy run when 2nd last time at Nowra.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Competitive effort when 2nd last time at Nowra.

7Yes Yes BossScratched1––––

Career

21: 3-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Quirindi
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
9: 2-1-0
Distance 1006m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
12: 3-0-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-1-0

Last starts

4Hawkesbury1100m8 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.3L
8Newcastle900m19 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD46.8L
2Taree1000m31 Aug 2026 · BM58 · SOFT60.2L
1Port Macquarie1006m16 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD4-1.3
1Tamworth1000m2 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD4-0.3
6Scone1000m24 Feb 2026 · BM58 · SOFT53.9L
4Muswellbrook1000m9 Feb 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY102L
3Scone900m29 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41L

Insights

Hot Jockey
Positive
L P Beuzelin in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 19%

Comments

AAP

Made late rally from the back at Hawkesbury. Dual winner this trip. Major player here.

ILB

Made ground when closing off to finish 4th last run at Hawkesbury and drawn the rails.

Beaten just over 2l last month when sent off 20-1 over 5½f (handicap) at Hawkesbury.

RSIS

Picked up some ground to run 4th last time at Hawkesbury and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.

8Calgary KingJ: Leeshelle Small·T: Blake Ryan555kg6 3 4 4 544: 4-6-8$9.00$3.20

Career

44: 4-6-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
9: 0-2-0
Second-up
8: 1-2-1
Third-up
6: 0-0-3
Fourth-up
6: 0-2-1
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-1
Track Scone
2: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
10: 2-0-2
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 3-1-4
Going Heavy
10: 0-2-3
Going Soft
17: 1-3-1

Last starts

5Hawkesbury800m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.5L
4Kembla Grange1000m16 May 2026 · BM64 · SOFT51.6L
4Wyong1100m30 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD41.6L
3Kembla Grange1000m26 July 2025 · BM64 HCP · GOOD41.4L
6Goulburn1200m8 July 2025 · BM66 HCP · HEAVY97.3L
9Hawkesbury1100m17 June 2025 · BM64 HCP · SOFT58.8L
3Kembla Grange1000m31 May 2025 · BM64 HCP · HEAVY80.6L
2Kembla Grange1000m17 May 2025 · BM64 HCP · SOFT70.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 176%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (24-weeks). Close in Benchmark 64 company first-up last campaign. Looks up against it.

ILB

First up after a break. Odds of $21.00 and made up ground when 4th last time at this track. Finished 5th in a trial at Hawkesbury on Sept 29th. Cannot recommend as a betting proposition.

Solid effort when beaten 1½l to finish fourth six months ago; has won previously at this course; a while since he's been in the winners' enclosure (last win in 2023); has had some time off; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Fresh today after a break. Started 20/1 and inched into 4th last time around here. Ran 5th in a trial at Hawkesbury on Sept 29th.

9AegipanJ: Jess Taylor·T: Ms T Bateup455kg2 3 4 7 737: 6-4-3$5.50$2.35

Career

37: 6-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Goulburn
5: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
4: 0-2-0
Track Narrandera
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1020m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
13: 3-1-1
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
20: 2-3-2

Last starts

7Kembla Grange1000m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD47.2L
7Newcastle900m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP MID BM64 HCP · GOOD46.56L
4Queanbeyan1000m8 Sept 2026 · BM74 · SOFT51.2L
3Wyong1100m30 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.7L
2Kembla Grange1000m15 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD40.5L
2Kembla Grange1000m25 July 2026 · BM64 · GOOD40.2L
3Narrandera1000m12 July 2026 · BM74 · SOFT71.8L
5Moruya1200m19 June 2026 · BM74 · SOFT51.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Form has cooled in recent outings but has several good results over this track and distance. Keep safe.

ILB

Didn't attack the line when 7th last run at this venue. Keep safe.

Is a multiple winner at this distance (all wins at this trip) but hit and miss profile recently; was seventh of ten, beaten 7l, ten days ago; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Gave away some ground when 7th last start at this venue. Betting is the best guide.

Odds correct as at Tue 3 Nov, 6:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races