Shortest win price
Northern Eyes (3)
2.40
Welcome to Kembla Grange for the Jack Primmer Electronics Provincial Benchmark 64 over the 1600m trip, where the track is rated a soft 5 under overcast skies. Looking at the early win market, punters have stepped up to spearhead Northern Eyes as the one they want, closely followed by Master Riley, Cap D'Ail, and My Charm holding down the next lines of the betting yarn.
Taking a look at the form for those shorter in the market, Northern Eyes comes in for Ms K Waugh under Olivia Chambers from barrier 3, looking to bounce back after a fairly held effort in Benchmark 72 grade at Randwick. Meanwhile, Master Riley draws barrier 1 for Ms T Bateup with Jess Taylor steering, bringing a terrific runner-up effort at this venue over 1500m into calculations. Cap D'Ail lines up for Ms D Poidevin-Laine from barrier 4 with Jon Grisedale aboard, dropping a notch in class after finishing midfield over this course and distance last time out.
Digging a bit deeper into the runners, the speed map indicates that Cap D'Ail, Master Riley, and Sonnig should look to cross and control the tempo from the front. For punters hunting further down the win market order, Sonnig jumps from barrier 2 for Anthony Mountney with Adam Farragher taking the mount, carrying a hot jockey and trainer combination that boasts impressive market overperformance metrics.
Shortest win price
Northern Eyes (3)
2.40
Most career wins
Monte Maximus
5-2-5 from 36 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Cap D'Ail · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 96%
My Charm · Negative
Trainer A2E
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Northern Eyes · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Flying Arabesque · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 17% in Last 100 Rides
Career
7: 2-1-1
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
7: 2-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
7: 2-1-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-1-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 96%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Around midfield, no rally and went to line tamely this course over this trip. Back a notch in class. Keep safe.
ILB
At $3.50 didn't find the line when 5th last start at the track. Has the talent to rebound quickly. Showing great form since coming back from a break. Can win.
RP
A winner over C&D; not disgraced in fifth ten days ago; cannot be ignored as has more than one win to his name.
RSIS
Was 5/2 and struggled with the pace when 5th last time at this track. Is capable of a resurgence. Exhibiting good form in recent runs. Can win this.
Career
11: 3-1-1
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 1-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 2140m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-1-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4kg weight here
AAP
Fresh. Ex C J Waller in NSW. Fair way from the winner but battled home into third at Warwick Farm over longer test. Go well.
ILB
Rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by nearly 4L last run at Warwick Farm and drops back to a suitable grade. Coming to a new trainer. Rises in weight. Win won't shock.
RP
Producing fairly consistent form; a proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 3-11; not disgraced when third of five over 1m2½f at Warwick Farm (handicap) last month; representing new trainer today; has to be considered.
RSIS
Solid run when placing 3rd beaten by close to 4L last time at Warwick Farm and competing in an easier class. First start for a new trainer. Can measure up against these.
Career
29: 4-6-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 1-1-0
Third-up
5: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-1
Track Newcastle
4: 1-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
3: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 2-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
16: 2-3-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 46% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 31 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Started $31 when safely held in Benchmark 72 company on a soft deck at Randwick. Can go forward. Worth a look.
ILB
Was $31.00 and didn't threaten when 8th last run at Randwick but facing weaker opposition. Has shown early pace in races to date. Needs to find a lot more.
RP
Beaten 6l in eighth at Randwick over 1m1f (handicap) four weeks ago; finished second at Wyong three starts ago and too soon to write him off; ought to be on the premises.
RSIS
Was 30/1 and gave away some ground when 8th last run at Randwick but dropping in grade. Should race on the pace.
Career
7: 2-0-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
5: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 1-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 2-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 17% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Rory Hutchings 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 37%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Rory Hutchings winning at 11% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
AAP
Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers this course. Super fit from racing, can challenge.
ILB
Jumped at $18.00 and disappointing effort when 10th last time at this track. Few more classier types in this race.
RP
Finished last of ten over 7½f here (handicap) last month, behind Master Riley; has scored over C&D; plenty of appeal if recapturing winning form.
RSIS
Was 17/1 and moderate showing when 10th last start around here.
Career
12: 2-1-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
5: 1-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
5: 1-1-1
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1020m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-1
Going Good
11: 1-1-3
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 28% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
Sound performance in small field at Nowra. More ground a plus. In the mix.
ILB
Improved to place when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Nowra and rising in trip. Interesting to see the winkers go on for the first time. Worth a lot of thought in this race.
RP
Possesses winning form at this track; respectable effort over 6f at Nowra (handicap) last month; stamina to prove at this trip so passed over.
RSIS
Finished well when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Nowra and going over extra ground. Interesting to see the cheekpieces go on for the first time. Will go close.
Career
27: 3-5-3
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
7: 0-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
7: 0-2-1
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
10: 0-4-1
Going Good
16: 1-3-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
8: 2-1-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -31%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 4%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
AAP
Terrific effort when just shaded this venue 24 Oct. Rates highly.
ILB
Narrowly denied victory last start around here and has drawn the rails. Should come to hand quickly. Strong claims in this.
RP
Close up runner-up over 7½f here (handicap) last month; been struggling to get his head in front recently so may have to settle for supporting role at best.
RSIS
Just shy of the win last start at this venue and drawn nicely. Will be positive in the run early. Capable of winning this.
Career
13: 2-1-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
4: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 1-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1205m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-1
Going Good
7: 1-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 1013%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 4%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Led and held sway to win at Hawkesbury. On pacer. Others carry more punch.
ILB
Dictated the tempo to win by 1/2L last start at Hawkesbury and has a positive barrier. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Others preferred.
RP
Not fancied in the betting (28-1) when edging home by half a length over 7½f at Hawkesbury (handicap) 19 days ago; has won at this track; despite that Hawkesbury success, not easy to fancy.
RSIS
Controlled the pace to win by a margin of 1/2L last start at Hawkesbury and has a good draw. Should come to hand quickly.
Career
36: 5-2-5
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
3: 0-1-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
7: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1435m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
23: 3-2-4
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
9: 1-0-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 41% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 28% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
AAP
Unable to threaten in the small field in choppy conditions at Hawkesbury. Usually gets back. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Odds of $10.00 and not up to scratch when 6th last run at Hawkesbury. Finishes off strongly. Could feature here.
RP
Finished last of six over 6½f at Hawkesbury (handicap) 19 days ago; track has proven suitable before; facing a testing assignment and has questions to answer.
RSIS
Odds of 9/1 and disappointing display when 6th last time at Hawkesbury. Should get going late.