Kembla Grange (NSW) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Kembla Grange (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovKembla Grange (NSW)Change

Race 2 — Snap Printing Wollongong Mdn Hcp 1200m · jumps Tue 3 Nov, 1:25 pm AEDT

Race preview

The Snap Printing Wollongong Maiden Handicap at Kembla Grange over 1200 metres is a soft-ground affair on an overcast day at 1:25 pm AEDT. War Banner is the shortest in the market, followed by Brutal Advance and Sacred Vow, with Cathedral Cove fourth. It's a race where form is paper-thin across the board—maidens and trials dominate the form line—so market moves and trial efforts become the real yarn. The soft-five going will suit any runner with early pace, and there's enough tempo here to make the race shape worth watching from jump time.

War Banner sits barrier one and brings two barrier trial wins at Rosehill, both eye-catching margins, into a race where recent trials count heavily. The Waterhouse & Bott yard has won at trials, and the dam is a Group 2 winner, which adds a pedigree layer to the trial polish. That said, the jockey-trainer combination is running minus 29 per cent return on investment over the last hundred races, a sobering backdrop even with a soft draw. Brutal Advance is only metres away in the betting, and the form narrative swings his way: he went close at Kembla Grange on 10 October at 1200 metres and is a map-suited runner who has outperformed market expectations by 5 per cent at this track. He's backing up quickly from Wyong, though, and the recent form comment suggests he was well back and never a factor there. Place looks the safer line. Sacred Vow, trained by Michael Freedman, brings a hot jockey-trainer combination firing 57 per cent above market, and made no mistakes on debut at Hawkesbury in soft going. He's listed as a backmarker in speed position but carries early speed data—a contradiction that favour's the extra ground here. He's capable of making an impact with even luck.

Cathedral Cove shapes as the value angle: first-up after 40 weeks, she trialled forward and showed the fastest finishing sectionals last time out at Kembla Grange. She's out of luck in the riders' market right now, but that's partly because Louise Day's recent record is well under water. The track suits her, she can show early speed, and a trial win at Hawkesbury rounds out a fresh-up case worth considering. My Star leads the midfield brigade from barrier five and is the only runner with anything like a settled pattern—a leader in speed position with a stable in red-hot form, up 58 per cent on market. Don't overlook the narrative threading through this race: trials, soft going, and sharp-eyed backup runners are doing a lot of the heavy lifting here.

Race notes

CG&E MDN,CG&E MDN HCP,Maiden
SOFT5
Overcast
7 runners

Shortest win price

War Banner (6)

1.34

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offmidfield

2Brutal Advance

Firststart

5Guest Speaker
6War Banner

Backmarker

7Sacred Vow

Midfield

9Be More Pacific
10Cathedral Cove

Leader

8My Star

Brutal Advance · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Guest Speaker · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 17% in Last 100 Rides
War Banner · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Sacred Vow · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 57%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Rain DelayScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Comments

AAP

No match but ran on for the minors at Rosehill on debut 14 Oct. Wiser for experience and nicely placed back in a provincial maiden.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Right up there last time at Newcastle. Has run into the placings all attempts this campaign.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Threw down a serious challenge last time at Newcastle. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts of late.

2Brutal AdvanceJ: Adam Farragher·T: K J Parker658kg3 2 2 2 816: 0-7-2$5.00$1.75

Career

16: 0-7-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-2-1
Second-up
3: 0-3-0
Third-up
3: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-1-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
4: 0-2-1
Distance 1020m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
10: 0-4-1
Going Soft
5: 0-3-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Wyong1100m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.46L
2Kembla Grange1200m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.3L
2Kembla Grange1200m26 Sept 2026 · MID MDN-SW · GOOD43L
2Moruya1020m15 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT70.5L
3Moruya1300m21 Dec 2025 · Maiden · SOFT51.2L
4Kembla Grange1200m11 Dec 2025 · MDN HCP · GOOD30.7L
4Hawkesbury1100m27 Nov 2025 · Maiden · GOOD41.8L
2Hawkesbury1100m8 Nov 2025 · 4yo+ · GOOD40.1L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Went close at Kembla Grange 10 Oct. Well back and never a factor at Wyong. Place preferred option.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Started $12.00 and disappointing effort when 8th last start at Wyong. Should improve here. Can go through the gears. Tracking very well this preparation. Likeable type and a major player.

String of creditable efforts to his name of late and has shown some recent improvement; finished eighth, beaten 5½l, at Wyong over 5½f (maiden) five days ago; looks more likely to place than win so may be vulnerable.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Started at 11/1 and was nothing special when 8th last start at Wyong. Capable of bouncing back. Running with confidence of late. Looks like a winning chance.

3AmazoneScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance

Comments

AAP

First-up (13-weeks). Couldn't get near them in debut prep. Completed two trials since. Has a tricky draw for return. Lacks appeal.

ILB

On a quick back up. Moderate showing when 9th last run at Newcastle.

RSIS

On a short back up. Subpar when 9th last time at Newcastle.

4BallinvirScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

2Warwick Farm1207m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.9L
3Rosehill1030m2 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 41%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 41% Profit on Turnover
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-1-1). $90k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare. Trials have been encouraging but meets some handy opposition here. Benefit of decent alley. Look to betting.

ILB

First time at the races 3yo by Ole Kirk for Edward Orourke. Watch betting.

Running for the first time; sibling of Tipsy Miss (5f winner); gelded already; shouldn't be far away; also engaged in race 3 at Kembla Grange.

RSIS

Ole Kirk 3yo having first start for trainer Edward Orourke.

5Guest SpeakerJ: Rory Hutchings·T: C J Waller457.5kg8 7$41.00$6.00

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

7Warwick Farm815m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2.9L
8Rosehill900m2 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)16.7L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 17% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Rory Hutchings 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Rory Hutchings winning at 11% POT in last 100 rides
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Trials (3:0-0-0). Out of a stakes-winning mare. Well held in all trials. Betting may provide a clearer picture.

ILB

3yo by Zoustar having first start for trainer Christian Frederick Waller. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Betting is the best guide.

Sire can produce useful types; trainer has fine record with newcomers at this distance; deserves respect as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

Christian Frederick Waller 3yo first starter by Zoustar. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time.

6War BannerJ: L P Beuzelin·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott157.5kg3 2 1 1$1.34$1.05

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

1Rosehill1030m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.9
1Rosehill900m2 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.8
2Canterbury900m10 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.1L
3Warwick Farm818m31 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial0.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (5:3-1-1). Dam a Grp 2 winner. In top yard and Trial efforts point to some ability. Good draw. Consider.

ILB

3yo by Snitzel having initial appearance for trainer Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott and can save some energy from the draw. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Watch the market moves.

Related to 6f winner Miss Glenn; stable has a good record with newcomers here; sire capable of getting smart offspring; leading claims as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

3yo by Snitzel having initial appearance for Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott and has a nice advantage with a good stall.

7Sacred VowJ: Jean Van Overmeire·T: Michael Freedman757kg7 4 2 51: 0-0-0$10.00$3.10

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Hawkesbury1100m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT72.83L
2Randwick1050m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.8L
4Randwick740m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.1L
7Randwick740m12 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)9L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 57%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run

Comments

AAP

Far from disgraced in soft going at Hawkesbury on debut. Wiser for it. Extra ground may help. Capable of making an impact with even luck.

ILB

At $6.50 chased well when 5th last time at Hawkesbury and was on debut last time. Jean Van Overmeire and Michael Freedman have a high strike rate together. Serious contender.

Creditable debut, finishing fifth, beaten just under 3l at Hawkesbury at 11-2 three weeks ago; should benefit for having a run under his belt.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and edged past some when finishing 5th last run at Hawkesbury and fitter for debut run. Represents value.

8My StarJ: Olivia Chambers·T: Craig Carmody555.5kg8 2 7 2 310: 0-2-1$18.00$3.90

Career

10: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
6: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
6: 0-1-1
Distance 1300m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-1

Last starts

3Kembla Grange1400m26 Sept 2026 · CG&E MDN · GOOD48L
2Kembla Grange1400m12 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD40.5L
7Newcastle1350m25 Aug 2026 · MID MDN-SW · SOFT63.1L
2Wyong1300m23 July 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT72.7L
8Wyong1350m4 July 2026 · MDN HCP · SOFT79.3L
6Kembla Grange1300m22 Jan 2026 · Maiden · SOFT74.6L
6Kembla Grange1300m15 Nov 2025 · C · GOOD43.7L
5Kembla Grange1400m25 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.2L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -58% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 58%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 42% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 38 days

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Went close at Kembla Grange 12 Sep. In the minor spoils but still well held this venue. Can play a role.

ILB

Was quite a handful for the competition when 3rd beaten by 8L last time at this track. Should be going forward early. Could feature here.

Has taken a step forward the last twice but long-standing maiden; beaten 8l over 7f here (handicap) five weeks ago; passed over.

RSIS

Grabbed towards the finish when 3rd beaten by 8L last time at the track. Has plenty of early pace. Performing impressively since resuming from a break. Can't leave out of your calculations.

9Be More PacificJ: Jon Grisedale·T: Donna Grisedale355kg4 2 5 8 810: 0-2-0$71.00$12.00

Career

10: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Inverell
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-1-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1305m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1310m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

8Nowra1200m18 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD44.2L
8Coffs Harbour1218m3 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY1020.8L
5Inverell1400m22 May 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD42.3L
2Tuncurry1305m9 May 2026 · MDN · HEAVY81.1L
4Coffs Harbour1200m24 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY83.9L
2Ballina1310m11 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT50.3L
7Newcastle1600m6 Mar 2026 · Maiden · GOOD45L
5Scone1400m24 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT57.9L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -35%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Rider found a forward spot at Nowra but he put in a very lacklustre finish first run back. Strips fitter. Sound claims.

ILB

Started $101.00 and tailed off to finish 8th last time at Nowra. Yet to break maiden status after 11 runs. Rough hope.

Long-term maiden (0-10); out of the frame (beaten just under 5l in eighth, Nowra) last month; others more likely.

RSIS

At 100/1 faded away to finish 8th last run at Nowra. Yet to break maiden status after 11 runs.

10Cathedral CoveJ: Louise Day·T: John Thompson255kg4 5 5 2 114: 0-4-1$17.00$3.90

Career

14: 0-4-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1300m
2: 0-2-0
Going Good
8: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0

Last starts

1Hawkesbury1000m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.4
2Kembla Grange800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L
5Wyong1350m25 Jan 2026 · Maiden · GOOD47.9L
5Kembla Grange1500m10 Jan 2026 · MID MDN-SW · GOOD43.5L
4Randwick1600m26 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.01L
2Newcastle1350m13 Dec 2025 · 4UP MDN SW · GOOD42L
4Wyong1350m26 Nov 2025 · Maiden · GOOD45.1L
6Hawkesbury1100m28 Oct 2025 · MDN · SOFT66.1L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 54% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2

Comments

AAP

First-up (40-weeks). Capable fresh and looked forward in recent trial. Can show early speed. Keeping safe at first run for new stable after long spell.

ILB

First up after a break of 40 weeks. At $5.00 came in 5th last run at Wyong but will try to take advantage of the barrier. Watch the betting.

Could not manage better than fifth over 6½f at Wyong (handicap) in January; runs for a new yard here; layoff to overcome; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

First run back from a break of 40 weeks. Was 4/1 and came in 5th last run at Wyong but drawn nicely. Change in trainer. Could feature here.

Odds correct as at Tue 3 Nov, 1:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races