Kembla Grange (NSW) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Kembla Grange (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovKembla Grange (NSW)Change

Race 7 — I98fm Feel Good Kembla Grange Cup (Bm64) 1200m · jumps Tue 3 Nov, 6:25 pm AEDT

Race preview

The Kembla Grange Cup at 6:25 pm AEDT is a Benchmark 64 over 1200 metres on a soft track under overcast skies. The win market is led by Home Missile, Extra Heights, and Sky Deck, with Miss Emma next. It's a race where early speed looks valuable on this circuit. The leaders Miss Emma and Star Minerva will contest the front, while the onpace brigade of Sky Deck and Hellinda sit ready to strike. Home Missile and Extra Heights are both offpace types, meaning they'll be tracking the action from positions further back.

Extra Heights has the credentials to make ground here after a four-week break. The Peter Snowden runner shaped as an improver at Rosehill over this exact distance, and the form reference notes she wasn't beaten far at wide odds. From barrier three, Keagan Latham will have room to manoeuvre. The data flags her second-up record as a positive, though a blank first-up strike means the timing has to be right. Sky Deck, also from Snowden's stable, rates a serious player. The rating of 80 and recent bold efforts point to a horse ready to fire, and the form comment nods to brave racing at Randwick-Kensington at optimum distance. Home Missile heads the market on debut for the campaign after a 16-week spell. With two trials under the belt and a fresh approach, the rating of 100 suggests genuine quality, though first-up runners always carry uncertainty.

Miss Emma is chasing a hat-trick, and that's a storyline worth following. Becky Byrne's stable is in strong form, outperforming market expectations by 84 per cent, and the jockey combo with Leeshelle Small is striking at a 433 per cent edge. The form tells of gutsy speed work at this venue over the journey last start, and while deep into the campaign is a concern, the odds here may offer value for a horse that knows how to find the front and stay there. Star Minerva has early speed and a good barrier in one, an advantage on this circuit, though the sample size remains modest.

Race notes

BM64,BM64 HCP,Benchmark 64
SOFT6
Overcast
12 runners

Shortest win price

Home Missile (15)

3.50

Most career wins

Hellinda

6-10-4 from 42 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

1Zaragoza

Midfield

6King Nic
9Master Yoda
16Can Expect Greater

Offpace

7Menshevik
15Home Missile
2Extra Heights
8Mogwai

Onpace

14Hellinda
5Sky Deck

Leader

12Star Minerva
10Miss Emma

Zaragoza · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 36% lower than Career Avg.
Extra Heights · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Sky Deck · Positive
Track Stats
Excels at this track
King Nic · Negative
Wide Draw
Likely to get caught wide

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1ZaragozaJ: Olivia Chambers·T: R & L Price262.5kg3 1 8 5 1229: 5-2-8$19.00$3.90

Career

29: 5-2-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 2-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-1
Track Randwick
8: 0-0-2
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
11: 3-0-3
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
8: 2-2-3
Going Good
18: 3-0-6
Going Heavy
6: 1-2-1
Going Soft
5: 1-0-1

Last starts

12Randwick1200m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD46.35L
5Moruya1300m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP SWP · SOFT71.9L
8Rosehill1200m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.9L
1Kembla Grange1200m8 Aug 2026 · BM68 HCP · GOOD4-0.5
3Kembla Grange1200m16 July 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD41.8L
8Warwick Farm1100m24 June 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD45L
1Kembla Grange800m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1.3
3Rosehill1200m14 Mar 2026 · 5UP BM72 HCP · GOOD41.1L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 36% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 28% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 46% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start

Comments

AAP

Had all before him at turn and went home tamely at Randwick over this journey. Has work to do on recent figures.

ILB

Was $61.00 and below par performance when 12th last start at Randwick but taking on easier opposition. Betting is the best guide.

C&D has proven suitable before; finished towards the rear of 14 at Randwick last month; meeting some horses in good form and unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

At 60/1 below expectations when 12th last time at Randwick but lining up against easier rivals. Watch betting.

2Extra HeightsJ: Keagan Latham·T: Peter Snowden361.5kg2 5 1 9 510: 2-0-0$4.80$1.90

Career

10: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 2-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 1-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
2: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0

Last starts

5Rosehill1200m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.04L
9Warwick Farm1400m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.7L
1Newcastle1350m25 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT6-1.9
5Canterbury1250m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP CG&E BM72 HCP · SOFT51.7L
2Rosehill1030m24 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.8L
4Rosehill900m10 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)11.5L
9Hawkesbury1300m26 Mar 2026 · CL1 · GOOD46.2L
4Warwick Farm1400m18 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.4L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 34 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. On pace, not beaten far at Rosehill at wide odds over this journey. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Faded away when 5th last time at Rosehill but rises in weight. Represents significant value.

Fifth, not beaten that far (66-1, Rosehill) five weeks ago; may be involved if duplicating the form of his most recent win.

RSIS

Got tired late when 5th last time at Rosehill but has more weight to carry. Expecting a strong showing.

3PeleusScratched16––––

Career

12: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 1-0-0
Track Rosehill
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1150m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
10: 2-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

1Kembla Grange1200m26 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD4-0.8
2Kembla Grange1200m16 May 2026 · Benchmark 68 · SOFT51.5L
2Illawarra Grange1150m5 May 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41L
1Hawkesbury1100m14 Apr 2026 · Maiden · GOOD4-1.22
4Rosehill1200m25 Feb 2026 · CG&E MDN-SW · GOOD45.9L
2Gosford1000m5 Feb 2026 · Maiden · GOOD40.4L
5Randwick1050m27 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial3.9L
6Rosehill900m13 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial1.8L

Insights

Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Kembla Grange
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 38 days
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Freshened since return. Off midfield when flew home to score this course first run back. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Charged home to win last time at this track.

Claimed a second C&D win five weeks ago when successful by less than a length; despite that Kembla Grange success, others more appealing; also engaged in race 3 at Randwick.

RSIS

Charged home to win last time here.

4SiragusaScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed20%

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Led, soon under pressure and dropped off at Rosehill. Switching to 1200m. One for multiples.

ILB

At $13.00 weakened to finish 10th last time at Rosehill but matched against lesser competition.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and weakened to finish 10th last start at Rosehill but competing in a lower grade.

5Sky DeckJ: Jean Van Overmeire·T: Peter Snowden560kg8 1 1 6 36: 2-0-1$5.00$1.95

Career

6: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
4: 2-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 2-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 2-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Randwick Kensington1250m7 Oct 2026 · 3&4Y BM64 · SOFT61.86L
6Warwick Farm1200m23 Sept 2026 · 3Y BM68 · SOFT53.74L
1Kembla Grange1200m12 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD4-1
1Kembla Grange1200m29 Aug 2026 · CGE MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.3
8Kembla Grange1200m16 May 2026 · CG&E MDN · SOFT52.4L
5Kembla Grange1300m29 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.2L
5Randwick1045m21 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.4L
3Canterbury898m10 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.7L

Insights

Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Brave after showing speed at Randwick-Kensington. At optimum distance and looks a serious player.

ILB

Was outmuscled when 3rd last run at Randwick Kensington and have to respect the form at the trip. Very competitive this preparation. Respect the betting.

Winning form over C&D; respectable effort (beaten just under 2l) at Randwick last month; it wouldn't be a surprise to see him return to the winners' enclosure and likely to be a threat.

RSIS

Grabbed towards the finish when 3rd last run at Randwick Kensington and ideal distance as proven previously. Can't leave out of your calculations.

6King NicJ: Louise Day·T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter1159.5kg5 4 8 4 1011: 2-2-0$51.00$7.00

Career

11: 2-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 1-1-0
Track Wyong
2: 1-0-0
Track Moruya
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0

Last starts

10Moruya1300m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP SWP · SOFT73.9L
4Nowra900m20 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.3L
8Illawarra Grange1400m5 May 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD47.3L
4Kembla Grange1500m18 Apr 2026 · BM64 · SOFT51.9L
5Wyong1350m28 Mar 2026 · Class 5 · SOFT55.5L
7Canberra1300m8 Mar 2026 · CL2-SW · SOFT76.8L
2Kembla Grange800m2 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial0.5L
5Kembla Grange1500m25 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42L

Insights

Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened after return. Battled home okay in rain affected going at Moruya first run back. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Was well beaten when 10th last start at Moruya but competing in an easier class. Will have to carry extra weight. Very tidy performer.

Close up behind Zaragoza when tenth (Moruya) four weeks ago in a conditions race; has won at this course; a few rivals look in good form so not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Struggled with the pace when 10th last time at Moruya but matched against less formidable competition. Has to carry more weight this time. Can figure in the finish.

7MenshevikJ: Rory Hutchings·T: Annabel & Rob Archibald659.5kg6 2 1 6 56: 1-1-0$23.00$4.40

Career

6: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1512m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

5Warwick Farm821m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)8.3L
6Moonee Valley1600m6 Sept 2025 · 3Y HCP · GOOD49L
1Geelong1512m22 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.5
2Kembla Grange1300m1 Aug 2025 · MDN HCP · HEAVY911.3L
6Canterbury1200m9 July 2025 · 2Y 0SC HCP · HEAVY82.5L
2Canterbury1100m23 June 2025 · Barrier Trial0.3L
7Warwick Farm793m10 June 2025 · Barrier Trial6L
8Caulfield1100m8 Feb 2025 · Set Weights · GOOD44.92L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Rory Hutchings 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Rory Hutchings winning at 11% POT in last 100 rides
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 423 day break (> 300 days)
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (60-weeks). Lone career win was over 1512m at Geelong in last campaign. Close in Open company at Canterbury first-up last campaign. Betting.

ILB

Racing fresh today after a 60 week spell. Jumped at $18.00 and struggled with the pace when 6th last run at Moonee Valley but matched against a less competitive field. Looks hopeful.

Has shown some recent improvement; finished last of six over 1m at Moonee Valley (handicap) last September; has a long absence to overcome; this line-up contains some strong opposition so looks risky.

RSIS

Racing fresh today after a break of 60 weeks. Started 17/1 and folded up in the straight when 6th last start at Moonee Vstall but facing less formidable opponents.

8MogwaiJ: Chad Lever·T: R & L Price1059.5kg5 2 13 7 527: 3-5-3$34.00$6.00

Career

27: 3-5-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
7: 1-1-2
Second-up
5: 1-2-1
Third-up
5: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
4: 1-0-1
Track Randwick
6: 0-3-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1550m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
9: 1-0-2
Going Good
14: 1-5-1

Last starts

5Illawarra Grange1300m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.9L
7Randwick Kensington1400m10 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.2L
13Randwick1400m23 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY107.5L
2Kembla Grange1400m9 May 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD42.3L
5Canterbury1250m22 Apr 2026 · 5UP BM78 HCP · GOOD42.61L
3Kembla Grange1150m5 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)4.3L
6Kembla Grange1400m22 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY83.1L
4Randwick1500m1 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM68 HCP · SOFT72.7L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 28% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh since resuming. Winless since 28 Dec 2024 and threw the towel in after leading at Illawarra Grange off spell. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Started $15.00 and mediocre performance when 5th last start at Illawarra Grange. Prefer to watch.

Held in fifth at Illawarra Grange over 6½f (handicap) five weeks ago; possesses winning form at this track; a long time since his last win; not hard to turn elsewhere as has a lot on his plate here.

RSIS

At 14/1 moderate showing when 5th last start at Illawarra Grange.

9Master YodaJ: Jeff Penza·T: Richard Litt1259kg4 1 4 4 44: 2-0-0$7.00$2.50

Career

4: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 2-0-0

Last starts

4Hawkesbury1100m8 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.02L
4Warwick Farm819m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L
4Warwick Farm795m3 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.5L
1Newcastle1250m23 Apr 2026 · CL1 · SOFT5-0.5
4Wyong1100m4 Apr 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT62.4L
1Goulburn1100m10 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT7-0.9
7Warwick Farm789m16 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial4.8L
4Warwick Farm798m17 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial2.4L

Insights

Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide

Comments

AAP

Ran home respectably into a non-threatening 4th at Hawkesbury off extended spell. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Started at $9.00 and improved late to finish 4th last start at Hawkesbury. Likes the cut in the ground with 2 wins. Has a good chance.

Winner of two of his four career starts; not beaten that far in fourth (3l) over 5½f at Hawkesbury (handicap) last month; leading contender.

RSIS

At 8/1 moved through the field into 4th last time at Hawkesbury. Likes the cut in the ground with 2 wins. Can win.

10Miss EmmaJ: Leeshelle Small·T: Becky Byrne757.5kg4 8 5 1 151: 5-6-5$5.50$2.15

Career

51: 5-6-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 1-0-0
Track Canterbury
7: 1-0-2
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1080m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
9: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
13: 2-0-3
Going Good
30: 3-3-2
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
17: 1-3-3

Last starts

1Kembla Grange1200m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD4-1.8
1Hawkesbury1300m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT7-0.08
5Hawkesbury1100m8 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.29L
8Canberra1200m26 Sept 2026 · Open · GOOD48.88L
4Newcastle1250m19 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.21L
11Canberra1300m4 Sept 2026 · Open · SOFT65.9L
6Canterbury1100m5 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.4L
3Canterbury1200m22 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.8L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 433%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Becky Byrne in good form, out performing market 84%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 61% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Kembla Grange
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 5.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Shooting for hat-trick. Really gutsy performance on the speed this venue over this journey. On pacer. Deep into her campaign, could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Controlled the speed when winning by a margin of 1 3/4L last time around here. Made it 2 wins on the trot. Likely to be well placed early. Watch betting.

Bidding for hat-trick; won a handicap by just under 2l last month; despite that Kembla Grange success, unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Assumed control from the start to win by a margin of 1 3/4L last run at this track. Made it 2 wins in succession. Likely to be well placed early. Watch for a sign in the market.

11SkirmishScratched18––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Went home tamely in soft going at Warwick Farm over longer test at $41. Trained on track but has an adverse draw. Not fancied.

ILB

Lost ground in the run home when 6th last run at Warwick Farm and down in distance.

RSIS

Gave away some ground when 6th last time at Warwick Farm and will be facing a significant drop in distance.

12Star MinervaJ: Adam Farragher·T: K J Parker157kg7 3 1 2 103: 1-1-0$23.00$4.40

Career

3: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-1-0

Last starts

10Kembla Grange1400m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.9L
2Goulburn1300m24 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD40.45L
1Kembla Grange1200m29 Aug 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.3
3Hawkesbury800m27 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.8L
7Randwick1200m15 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)7L
6Goulburn750m27 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.7L

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Kembla Grange
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Ex C Maher. Trained here now. Went close at Goulburn 24 Sep. Positive ride but emptied late this course latest outing. Can challenge.

ILB

Started at $21.00 and didn't attack the line when 10th last time here but solid career start. First start for a new trainer and has a good draw. Not at all out of this race.

Towards the rear of 13 over 7f here (handicap) last month; has scored over C&D; first start for new stable; can be in the thick of things if finding her best form.

RSIS

Started at 20/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last run around here but will try to take advantage of the stall. First appearance for a new trainer. Respect the betting.

13ChemtrailScratched15––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Insights

Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Been racing well. Goulburn winner then sent forward, outgunned late but boxed on this track over this trip. A few runs under his belt this campaign, both totes.

ILB

Looked good when 2nd last run at this venue.

RSIS

Placed 2nd last start at this venue.

14HellindaJ: L P Beuzelin·T: Danielle Seib858kg3 9 10 5 142: 6-10-4$34.00$6.00

Career

42: 6-10-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-0
Track Moruya
6: 0-1-1
Track Canberra
4: 0-0-1
Track Wagga
6: 1-1-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1435m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
26: 4-5-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
13: 2-4-1

Last starts

1Wagga1300m17 Oct 2026 · BM74 · GOOD4-0.07
5Cootamundra1100m4 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42.05L
10Corowa1000m14 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD44.8L
9Canberra1206m21 Aug 2026 · OPEN BM84 · GOOD39.8L
3Canberra1080m7 Aug 2026 · Open · GOOD32.4L
1Sapphire Coast1210m26 July 2026 · BM66 · SOFT7-0.2
6Moruya1435m10 July 2026 · BM74 · SOFT54.3L
3Moruya1200m19 June 2026 · BM74 · SOFT50.9L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Did it hard both ends from the wide gate at Wagga. On pacer. Went close only other go this course and trip. Can show up again at fair odds.

ILB

Romped home to win last time at Wagga. Expecting to settle positively. Could feature here.

Landed a narrow success in a handicap at Wagga two weeks ago; also engaged in race 4 at Canberra.

RSIS

Was eating up the ground late when winning last time at Wagga. Shows good early pace. Betting is the best guide.

15Home MissileJ: Mitchell Bell·T: Annabel & Rob Archibald456.5kg5 2 1 8 32: 1-1-0$3.50$1.55

Career

2: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-1-0
Track Scone
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 1-1-0

Last starts

3Randwick1050m23 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L
8Warwick Farm821m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.8L
1Scone1200m10 July 2026 · MDN · SOFT7-0.1
2Goulburn1100m22 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT60.2L
5Randwick1050m12 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.2L

Insights

1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (16-weeks). Placed at Goulburn on debut last campaign while tuned with 2 trials. Has some claims fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up from a spell. Was eating up the ground late when winning last time at Scone but rising in grade. Tough competitor.

Registered first success at the second time of asking when landing a handicap over this trip by a nose (Scone) four months ago; unexposed in handicaps with this his second start in this company.

RSIS

Fresh today after a break. Charged home to win last time at Scone but matched against a stronger field. 1 win from 2 starts have been on soft going. Will be fighting out the finish.

16Can Expect GreaterJ: Jess Taylor·T: J C Coyle955.5kg9 2 6 3 1321: 3-2-2$34.00$6.00

Career

21: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 1-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
10: 1-1-0
Distance 1400m
7: 1-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
8: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 2-2-1

Last starts

13Kembla Grange1200m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD45.9L
3Canberra1000m9 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD40.85L
6Warwick Farm795m28 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.5L
2Kembla Grange1200m7 Feb 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT50.8L
9Goulburn1100m27 Jan 2026 · CL3 BM66 · GOOD44.2L
9Randwick1100m3 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.1L
5Rosehill900m23 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial5.2L
3Warwick Farm799m8 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial0.4L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Well back and never a factor this track second-up. Backmarker who doesn't win out of turn. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Odds of $61.00 and sub-standard effort when 13th last time at this track. Unlikely to feature.

Towards the rear of 14 ten days ago; this is her level; has won here previously.

RSIS

Started 60/1 and not up to scratch when 13th last time at this venue.

17All MachiavellianScratched11––––

Career

58: 5-10-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
10: 0-2-1
Second-up
9: 2-1-0
Third-up
9: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
9: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
4: 2-0-0
Track Randwick
3: 0-1-0
Track Moruya
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
21: 2-1-1
Distance 1600m
6: 1-2-1
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
10: 0-0-0
Going Soft
16: 2-4-2
Going Good
32: 3-6-3

Last starts

6Kembla Grange800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.9L
8Kembla Grange1400m8 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD411.8L
9Illawarra Grange1400m30 July 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD42.8L
3Kembla Grange1600m20 June 2026 · BM68 · SOFT51.7L
7Rosehill1200m13 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.4L
2Illawarra Grange1200m30 May 2026 · BM64 HCP · SOFT60.2L
4Illawarra Grange1300m5 May 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42L
4Kembla Grange1200m18 Apr 2026 · BM64 · SOFT57.2L

Insights

Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

First-up (12-weeks). Mixed form last prep. Not pushed out Kembla Grange trial 7 Oct. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Racing fresh today after a break. Started at $3.90 and fairly underwhelming when 8th last time at this venue. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

Has won here before; this is his grade; beaten 12l here over 7f (handicap) three months ago.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Odds of 3/1 and disappointing run when 8th last time at the track. Prefers to settle towards the rear.

18ZoukerinoScratched1––––

Career

41: 2-4-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed60%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
7: 1-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
7: 0-1-0
Track Randwick
10: 1-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 0-1-0
Going Good
24: 0-4-2
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
12: 1-0-0

Last starts

2Nowra1200m18 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD40.4L
4Illawarra Grange1150m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.8L
3Kembla Grange1200m12 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD41.2L
10Wyong1100m30 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD46.1L
7Randwick1100m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
7Kembla Grange1000m25 July 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42.4L
11Wyong1000m4 July 2026 · BM64 HCP · SOFT77.9L
9Randwick1000m20 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.4L

Insights

Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Sound performance in small field at Nowra over this distance. On pacer, perfect gate. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Was agonizingly close last run at Nowra and drawn well. Gets a reduction in weight.

Ran a good race in defeat at Nowra last month; string of consistent efforts of late.

RSIS

Narrowly denied victory last start at Nowra and gets the perfect stall. Will appreciate the drop in weight.

Odds correct as at Tue 3 Nov, 6:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races