Kembla Grange (NSW) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Kembla Grange (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovKembla Grange (NSW)Change

Race 4 — Henry Clive Bar Hcp (C1) 1400m · jumps Tue 3 Nov, 3:15 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Kembla Grange for this afternoon's Henry Clive Bar Hcp Class 1 over the 1400m trip on a Soft 5 track with overcast skies. Looking at the early win market order, punters have lined up Heard Of Him to head betting proceedings, closely followed by Barbarossa, Autumn Flyer, and Star Half holding down the next lines in the market as the race prepares to jump at 3:15 pm AEDT.

Heard Of Him kicks off for Richard & Will Freedman from barrier 2 with Keagan Latham steering, bringing a tidy form line after sticking to his guns well when placing third at Newcastle over 1250m on a soft surface following a handy Rosehill barrier trial second. Barbarossa sits right up on the pace from barrier 4 for trainers Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter and jockey Louise Day, coming off a game runner-up effort at Canberra over 1400m in Class 2 grade which suggests this trip suits down to the ground.

Further down the market, Autumn Flyer draws barrier 1 for Ms T Bateup and Chad Lever, looking to make steady inroads after a solid effort over 1200m here where the winner proved too slick, though stepping up in distance should play right into hooves. With speed maps showing Heard Of Him looking to dictate terms up front and Barbarossa right on the pace, this 1400m contest sets up as a fascinating tactical yarn for punters looking to finish the day on a high note.

Race notes

CL1,CL1 HCP,Class 1
SOFT5
Overcast
8 runners

Shortest win price

Heard Of Him (4)

3.20

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

8Steel Rain

Midfield

5Tiger Turf
6Mountain Queen
7Bulla Vinaka
2Star Half

Offpace

3Autumn Flyer

Onpace

1Barbarossa

Leader

4Heard Of Him

Barbarossa · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 54% lower than Career Avg.
Star Half · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Autumn Flyer · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 72%
Heard Of Him · Negative
Trainer SR
R & W Freedman striking at just 9%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1BarbarossaJ: Louise Day·T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter460kg1 6 9 4 214: 1-2-0$5.00$1.60

Career

14: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
3: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Canberra1400m23 Oct 2026 · CL2-SW · GOOD40.83L
4Kembla Grange1200m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.7L
9Moruya1210m15 Sept 2026 · BM74 · SOFT711.3L
6Kembla Grange1400m13 Mar 2026 · BM64 · SOFT610.7L
1Kembla Grange1150m5 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-2.3
10Hawkesbury1300m19 Feb 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD45.6L
3Wyong1000m28 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial3.3L
6Beaumont800m8 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial9.9L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 54% lower than Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 4%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Game effort at Canberra over this trip. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Nice run when 2nd last start at Canberra. Should muster plenty of early speed. Winning potential.

Missed out by less than a length in a conditions race at Canberra last month; possesses winning form at this track; trainer has been going through a quiet spell; been struggling to get his head in front recently so one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Ran well when 2nd last run at Canberra. Should muster plenty of early toe. Should put in a decent effort.

2Star HalfJ: L P Beuzelin·T: M, W & J Hawkes659kg4 3 2 1 66: 1-1-1$4.20$1.45

Career

6: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 1-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-1
Going Good
4: 1-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Kembla Grange1200m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD44.3L
1Newcastle1250m6 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN HCP · GOOD4-0.59
2Wyong1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L
3Rosehill900m21 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.1L
4Newcastle1250m23 Apr 2026 · MDN SW · SOFT51.7L
3Gosford1200m2 Apr 2026 · Maiden · GOOD40.9L
6Warwick Farm1100m11 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT69.2L
6Rosehill900m12 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial3.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
L P Beuzelin in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 19%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Cleared maiden ranks at Newcastle 6 Oct. Started $16 when battled home in Benchmark 64 company this venue. Can challenge.

ILB

Was $16.00 and finished 6th last run at this track. Exhibiting good form since resuming from a spell. Keep safe.

Seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice; not disgraced in sixth over 6f here (handicap) last month; hard to ignore if replicating the best of his form.

RSIS

Started at 15/1 and ran 6th last run at the track. Very competitive in recent runs.

3Autumn FlyerJ: Chad Lever·T: Ms T Bateup157.5kg4 7 1 9 24: 1-1-0$4.40$1.50

Career

4: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Track Wyong
1: 1-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-0

Last starts

2Kembla Grange1200m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.3L
9Illawarra Grange1200m17 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD47.1L
1Wyong1100m30 Aug 2026 · Maiden · GOOD4-1
7Kembla Grange1000m15 Aug 2026 · MID MDN-SW · GOOD45.2L
4Illawarra Grange800m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.4L
1Scone900m19 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial-0.3
2Muswellbrook1000m20 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial2.2L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 72%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Made steady inroads but the winner was out of reach this course. Should appreciate stepping up in distance. Has some claims.

ILB

Did well to place 2nd last run at the track and has minimal work to do from the alley. Place claims at best.

Creditable effort to finish runner-up over 6f here (handicap), finished ahead of Barbarossa last month; lightly raced with this just his fifth appearance; should give it a bold bid.

RSIS

Put in a competitive run when placing 2nd last run around here and gets the perfect draw.

4Heard Of HimJ: Keagan Latham·T: Richard & Will Freedman257.5kg4 1 5 2 34: 1-0-1$3.20$1.32

Career

4: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 1-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Newcastle1250m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.35L
2Rosehill1030m2 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.2L
5Rosehill1400m13 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT55L
1Hawkesbury1400m4 June 2026 · MID MDN · SOFT6-0.3
4Bathurst1200m12 May 2026 · MDN · GOOD42.3L
1Canterbury893m1 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.2

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
R & W Freedman striking at just 9%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 33%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 37% Profit on Turnover
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside

Comments

AAP

Has done plenty right in short career. Prominent and stuck to his guns at Newcastle first run back. Strips in better shape and makes a strong case.

ILB

Felt the pinch late when 3rd beaten by nearly 2 1/2L last start at Newcastle and gets a favourable alley. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Nice enough type to be supported.

Favourite when third over 6f at Newcastle (handicap) last month; few miles on the clock with this his fifth race; warrants plenty of respect.

RSIS

Was in the race for a long way when 3rd beaten by just short of 2 1/2L last time at Newcastle and drawn nicely. Beautifully placed.

5Tiger TurfJ: Mitchell Bell·T: G Portelli857kg3 7 3 9 18: 1-1-1$8.00$2.35

Career

8: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 1-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-1
Track Warwick Farm
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

1Nowra1400m18 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.5
9Warwick Farm1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3UP SUPER MDN HCP · SOFT64.56L
3Newcastle1400m18 Sept 2026 · CG&E MDN · GOOD34.16L
7Hawkesbury1400m5 Sept 2026 · CG&E MDN-SW · GOOD44.9L
3Warwick Farm817m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.8L
1Hawkesbury800m27 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.2
6Randwick1600m11 Apr 2026 · 2yo · GOOD43.4L
4Warwick Farm1300m1 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN · SOFT53.1L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Gary Portelli striking at just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 43%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Produced best late from the back half to win in Maiden company at Nowra over this journey. Key contender if things pan out.

ILB

Finished well when winning last time at Nowra but facing a stronger group of contenders. This is a tough race.

Has raised his game the last twice; shed maiden status at the eighth time of asking in a maiden (Nowra) last month; despite that Nowra success, has questions to answer.

RSIS

Reeled them in to win last run at Nowra but competing in a higher grade.

6Mountain QueenJ: Adam Farragher·T: Matthew Smith756kg9 9 9 9 68: 1-1-1$11.00$2.75

Career

8: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-1-0
Track Wyong
1: 1-0-0
Track Randwick
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-1
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0

Last starts

6Hawkesbury1250m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)11.1L
9Rosehill900m2 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8L
9Randwick2400m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD416.1L
9Randwick2000m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo · SOFT710L
9Randwick1200m27 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)15.8L
13Kembla Grange1600m13 Mar 2026 · 3yo · SOFT66.4L
1Wyong1600m26 Feb 2026 · MDN SW · SOFT5-0.2
2Nowra1400m8 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY91.3L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (29-weeks). In the minors at Nowra first-up last campaign while tuned with 2 trials. Easier race off Group 1 assignment. Right in this fresh with even luck.

ILB

First up and tidy run when 2nd first up last preparation at Nowra. Unplaced in all barrier trials but competing at a lower level of competition. Could be in the mix.

Finished ninth of 12 at Randwick upped to 1m4f in April in a Group 1; she can be competitive at this level; returning from a layoff here; should not be far away with a bit more luck as excuses last time (hampered) and down in class.

RSIS

Resuming and ran well when 2nd resuming last preparation at Nowra. Yet to place in all trials but matched against a less competitive field. Back to a shorter distance.

7Bulla VinakaJ: Leeshelle Small·T: Becky Byrne355kg6 3 3 4 833: 1-5-9$23.00$3.80

Career

33: 1-5-9

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Wagga
3: 0-0-0
Track Orange
4: 0-1-1
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
6: 1-0-2
Going Unknown
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
16: 1-4-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

8Kembla Grange1600m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP COND BM68 HCP · GOOD48L
4Goulburn1600m6 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT62.98L
3Canberra1750m21 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD32.1L
3Moruya1650m16 Aug 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY93.3L
6Forbes1400m2 Aug 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42.4L
4Wagga1300m20 July 2026 · Benchmark 50 · HEAVY83.6L
6Wagga1400m6 July 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY94.5L
5Goulburn1200m22 June 2026 · CTRY CL1 · SOFT64.9L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 433%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 84%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 61% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 4%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Steps out for third run new stable/region. Long winning drought. Never in the call this course last time. Best viewed as a rough place hope.

ILB

Odds of $101.00 and weakened to finish 8th last time here. The large claim from Leeshelle Small should help. Not in this.

Finished last of eight here over 1m (handicap) last month; generally struggled with a record of 1-33; record suggests he is usually one to take on for win purposes so not one to rely on.

RSIS

At 100/1 tailed off to finish 8th last run here. Leeshelle Small provides some weight relief.

8Steel RainJ: Jon Grisedale·T: Donna Grisedale555kg8 10 6 8 822: 1-3-1$101.00$9.00

Career

22: 1-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
4: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-1-0
Track Gosford
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1512m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 1-2-1
Going Good
7: 0-1-0

Last starts

8Newcastle1250m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.78L
8Coffs Harbour1518m3 June 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY109.6L
6Tuncurry1405m9 May 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY85.4L
10Port Macquarie1512m28 Mar 2026 · BM50 · SOFT58.1L
8Port Macquarie1812m16 Mar 2026 · BM58 · GOOD43.8L
2Tuncurry1600m21 Feb 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD42.6L
7Coffs Harbour1600m15 Feb 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY817.5L
11Taree1600m30 Jan 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT57.7L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Winless since 10 Jul 2025. Sent out $151 when never got into the race at Newcastle first run back. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Started $151.00 and gave away some ground when 8th last run at Newcastle. Prefers to settle towards the tail. This looks a tough assignment.

Was eighth of nine, beaten 7l, at Newcastle over 6f (handicap, behind Heard Of Him) when dropped in distance last month; been a while since he managed only win; others more persuasive as this looks a decent race.

RSIS

Odds of 150/1 and struggled with the pace when 8th last run at Newcastle. Likely to get back.

Odds correct as at Tue 3 Nov, 3:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races