Shortest win price
Home And Dry (8)
2.05
Kembla Grange plays host to the Park Fuelled To Win Mdn Hcp over 1200m on a Soft 5 track with overcast skies for this fillies and mares maiden clash. Looking at how punters have treated the early win market, Home And Dry sits right at the top of the order of favouritism. Following closely in the betting sequence are Born To Fly, Rosie Rouge, and Athenara, making for an intriguing puzzle where race fitness meets some very interesting newcomers.
The form lines behind those shorter prices throw up plenty of talking points for the punters. Rosie Rouge, prepared by G Waterhouse & A Bott and piloted by L P Beuzelin from barrier 11, maps as the leader and resumes after a lengthy spell following a reasonable debut performance at Warwick Farm, backed up by some solid trial work. Meanwhile, Born To Fly for John O'Shea & Tom Charlton drops back to a suitable class after an unremarkable debut effort at Rosehill where they will be wiser for the run and hoping the added distance helps. Athenara represents the C J Waller stable from barrier 5 as an expensive purchase out of a stakes-placed mare, though her trials suggest looking to the market for further guidance.
Digging deeper into the yarn, Michael Freedman's debutant Home And Dry draws well in barrier 2 and brings an imposing set of trial victories at Rosehill and Randwick out of a stakes-winning mare, capturing the attention of astute followers. Over in the wider market, Asagao for John Thompson catches the eye as a backmarker who recorded the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start, adding some extra spice to what shapes as a fascinating race on the quick back-up.
Shortest win price
Home And Dry (8)
2.05
Back left · leaders right
Offmidfield
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Midfield
Leader
Extremely Chic · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 89%
Rosie Rouge · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Athenara · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Born To Fly · Positive
Raceday Experience
Wiser for debut run
Career
5: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-1-0
Track Randwick
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Resuming (19-weeks). Form to date fair. Has placed fresh and trials wins indicate good order. Stacks up well fresh.
ILB
First up from a break. Was strong late when 3rd last time at this track and honest performer putting a tidy record together. Will have to carry extra weight.
RP
Favourite when third in June in a maiden; has found improvement of late; returns from a break here.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Produced an eye catching run when 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last start at this track and solid career start. Has more weight to carry.
Career
2: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 89%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 35%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (21-weeks). Placed at Canterbury on debut last campaign while building fitness through 2 trials. Open to further progress. Treat warily.
ILB
First up and good performance to run into 3rd first up last preparation at Canterbury. Placed in all barrier trials. Watch the betting.
RP
Not beaten too far when fourth of seven in a maiden at Canterbury in June; returns from a break today; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Resuming and was strong late when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L resuming last preparation at Canterbury. Placed in all trials. Watch the betting.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 622 day break (> 300 days)
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming after a (88-weeks) spell. Reasonable debut performance when battled to line at Warwick Farm. Allowed to develop and has trialled well for comeback. Can give a sight.
ILB
Resuming after a 88 week spell. At $5.50 didn't threaten when 7th last time in a chase at Warwick Farm but fitter for debut run. Up in weight. Not without a chance.
RP
Solid debut run at Warwick Farm at 4-1 last February; not seen for some time now; could improve from her debut but will need to.
RSIS
Resumes from a break of 88 weeks. Odds of 9/2 and faded to finish 7th last start in a chase at Warwick Farm but having second career run. Could feature here.
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 35%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (2:0-1-0). $380k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare who won five races. Most recent barrier trial fair but this isn't easy. Look to market for a further guide.
ILB
3yo first starter by Home Affairs for trainer Christian Frederick Waller. Placed 2nd in a trial at Rosehill Gardens on Oct 19th. Watch the market moves.
RP
Has a nice pedigree (by Home Affairs); her trainer gets plenty of first-time-out winners over this distance; related to 6f winner Revamped; deserves respect with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
3yo debutant sired by Home Affairs for Christian Frederick Waller. Fitter for a trial at Rosehill Gardens on Oct 19th.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
AAP
Trials (4:0-0-0). Half sister to Wymark. Well held in all trials. Follow betting leads.
ILB
First race appearance 3yo by Noverre for Michael Freedman. Follow the money.
RSIS
3yo by Noverre having first start for Michael Freedman.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Unremarkable debut performance at Rosehill when fancied 14 Oct. Better for it. Added distance may help. Can build on that.
ILB
At $2.50 not up to scratch when 5th last run at Rosehill. Can make a comeback and having second career run. Has every chance.
RP
Didn't offer much on her debut at Rosehill at 6-4 three weeks ago; this just her second run in a handicap; possible improver with outing under her belt although has plenty to find.
RSIS
Was 6/4 and moderate showing when 5th last run at Rosehill. Giving another chance here and was on debut last time. Strongly fancied.
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Firststart
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (4:0-2-0). $260k purchase. Out of a Group 2-winning mare. Trial work has been reasonable and there may be more up her sleeve for race day. Market may offer more insight.
ILB
3yo by Tassort racing as a debutant for trainer Anthony Freedman & Sam Freedman. Interesting to see the tongue tie go on for the first time. Watch early betting.
RP
Shares a dam with Pirelli, a 7f winner; trainer has a good record with newcomers; a likely player as some good aspects to her profile.
RSIS
3yo debutant by Tassort for trainer Anthony Freedman & Sam Freedman. Tongue strap go on for the first time. Placed 2nd in a trial at Royal Randwick on Oct 6th.
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Firststart
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (4:3-0-0). Out of a stakes-winning mare. With highly respected stable and trial form has been impressive. Drawn well. Consider.
ILB
Michael Freedman trained 3yo by Home Affairs having first start and has a positive alley. Won a trial at Rosehill Gardens on Jan 13th. Watch the market.
RP
Sibling of Had It All (6½f winner); stable has healthy record with newcomers at this trip; likely to go well with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Debutant 3yo by Home Affairs for trainer Michael Freedman and has a good draw. Won a trial at Rosehill Gardens on Jan 13th. Watch the market moves.
Career
1: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Firststart
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Hobart
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 54% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides
AAP
Trials (4:0-1-0). $180k purchase. Out of a stakes-winning mare. Good latest trial but steps out in tough race. Ms L Day sticks for debut. Others profiling stronger.
ILB
Ciaron Maher 3yo by I Am Invincible having first race appearance. Interesting to see the tongue tie go on for the first time. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
There's hope from the pedigree that she has some ability; related to Grade 3 winner Quantico; Ciaron Maher newcomers have an excellent record over this sort of trip; very interesting with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
3yo by I Am Invincible having initial appearance for Ciaron Maher. Interesting gear change of tongue strap on first time.
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (3:1-0-2). First foal from an unraced mare. Ready to greet the starter after some decent trial work. Good draw. Include.
ILB
Initial race appearance 3yo by Pride Of Dubai for trainer Brad Widdup. Respect the betting.
RP
First start under rules for this three-year-old daughter of Pride Of Dubai; whether she'll be sufficiently clued up remains to be seen so a line drawn through unless betting signals are positive.
RSIS
3yo first starter by Pride Of Dubai for Brad Widdup.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Disappointing debut performance at Rosehill 14 Oct. Benefits from the experience. Could make her presence felt.
ILB
Jumped at $4.60 and came in 4th last run at Rosehill but was on debut last time.
RP
Finished fourth last month on her debut albeit only beaten just over 4l (Rosehill, 5½f) with two of these rivals behind; running in a handicap for only the second time; will need to progress to get off the mark.
RSIS
At 7/2 came in 4th last time at Rosehill but having second race start.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
R & W Freedman striking at just 9%
Key Rider
Positive
Rory Hutchings 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 37% Profit on Turnover
Hot Jockey
Positive
Rory Hutchings in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 22%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Returns for second campaign (17-weeks). Had the benefit of two good trial hitouts. Looks a safer place proposition.
ILB
First up after a break. Started $14.00 and faded to finish 6th last run at Randwick Kensington on a heavy track. Has the potential to improve sharply. Great chance.
RP
Sixth, not beaten that far (13-1, Randwick) four months ago in a maiden; back from an absence here.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a break. Started 13/1 and gave away some ground when 6th last time at Randwick Kensington. Has the talent to rebound quickly. Definite claims for punters.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Found the debut assignment beyond him at Rosehill as an outsider 14 Oct. Experience gained. Extra trip may assist. Could make her presence felt.
ILB
Odds of $61.00 and faded away to finish 7th last time at Rosehill but was a debutant last start. Blinkers go on for the first time. This will pose a challenge.
RP
Couldn't land a blow on her debut (5½f, Rosehill) at 66-1 last month; entitled to be better for that run; this only her second handicap outing.
RSIS
Started at 60/1 and didn't attack the line when 7th last start at Rosehill but having second race start. Blinkers go on for the first time.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
AAP
Returns for second campaign (24-weeks). Ex David Payne in NSW. A very soft debut performance at Hawkesbury at longer odds 14 May. Further conditioned with 2 trials but prefer to see.
ILB
Resuming from a spell. Sub-standard effort when 9th last start at Hawkesbury but was a debutant last start. Change in trainer.
RP
Beaten 7l when ninth on her debut at Hawkesbury at 25-1 in May; likely there is more to come; now running for a new trainer; returns from a layoff here.
RSIS
Back from a break. Was ordinary when 9th last run at Hawkesbury but fitter for debut run. First start for a new trainer.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Unhurried early and found some traffic at Hawkesbury off long spell. Strips fitter. Can play a role going to 1200m.
ILB
At $11.00 pushed past some when 4th last run at Hawkesbury.
RP
Posted respectable effort when beaten 2½l 19 days ago (Hawkesbury) in a maiden.
RSIS
Started at 10/1 and picked up some late ground when 4th last time at Hawkesbury.