Shortest win price
Zourrific (6)
2.15
Welcome to Kembla Grange for the Jansz Mdn Plate over 1000m on a Soft 5 track under overcast skies, where punters are lining up to size up a fascinating maiden puzzle. Looking at the win market order, Magic Blaze holds down the shortest quote to kick things off, closely followed by Zourrific, Albatross, and Chumpakidd rounding out the leading fancies as the field prepares for the 12:45 pm AEDT jump.
The yarn behind the market-leaders suggests we have some genuine contenders ready to fire. Magic Blaze represents the J & G Lee stable, returning for a second campaign after an encouraging debut performance at Gosford when fancied, backed up by two recent trials including one at Randwick. Meanwhile, Zourrific for Peter Snowden also resumes for a second campaign following an encouraging debut at Randwick Kensington back in June, backed by some solid barrier trials at Rosehill. Chumpakidd is another key player coming out of the C Karakatsanis yard, arriving on the back of solid placings at Queanbeyan and Orange over this trip, showing plenty of grit when sent forward.
Down the list, Albatross for K J Parker catches the eye as an eighteen thousand dollar purchase out of an unraced half-sister to stakes winner Cage Fighter, having placed in a trial right here at Kembla Grange. With Chumpakidd and Mazemblard listed among the early leaders from their respective barriers, and Zourrific settling back in the field, this ten-metre scamper on the soft going promises plenty of early action and a cracking contest for punters looking to start the day on a high note.
Shortest win price
Zourrific (6)
2.15
Back left · leaders right
Firststart
Backmarker
Midfield
Leader
Chumpakidd · Negative
Awkward Draw
May find this draw awkward
Magic Blaze · Positive
Stable In Form
Stable going well. Out performing market by 51%
Mazemblard · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Albatross · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 14% lower than Career Avg.
Career
4: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Orange
1: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-2-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Continues to race well. Sent forward, outgunned late but boxed on at Queanbeyan over this trip. Fits well against this opposition.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Looked good when 2nd last time at Queanbeyan. Should muster plenty of early toe. Racing consistently this preparation. Large claim helps. Could feature here.
RP
Couldn't quite get the job done when 7-5 runner-up (Queanbeyan) a week ago.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Tidy effort when 2nd last time at Queanbeyan. Should jump out and bowl along. Tracking very well of late.
Career
1: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 51%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 25% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Second campaign (20-weeks). Highly encouraging debut performance at Gosford 11 Jun when fancied. Two trials since, latest at Randwick 23 Oct. Perfectly placed to make a winning return.
ILB
First run back from a break. Flashed home late into 2nd beaten by 3/4L last start at Gosford and having second race start. Winning chance.
RP
Missed out by half a length on his debut at Gosford at 85-40 in June; returning from a layoff here; progress needed on this second career run.
RSIS
First run back from break. Claimed a spot in the placings when 2nd last run at Gosford and was on debut last time. Winning chance.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 53% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (28-weeks). A long way off them at Queanbeyan on debut at cricket score odds. Latest trial work was solid. Plenty of improvement needed but check markets.
ILB
Resuming after a 28 week spell. Was $101.00 and didn't threaten when 9th last time at Queanbeyan but having second career run. Should muster plenty of early speed. Not likely to be troubling the more fancied runners today.
RP
Seemed to find life tough on his debut in April (Queanbeyan, 6f); returning from a layoff here; could improve but still hard to see him winning here; also engaged in race 5 at Canberra.
RSIS
Fresh after a 28 week break. Odds of 100/1 and gave away some ground when 9th last time at Queanbeyan but fitter for debut run. Shows good early pace.
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Firststart
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 14% lower than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-1). $18k purchase. Out of an unraced half-sister to the stakes winner Cage Fighter. Placed in earlier trial here. Betting.
ILB
3yo first starter by Rebel Dane for Kerry Parker. Fitter for a barrier trial at this venue on Oct 7th. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Stable does well at Kembla Grange with debutants; gelded already; sire's progeny generally enjoy some ease in the ground; should be on the premises.
RSIS
First time at the races 3yo by Rebel Dane for Kerry Parker. Ran 3rd in a trial at this venue on Oct 7th.
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Firststart
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Rory Hutchings 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Rory Hutchings in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 22%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (2:0-1-0). $40k purchase. Out of a winning mare. Latest trial okay but this shapes as a tough debut test. Good draw. Market watch advised.
ILB
Per Incanto 3yo trained by Jarrod Austin having first race start and gets a favourable draw. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Follow the money.
RP
Stable's stats offers some hope; sire's stock can be smart performers; he may need this initial experience so could be one for another day.
RSIS
Initial appearance 3yo by Per Incanto for trainer Jarrod Austin and has a positive stall. Blinkers go on for the first time.
Career
1: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Returns for second campaign (20-weeks). Encouraging debut performance at Randwick-Kensington 10 Jun. Two trials since, latest at Rosehill 19 Oct. Big show fresh.
ILB
Back after a spell. Displayed good finishing speed when 3rd beaten by 4 1/4L last start at Randwick Kensington and fitter for debut run. Looks like a winning chance.
RP
Fair debut effort at Randwick at evens in June; returns from a break here; needs to make above-average progress.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Showed a good turn of foot when 3rd beaten by 4 1/4L last start at Randwick Kensington and having second career run. Looks set to run a big race.
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (3:1-0-0). $90k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare who won six races. Signalled was ready to go now with latest improved Kembla Grange trial win and has benefit of decent alley.
ILB
Written Tycoon 4yo having first race start for Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter. Won a barrier trial at the track on Oct 7th. Watch the market moves.
RP
Makes first racecourse appearance; sire's stock can be smart performers; warrants respect as some good aspects to her profile.
RSIS
4yo debutant by Written Tycoon for Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter. Won a trial at the track on Oct 7th.
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 96%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (2:0-1-0). Good latest trial after a trainer change. Would need to see some market confidence.
ILB
4yo by Headwater having first race start for trainer Diane Poidevin-Laine. Placed 2nd in a barrier trial at this venue on Oct 7th. Betting is the best guide.
RP
First start under rules for this four-year-old daughter of Headwater; big player with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Diane Poidevin-Laine trained 4yo by Headwater having first race start. Ran 2nd in a trial here on Oct 7th.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
AAP
Trials (4:0-1-1). $180k purchase. Out of a half-sister to G3 winner Bliss Street. Unplaced in latest trial but has shown some ability in her previous trial work. Alley makes it tough but market watch advised.
ILB
Initial race appearance 3yo by Pinatubo for Annabel Archibald & Rob Archibald. Watch the market.
RSIS
3yo first starter by Pinatubo for Annabel Archibald & Rob Archibald.