Shortest win price
Durazzo (1)
2.65
We're heading to Hobart for the 2:45 pm Winning Edge Presentation Goodwood Handicap over 1100 metres in open quality company on a Good 4 track under overcast skies. Durazzo is shortest in the market, with Blameitontheboogie and Prince Of Khatun jostling for favouritism next. The form picture is tightly bunched, which suggests plenty of genuine chances and a race ripe for punters willing to dig deeper.
Durazzo looks a genuine contender fresh up after 35 weeks away, with form that ticks all the boxes. The runner boasts a sensational first-up record of three wins from three starts and has been building nicely through barrier trials at Longford, winning the latest with something to spare. Jockey Kelvin Sanderson is running at 35 per cent above market expectations in his last 100 rides, which is a solid tick. From barrier 1, expect an economical run and a genuine winning chance. Blameitontheboogie is resuming after 20 weeks and shapes as a consummate professional returning to work, with a career record that screams class at 6 wins from 9 starts. The runner comes back fresh off a convincing trial win at Devonport, stepping up in distance, and comes with jockey Codi Jordan firing 12 per cent above career average. The form line and stable angle suggest plenty of promise here.
Prince Of Khatun is chasing a hat-trick at Launceston and brings electric recent form, winning twice including a tough effort when second-up at 1200 metres on a Soft 5. The runner is drawn awkwardly at barrier 10 but has the early speed to find position and rates well enough to be dangerous. Trainer Adam Trinder is outperforming market expectations by 25 per cent, which adds further weight. Zany Girl offers value deeper down the order after a strong Launceston run when second-up, finishing full of running in the back half. The runner possesses upside from barrier 8 and reads as a genuine chance in multiples, though best suited to following home a pace-setting scenario that suits the back-markers' running style.
Shortest win price
Durazzo (1)
2.65
Most career wins
Durazzo
11-3-1 from 17 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Durazzo · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.
Geegees Gemstone · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Perspiration · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Perola · Negative
Jockey Booking
Hayley Mc Carthy current POT is 52% below Career Avg.
Career
17: 11-3-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 2-0-0
Third-up
2: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Launceston
9: 7-0-1
Track Devonport Synthetic
3: 3-0-0
Track Hobart
5: 1-3-0
Distance 1009m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 2-1-0
Distance 1150m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
9: 6-1-1
Going Soft
5: 2-2-0
Going Synthetic
3: 3-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Kelvin Sanderson 35% above market expected in L100 Rides
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
First-up (35-weeks). Wonderful competitor. Proven fresh performer. Expected to make an immediate impact.
ILB
First up after a break of 35 weeks. Caught the eye when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last run at Launceston and hard to fault at this trip. Every possible hope today.
RP
Has won at this track; normally pretty consistent; didn't quite live up to market expectations at evens when third over 1m at Launceston (Listed race) in February; strong contender in this lower-class event and has some notable wins on the CV.
RSIS
Back from a break of 35 weeks. Hit the line well when 3rd last start at Launceston and proven runner at this distance. Drawn well. Back in trip. Smart type.
Career
24: 8-2-3
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 2-0-0
Second-up
3: 2-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Launceston
14: 6-1-3
Track Devonport Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
8: 2-1-0
Distance 1100m
7: 5-1-0
Distance 1200m
11: 3-1-3
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 7-0-2
Going Soft
5: 1-2-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 11%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 35% Profit on Turnover
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track And Dist
Positive
Loves at this track and trip
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 4 when resuming
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Resuming (35-weeks). Two pleasing trial hitouts leading into return and proven first-up. Could give some cheek at odds fresh in this affair.
ILB
Has multiple wins when resuming. Maintained a solid pace but eventually weakened to finish 3rd last run at Launceston and have to respect the form at the distance. Will need to find a new peak.
RP
Brings winning C&D form to the table; a while since he's been in the winners' enclosure (last win two years ago); just over 1l third to Perspiration at Launceston over 6f (handicap) when producing a respectable effort in February; others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Should be ready to fire fresh. Was quite a handful for the competition when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Launceston. Expected to settle towards the tail.
Career
12: 4-2-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
2: 0-1-0
Track Launceston
2: 1-0-1
Track Hobart
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
6: 3-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 2-1-1
Going Good
4: 2-1-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -54% POT in their L100 Races
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (17-weeks). 5yo with spaced form. Adept fresh and good recent trial. Not out of this fresh in this company.
ILB
Back from a break. At $3.60 picked up some ground to run 4th last start at the track but facing a stronger group of contenders. Carrying less weight this time. Few more classier types in this race.
RP
Has won at this course; useful at this level; finished fourth but wasn't beaten too far (5l) here over 6f (handicap) four months ago; ought to be competitive as he clearly knows how to get his head in front.
RSIS
Back from a break. Odds of 13/5 and made some ground when 4th last run at the track but facing stiffer opposition. Will benefit with the weight drop.
Career
31: 8-4-3
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 0-2-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-2
Third-up
4: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-1
Track Hobart
14: 4-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
14: 4-2-1
Track Launceston
17: 4-2-2
Distance 1100m
8: 0-2-1
Distance 1200m
9: 4-0-1
Distance 1400m
11: 3-1-1
Going Good
17: 5-1-2
Going Soft
14: 3-3-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Hayley Mc Carthy current POT is 52% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (28-weeks). Two quiet trials for return and proven here. Drawn to receive every chance and form encouraging this track. Among the dangers fresh in this affair.
ILB
Fresh from a 28 week break. Started $7.00 and lost ground in the run home when 5th last start at Launceston and coming back in distance. Facing a stronger class. Needs significant improvement.
RP
Held in fifth (Launceston) in April upped to 7f; season-ticket holder here with four wins but no winning form at this trip; facing a testing assignment and not one to rely on.
RSIS
First run back from a break of 28 weeks. Started 6/1 and folded up in the straight when 5th last run at Launceston and facing a stronger group of contenders.
Career
9: 6-1-2
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 3-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Hobart
2: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-1
Track Launceston
3: 2-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1150m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
4: 4-0-0
Going Good
4: 2-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 12% in Last 100 Rides
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 3 from 3 when resuming
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Good Form
Positive
Very competitive in recent runs
AAP
Resuming (20-weeks). Consummate professional. At his best fresh while showing enough in recent trials. Warrants attention fresh in this affair.
ILB
Has multiple wins first up. Won by a huge margin of 3L last run at Devonport Synthetic but competing at a higher level of competition. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.
RP
Gained a 3l success over 5f at Devonport (handicap) five months ago; made it a hat-trick last time; has to be respected.
RSIS
Has multiple wins when resuming. Blitzed its rivals when winning by 3L last start at Devonport Synthetic but matched against a stronger field. One that represents value at a decent price.
Career
14: 6-5-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Hobart
5: 1-2-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 1-2-0
Track Launceston
6: 2-3-1
Distance 1200m
4: 1-2-1
Distance 1220m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-4-1
Going Soft
4: 2-1-0
Going Synthetic
3: 3-0-0
Hot Trainer
Positive
Adam Trinder in good form, out performing market 25%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
In Form
Positive
Racing in top form recently
AAP
Chasing hat-trick. On pace and toughed it out well at Launceston when second-up. Awkwardly drawn but has enough speed. Among the dangers again.
ILB
Game effort to win narrowly by 1/2L last time at Launceston but up against a more competitive field. Has not missed this campaign with 2 wins from as many starts. Value play.
RP
Too good for Zany Girl and Georgaroni when winning by half a length at Launceston two weeks ago; a previous winner here; bids to pull off a hat-trick; possible squeak.
RSIS
Managed to come out on top by the slightest of margins last start at Launceston but testing ability against stronger contenders. Has some claims.
Career
21: 7-1-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-1
Track Sandown
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1143m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 2-0-1
Distance 1300m
4: 1-1-0
Going Good
14: 2-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 3-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Jessie Bazan striking at just 10%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 19%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Form At Track
Positive
3 time winner here at Hobart
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (23-weeks). Form excellent last prep. Successful when resuming last campaign and maintained consistent form thereafter while winning a recent trial without much pressure. All the same, looks up against it in this company.
ILB
First run back from a break. Stormed home to win last time at this track and suited at this trip historically. Can find a nice position from the draw. This won't be easy.
RP
Completed her hat-trick last time and unbeaten over this C&D after two runs; narrow scorer in a handicap in May; probably unlikely to trouble the principals despite that win last time.
RSIS
Fresh after a break. Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last time at the track and have to respect the form at this trip.
Career
16: 4-2-4
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 2-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Hobart
6: 4-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
6: 4-0-1
Track Caulfield
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 1-1-4
Going Soft
5: 3-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Stuart Gandy striking at just 11%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -24%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 35% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 37%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
AAP
Great run at Launceston 25 Sep. Quietly handled in back half, shaken up and finished full of running at Launceston when second-up. One for multiples.
ILB
At $3.60 made some ground when 4th last run at Launceston but rising in class. Might have to make up considerable ground. Looks hopeful.
RP
Brings winning C&D form to the table; respectable effort (beaten just over 1l) at Launceston last month, a race won by the reopposing Prince Of Khatun; hard enough to fancy as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.
RSIS
Was 13/5 and made up ground when 4th last run at Launceston but up against a higher level of opposition. Might have to make up considerable ground.
Career
13: 5-3-2
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Hobart
8: 3-2-2
Track CurrentTrack
8: 3-2-2
Track Launceston
5: 2-1-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-1-1
Distance 1420m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
3: 1-1-0
Going Good
7: 2-2-1
Going Soft
6: 3-1-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Settled back and didn't figure off extended spell in the Open Hcp at Launceston. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Started at $21.00 and not up to standard when 7th last time at Launceston and matched against tougher rivals. In a lot of trouble.
RP
Could not compete with Prince Of Khatun when seventh back down to this distance at Launceston two weeks ago; suited by this C&D; this line-up contains some strong opposition so has questions to answer.
RSIS
Started 20/1 and not competitive when 7th last run at Launceston and facing a stronger grade.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Good Form
Positive
Very competitive in recent runs
AAP
Picked up strongly from back half at Launceston when fancied. Winner at only other start at Hobart. Could get into the placings.
ILB
Finished with intent when 2nd last run at Launceston but racing against tougher rivals. Amongst the placegetters at every start this preparation.
RSIS
Good effort when finishing 2nd last start at Launceston but rising in grade. Has run into the placings at every start of late.
Career
22: 7-3-2
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 2-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 2-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 2-1-0
Track Hobart
19: 6-3-2
Track CurrentTrack
19: 6-3-2
Track Launceston
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1009m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
8: 4-1-1
Going Good
8: 4-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
12: 2-3-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 32% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Stuart Gandy striking at just 11%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Sam Kennedy 61% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 35% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
Sam Kennedy winning at 41% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
AAP
Now 5 weeks between runs. Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Launceston. Leads, handy. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Was $14.00 and finished 5th last start at Launceston but proven runner at this distance. Should jump out and bowl along. Facing stiffer opposition. Struggle to recommend.
RP
Has a C&D record of four wins from eight starts; finished behind Zany Girl beaten 4½l at Launceston five weeks ago; this is competitive and unlikely to do better than a supporting role.
RSIS
Started at 13/1 and ran 5th last time at Launceston but hard to fault at this distance. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Up in class.