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Hobart (TAS) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Hobart (TAS), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovHobart (TAS)Change

Race 7 — Oceana Health & Fitness Hcp (C2) 1420m · jumps

Race preview

Hobart's race seven is a Class 2 handicap over 1420 metres on Good 4 going, set to jump at 2:11 pm AEDT under overcast skies. The market is ordered with Who's In Dev the shortest-priced runner, followed by Bella Chinkara, Snowdonia, and Toorak Lad. It shapes as a race where early positioning will matter — Snowdonia, Alisent, and Last Tremble are mapped to lead, while Who's In Dev begins from the back, and Toorak Lad and South Georgia sit in the midfield. The tempo is likely to be set at pace, with the backmarker and offpace runners needing to find clear air to run into.

Who's In Dev holds favourite honours and the form reads well. Codi Jordan is riding at 12 per cent above career average in the last 100 rides, and the horse's last-start effort at Launceston over this exact distance in a Class 3 handicap saw it finish third, closing with raking strides. The rating of 100 (IRD) and the comment that it fits well against this opposition suggest the formline is positive. However, Bella Chinkara, second in the market at barrier 2, brings an 81 per cent outperformance by its jockey–trainer combination, though the map position critique and recent Class 1 efforts at Launceston do hint at some query marks. Snowdonia, third-up, ran well at Launceston on 25 September and was only a nose off at 1420 metres in a BM60; the rating of 89 and a Leader speedMap may suit a race run at front-running tempo.

Toorak Lad, fourth in the market, is one for exotics. The horse won convincingly last start at Launceston over 1220 metres but stepping back to 1420 metres, a trip it contested when tenth at the same track, raises some doubt. A rating of 77 and the comment suggesting fair performance at $7 odds reflect the form narrative. Last Tremble, at 8-1 in the market order, has Sam Kennedy aboard and the jockey is running 61 per cent above market expected in the last 100 rides — worth filing for exotics if Who's In Dev's market price shortens and you are laying off the favourite's claims.

Race notes

  • CL2,CL2 HCP,Class 2
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Who's In Dev (3)

2.60

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 3Who's In Dev

Midfield

  • 1Toorak Lad
  • 9South Georgia

Offpace

  • 8Pacific Witness
  • 11Mateus
  • 6Bella Chinkara

Onpace

  • 4Snow Eagle

Leader

  • 10Last Tremble
  • 7Alisent
  • 5Snowdonia
  • Toorak Lad · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 41% lower than Career Avg.

  • Who's In Dev · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Snow Eagle · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Jessie Bazan striking at just 10%

  • Snowdonia · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Stuart Gandy striking at just 11%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Toorak LadJ: David Pires·T: Jessie Bazan958kg2 4 5 1 106: 1-1-0$8.50$2.50

Career

6: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Launceston

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1420m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 10Launceston1420m23 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD43.95L
  2. 1Launceston1220m25 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.5
  3. 5Launceston1100m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.17L
  4. 4Hobart800m6 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.7L
  5. 2Hobart1200m24 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.3L
  6. 4Hobart800m11 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial2.6L
  7. 8Launceston1200m26 Feb 2025 · Maiden · SOFT53.07L
  8. 6Hobart1200m9 Feb 2025 · Maiden · SOFT55.17L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 41% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 11%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -45% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 54% in L100 rides

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Performance just fair at Launceston over this trip at $7. One for exotics.

ILB

Started at $7.00 and didn't attack the line when 10th last start at Launceston. Rough hope.

RP

Has raised his game the last twice; not beaten too far when tenth at Launceston last month; unexposed in handicaps with this his second start in this company; this probably not the most competitive race; has a chance.

RSIS

Was 6/1 and didn't find the line when 10th last run at Launceston.

2Timely NeedsScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

20

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed60%

Insights

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Finally put it all together at Launceston. Worth a look.

ILB

On a short back up. Started $18.00 and average effort when 4th last time at Launceston. Looking sharp on the track this preparation.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Started at 17/1 and appeared lacklustre when 4th last time at Launceston. In a purple patch of form since returning from a break.

3Who's In DevJ: Codi Jordan·T: G J Stevenson557kg1 1 7 5 311: 2-4-3$2.60$1.28

Career

11: 2-4-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    9: 2-3-2

  • Track Devonport Synthetic

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1150m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1220m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-3-1

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 3Launceston1420m23 Oct 2026 · CL3 · GOOD40.66L
  2. 5Launceston1200m9 Oct 2026 · BM60 · GOOD41.35L
  3. 7Launceston1420m25 Sept 2026 · BM60 · GOOD42.65L
  4. 1Devonport Synthetic800m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC-0.4
  5. 1Longford800m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.5
  6. 2Launceston1400m10 Apr 2026 · CL2 · SOFT50.4L
  7. 1Launceston1400m27 Mar 2026 · CL1 · SOFT5-1.3
  8. 2Launceston1400m13 Mar 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.5L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 12% in Last 100 Rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Out the back, closed with raking strides in the Hcp (C3) at Launceston over this trip. Fits well against this opposition.

ILB

Flashed home late into 3rd last start at Launceston but has to cope with a weight increase. Codi Jordan is a plus. Has very good closing speed. Winning hope.

RP

Beaten narrowly (Launceston) last month upped to this distance; producing consistent form; a big player.

RSIS

Finished strongly when 3rd beaten by 3/4L last start at Launceston but going up in weight. Codi Jordan is a key booking. Displays good closing pace. Attracts support.

4Snow EagleJ: Anthony Darmanin·T: Jessie Bazan656kg4 7 4 4 417: 2-0-4$10.00$2.75

Career

17: 2-0-4

Rating · IRD

99

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    10: 2-0-3

  • Track CurrentTrack

    10: 2-0-3

  • Track Launceston

    6: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    7: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 2-0-4

Last starts

  1. 4Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.6L
  2. 4Launceston1400m2 Oct 2026 · CL3 · SOFT511.25L
  3. 4Longford800m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1L
  4. 7Launceston1600m20 Mar 2026 · BM60 · GOOD42.4L
  5. 4Launceston1600m20 Feb 2026 · BM60 · GOOD41.7L
  6. 4Hobart1600m6 Feb 2026 · BM60 · GOOD41.8L
  7. 3Launceston2100m14 Jan 2026 · BM60 · SOFT65L
  8. 4Longford1800m1 Jan 2026 · OPEN HCP · SOFT55L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Jessie Bazan striking at just 10%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 32 days

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened after returning. Unable to make an impression at Launceston off long spell. Since trialled at Longford 20 Oct. Warrants attention.

ILB

At $12.00 couldn't stay in touch when 4th last start at Launceston. Happy to overlook that run. Will be positive in the run early. Stamps its reason for consideration.

RP

Finished last of four at Launceston last month; has won here; has shown signs of promise here and there and is a player.

RSIS

Odds of 11/1 and faded away to finish 4th last time at Launceston. Should improve. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Very tidy performer.

5SnowdoniaJ: Troy Baker·T: S Gandy755.5kg9 4 1 2 617: 2-4-2$9.00$2.60

Career

17: 2-4-2

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    10: 0-3-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    10: 0-3-1

  • Track Launceston

    6: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    9: 1-2-2

  • Going Good

    7: 1-2-1

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-2-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Launceston1600m9 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD44.36L
  2. 2Launceston1420m25 Sept 2026 · BM60 · GOOD40.15L
  3. 1Devonport Synthetic1350m9 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC-1
  4. 4Hobart1400m19 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT52.1L
  5. 9Hobart1200m19 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT54.57L
  6. 8Hobart1200m5 July 2026 · BM60 · SOFT54.4L
  7. 1Hobart800m22 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-2
  8. 4Hobart1400m14 Dec 2025 · CL1 · SOFT53.7L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Stuart Gandy striking at just 11%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Great run at Launceston 25 Sep. In touch but couldn't find anything when pressured at Launceston. Worth a look.

ILB

Was $8.50 and weakened under pressure when 6th last start at Launceston. Looking for an improved run. Should muster plenty of early toe. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

RP

Regular fixture at this venue; useful at this level; didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Launceston (beaten 4½l) over 1m (handicap) last month; certainly not out of it as shown she can get her head in front.

RSIS

Started 15/2 and folded up in the straight when 6th last time at Launceston. Has the potential to improve sharply. Won't be far away during the run. Can win this.

6Bella ChinkaraJ: Erica Byrne Burke·T: J K Blacker254kg3 2 7 6 820: 1-4-4$3.90$1.50

Career

20: 1-4-4

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-2-1

  • Track Hobart

    13: 1-3-3

  • Track CurrentTrack

    13: 1-3-3

  • Track Launceston

    5: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    7: 1-2-1

  • Distance 1390m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1420m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 0-1-3

Last starts

  1. 8Launceston1420m23 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42.93L
  2. 6Launceston1400m2 Oct 2026 · CL1 · SOFT52.75L
  3. 7Launceston1600m16 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD44.75L
  4. 2Devonport Synthetic1350m2 Sept 2026 · CL2 · SYNTHETIC1.25L
  5. 3Devonport Synthetic1350m26 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC1.5L
  6. 6Hobart1200m5 Aug 2026 · CL2 · SOFT73.9L
  7. 1Devonport Synthetic800m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC-2.3
  8. 9Hobart1200m21 June 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.82L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 81%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 38%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced at Launceston over this distance. Hard fit, has some claims.

ILB

At $9.00 came in 8th last time at Launceston but drawn nicely. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Has winning form at this track; patchy form recently; had two of these rivals behind her at Launceston when eighth beaten 3l last month; not been able to get her head in front lately so others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Odds of 8/1 and finished 8th last start at Launceston but has a good draw. Could feature here.

7AlisentJ: Bulent Muhcu·T: Max Beamish454kg5 6 9 7 817: 2-2-1$17.00$3.70

Career

17: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Stawell

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1220m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1350m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 1-2-1

Last starts

  1. 8Launceston1400m16 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD46.27L
  2. 7Devonport Synthetic1350m9 Sept 2026 · BM60 · SYNTHETIC2.7L
  3. 9Devonport Synthetic1880m12 July 2026 · BM64 · SYNTHETIC7.6L
  4. 6Devonport Synthetic1650m28 June 2026 · CL4 SW · SYNTHETIC3.9L
  5. 5Devonport Synthetic800m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC3.7L
  6. 4Longford2400m1 Jan 2026 · BM60 · SOFT56.3L
  7. 4Hobart2100m14 Dec 2025 · BM60 · SOFT52.5L
  8. 1Launceston2100m21 Nov 2025 · Class 1 · GOOD4-4.8

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Let-up (48-days). Ex Andrew Moore Tasmania. Went home tamely at Launceston at $26. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Back from a freshen up. Odds of $26.00 and didn't find the line when 8th last start at Launceston. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Will be facing a challenge.

RP

Could not manage better than eighth at Launceston 48 days ago; has struggled to factor since winning a conditions race at Launceston last November; runs for a new trainer here; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Back from a let up. Started 25/1 and looked outclassed when 8th last run at Launceston. Coming to a new trainer. Will be pushing for a forward position early.

8Pacific WitnessJ: Lauryn Bingley·T: J K Blacker854kg12 6 10 8 810: 1-0-0$51.00$6.50

Career

10: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1009m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Launceston1600m9 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD45.42L
  2. 8Launceston1420m25 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD45.23L
  3. 10Devonport Synthetic1150m9 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC7.9L
  4. 6Devonport Synthetic1009m26 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC4.8L
  5. 12Hobart1200m19 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT56.22L
  6. 4Hobart800m22 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.3L
  7. 7Launceston1400m14 Jan 2026 · CL1 · SOFT67.7L
  8. 1Longford1400m1 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT5-1

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Finished well held at Launceston. Remains unplaced from 4 starts here. Has work to do on recent figures.

ILB

Started at $81.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last run at Launceston. Not threatening these.

RP

Close up behind Snowdonia when eighth over 1m at Launceston (handicap) last month; been generally quiet since successful in a maiden at Longford on New Year's Day; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Was 80/1 and weakened to finish 8th last start at Launceston.

9South GeorgiaJ: Robyn Lynch·T: T W Evans354kg3 2 8 5 1423: 1-6-2$21.00$4.00

Career

23: 1-6-2

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    15: 1-6-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    15: 1-6-1

  • Track Launceston

    7: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1880m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 0-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    13: 1-4-0

Last starts

  1. 14Launceston1420m23 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD45.57L
  2. 5Launceston1400m2 Oct 2026 · CL1 · SOFT52L
  3. 8Launceston1600m16 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD45.25L
  4. 2Hobart1200m19 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT50.5L
  5. 3Devonport Synthetic1880m14 June 2026 · Class 1 · SYNTHETIC0.9L
  6. 2Hobart800m10 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.4L
  7. 2Hobart1600m24 May 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT51.3L
  8. 4Hobart1430m10 May 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.6L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 53% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 38%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Winless since 22 Jun 2025. Sent out $21 when unable to threaten at Launceston over today's trip. Needs to lift to figure. On trust.

ILB

At $21.00 lost ground in the run home when 14th last run at Launceston. The large claim from Robyn Lynch should help. Entitled to be big odds.

RP

Finished last of 14 (Launceston) last month; has run well here recently without winning; not hard to turn elsewhere as looks more likely to place than win.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and lost ground in the run home when 14th last start at Launceston. The large claim from Robyn Lynch should help.

10Last TrembleJ: Sam Kennedy·T: J K Blacker154kg4 3 3 4 524: 1-3-3$7.00$2.35

Career

24: 1-3-3

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Hobart

    6: 0-1-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    6: 0-1-1

  • Track Launceston

    14: 1-2-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    7: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 1-3-1

  • Going Synthetic

    4: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 5Launceston2000m2 Oct 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT55.25L
  2. 4Launceston1600m16 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD42.75L
  3. 3Devonport Synthetic1880m2 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · SYNTHETIC1.3L
  4. 3Hobart2100m19 Aug 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT50.96L
  5. 4Hobart1600m19 July 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT55.3L
  6. 2Hobart2100m5 July 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT50.75L
  7. 5Devonport Synthetic1650m28 June 2026 · Class 1 · SYNTHETIC3.5L
  8. 8Devonport Synthetic1880m14 June 2026 · Class 1 · SYNTHETIC6.2L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 32% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Sam Kennedy 61% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 80%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Sam Kennedy winning at 41% POT in last 100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Ordinary performance in small field at Launceston over longer assignment. Nice gate and a nice weight drop. Expecting a stronger showing.

ILB

Started at $4.60 and faded to finish 5th last run at Launceston but has drawn to do little work. Should be going forward early. Back in trip. Needs to find a lot more.

RP

Possible blip last time out as had been running well previously but just the one win to her name; beaten just over 5l in fifth over 1m2f at Launceston (conditions race) four weeks ago; others are preferred.

RSIS

Was 7/2 and couldn't stay in touch when 5th last run at Launceston but has minimal work to do from the stall. Has plenty of early pace.

11MateusJ: Jackson Radley·T: J K Blacker1054kg9 8 6 5 537: 2-6-4$31.00$4.80

Career

37: 2-6-4

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Track Devonport Synthetic

    6: 0-0-1

  • Track Hobart

    18: 1-4-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    18: 1-4-2

  • Distance 1600m

    14: 1-3-1

  • Distance 1880m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2020m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 1-4-2

  • Going Soft

    21: 1-2-1

  • Going Synthetic

    6: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Devonport Synthetic1650m2 Sept 2026 · BM68 · SYNTHETIC4.7L
  2. 5Devonport Synthetic1650m26 Aug 2026 · CL3 · SYNTHETIC3.4L
  3. 6Hobart1600m5 Aug 2026 · BM60 · SOFT74.8L
  4. 8Hobart1600m19 July 2026 · BM64 · SOFT57.5L
  5. 9Hobart1600m5 July 2026 · BM60 · SOFT56L
  6. 7Hobart1390m21 June 2026 · CL2 · SOFT52.7L
  7. 10Hobart1600m7 June 2026 · BM60 · SOFT54.2L
  8. 6Hobart1420m24 May 2026 · CL4 SW · SOFT52.7L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -30%

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Long Prep

    Negative

    Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Let-up (62-days). Long winning drought. Unable to make an impression at Devonport Synthetic. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Back from a break. Odds of $14.00 and looked flat when 5th last time at Devonport Synthetic. Others preferred.

RP

He meets the required standard ability wise; has won at this track; not beaten too far when fifth at Devonport over 1m (handicap) two months ago.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Was 13/1 and looked flat when 5th last start at Devonport Synthetic.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.