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Hobart (TAS) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Hobart (TAS), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovHobart (TAS)Change

Race 4 — Dave Garnier Cup Hcp (C1) 1200m · jumps

Race preview

The Dave Garnier Cup at Hobart this Saturday is a Class 1 handicap over 1200 metres on good ground in overcast conditions. The win market has John Of Jane at the top of the order, with Miss Lyra and Olindah following closely, then Lawrenny Boys at four. This is a sharp race, with several runners carrying genuine claims based on recent form at Launceston and track records over the distance.

John Of Jane shapes as the obvious forward line, drawn at barrier 10 with jockey Troy Baker aboard. The form is eye-catching: an outstanding debut at Hobart at this track and distance in July, then a close second at Launceston over 1200 metres at the same class before a barrier trial win at Longford. The comment flags a thrilling stoush, suggesting this horse is a genuine racehorse with upside. Miss Lyra, at barrier 3 for Chloe Wells, has kept on for second at Launceston twice in recent runs over similar distances at Class 1 level, though her strike rate in first-up and second-up assignments reads blank. The form suggests she's a stayer improving into this race, and the draw is kind. Olindah broke through at Launceston over 1200 metres a few weeks back, then chased hard when second-up in a handicap at the same track. Jackson Radley takes the ride from barrier 4, and the record shows both a maiden win and a handicap second at this distance—a genuine claim here.

Lawrenny Boys leads from barrier 1 for Sam Kennedy and trainer J L Keys. The recent form reads troubling: fifth at Launceston first-up, then tenth here at Hobart two starts ago. The comment says he folded quickly when on pace, though the note adds he'll be better for the outing. Kennedy is riding well above his career average, and the market has him fourth favourite, which might warrant a second look if the speed battle plays true to speedGroups, where he sits as a leader alongside John Of Jane. This shapes as a two-horse war for the front, and the one drawn wider in barrier 10 carries more appeal than the one on the second row.

Race notes

  • CL1,CL1 HCP,Class 1
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 12 runners

Shortest win price

John Of Jane (1)

1.60

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 12Whisper Of Matilda

Offmidfield

  • 4Star Performer

Midfield

  • 8Celestial Glow
  • 10The Pirate Queen
  • 6Olindah
  • 3Geegees Ace
  • 7Seditious Award
  • 9Cool Conquest

Offpace

  • 11Alpine Honey
  • 5Miss Lyra

Leader

  • 1John Of Jane
  • 2Lawrenny Boys

  • John Of Jane · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races

  • Lawrenny Boys · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 32% better than Career Avg.

  • Geegees Ace · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Stuart Gandy striking at just 11%

  • Star Performer · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1John Of JaneJ: Troy Baker·T: Sigrid Carr1059kg6 5 1 1 22: 1-1-0$1.60$1.07

Career

2: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Hobart

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Launceston1200m16 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD40.02L
  2. 1Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.4
  3. 1Hobart1200m19 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT5-5.5
  4. 5Hobart800m22 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)3L
  5. 6Hobart800m15 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial11.5L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Outstanding debut at Hobart 19 Jul. Raced on the pace and went down in a thrilling stoush at Launceston. Winner at track and distance. Makes strong appeal.

ILB

Close up last run at Launceston. The wide barrier shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Major chance.

RP

This just his third race; went close when second at Launceston last month; this just his second run in a handicap; strong claims.

RSIS

Just missed last run at Launceston. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall. Expected to be competitive.

2Lawrenny BoysJ: Sam Kennedy·T: J L Keys157kg1 2 3 10 516: 1-4-4$13.00$2.90

Career

16: 1-4-4

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Hobart

    12: 1-3-4

  • Track CurrentTrack

    12: 1-3-4

  • Track Launceston

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    8: 1-3-1

  • Distance 1120m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-2-2

  • Going Soft

    10: 1-2-2

Last starts

  1. 5Launceston1100m9 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD44.75L
  2. 10Hobart1200m21 June 2026 · CL1 · SOFT54.28L
  3. 3Hobart1200m7 June 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.5L
  4. 2Hobart1200m24 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT51.3L
  5. 1Hobart1100m10 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT5-1
  6. 3Hobart1200m26 Apr 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.3L
  7. 2Launceston1100m10 Apr 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT50.5L
  8. 3Hobart1100m22 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 32% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Sam Kennedy 61% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 49%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Sam Kennedy winning at 41% POT in last 100 rides

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 19%

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On pace but folded up quickly at Launceston first up. Better for the outing. Leads, handy. Major player here.

ILB

At $13.00 finished 5th last time at Launceston but has drawn to do little work. Should come to hand quickly. Contender at a nice price.

RP

Not disgraced in fifth at Launceston over 5½f (handicap) last month; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and ran 5th last run at Launceston but drawn beautifully. Has early pace and positions nicely. Has strong claims.

3Geegees AceJ: Anthony Darmanin·T: S Gandy656kg5 6 6 3 99: 1-0-1$17.00$3.40

Career

9: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    7: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Launceston1200m16 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD46.57L
  2. 3Launceston1200m2 Oct 2026 · CL1 · SOFT50.85L
  3. 6Launceston1100m16 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42.98L
  4. 6Hobart1200m19 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.62L
  5. 5Devonport Synthetic1350m14 June 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC4L
  6. 1Hobart1200m24 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT5-0.4
  7. 2Hobart800m12 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.8L
  8. 5Hobart1200m2 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.9L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Stuart Gandy striking at just 11%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Launceston Hcp (C1) placegetter 2 Oct. Sent out $9 when never got into the race at Launceston over this trip. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Started at $9.00 and sub-standard effort when 9th last time at Launceston. Serious contender.

RP

Finished ninth, beaten a fair way at Launceston two weeks ago; can be in the mix if replicating the best of his form.

RSIS

Was 8/1 and disappointing effort when 9th last run at Launceston. Quietly confident of a big run at decent odds.

4Star PerformerJ: Lauryn Bingley·T: J K Blacker855kg2 3 8 5 49: 1-0-1$23.00$3.80

Career

9: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Launceston

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.2L
  2. 5Hobart2040m10 May 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT53.5L
  3. 8Hobart1600m26 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD45.7L
  4. 3Hobart2000m12 Apr 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT52L
  5. 2Hobart1430m7 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.3L
  6. 1Launceston2100m20 Mar 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD4-1.8
  7. 10Launceston1600m13 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT525.7L
  8. 7Launceston1400m25 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD43L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 37%

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (25-weeks). Solid form at this level last campaign. Tuned up by recent trial. Looks vulnerable fresh.

ILB

Racing fresh after a break. Started at $4.40 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last start at this venue but down in distance. Carrying less weight this time. Making up the numbers.

RP

Not disgraced when fifth of 12 in a conditions race in May upped to 1m2f; returns from a layoff; respected if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.

RSIS

Back from a break. Was 10/3 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last run at the track but coming back in trip. Likely to get back.

5Miss LyraJ: Chloe Wells·T: S Gandy354.5kg1 5 2 2 212: 1-4-0$7.50$2.10

Career

12: 1-4-0

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Launceston

    4: 0-3-0

  • Track Devonport Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    7: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1120m

    2: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-3-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Launceston1120m23 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41L
  2. 2Launceston1120m25 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD40.75L
  3. 2Launceston1100m16 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.25L
  4. 5Hobart1200m19 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT52L
  5. 1Hobart800m6 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-4
  6. 12Hobart1200m5 July 2026 · BM60 · SOFT57.6L
  7. 2Hobart800m22 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.8L
  8. 8Launceston1400m20 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD44.4L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Stuart Gandy striking at just 11%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Honest

    Positive

    Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Launceston. Drawn to get a conservative run. Only win to date was this distance. Well placed to make an impact here.

ILB

Produced an eye catching run when 2nd last start at Launceston. Showing great form this campaign. Very capable of taking this out.

RP

Not beaten far when runner-up over 5½f at Launceston (handicap) with Olindah just behind 11 days ago; string of near-misses of late; assuming she steps up from most recent effort then needs to be respected.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the placings when 2nd last start at Launceston. Showing good ability in recent runs. Definite claims.

6OlindahJ: Jackson Radley·T: Jessie Bazan454.5kg4 6 2 1 55: 1-0-0$5.00$1.65

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1120m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Launceston1120m23 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.75L
  2. 1Launceston1200m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.75
  3. 2Longford800m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.2L
  4. 6Launceston1200m20 Feb 2026 · 2yo · GOOD47.3L
  5. 4Hobart1100m25 Jan 2026 · 2Y-SW · GOOD45.3L
  6. 4Launceston1100m9 Jan 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT55.1L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 11%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Increase

    Negative

    Rises 4.5kg now

Comments

AAP

Broke maiden at Launceston 9 Oct. Closing but couldn't pick them up Hcp (C1) at Launceston when second-up. Only win to date was this distance. All the better, has some claims.

ILB

At $3.90 showed some merit late when 5th last time at Launceston. Few more classier types in this race.

RP

Far from disgraced (beaten just under 2l) when close behind Miss Lyra at Launceston over 5½f (handicap) last month; has kicked on in her last couple of races.

RSIS

Was 3/1 and crept into 5th last time at Launceston.

7Seditious AwardJ: Robyn Lynch·T: J F Luttrell954.5kg7 4 4 1 714: 1-0-4$101.00$9.00

Career

14: 1-0-4

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    5: 1-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    8: 0-0-3

  • Track Longford

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1420m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1430m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-2

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-0-2

Last starts

  1. 7Launceston1400m13 Mar 2026 · CL1 · SOFT54.4L
  2. 1Hobart1430m15 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.4
  3. 4Launceston1420m30 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.7L
  4. 4Hobart1600m18 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD41.3L
  5. 7Launceston1400m9 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.2L
  6. 3Longford1400m1 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT51.8L
  7. 4Launceston1400m21 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD43L
  8. 3Launceston1400m12 Nov 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.6L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 37%

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (33-weeks). Ex P H Luttrell Tasmania. Went close in Maiden company at Launceston first-up last campaign. Can fill the minors here fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up from a 33 week break. Odds of $31.00 and ran 7th last time at Launceston. The large claim from Robyn Lynch should help. Looks highly doubtful.

RP

Not disgraced when seventh over 7f at Launceston (handicap) in March; has displayed improved form on last two starts; this only her second handicap outing; has had some time off; others are preferred.

RSIS

Fresh from a break of 33 weeks. At 30/1 finished 7th last run at Launceston. The large claim from Robyn Lynch should help.

8Celestial GlowJ: Erica Byrne Burke·T: J K Blacker1254kg4 5 5 5 1223: 1-3-3$15.00$3.30

Career

23: 1-3-3

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    9: 0-2-1

  • Track Devonport Synthetic

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Hobart

    11: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1120m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    10: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    10: 1-2-1

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 12Launceston1420m23 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD44.47L
  2. 5Launceston1200m16 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42.87L
  3. 5Launceston1420m25 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD43.52L
  4. 5Launceston1100m16 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42.96L
  5. 4Devonport Synthetic1150m9 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC2.2L
  6. 1Longford800m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-0.1
  7. 9Hobart1200m19 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.5L
  8. 4Hobart800m6 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)5.1L

Insights

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Erica Byrne Burke 21% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 81%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Track And Dist

    Negative

    Has a poor record at this track and trip

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Long losing streak. Went home tamely at Launceston at $31. Drops to shorter trip. Needs a form spike.

ILB

Was $31.00 and struggled with the pace when 12th last run at Launceston. Rough chance.

RP

Generally modest form since maiden success at Hobart 12 months ago; finished towards the rear of 14 at Launceston last month upped to 7f; others more likely.

RSIS

Odds of 30/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 12th last time at Launceston.

9Cool ConquestJ: Hayley Mc Carthy·T: J K Blacker754kg2 3 5 8 1024: 1-2-5$91.00$8.50

Career

24: 1-2-5

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    10: 0-0-5

  • Track Devonport Synthetic

    12: 1-2-0

  • Track Hobart

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1880m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    12: 1-2-0

  • Going Good

    7: 0-0-5

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Launceston1420m25 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD46.33L
  2. 8Devonport Synthetic1350m9 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC8.27L
  3. 5Hobart1400m19 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.6L
  4. 3Hobart800m6 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.2L
  5. 2Hobart800m22 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)2.8L
  6. 7Launceston2100m23 Jan 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT55.4L
  7. 5Devonport Synthetic1650m7 Jan 2026 · Class 1 · SYNTHETIC2.8L
  8. 8Devonport Synthetic1880m19 Dec 2025 · Class 1 · SYNTHETIC1.8L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Hayley Mc Carthy current POT is 52% below Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 39 days

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Last win was 16 Jun 2024. Well back and never a factor at Launceston. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Started $31.00 and disappointing run when 10th last start at Launceston. Very difficult to back.

RP

Towards the rear of 13 over 7f at Launceston (handicap) five weeks ago; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

At 30/1 disappointing outing when 10th last start at Launceston.

10The Pirate QueenJ: Bulent Muhcu·T: T W Evans254kg7 8 9 7 1022: 1-1-0$34.00$4.40

Career

22: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    14: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    14: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    8: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1420m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Launceston1200m16 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD46.92L
  2. 7Launceston1420m25 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD44.48L
  3. 9Launceston1100m16 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD47.13L
  4. 8Hobart1400m19 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT54.85L
  5. 7Hobart1200m5 Aug 2026 · CL2 · SOFT74.4L
  6. 11Hobart1200m19 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT55.47L
  7. 7Hobart1600m22 Mar 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD49.6L
  8. 4Launceston1400m13 Mar 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.9L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Largely struggled in her post maiden runs. Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely at Launceston over today's trip. Unplaced from 14 starts here. Has plenty to find on latest offerings. On trust.

ILB

Started $26.00 and lost ground in the run home when 10th last start at Launceston but gets a favourable draw. Struggling this campaign with no placings from 6 starts. Rough chance today.

RP

Last of ten at Launceston when behind John Of Jane, Celestial Glow, and Geegees Ace two weeks ago; sole victory becoming a distant memory; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Was 25/1 and didn't threaten when 10th last run at Launceston but has a good draw. Struggling recently with no placings from 6 attempts.

11Alpine HoneyJ: Kirra-Lee Lane·T: J F Luttrell1154kg8 9 2 5 921: 1-2-2$101.00$9.00

Career

21: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    9: 1-2-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    5: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    13: 0-2-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 9Launceston1420m23 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42.95L
  2. 5Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.6L
  3. 2Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.5L
  4. 9Launceston1600m16 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD416.75L
  5. 8Devonport Synthetic1350m26 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC5.6L
  6. 10Hobart1400m19 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT514.1L
  7. 10Hobart1600m24 May 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT511.3L
  8. 10Hobart1430m10 May 2026 · CL1 · SOFT59.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Launceston. Switching to 1200m. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Was $101.00 and weakened under pressure when 9th last run at Launceston. Kirra Lee Lane takes a large claim. May find these too slick.

RP

Posted respectable effort when beaten 3l over 7f at Launceston (handicap) last month; been out of sorts of late and generally struggled with a record of 1-21.

RSIS

At 100/1 lost ground in the run home when 9th last run at Launceston. Large claim helps.

12Whisper Of MatildaJ: Codi Jordan·T: Stephen Lockhart554kg9 6 8 7 220: 1-0-3$101.00$9.00

Career

20: 1-0-3

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    17: 1-0-3

  • Track CurrentTrack

    17: 1-0-3

  • Track Launceston

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    6: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1390m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    12: 1-0-2

Last starts

  1. 2Hobart1430m10 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.5L
  2. 7Hobart1600m24 May 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT55L
  3. 8Hobart2040m10 May 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT510.7L
  4. 6Hobart1600m26 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD43.5L
  5. 9Hobart2000m12 Apr 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT513.5L
  6. 3Hobart1600m22 Mar 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD42.3L
  7. 6Launceston1400m13 Mar 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.9L
  8. 5Hobart1430m15 Feb 2026 · CL1 · SOFT54L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 12% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Stephen Lockhart striking at just 2%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -66% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 55%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 60% Profit on Turnover

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

Comments

AAP

Resuming (23-weeks). Winless since 25 May 2025. Went to the paddock after a lean run last prep. Strikes a competitive race.

ILB

Back from a break. Started $31.00 and ran 7th last start around here and back to a shorter distance. Gets back and needs luck. Very weak selection.

RP

Has a record of 1-20; not disgraced when seventh of 11 over 1m here (conditions race) in May; returns from an absence here; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Fresh today. Odds of 30/1 and came in 7th last start around here and back in trip. Likely to get back in the field.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.