Toowoomba (QLD) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Toowoomba (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 31 OctToowoomba (QLD)Change

Race 6 — Neil Mansell Concrete Mdn Plate 1300m · jumps Sat 31 Oct, 9:21 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Toowoomba for the Neil Mansell Concrete Mdn Plate over 1300m on a soft 5 track with overcast skies. Looking at the early win market order, punters have zeroed in on Mishani Cabello heading the betting, followed closely by Zou Zou Zipora, Kava Express, and Cincinnati Cobra rounded out as the initial fancies for this three-year-old maiden clash.

Mishani Cabello sits right at the top of the market after a fair form line, including a narrow third at Kilcoy where she raced on the pace and went down in a thrilling stoush, suggesting this trip suits. Kava Express represents Jake Capewell and wasn't disgraced here previously when running fourth over 1210m on a soft 5 surface, pointing to a major say in proceedings. Meanwhile, Cincinnati Cobra draws barrier 8 for trainer Emma Ljung and jockey Leslie Tilley, coming off a runner-up effort at Stanthorpe where the runner found the minors.

Digging deeper into the yarn, Zou Zou Zipora brings an intriguing form line from K R Kemp's yard, having flashed home with the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start when placing third over 1210m right here at Toowoomba. With speed groups showing Kava Express and Mishani Cabello looking to lead from their early positions, expect a lively tactical battle as they turn for home.

Race notes

3Y MDN-SW,3yo,Maiden
SOFT5
Overcast
8 runners

Shortest win price

Mishani Cabello (7)

2.90

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

9Zou Zou Zipora

Offmidfield

2Diamond Impact

Midfield

6Marbelized
8The Devil's Girl

Onpace

4The One

Leader

5Kava Express
7Mishani Cabello
1Cincinnati Cobra

Cincinnati Cobra · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.
Diamond Impact · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
The One · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Kava Express · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 11%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Cincinnati CobraJ: Leslie Tilley·T: Emma Ljung858kg3 4 9 23: 0-1-0$4.80$1.55

Career

3: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Stanthorpe1200m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.12L
9Ipswich1350m9 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD45.4L
4Toowoomba1200m11 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD46.4L
3Warwick800m24 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

No threat to winner but ran on for the minors at Stanthorpe for new stable. Locally trained but has a tricky draw. Harder to warm to here.

ILB

Amongst the placegetters when 2nd last time at Stanthorpe. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Limited possibility.

Career is progressing; ran a solid race finishing second over 6f at Stanthorpe (maiden) on debut for new trainer two weeks ago; clear chance.

RSIS

Placed 2nd last time at Stanthorpe. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.

2Diamond ImpactJ: Kayla Barker·T: Corey & Kylie Geran158kg7 6 7 10 89: 0-0-0$34.00$4.20

Career

9: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Toowoomba1210m17 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT56.36L
10Gold Coast1400m10 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD414.85L
7Talwood1400m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+13.82L
6Toowoomba1300m29 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD46.7L
7Toowoomba1200m8 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.4L
10Eagle Farm1200m29 July 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD412.2L
9Eagle Farm1000m15 July 2026 · 2YC&G MDN-SW · GOOD45.1L
5Toowoomba925m23 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)8.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Kayla Barker 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 30%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Form to date uninspiring. Settled back and didn't figure in the 3yo Mdn Plate this venue. Underwhelming record and needs a major turnaround.

ILB

Started $81.00 and ordinary performance when 8th last run around here but drawn the rails. Has not placed in 7 attempts this preparation. Likely to get back in the run. Others preferred.

Missed the frame (beaten 6l into eighth) over 6f here (maiden) when behind Zou Zou Zipora, Kava Express, and Marbelized 14 days ago; been struggling to make an impact and yet to open his account after nine starts; others appeal more as this is competitive; also engaged in race 3 at Dalby.

RSIS

Was 80/1 and well beaten when 8th last time here but drawn well. Likely to get back in the field. Struggling of late. The large claim from Kayla Barker helps.

3Gunna WannabeScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Insights

1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (15-weeks). Keener on others.

ILB

On a quick back up. Ran 5th last run at Moree.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Finished 5th last run at Moree.

4The OneJ: Nozi Tomizawa·T: James Baker258kg6 5 6 2 105: 0-1-0$26.00$3.90

Career

5: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
3: 0-1-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1080m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1460m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Canberra1600m9 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD420.08L
2Canberra1600m26 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD41L
6Queanbeyan1460m8 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT54.6L
5Goulburn1200m23 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD47.3L
6Canberra1080m7 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD311.9L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
James Baker striking at just 3%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Nozi Tomizawa 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 77%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ex Tash Burleigh. Trained here now. Failed to threaten at Canberra over longer assignment at wide odds. Coming back in distance. Only for exotics.

ILB

Looked outclassed when 10th last time at Canberra but has a positive gate. Racing for a new trainer but back to a shorter trip. Displays good tactical speed. Not dismissing.

Tailed off in a conditions race at Canberra 22 days ago; has arguably shown improved form the last twice; now running for a new stable; others more appealing.

RSIS

Lost ground in the run home when 10th last time at Canberra but gets a favourable stall. Racing for a new trainer but dropping back to a shorter trip.

5Kava ExpressJ: Georgina Cartwright·T: Jake Capewell656kg5 4 8 6 45: 0-0-0$6.00$1.90

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
4: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Toowoomba1210m17 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT53.16L
6Sunshine Coast1400m27 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.01L
8Sunshine Coast1200m6 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD44.18L
4Sunshine Coast1200m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(10)1.6L
5Sunshine Coast1000m10 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT55.6L
4Sunshine Coast1000m25 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN · HEAVY82.5L
5Sunshine Coast Poly Track850m31 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)9.5L
4Sunshine Coast Poly Track850m9 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial8.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 11%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 30%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 55% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced this course for new trainer at $6. Can have a major say.

ILB

Jumped at $6.00 and came in 4th last time around here. Capable of bouncing back. Will be positive in the run early. Will be in the finish.

Split a number of these rivals over 6f here (maiden) beaten just over 3l two weeks ago on debut for this trainer; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Started 5/1 and ran 4th last time at the track. Expected to rebound. Has early pace and positions nicely. Worth a lot of thought in this race.

6MarbelizedJ: Kenji Yoshida·T: K R Kemp556kg3 7 52: 0-0-0$15.00$3.30

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Toowoomba1210m17 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT53.91L
7Toowoomba1010m3 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD49.28L
3Toowoomba925m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.2L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Beyond midfield, under pump turn and plugged home this venue at second appearance. Wiser for those runs and should have more to offer.

ILB

At $41.00 came in 5th last time here. Place chance.

Not beaten too far when fifth of nine here over 6f (maiden) two weeks ago.

RSIS

At 40/1 came in 5th last start at the track.

7Mishani CabelloJ: Olivia Kendal·T: Donna Stanbridge756kg8 2 5 2 35: 0-2-1$2.90$1.28

Career

5: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Kilcoy
2: 0-1-1
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-2-1
Going Good
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

3Kilcoy1200m6 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD40.08L
2Toowoomba1200m12 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD40.9L
5Gold Coast1000m28 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD48L
2Kilcoy1200m10 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT62.4L
8Eagle Farm1000m15 July 2026 · 2YF MDN-SW · GOOD47.9L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Form to date fair. Raced on the pace and went down in a thrilling stoush at Kilcoy. Looks ready for this trip. Fits well against this opposition.

ILB

Right in contention last time at Kilcoy and promising career start. Shows good early pace. Producing consistent results since returning from a break. Will show up at the business end.

Improved form the last twice; not beaten far over 6f at Kilcoy (maiden) three weeks ago.

RSIS

Narrowly beaten last run at Kilcoy and good career start. Should race on the pace. Producing consistent results since resuming from a break. Should go well.

8The Devil's GirlJ: Aidan Keeley·T: C A Cousins356kg7 92: 0-0-0$8.00$2.35

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Eagle Farm1000m21 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT76L
7Doomben1110m11 Apr 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD46.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 40% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Aidan Keeley 62% above market expected in L100 Rides
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 50%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 35% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Aidan Keeley winning at 51% POT in last 100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $71 when never got into the race in choppy conditions at Eagle Farm at second outing. Looks a serious player.

ILB

Was $71.00 and well beaten when 9th last time at Eagle Farm. Looks hopeful at best.

Could not manage better than ninth at Eagle Farm over 5f (maiden) last week; poses a threat.

RSIS

Odds of 70/1 and looked outclassed when 9th last run at Eagle Farm.

9Zou Zou ZiporaJ: Jaden Lloyd·T: K R Kemp456kg7 15 33: 0-0-1$3.80$1.38

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Goondiwindi
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Toowoomba1210m17 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT52.77L
15Eagle Farm1200m19 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD499.9L
7Goondiwindi1000m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+5.1L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -35% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

By far the best of her 3 runs to date was latest placing at Toowoomba. Can play a role.

ILB

Ran on when 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L last run at the track. Might take a while to wind up but should be hitting top gear in the straight. Nice chance at a very tempting price.

Appears to be going forwards; ran well to finish third at 25-1 over 6f here (maiden) when she finished ahead of a number of these runners two weeks ago; she can make a bold bid.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L last run here. Expected to be flashing home. Represents value.

Odds correct as at Sat 31 Oct, 9:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races
Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 6 races
Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races