Shortest win price
Express Star (6)
2.90
Welcome to Dalby for the Graincott Farming Co Hcp (C1) over 1400m on a Soft 5 track with fine weather overhead. It is a competitive Class 1 affair where the punters have cast their early eyes over the field and established the win market order. Royal Diplomat heads the market as the shortest runner, followed closely by Express Star, Bate, and Southoftheborder rounding out the top four in betting as they prepare to battle it out.
Looking into the form behind those shorter prices, Royal Diplomat comes out of a run at Warwick over 1500m where the run was plain, though it is worth noting this runner is a previous winner at the track and distance. Bate also steps out here following a run at Warwick in Class 2 grade where there was no real threat, but the booking of Jess Emmerson brings an interesting angle with the rider outperforming their career average. Express Star brings a solid effort at Stanthorpe over this exact 1400m trip where it was not disgraced, suggesting a hard fit profile that might suit.
Further down the race shape and field, New Prospect maps well as the lone leader from barrier 5, which could prove advantageous at this track if allowed a comfortable tempo up front. Meanwhile, runners like Southoftheborder come down in distance after battling home at Ipswich, while speed maps show multiple onpace runners like My Shalona and Life Of Tree ensuring a genuine early test for the punters looking for value.
Shortest win price
Express Star (6)
2.90
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Bate · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Express Star · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Jakebrake · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Shrimpton · Negative
Well beaten LS
Not competitive last run
Career
11: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 1-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
3: 1-0-2
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-2
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jess Emmerson 52% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Key Jockey
Positive
Jess Emmerson winning at 35% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
No threat as a $6.50 chance in Hcp (C2) at Warwick. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
At $6.50 ran 6th last start at Warwick. Looking for an improved run but hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Jess Emmerson is a suitable booking. Good chance and definitely has claims.
RP
Sixth beaten 13l at Warwick over 7½f (handicap) 21 days ago when just behind Royal Diplomat; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; if recent form can be forgiven, interesting based on win three runs ago; ought to be in the mix.
RSIS
Started 11/2 and ran 6th last time at Warwick. Expected to rebound but has more weight to carry. Jess Emmerson is a bonus. Can win.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
AAP
Ordinary performance in small field at Kilcoy over longer assignment. Drops to shorter trip. Can show more here.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Started $19.00 and finished 5th last run at Ipswich. In strong racing shape since resuming from a break. Large claim helps.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Was 18/1 and came in 5th last run at Ipswich. Showing great form lately. The large claim from William Galloway should help.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Nozi Tomizawa 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Finished well held in choppy conditions at Sunshine Coast. Well into preparation now, one for multiples.
ILB
Came in 7th last time at Sunshine Coast.
Career
6: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
2: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Trailed, clearly outgunned and flat to line at Warwick. Winner at track and distance. Looking to bounce back.
ILB
Odds of $4.60 and came in 5th last run at Warwick and will have to carry extra weight. Jockey Isabel Jessop and trainer Darren P Bell are consistently competitive together.
RP
Finished fifth, beaten a fair way over 7½f at Warwick (handicap) three weeks ago; C&D has proven suitable before; winner three starts back and too soon to write him off; has to be taken seriously.
RSIS
Was 7/2 and finished 5th last time at Warwick and has to cope with a weight increase. Should jump out and bowl along.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Started $12 when safely held in Benchmark 60 company at Stanthorpe over this distance. One for exotics.
ILB
Started at $12.00 and struggled when 6th last run at Stanthorpe.
RSIS
Started 11/1 and looked flat when 6th last time at Stanthorpe.
Career
14: 1-0-5
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-2
Going Good
11: 0-0-3
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Not disgraced at Stanthorpe over this trip at $5.50. Hard fit, could get into the placings.
ILB
Jumped at $7.00 and finished 4th last time at Stanthorpe. Has the talent to rebound quickly. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Good chance at a nice price.
RP
Only once has he got into the winners' enclosure; not beaten that far at Stanthorpe 14 days ago; others more likely.
RSIS
Started at 6/1 and ran 4th last run at Stanthorpe. Has the ability to turn things around. Should be going forward early. Serious contender.
Career
10: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dalby
3: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-0
Track Nanango
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (63-days). Failed to threaten at Toowoomba at cricket score odds. Since trialled at Dalby 7 Oct. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Fresh today after a break. Started at $101.00 and didn't find the line when 8th last start at Toowoomba but will appreciate a good draw. Could not recommend.
RP
Signs of improvement on last two runs; has winning C&D form to his name; was tailed off over 1m at Toowoomba (handicap) two months ago; running in a handicap for only the second time; others more appealing.
RSIS
Fresh from a break. Started 100/1 and didn't attack the line when 8th last time at Toowoomba but has the ideal draw.
Career
7: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
3: 1-0-1
Track Inverell
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1650m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 41 days
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 5.5kg more than LS
AAP
Freshened. Ex Nick Keal in QLD. Donkey-licked them at Toowoomba two back. Had all before her at turn and went home tamely at Sunshine Coast over longer assignment.
ILB
Started $8.00 and below standard effort when 9th last time at Sunshine Coast and down in trip. First start for a new trainer but rising in weight. Rates as one of the key chances.
RP
Last of nine at Sunshine Coast over 1m1f (handicap) last month; has displayed improved form on last two starts; representing new trainer today; if excused last run, interesting based on success two runs back; has a chance.
RSIS
At 7/1 disappointing effort when 9th last time at Sunshine Coast and coming back in distance. Coming to a new trainer. Will be hitting the line strongly. Should be in the finish.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fresh. Made steady inroads but the winner was out of reach at Toowoomba. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Finished with intent when 3rd last start at Toowoomba but bit of extra work to do with more weight.
RSIS
Attacked the line when 3rd beaten by 2L last start at Toowoomba but will have to carry extra weight.
Career
8: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Murtoa
1: 0-1-0
Track Gympie
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Steps out for third run new stable/region. Commanding winner at Gympie. Sterner test here but can't rule out.
ILB
Blitzed its rivals when winning by almost 5L last run at Gympie and showing improvement in recent outings. Should put in a decent effort.
RP
Has kicked on in his last couple of races; shed maiden status at the eighth time of asking when an easy winner (Gympie) three weeks ago in a maiden; despite that Gympie success, only limited appeal.
RSIS
Spaced the field to win by almost 5L last run at Gympie and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Expected to be competitive.
Career
8: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-1
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-0-0
Distance 860m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 24% lower than Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 72% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Steps out for third run new stable/region. Raced to a clear and dominant victory at Stanthorpe second-up. Ms K Lenton on again. Worth a look.
ILB
Was rock solid when winning by a margin of over 3L last run at Stanthorpe and will try to take advantage of the draw. Displays good tactical speed. Serious contender.
RP
Was well on top at the line, breaking her duck at the eighth time of asking at Stanthorpe two weeks ago upped to 6f in a maiden; seems to be improving based on last two runs; yard is ticking along nicely.
RSIS
Had a comfortable win by over 3L last time at Stanthorpe and has a positive draw. Should come to hand quickly. Definitely worth considering.
Career
26: 1-1-3
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Gatton
2: 0-0-1
Track Kilcoy
2: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
17: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 62%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Gatton. Has work to do on recent figures.
ILB
Started $21.00 and below par performance when 9th last time at Gatton but going back up in distance. Shows good early pace. Tough race will need luck.
RP
Held when ninth of 11 at Gatton over 5½f (handicap) 15 days ago; grade looks suitable; also engaged in race 5 at Dalby.
RSIS
At 20/1 average at best when 9th last run at Gatton but returning to a rise in trip. Should race on the pace.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -71% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 66%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 30 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fresh. Settled back and didn't come on at Gatton second-up. First time around Dalby. Others with stronger claims.
ILB
Sub-standard effort when 11th last time at Gatton.
RSIS
Not up to scratch when 11th last run at Gatton.
Career
22: 1-1-4
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
7: 0-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1890m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
4: 0-0-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 12%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
Ex Phil Bobic in QLD. Off pace, only battled home at Ipswich at healthy odds. Coming back in distance. Could get into the placings.
ILB
Started $26.00 and struggled with the pace when 6th last start at Ipswich. Coming to a new trainer. Respect the betting.
RP
Useful at this level; finished sixth, beaten 9l, over 1m½f at Ipswich (handicap) 23 days ago; now running for a new stable.
RSIS
Started 25/1 and was well beaten when 6th last start at Ipswich. First start for a new trainer. Watch for a sign in the market.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Fresh. Failed to threaten at Gatton over this trip as an outsider. New to Dalby. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Looked outclassed when 12th last time at Gatton.
RSIS
Couldn't stay in touch when 12th last run at Gatton.