Dalby (QLD) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 1:59 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Dalby (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 31 OctDalby (QLD)Change

Race 4 — Australian Country Choice Hcp 1200m · jumps Sat 31 Oct, 3:22 pm AEDT

Race notes

HCP,Open
SOFT6
Fine
8 runners

Shortest win price

This Is One (7)

3.20

Most career wins

Milton Road and Koruto

9 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

8Mamaragan

Offmidfield

4Koruto

Midfield

10Miss De Medici

Offpace

2Milton Road

Onpace

7This Is One
9Russian Sub
5Air We Go

Leader

3Warilla Gorilla

Milton Road · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 76%
Warilla Gorilla · Negative
Maps Poorly
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 19%
Koruto · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Air We Go · Negative
Maps Poorly
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 19%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Coin TossScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 493 day break (> 300 days)

Comments

AAP

Resuming after a (70-weeks) spell. Can pull out a run fresh while building fitness through 2 trials. Jumps from better barrier and proven at this level. Off extended break but a forward showing would not surprise. Follow market leads.

ILB

First up after a 70 week break. Average at best when 8th last time at Doomben but goes down in class. Back in trip.

RSIS

First run back from a break of 70 weeks. Disappointing run when 8th last run at Doomben but up against a less competitive field. Will be dropping in distance.

2Milton RoadJ: Isabel Jessop·T: S Hardy459kg5 1 1 1 129: 9-0-4$6.00$1.95

Career

29: 9-0-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
8: 4-0-1
Second-up
6: 2-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-2
Track Stanthorpe
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1120m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
16: 6-0-2
Going Good
11: 5-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
10: 0-0-2

Last starts

1Stanthorpe1000m17 Oct 2026 · OPEN HCP · GOOD3-0.48
1Dalby800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-4.2
1Nanango1200m23 May 2026 · BOTB QUAL SW-1.7
1Burrandowan1175m9 May 2026 · BM65-2.2
5Miles1200m7 Feb 2026 · HCP20.4L
6Thangool1200m24 Jan 2026 · BM606.2L
1Bell1200m3 Jan 2026 · BM65-2.5
1Texas1200m13 Dec 2025 · HCP-0.2

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 76%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Steven A Hardy in good form, out performing market 63%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 45% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form

Comments

AAP

On a winning streak. Showed plenty of fight to secure victory at Stanthorpe off spell. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Fought on well to win a tight contest last start at Stanthorpe. One of the punters top hopes.

Narrow winner of a handicap (Stanthorpe) beating Warilla Gorilla and Air We Go two weeks ago; career record shows his ability to win (wins-runs record of 9-29) and made it a hat-trick last time; big chance as should be sharper for his recent return to action.

RSIS

Was fighting out the finish when winning last run at Stanthorpe. Can take this out.

3Warilla GorillaJ: Kelsey Lenton·T: Nick Keal257.5kg2 1 3 1 727: 7-3-6$4.60$1.60

Career

27: 7-3-6

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
14: 4-2-3
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 2-0-1
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-1
Going Good
21: 6-2-5
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Going Unknown
2: 1-0-1

Last starts

7Stanthorpe1000m17 Oct 2026 · OPEN HCP · GOOD33.37L
1Dalby800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1.1
3Goondiwindi1400m18 July 2026 · HCP0.9L
1Esk1200m11 July 2026 · Open-0.5
2Toowoomba1300m3 July 2026 · BM70 · GOOD40.02L
1Toowoomba1200m20 June 2026 · BM70 · GOOD4-0.1
1Toowoomba1300m6 June 2026 · BM70 · GOOD4-0.9
2Toowoomba1300m23 May 2026 · BM60 · GOOD40.1L

Insights

Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 19%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Goondiwindi Open Hcp placegetter 18 Jul. Performance just fair at Stanthorpe first up at $4. Strips in better shape. Will take stopping in this company.

ILB

Was $11.00 and appeared lacklustre when 7th last time at Stanthorpe. Capable of bouncing back and have to respect the form at the trip. Should race on the speed. Commands respect.

Not disgraced when seventh of ten over 5f at Stanthorpe (handicap) two weeks ago; has won here previously; grade looks suitable; yard is ticking along nicely; has wins in his back catalogue so should be on the premises.

RSIS

Was 10/1 and looked flat when 7th last start at Stanthorpe. Likely to bounce back and hard to fault at this trip. Won't be far away during the run. Suited against these.

4KorutoJ: Hannah Richardson·T: T J Dougall856kg7 3 4 8 161: 9-5-8$10.00$2.65

Career

61: 9-5-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
8: 1-0-2
Second-up
6: 0-0-1
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 1-2-0
Track Murray Bridge
3: 1-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track Eidsvold
1: 1-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 1-0-2
Distance 1250m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
51: 8-4-7
Going Soft
8: 0-1-0
Going Unknown
2: 1-0-1

Last starts

1Eidsvold1350m3 Oct 2026 · HCP-0.82
8Doomben1600m11 July 2026 · BM78 · GOOD42.9L
4Ipswich1666m20 June 2026 · BM78 · SOFT53.62L
3Gayndah1400m13 June 2026 · HCP0.5L
7Doomben1600m23 May 2026 · BM78 · GOOD42.91L
5Dalby1400m25 Apr 2026 · HCP · SOFT51.8L
2Doomben1615m11 Apr 2026 · BM85 · GOOD41.6L
4Dalby1400m21 Mar 2026 · HCP · GOOD41.9L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 36% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 10%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 64% in L100 rides
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start

Comments

AAP

Freshened since return. Experienced campaigner. Showed plenty of fight to secure victory at Eidsvold first up. Shapes as a major player again.

ILB

Did a good job when winning by 3/4L last time at Eidsvold. Will be motoring home late. Good chance at a nice price.

Landed a narrow success in a handicap back down to 6½f (Eidsvold) four weeks ago, ending losing run; poor record second up off a break so one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Solid effort when winning by 3/4L last start at Eidsvold. Can go through the gears. Good chance of taking this out.

5Air We GoJ: Jade Metcalfe·T: P J Wallace155.5kg1 3 6 1 918: 5-2-2$12.00$3.00

Career

18: 5-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 2-1-0
Second-up
3: 2-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Gympie
1: 1-0-0
Track Stanthorpe
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1110m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 3-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 2-1-0

Last starts

9Stanthorpe1000m17 Oct 2026 · OPEN HCP · GOOD35.05L
1Gympie1030m10 Oct 2026 · BM70 · GOOD-16.76
6Toowoomba1000m26 Sept 2026 · BM70 · GOOD42.26L
3Goondiwindi1000m5 Sept 2026 · BM651L
1Sunshine Coast1000m19 July 2026 · BM65 · SOFT5-0.1
8Eagle Farm1000m1 July 2026 · BM70 · SOFT55.1L
1Sunshine Coast850m23 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(9)-6.2
7Eagle Farm1000m25 Mar 2026 · BM68 · GOOD45.9L

Insights

Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 19%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Started $5.50 when safely held in Open company at Stanthorpe. Prefer away from heavy. Well into preparation now, could get into the placings.

ILB

Jumped at $3.60 and moderate showing when 9th last start at Stanthorpe but drawn the rails. 2 wins from 5 starts have come on soft ground. Strong claims.

Behind Milton Road when finishing ninth over 5f at Stanthorpe (handicap) 14 days ago; career record shows his ability to win (wins-runs record of 5-18); winner of a handicap two starts ago so too soon to write him off; entitled to respect.

RSIS

Started at 13/5 and below par when 9th last time at Stanthorpe but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Gets some weight relief. Has a good chance.

6Galway HusslerScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
C & K Geran striking at just 7%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Kayla Barker 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 30%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 40% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Failed to threaten at Eidsvold. Ticks the track and distance win box. Can play a role.

ILB

Odds of $16.00 and unimpressive effort when 9th last time at Eidsvold.

RSIS

Started 15/1 and disappointing effort when 9th last time at Eidsvold.

7This Is OneJ: William Galloway·T: K R Kemp754kg3 7 5 11 1140: 8-5-4$3.20$1.34

Career

40: 8-5-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
7: 0-2-1
Second-up
6: 0-0-1
Third-up
6: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 3-0-0
Track Toowoomba
14: 3-3-1
Track Gatton
1: 0-1-0
Track Dalby
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
19: 6-1-1
Going Unknown
2: 2-0-0
Going Good
29: 6-4-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Doomben1200m17 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 78 · GOOD415.38L
11Toowoomba1200m26 Sept 2026 · BM80 · GOOD410.65L
5Doomben1110m12 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 78 · GOOD44.4L
7Roma1200m28 Mar 2026 · HCP · GOOD7.5L
3Gold Coast1100m14 Mar 2026 · BM78 · SOFT71L
1Miles1200m7 Feb 2026 · HCP-10.4
6Doomben1200m17 Jan 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD35.5L
4Warwick1200m26 Dec 2025 · OPEN · GOOD35.62L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Forwardly placed, retreated at Doomben over this journey. Usually prominent. One for multiples.

ILB

Odds of $151.00 and was well beaten when 11th last time at Doomben but up against a less competitive field. Has early speed and positions nicely. This won't be easy.

Last of 11 at Doomben 14 days ago; track has proven suitable before; this is his level.

RSIS

Started at 150/1 and struggled with the pace when 11th last time at Doomben but stepping down to a lower level. Should jump out and bowl along.

8MamaraganJ: Stephanie Tierney·T: Kym Afford554kg5 3 2 1 866: 4-8-11$21.00$3.70

Career

66: 4-8-11

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
9: 2-1-2
Second-up
7: 1-2-0
Third-up
7: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
6: 0-0-1
Track Roma
6: 0-1-0
Track Barcaldine
1: 0-0-0
Track Chinchilla
2: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1030m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1212m
1: 0-1-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
34: 2-6-5
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-1

Last starts

8Kilcoy1200m6 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD44.36L
1Gympie1170m19 Sept 2026 · BM60-1.32
2Bundaberg1090m5 Sept 2026 · HCP2.5L
3Gympie1030m22 Aug 2026 · BM65 · GOOD4.6L
5Roma1200m1 Aug 2026 · HCP8.8L
2Bundaberg1212m25 July 2026 · BM65 · GOOD2.9L
4Roma1000m11 July 2026 · HCP4.3L
11Kilcoy1200m20 June 2026 · BM65 · SOFT59.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -46% POT in their L100 Races
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely at Kilcoy over this journey at $21. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Started at $21.00 and weakened under pressure when 8th last start at Kilcoy but will appreciate the drop in weight. Does take a while to get into stride. Looking at others.

Last of eight at Kilcoy three weeks ago; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and weakened to finish 8th last run at Kilcoy but gets a reduction in weight. Likely to get back in the run.

9Russian SubJ: Jess Emmerson·T: H R Richardson654kg3 5 8 5 438: 4-9-7$5.00$1.70

Career

38: 4-9-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 0-2-0
Second-up
5: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-1
Track Doomben
10: 1-3-3
Track Gold Coast
4: 1-0-0
Track Ipswich
8: 2-3-0
Distance 1350m
6: 2-2-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
27: 3-9-6
Going Soft
9: 1-0-1
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Eidsvold1030m3 Oct 2026 · BM602.59L
5Goondiwindi1000m5 Sept 2026 · BM652.5L
8Warwick1500m10 Mar 2026 · BM70 · GOOD410.7L
5Ipswich1350m26 Feb 2026 · 3UP CLASS 6 SW · GOOD42.6L
3Dalby1400m30 Jan 2026 · BM70 · GOOD32.9L
8Ipswich1200m3 Jan 2026 · CL4 · GOOD44.2L
5Gold Coast1000m13 Dec 2025 · 3UP CL4-SW · GOOD34.3L
2Dalby800m2 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial0.4L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jess Emmerson 52% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Key Jockey
Positive
Jess Emmerson winning at 35% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Eidsvold. Two of his wins were this distance. One for multiples.

ILB

Started $6.00 and came in 4th last time at Eidsvold. Jess Emmerson is a key engagement. Has claims.

Respectable effort over 5f at Eidsvold (handicap) 28 days ago; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.

RSIS

Odds of 5/1 and came in 4th last run at Eidsvold. Jess Emmerson is a suitable booking. Expecting a strong showing.

10Miss De MediciJ: Kenji Yoshida·T: R G Lipp354kg4 1 11 5 719: 4-2-1$7.00$2.20

Career

19: 4-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 2-0-0
Track Dalby
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
3: 1-1-0
Distance 860m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
13: 3-2-1
Going Soft
6: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Toowoomba1300m17 Oct 2026 · BM65 · SOFT55.55L
5Warwick1200m24 Sept 2026 · BM68 · GOOD32.4L
11Doomben1350m12 Sept 2026 · BM72 · GOOD44.5L
1Toowoomba1300m29 Aug 2026 · BM75 · GOOD4-0.9
4Dalby1200m11 Aug 2026 · CL3 · GOOD43.4L
2Warwick1100m4 Aug 2026 · CL4 · GOOD40.3L
4Ipswich1100m16 July 2026 · CL4 · GOOD42L
3Toowoomba925m23 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.7L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $5 when unable to threaten at Toowoomba. Nicely weighted. Well into preparation now, worth another look.

ILB

Jumped at $5.00 and struggled with the pace when 7th last time at Toowoomba. Looks to be in trouble.

Seventh of eight beaten 6l at Toowoomba over 6½f (handicap) 14 days ago; career wins-runs record of 4-19; easy to oppose.

RSIS

Started 4/1 and was well beaten when 7th last run at Toowoomba.

Odds correct as at Sat 31 Oct, 3:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 13 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races