Shortest win price
Botanica (8)
3.30
Welcome to Dalby for the Wr Cranes benchmark 62 handicap over 1400m on a soft 5 track under fine skies, scheduled for 4:40 pm AEDT. The win market lines up with Snugg heading calculations closely followed by Botanica, Drialle, and Standlee holding down the front of the betting order. It is a competitive country field where local punters will be keen to dissect the form lines across a mixed bag of seasoned gallopers and backmarkers.
Drialle carries the top weight of 64kg from barrier 7 for trainer Renita Beaton and jockey William Galloway, coming off a strong leading win at Kilcoy over 1500m where he responded well. The stable is going nicely and the combination commands respect despite the big impost. Standlee jumps from barrier 2 with Hannah Richardson steering for T J Dougall, bringing a solid third at the Gold Coast over 1724m and a prior win at Warwick. Snugg is drawn in barrier 6 with Nozi Tomizawa up, looking to build on a fast-finishing third at Ipswich over 1680m in what is a test in rain-affected going.
Further down the order, Botanica starts from barrier 8 for trainer Ravyn Warzecha and jockey Stephanie Tierney, having faded at Eagle Farm last time out but boasting early speed suited to this circuit. With speed maps showing Drialle and Botanica likely pushing forward as leaders alongside on-pace runners Airswing and Bitoftheblarney, expect a tactical affair where the backmarkers like Standlee and Snugg will be looking to unleash late sectionals if the pace up front suits.
Shortest win price
Botanica (8)
3.30
Most career wins
Thief By Night
8-5-5 from 56 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Drialle · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 75%
Standlee · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Snugg · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Airswing · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Career
40: 7-7-5
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-3-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-1
Track Kilcoy
3: 2-1-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1350m
7: 0-1-2
Distance 1500m
5: 2-1-0
Going Good
22: 3-3-4
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
16: 3-4-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 75%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 22% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Led, responded strongly to score in small field at Kilcoy. Can dictate. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Major player here despite big impost.
ILB
Controlled the speed when winning by 3 1/4L last run at Kilcoy and showing improvement in recent outings. Should come to hand quickly. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Comfortably landed six-runner handicap at Kilcoy three weeks ago; rates a likely contender.
RSIS
Led and controlled the pace to win by a margin of 3 1/4L last start at Kilcoy and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Betting is the best guide.
Career
43: 6-7-5
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
8: 1-1-1
Second-up
7: 0-3-2
Third-up
7: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
6: 1-1-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Rockhampton
5: 1-1-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1630m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
21: 3-3-4
Going Soft
8: 1-0-0
Going Synthetic
13: 2-4-1
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
Sound but non-threatening effort at Toowoomba. Unknown in wet. Goes into wider exotics.
ILB
Came in 4th last start at Toowoomba.
RP
Fair effort when beaten 3½l, finishing fourth of eight over 6½f at Toowoomba (handicap) 14 days ago; shouldn't be too far away as shown some signs of promise.
RSIS
Ran 4th last start at Toowoomba.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 5.5kg from LS run
AAP
On a quick back-up. Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Charleville. Strikes a stronger field.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Looked good when 2nd last time at Charleville and form has been improving over recent runs.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Did well when 2nd last start at Charleville and form has been improving over recent runs.
Career
18: 4-2-6
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Beaudesert
2: 1-0-1
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
15: 3-2-6
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
AAP
Found enough to place in small field at Gold Coast over longer assignment. Placed only other run at Dalby. Makes strong appeal.
ILB
Put in a competitive run when placing 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last time at Gold Coast and drawn nicely. Will be dropping in distance. Definitely worth considering.
RP
A proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 4-18; solid effort 21 days ago at Gold Coast upped to 1m½f; is a player.
RSIS
Rattled home nicely into 3rd last run at Gold Coast and will try to take advantage of the draw. Shows very good closing pace. Going well of late. Should go close.
Career
14: 3-3-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 0-0-1
Track Gatton
2: 1-0-0
Track Dalby
5: 1-2-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 3-2-2
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Nozi Tomizawa 28% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Got back, cut loose late to fill the minors at Ipswich. First test in rain-affected going. A distance specialist. Back to a country Benchmark 62 and warrants attention.
ILB
Good effort when placing 3rd beaten by close to 3L last time at Ipswich and strong performer at this distance. Has good finishing speed. Worth a lot of thought in this race.
RP
A respectable third of ten at Ipswich over 1m½f (handicap) 16 days ago; this C&D holds no fears; a leading contender.
RSIS
Finished with intent when 3rd last time at Ipswich and strong performer at this distance. Should be swooping on the field late. Gets a solid chance here.
Career
19: 3-3-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 2-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
4: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1666m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 0-2-0
Going Good
8: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 69%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Steven A Hardy in good form, out performing market 63%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 45% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fresh. Comfortably beaten at Gold Coast over this journey. Could get into the placings.
ILB
Folded up in the straight when 8th last start at Gold Coast but drawn well. Will be positive in the run early. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Beaten a fair way when eighth at Gold Coast 28 days ago; subpar since successful in a handicap at Walcha in February; easy enough to take on given the strong opposition here.
RSIS
Didn't attack the line when 8th last run at Gold Coast but gets the perfect draw. Has early pace and positions nicely. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
39: 3-8-4
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 1-1-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-1
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Emerald
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1347m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
3: 0-1-1
Going Good
15: 1-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Jess Emmerson 52% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 132%
Key Jockey
Positive
Jess Emmerson winning at 35% POT in last 100 rides
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
AAP
Let-up (48-days). Long winning drought. Ridden back and never a factor this course over longer test. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Let up. Was $13.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last time at this track and back in trip. Jockey Jess Emmerson is an asset. Has some claims.
RP
Form is hit and miss and infrequent winner; last of nine over 1m2f here (handicap) last month; meeting some horses in good form and one to tread carefully with.
RSIS
Freshened for this. Started 12/1 and faded to finish 9th last time at the track and down in distance. Jess Emmerson is an advantage. Not at all out of this race.
Career
23: 2-2-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
2: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
10: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
5: 1-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-0-2
Going Soft
13: 1-2-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 6kg weight here
AAP
Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Eagle Farm first run back. Strips fitter and takes a 1.5kg claim. Awkwardly drawn but has enough speed. Capable of making an impact if he gets the breaks.
ILB
Odds of $26.00 and didn't find the line when 8th last time at Eagle Farm but lining up against easier rivals. Expecting to settle positively. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.
RP
Not the most consistent of horses lately and hasn't won for a while; beaten eighth of nine at Eagle Farm over 6f (handicap) last Wednesday; probably unlikely to trouble the principals as meeting a number of horses who are in good form.
RSIS
Was 25/1 and didn't threaten when 8th last start at Eagle Farm but competing at a lower class. Shows good early pace. Has more weight to carry.
Career
21: 4-6-1
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 2-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Esk
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-1
Track Goondiwindi
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1300m
3: 1-2-0
Distance 1400m
8: 2-1-1
Going Good
10: 0-3-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 2-1-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Todd Banks current POT is 24% below Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 72% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Dalby
AAP
Fresh. Started $12 when safely held in Restricted 58 company at Sunshine Coast. Form solid this distance. Can play a role.
ILB
At $12.00 gave away some ground when 11th last time at Sunshine Coast. Prefers to settle towards the rear.
RP
11th of 12 over 1m at Sunshine Coast (handicap) four weeks ago; course specialist (three wins from six); unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as this could be a hot race; also engaged in race 7 at Dalby and race 1 at Toowoomba.
RSIS
Started 11/1 and lost ground in the run home when 11th last start at Sunshine Coast. Likely to get back.
Career
56: 8-5-5
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-1
Track Gatton
4: 1-0-0
Track Kilcoy
1: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
6: 1-2-1
Distance 1050m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
13: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 2-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Rod Hilton striking at just 10%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Refused to shirk task in Stanthorpe Cup (Bm60) at Stanthorpe over this trip. This looks a sterner test.
ILB
In the money when 2nd last start at Stanthorpe and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Place claims.
RP
String of consistent efforts of late; a winner over C&D; went close when runner-up at Stanthorpe two weeks ago.
RSIS
In the money when 2nd last time at Stanthorpe and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races.
Career
23: 3-2-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
2: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-1-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 1-2-1
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Failed to flatter at Toowoomba. Good second only time this t/d. Can fill the minors here.
ILB
Started $8.00 and sub-standard effort when 6th last start at Toowoomba but dropping weight. Should go very close.
RP
This is his grade; missed the frame (beaten 8l into sixth) at Toowoomba over 1m (handicap) four weeks ago; also engaged in race 7 at Dalby.
RSIS
Odds of 7/1 and disappointing display when 6th last time at Toowoomba but gets a reduction in weight. Expecting a strong showing.
Career
39: 4-1-5
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 1-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Gold Coast
4: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
5: 1-0-1
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
22: 2-0-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Solid rally into the placings at Stanthorpe second-up. Acid test now.
ILB
Placed 3rd last time at Stanthorpe. Been in the placegetters each start this preparation. Likely to get back. Could be in the mix.
RP
Not far behind Thief By Night when third at Stanthorpe 14 days ago.
RSIS
Finished 3rd last time at Stanthorpe. Has run into the placings at every start of late. Might be ridden for luck.