Shortest win price
Prince Of Prophets (1)
2.65
We're at Coffs Harbour for the Remembering Rowan Wicks Benchmark 58 over 1400 metres on a Soft 5 track. Who Loves A Harley is shortest in the win market, with Prince Of Prophets next, followed by Star Of Winston and Highland Hustle. It's a tight affair among the early order, which tells you this race has genuine competition. The race is set up with Highland Hustle drawn to lead from barrier one, Who Loves A Harley sitting offpace from three, while Star Of Winston and Spirit Fox will operate midfield. Prince Of Prophets is a backmarker plotting from barrier two.
Prince Of Prophets tells an intriguing yarn. Trained by Sally Taylor and ridden by Grady Spokes, the five-year-old has a two-from-fifteen career record but closed with raking strides last start at this venue in a Cl2 Handicap after a lengthy absence, beating CL2 company at Grafton before that. The AAP notes suggest the freshening worked — form is sound and there's plenty of weight to carry, yet the mare shapes as right in this. At 100 IRD, she looks well-rated. The snag is the Taylor and Spokes combination is losing form heavily. Star Of Winston, by contrast, is a genuine beacon. Ridden by Grace Palmer for Jason Reilly, the four-year-old won two from her last three at this venue, most recently overhauling them for a strong win at Grafton over 1420 metres on Good 4. She's earned a 44-day let-up and carries a big impost, but the AAP clearly sees her as a major player. At 80 IRD and with a track record of two wins from four at Grafton, the form line sings.
Who Loves A Harley broke maiden at Grafton on 13 October, a handy achievement on Heavy 8, and drew into this as favourite despite a shocking nine-length ninth at Newcastle last time. The Courtney Bellamy-D L Matts partnership is struggling badly, but Who Loves A Harley is lightly weighted and should improve. Highland Hustle resuming after 17 weeks is a wild card — the latest trial at Grafton was a pipe-opener, and under less weight from barrier one, a fresh run in this line-up could suit. Our fancy leans toward Star Of Winston as the form stronghold, though Prince Of Prophets at longer odds presents an intriguing roughie if the quick back-up from Grafton holds up.
Shortest win price
Prince Of Prophets (1)
2.65
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Prince Of Prophets · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Star Of Winston · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Who Loves A Harley · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -66% POT in their L100 Races
Spirit Fox · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Career
15: 2-2-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-1-0
Track Moree
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-2-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
2nd Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when second up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4kg weight here
AAP
Freshened after return. Form sound. Closed with raking strides in the Hcp (C2) this venue after lengthy absence. Plenty of weight but right in this.
ILB
Produced an eye catching run when 3rd beaten by 3/4L last start at Grafton. Finishes off strongly. Strong claims and hard to beat.
RP
Has winning track form; produced a string of consistent efforts; good effort when close up over 6f at Grafton (handicap) 36 days ago; one to be interested in if building on last performance.
RSIS
Good performance to run into 3rd beaten by 3/4L last start at Grafton. Has a great burst of pace late. Winning hope.
Career
8: 2-1-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
4: 2-1-0
Track Newcastle
3: 0-0-1
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1420m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Jason Reilly striking at just 5%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 309%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Let-up (44-days). Won two from last three this venue. Midfield, overhauled them for a strong win this venue. Major player here despite big impost.
ILB
Let up. Dashed home to win last run at Grafton. Grace Palmer and Jason Reilly are highly regarded when paired. Grace Palmer takes a large claim. Good chance at a nice price.
RP
Scored by a slim margin in a handicap at Grafton 44 days ago; very interesting.
RSIS
Back from a freshen up. Ran over the top of them when winning last start at Grafton. Jockey Grace Palmer is in top form for this stable. Large claim helps. One of the punters top hopes.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
5 weeks since last run. Great run at Coffs Harbour 13 Sep. Started $5.50 when safely held in Benchmark 66 company at Port Macquarie. Back to weaker company.
ILB
Started $5.50 and not up to scratch when 8th last run at Port Macquarie but will be well suited at the distance. Has more weight to carry.
RSIS
Started 9/2 and below expectations when 8th last run at Port Macquarie but will be well suited at the trip. Has to carry more weight this time.
Career
6: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 1-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1010m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1181m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1218m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -66% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Courtney Bellamy winning at 2% POT in last 100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Broke maiden at Grafton 13 Oct. Failed to threaten at Beaumont. Look for an improved effort here.
ILB
At $17.00 lost ground in the run home when 9th last run at Newcastle. In top form this campaign. Good potential.
RP
Finished ninth, beaten 9l, (Beaumont) last week; he knows the task at hand and looks a contender.
RSIS
Started 16/1 and was well beaten when 9th last time at Newcastle. Has been a model of consistency since returning from a break. Looks a nice proposition.
Career
21: 1-3-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
2: 0-1-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Track Dundalk
3: 1-1-1
Distance 2004m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 1-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
AAP
Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Port Macquarie second-up. Stripping fitter, not out of this.
ILB
Came in 6th last start at Port Macquarie. Expecting to settle positively.
RP
Infrequent winner; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Finished 6th last run at Port Macquarie. Should race on the pace.
Career
17: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
3: 0-0-1
Track Casino
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1536m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 1-2-2
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Chris O'Reilly in good form, out performing market 60%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 46% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
Long winless run. Gave good sight filling the minors at Lismore. Void of early speed and needs the breaks to fall his way. Needs to lift again here.
ILB
Improved to place when 3rd last start at Lismore and showing improvement in recent outings. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Expect a forward showing.
RP
Third, not beaten that far (20-1) at Lismore over 7½f (handicap) two weeks ago; a while since his last success; hard enough to fancy as meeting a number of horses who are in good form.
RSIS
Zipped home into 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L last start at Lismore and form has been improving over recent runs. Blinkers go off for the first time. Very tidy performer.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Chased in a good effort at Lismore second-up. Home track advantage but has a tricky draw to contend with this time. Ordinary stats at this track and trip. Stripping fitter, goes into wider exotics.
ILB
Was strong late when 2nd last start at Lismore.
RSIS
Ran home into 2nd beaten by almost 4L last start at Lismore.
Career
20: 2-0-2
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
7: 1-0-1
Track Coffs Harbour
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1415m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1590m
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-0-1
Going Good
9: 2-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 129%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
RP
Easy to oppose.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Resuming (12-weeks). Fresh winner at Grafton last campaign but best viewed as a rough place hope fresh in this line-up.
ILB
First up and made every post a winner to win by a margin of over 4 1/2L first up last preparation at Grafton on a heavy track. Drawn the rails.
RSIS
Resuming and led throughout to win by just over 4 1/2L resuming last preparation at Grafton. Drawn well. Back to a shorter distance. Will appreciate the drop in weight.
Career
21: 2-3-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-1-0
Track Taree
2: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1590m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 2-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-3-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 59%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (17-weeks). Latest trial was pipe-opener. Drawn to effect and under less weight. Can challenge fresh in this line-up.
ILB
Resuming from spell. Was $10.00 and looked outclassed when 8th last run at Port Macquarie but has a good draw. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Watch the betting.
RP
Finished last of eight over 1m1f at Port Macquarie (handicap) four months ago; track has proven suitable before; useful at this level.
RSIS
Fresh today after a break. Started 9/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last run at Port Macquarie but has a good draw. Back in trip. Has some claims.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Just missed at Ballina 4 Oct. Handy but dropped away tamely at Lismore. Usually prominent. Has some claims.
ILB
At $7.00 ran 4th last start at Lismore.
RSIS
At 6/1 ran 4th last run at Lismore.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
AAP
Failed to threaten in rain affected going at Lismore. Ordinary stats at this track and trip. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Game effort to win narrowly last start at Murwillumbah on a heavy track.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Was fighting out the finish when winning by 1/2L last run at Murwillumbah.
Career
17: 1-4-4
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-1
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1181m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 0-2-2
Going Good
6: 1-2-2
Jockey Booking
Negative
Violet Soulsby current POT is 39% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
AAP
Winner too strong but ran on for the minors at Lismore. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Came on strongly to finish 3rd when beaten by more than 5 1/2L last run at Lismore.
RP
No reward for a string of creditable efforts of late; frequent visitor to this track; comfortably beaten despite finishing third at Lismore over 6½f (handicap) last month.
RSIS
Zipped home into 3rd last start at Lismore.