Shortest win price
Stormy Martini (14)
1.75
Welcome to Coffs Harbour for race six on the card, the Crjc Life Members Super Mdn Plate over 1200m. The track is rated a soft five under fine skies, and punters are sizing up a tricky maiden field. Looking at the early win market order, Stormy Martini holds the top spot as the shortest runner, closely followed by Magic Snitzel, Opine, and Last Metaphor shaping up right behind them in the betting ring.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Stormy Martini comes in following a strong debut effort at Port Macquarie where they finished second when supported, suggesting plenty of benefit from that race experience. Opine makes a strong case in this field off a solid run in a Super Mdn at Coffs Harbour and a trial placing at Lismore, though they were further back at Port Macquarie last time. Meanwhile, Last Metaphor brings some encouraging recent form into the yarn after closing the race off solidly at Taree following a let-up, making them highly rated in this line-up.
Further down the speed maps and wider market, runners like The Devil's Elbow will look to push forward from barrier two as the leader, while Magic Snitzel aims to improve after settling handy at the Gold Coast. With a mix of on-pace runners and backmarkers like Le Starcell, this 1200m test sets up an intriguing puzzle for punters trying to find the winner.
Shortest win price
Stormy Martini (14)
1.75
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Mama Tried · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Opine · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Universal Energy · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 31% better than Career Avg.
Le Starcell · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 14%
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Well held but far from disgraced on debut on a soft deck at Port Macquarie 25 Oct. Leaning towards others.
ILB
Jumped at $8.00 and finished 4th last run at Port Macquarie but was on debut last time. Respect the betting.
RP
Split Stormy Martini and Universal Energy at Port Macquarie in a handicap; needs to make above-average progress.
RSIS
At 7/1 came in 4th last start at Port Macquarie but was a debutant last start. Watch the betting.
Career
4: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-1
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1543m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
AAP
Racing with consistency. Outgunned but did enough at Eagle Farm for new trainer. Better conditioned. Can challenge again.
ILB
Hit the line well when 3rd beaten by just short of 7L last start at Eagle Farm and showing consistent performance in races. Has strong claims.
RP
Winless in four starts but has shown promise with second his top showing; well held third of nine over 5f at Eagle Farm (maiden) 21 days ago; probably unlikely to trouble the principals as this could be a hot race.
RSIS
Hit the line well when 3rd beaten by nearly 7L last run at Eagle Farm and good career start. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw. Has strong claims.
Career
5: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Solid run Super Mdn at Coffs Harbour 7 Aug. Settled back and didn't figure at Port Macquarie. Makes a strong case in this field.
ILB
Started at $4.00 and below par when 10th last run at Port Macquarie. Capable of bouncing back. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Definitely worth considering.
RP
Not yet off the mark in five attempts although has finished second; didn't live up to market expectations at 3-1 when tenth at Port Macquarie last month; others more likely given many of his rivals are in good form.
RSIS
At 3/1 lacked competitiveness when 10th last start at Port Macquarie. Can make a comeback. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Has a good chance.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Winner packed too many punches but he kept on bravely at Gold Coast Poly when second-up. Tactical speed, inside draw. Major player.
ILB
On a quick back up. Did well when 3rd last run at Gold Coast Poly and gets a favourable barrier. In top racing shape since resuming from a spell.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd last run at Gold Coast Poly and can find a nice position from the draw.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1015m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 31% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Luke Rolls 48% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Luke Rolls in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 48%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Well back and made some minor headway but passing mainly tired rivals at Port Macquarie. Place appeal.
ILB
Started at $5.50 and ran 6th last start at Port Macquarie. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Has some claims.
RP
Beaten 7l in sixth last month at Port Macquarie in a handicap; needs new headgear to provoke some improvement; looks opposable.
RSIS
At 9/2 finished 6th last time at Port Macquarie. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
2: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Nozi Tomizawa 28% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Second campaign (24-weeks). Maturity upside. Ex S B Lee in QLD. Placed at Grafton on debut last campaign while trialling 2 times ahead of return. Can make a positive start for new trainer.
ILB
First up and did well to run 3rd beaten by 3L first up last preparation at Grafton. Coming to a new trainer and facing a weaker group of contenders. Prefer a race with easier competition.
RP
Last of 12 in a Group 2 at Doomben in May; first start for stable; this is a step down in class but others more persuasive.
RSIS
Resuming and claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd beaten by 3L resuming last preparation at Grafton. First start for a new trainer and challenged by weaker competitors.
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
Trials (5:0-2-0). $130k purchase. Full brother to G2 winner Kristilli. Betting may provide a clearer picture.
ILB
Initial appearance 3yo by Hellbent for trainer Jason Reilly. Interesting to see the winkers go on for the first time. Watch betting.
RP
Related to multiple race winner Hot Press (6f-1m); sire's stock can be smart performers; the only newcomer; could be hard to beat with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Hellbent 3yo trained by Jason Reilly on debut. Interesting to see the cheekpieces go on for the first time.
Career
35: 0-1-4
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
2: 0-0-1
Track Grafton
5: 0-0-2
Distance 1720m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
17: 0-1-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 0-0-2
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 59%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (15-weeks). Long time a maiden. Trialled at Grafton but hard to see threatening.
ILB
Back after a spell. Jumped at $26.00 and was outmatched when 5th last start at Grafton but coming back in distance. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 35 runs. Cannot recommend as a betting proposition.
RP
Winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 35; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. At 25/1 was outmuscled late when 5th last start at Grafton but dropping in distance. Still in maiden grade after 35 starts.
Career
8: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Violet Soulsby current POT is 39% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 31%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 61% in L100 rides
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Handy but couldn't deliver this track over longer test. Coming back in distance. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Jumped at $15.00 and weakened under pressure when 5th last run at Grafton and down in trip. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Appears tested in this.
RP
Yet to open her account after eight starts; finished last of five over 1m½f at Grafton (maiden) last month; this is competitive and others are preferred.
RSIS
Started 14/1 and faded away to finish 5th last start at Grafton and back to a shorter distance. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time.
Career
6: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1014m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 81%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Mediocre performance after settling handy at Gold Coast. Rough place prospect only.
ILB
Started at $7.50 and couldn't maintain the pace throughout when 5th last start at Gold Coast. Blinkers go off for the first time. Can win.
RP
Definitely of interest.
RSIS
Started 13/2 and outmatched in the final stages of the race when 5th last time at Gold Coast. Blinkers go off for the first time. Strong prospects in this race.
Career
2: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-1-0
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Encouraging debut placing Mdn Plate at Grafton 29 Sep. Ranged up but punctured late at Lismore at second outing. Has some scope.
ILB
Started at $5.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last run at Lismore. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide barrier. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Not beaten that far (Lismore) last month in a handicap; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
At 4/1 couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last run at Lismore. Has the pace to overcome the wide draw. Respect the betting.
Career
4: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Taree
3: 0-1-1
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1007m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Let-up (65-days). Showing some ability. Got back, closed the race off solidly at Taree. Highly rated in this line-up.
ILB
First run back after a break. Made considerable ground when 2nd last start at Taree and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Needs to improve.
RP
Not beaten far when runner-up at Taree in August in a handicap; some promise; closest she has come to winning after four starts was a second; rates a likely contender.
RSIS
Fresh from a break. Displayed good finishing pace when 2nd beaten by 2L last time at Taree and displaying improvement over the past few runs.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Trials (2:1-0-0). $60k purchase. Dam won two races. Showed good improvement to win her latest trial at Lismore. Odds may prove best guide here.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Competitive effort when 2nd last run at Ballina and having second race start.
RSIS
On a quick back up. In the money when 2nd last start at Ballina and was on debut last time.
Career
1: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 14%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Left a decent impression on debut at Port Macquarie when supported 25 Oct. Benefits from the experience. Right in the mix again.
ILB
Honest race when 2nd last start at Port Macquarie and having second career run. The wide draw shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Definite claims.
RP
Finished in front of two of these at Port Macquarie when runner-up (sent off second favourite) on her debut at 14-5 last month; poses a threat if confirming promise shown first time up.
RSIS
Honest race when 2nd last run at Port Macquarie and having second race start. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall. Rates as one of the key chances.
Career
2: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Emerald
1: 0-0-0
Track Bluff
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Pat Randall striking at just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -64% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 50%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 61% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Returns for second campaign (17-weeks). Ex Ms G Bell in QLD. Two runs to date ordinary. Prefer to see.
ILB
Resuming after a break. Finished 3rd last time at Bluff and has a nice advantage with a good barrier. Should muster plenty of early toe. Change in trainer. Prefer in something easier.
RP
.
RSIS
Resumes from a break. Was competitive when 3rd last start at Bluff and drawn the rails. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Backmarker
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4kg more than LS
AAP
Form to date uninspiring. Finished out the back at Port Macquarie for new stable as a despised outsider. Needs a major turnaround.
ILB
On a short back up. Amongst the placegetters when 3rd last start at Murwillumbah. Does take a while to get into stride.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Competitive effort when 3rd last start at Murwillumbah on a heavy rated track. Expected to settle towards the rear.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 60%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 60%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 46% POT in L100 Runners
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 991 day break (> 300 days)
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (141-weeks). Ex Owen Glue in NSW. Well down the track this course on debut at huge odds. Further conditioned with 2 trials. Looking to others.
ILB
Back after a 141 week spell. Didn't attack the line when 7th last time at Grafton but fitter for debut run. Interesting gear change of tongue tie on first time. Unlikely to feature.
RP
Couldn't land a blow on her debut in Grafton maiden over 5½f at 100-1 in 2024; entitled to be better for that run; first start for new yard.
RSIS
First run back from a 141 week break. Tailed off to finish 7th last time at Grafton but having second career run. Coming to a new trainer.
Career
9: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
3: 0-0-0
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1320m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 60%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 60%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 46% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Had Chances
Negative
Still in maiden grade after several runs
AAP
Resuming (32-weeks). Unplaced in all 9 runs to date. Latest trial work was solid but hard to make a case.
ILB
Resumes after a break of 32 weeks. Started at $81.00 and basic showing when 4th last start at Ballina. Yet to trouble the judge in all runs. Cannot have in this race.
RP
Finished tailed off at Ballina over 7f (maiden) in March; returns from a break here.
Career
9: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
2: 0-0-1
Track Grafton
5: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1410m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1536m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Let-up (58-days). Ex Stephen & Jordan Lee. Trained here now. Unable to make an impression this track over longer assignment. Prefer to see.
ILB
Freshened for this. Jumped at $61.00 and tailed off when 6th last time at Grafton and dropping in distance. First race for a new trainer. Not interested.
RP
Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Grafton (beaten just under 5l) two months ago in a maiden; runs for a new trainer here.
RSIS
Let up. Started 60/1 and looked flat when 6th last start at Grafton and down in distance. Blinkers go off for the first time but rises in weight.