Shortest win price
Latin Lights (2)
2.40
Welcome to Coffs Harbour for the Jacaranda Crown, a mares benchmark 58 contest over 1600m on a soft 5 track with fine weather overhead. The local punters have sorted out an interesting early betting market for this middle-distance test. Topping the win market order is Latin Lights, heading up proceedings nicely from Highwire Girl sitting right there next in line. Hotzino holds down the third spot in early betting discussions, closely followed by Tara Koda, Ghayoor, Elite Delight, Bright The Sun, and Our Silver Linings rounding out the order.
Looking closer at the form lines for the market principals, Latin Lights jumps from barrier 1 for trainer M J Dunn with Andrew Mallyon in the saddle, boasting a consistent career record and coming off a solid grinding effort for the minors at Lismore over 1536m. Highwire Girl draws barrier 6 with Luke Rolls steering for trainer J D Shelton, showing she handles the wet conditions well after a battling runner-up display at Lismore last time out. Another key player near the top of calculations is Hotzino from Jason Reilly's yard, coming off a 52-day let-up following a eye-catching closing fourth over 1618m right here at Coffs Harbour.
We also have a few interesting tactical angles to weigh up across the map. The speed groups show Latin Lights and Highwire Girl listed as leaders, suggesting they might look to control things early from their inside draws, while backmarkers like Tara Koda and Ghayoor will be searching for pace in the race. Tara Koda brings some local venue form into the mix after chasing solidly here two starts back over 1410m before a midfield finish at Grafton. As always in these country mares races, it pays to weigh up the map and find the value amongst the contenders when they step out at 4:10 pm AEDT.
Shortest win price
Latin Lights (2)
2.40
Most career wins
Hotzino
3-4-4 from 31 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Leader
Latin Lights · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Bright The Sun · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hotzino · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Ghayoor · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Career
15: 2-0-3
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-2
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
3: 0-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
4: 2-0-1
Distance 1350m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1660m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-1
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 8kg now
AAP
Finished well held in the slosh at Sunshine Coast. Placed only other time here. Worth a look back in a country Benchmark 58.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Jumped at $5.00 and performed below standard when 8th last time at Gold Coast Poly. Jockey William Galloway and trainer Renita Beaton are usually competitive together.
RP
Finished eighth, beaten 6l, at Gold Coast over 7½f (handicap) yesterday; arguably the one to beat; held 2.0 entries Tuesday.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Started 4/1 and just average when 8th last start at Gold Coast Poly. Jockey William Galloway and trainer Renita Beaton are consistently competitive together.
Career
9: 1-3-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 1-1-0
Track Lismore
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1629m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-2-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 26%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Never far away. Kept grinding away for the minors at Lismore. Maps well. Looks a serious player.
ILB
Amongst the placegetters when 2nd last run at Lismore and drawn the rails. Should muster plenty of early toe. In fine form this preparation but has more weight to carry. Has to be in the finish.
RP
Was on the premises (second, beaten just over 2l) over 7½f at Lismore (handicap) two weeks ago; a previous winner here; running consistently; she shouldn't be far away.
RSIS
Was competitive when 2nd last run at Lismore and drawn nicely. Should muster plenty of early toe. In fine form lately but rising in weight. Strong claims.
Career
20: 2-2-5
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2226m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2230m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 3120m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-2
Going Good
12: 1-2-3
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Julie Pratten in good form, out performing market 36%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
First-up (15-weeks). Ex Stephen & Jordan Lee in NSW. Long winless run but could give some cheek at odds fresh in this company.
ILB
Fresh today after a break. Rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by 2 1/4L last start at Grafton but back to a shorter trip. Coming to a new trainer. Few more classier types in this race.
RP
A course winner; string of consistent efforts of late; ran encouragingly when 2½l third over 1m7½f at Grafton (handicap) four months ago; first run for trainer; latest effort was encouraging so is respected.
RSIS
Resuming. Ran on when 3rd beaten by 2 1/4L last start at Grafton but will be facing a significant drop in distance. Coming to a new trainer.
Career
17: 1-4-4
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Casino
1: 0-0-0
Track Inverell
1: 0-1-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1410m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1415m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1420m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
10: 0-2-2
Going Good
6: 1-2-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
AAP
Outgunned but did enough for third at $5.50 at Lismore. Ordinary stats at this track and trip. Can play a role if she gets the breaks.
ILB
Came on strongly when 3rd last time at Lismore.
RP
Not far behind Highwire Girl when third at Lismore in a handicap.
RSIS
Claimed a spot in the top three when 3rd beaten by more than 5 1/2L last run at Lismore.
Career
31: 3-4-4
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 1-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1540m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1262m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
15: 2-1-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
13: 1-3-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (52-days). Reasonably consistent. Went back, closed intently at Coffs Harbour. Can make her presence felt.
ILB
Freshened up. Started $6.00 and made up ground when 4th last time at this venue. Will be motoring home late. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Running consistently and she can be competitive at this level; fourth but only beaten less than a length 52 days ago; if she is able to build on her most recent effort then likely to be involved.
RSIS
Freshened up. At 5/1 closed off nicely when 4th last time at this track. Expected to be flashing home. Could feature here.
Career
6: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
2: 1-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-0
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Muswellbrook. Hard to make a case beyond the minors.
ILB
Odds of $91.00 and below par when 6th last time at Muswellbrook. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Needs to find a lot more.
RP
Others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Started 90/1 and disappointing effort when 6th last run at Muswellbrook. Likely to get back in the run.
Career
11: 1-3-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1320m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1420m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 1-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 31% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Luke Rolls 48% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Luke Rolls winning at 19% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
AAP
Well held by winner but good through line at Lismore second-up. Shown can handle the wet here. Sharper now, capable of making an impact.
ILB
Caught the eye when 2nd last time at Lismore. Should muster plenty of early speed. Could feature here.
RP
Runner-up, beaten just under 4l, at Lismore over 6½f (handicap) 17 days ago.
RSIS
Finished strongly when 2nd last time at Lismore. Displays good tactical pace. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
23: 2-3-2
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-2-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
6: 0-2-0
Track Casino
1: 0-0-0
Track Inverell
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1215m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1435m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
12: 1-3-1
Going Good
9: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 36 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Now 5 weeks between runs. Gave solid chase in a good effort this venue. Has some claims.
ILB
Odds of $13.00 and advanced late into 5th last time at Grafton. Should be swooping on the field late. Can take this out.
RP
A regular here; achieved each of her two career wins at Grafton; respectable fifth when close behind Turn Left at Grafton five weeks ago; makes limited appeal as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.
RSIS
Started 12/1 and showed some merit late when 5th last start at Grafton. Has a great burst of pace late. Definite claims.
Career
19: 1-2-4
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-2
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
2: 0-1-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1710m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
12: 1-1-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 39% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jett Newman 31% above market expected in L100 Rides
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Went home tamely at Port Macquarie at $18. Can make her presence felt.
ILB
Started at $18.00 and underperformed when 9th last start at Port Macquarie. Solid claims.
RP
Held when ninth of 13 at Port Macquarie over 1m1f (handicap) last month; possesses winning form at this track; others more likely as this could be a hot race.
RSIS
Started at 17/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 9th last start at Port Macquarie. Has claims.
Career
18: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1375m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1460m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
12: 1-2-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Violet Soulsby current POT is 39% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 61% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep
AAP
Just missed at Ballina 4 Oct. Had chance but didn't go on with it at Lismore. Good gate speed, soft draw. Not out of this.
ILB
Started at $7.00 and ran 4th last run at Lismore. Has plenty of early speed.
RP
Not disgraced when fourth over 7½f at Lismore (handicap) last month; this is competitive and unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Started 6/1 and ran 4th last time at Lismore. Will be positive in the run early.
Career
28: 2-2-3
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-1
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1310m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 2-1-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 67%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened. Long winning drought. Ordinary performance in small field at Tabulam. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Was $20.00 and average at best when 6th last time at Tabulam but going over more ground. Interesting gear change of tongue tie on first time. Prefer in something weaker.
RP
A long time since her last win and been struggling to make an impact; beaten 8l when sixth of seven over 5f at Tabulam (conditions race) last month; facing a testing assignment and others make more appeal; held an entry at Toowoomba Tuesday.
RSIS
Odds of 19/1 and fairly underwhelming when 6th last start at Tabulam but can find a nice position from the draw. Facing an increased distance.