Shortest win price
Atadcheeky (6)
2.40
The Remembering Shirley Kelly Cb Jacaranda Maiden Handicap unfolds at Coffs Harbour this afternoon at 2:25 pm AEDT over 1600 metres on a Soft 6 track in fine conditions. The win market has Atadcheeky shortest, with Sarmat next, followed by Prince Of Wants and Bravo Six. This is a maiden field where a well-placed runner keen to break through can shape the race. Atadcheeky carries a rating of 91, has been honest at his recent two starts—just missing by a whisker at Port Macquarie on the quick back-up—and figures to settle offpace before making a late bid. Sarmat, rated 100, brings form lines from Port Macquarie where he finished within striking distance at the same track and distance, though a blowout at his last start tempers the narrative. The form suggests this is genuinely open.
Bravo Six and Prince Of Wants will likely fight for midfield positioning. Bravo Six, rated 87, only recently joined a new stable and ran on late into the placings at this very track—that's a genuine positive. The jockey-trainer combo are outperforming market by 45 per cent, though his speed data hints at slower early splits on average, which could prove costly if the pace slackens. Prince Of Wants rated 84, just got run down by a winner too strong at Port Macquarie and rates a genuine player if distance suits the way his form is trending. The comment suggests a distance increase helps his chances. Both offer paths to victory if the race runs to script.
Up front, Jieba lines up from barrier 4 with Noriyuki Masuda aboard and maps as the leader. His stable is in form, outperforming market by 43 per cent, and the trainer sits at 31 per cent profit on turnover across the last hundred runners. Yet his career record offers scant encouragement and recent form figures read 3-4. The speedGroups suggest Jieba will likely control early tempo with Sarmat anchoring from the back. A view here is that Atadcheeky's offpace positioning and late-run pedigree, combined with his recent tight finishes, presents real value in a maiden field where acceleration matters as the track softens.
Shortest win price
Atadcheeky (6)
2.40
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Jieba · Positive
Stable In Form
Stable going well. Out performing market by 43%
Sarmat · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Bravo Six · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Prince Of Wants · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Casino
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 43%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Career
5: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 0-0-1
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1181m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Finished within striking distance Mdn Plate at Port Macquarie. Has placed here. Rates highly.
ILB
Odds of $10.00 and hit the line well when 4th last run at Port Macquarie and drawn nicely. Grady Spokes is in good form for this stable. Worth a lot of thought in this race.
RP
Appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; a close fourth over 7½f at Port Macquarie (maiden) when not far behind Prince Of Wants ten days ago; hard enough to fancy as running in what looks to be a hot race.
RSIS
Started at 9/1 and chased well when 4th last time at Port Macquarie and has a positive stall. Jockey Grady Spokes and trainer Brett Dodson are consistently competitive together. Winning chance.
Career
7: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-1-0
Track Albury
2: 0-0-1
Track Wagga
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1700m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Form to date sound. Ran on late into the placings this course for new stable. Looks suitably placed in this line-up.
ILB
Ran home into 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Grafton and gets the perfect barrier. Form has been improving over recent runs. One for the value hunters.
RP
Ran encouragingly when just over 1l runner-up over 1m½f at Grafton (maiden) last month; producing consistent form and has kicked on in his last couple of races; recent display was promising so likely to be a contender.
RSIS
Ran home into 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Grafton and drawn by the rails. Showing improvement in recent outings. Respect the betting.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Jockey Booking
Negative
Kyle Wilson-Taylor current POT is 27% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 34% in L100 rides
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Rarely far away. Settled midfield, ran on fairly without threatening at Beaumont. More ground a plus. This looks very achievable.
ILB
Started at $8.50 and moved through the field into 4th last run at Newcastle.
RSIS
Started at 15/2 and improved when 4th last run at Newcastle.
Career
6: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Port Macquarie
2: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1262m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1312m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Robert Agnew striking at just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -67% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 36% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong at Port Macquarie. Distance increase suits. Can have a major say if things pan out.
ILB
Finished amongst the placegetters when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time at Port Macquarie. Not hopeless.
RP
Went close when runner-up at Port Macquarie last month in a maiden; consistent lately and signs of improvement on last two runs; competitive shout as latest run was an encouraging one.
RSIS
Finished strongly when 2nd last start at Port Macquarie.
Career
12: 0-2-2
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
2: 0-1-0
Track Taree
8: 0-1-1
Track Tuncurry
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-2
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 24% lower than Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 34% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Honest performer. Just missed at Port Macquarie 10 Oct. Gave solid chase in a good effort at Taree. Major player here.
ILB
Started at $7.00 and chased well when 4th last run at Taree. Definite claims for punters.
RP
Still winless and defeats stacking up (12 on the bounce).
RSIS
Odds of 6/1 and made up ground when 4th last start at Taree. Solid prospects.
Career
4: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Grafton
3: 0-0-0
Track Casino
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1181m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 31% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Luke Rolls in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 47%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Career
13: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Ben Looker 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Limited
Negative
Yet to break through after 13 starts
AAP
Third run now in new stable/region. Rearward and made minor headway in the strung out finish this course second-up. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Started $81.00 and showed some merit late when 5th last time at Grafton. Couldn't have in this.
RP
Winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 13; close up behind Anderlyn when fifth at Grafton in a maiden; others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Started at 80/1 and advanced late into 5th last run at Grafton.